EURUSD: 5th Wave pendingThe pair is rising impulsively and currently about to conclude it's 4th wave (Circle) and break the previous high under wave-5 circle. The confirmation for the same will come above 1.36.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Stages Rapid Roundtrip1.1200 is the key level to watch for traders, with price action around it likely to provide better guidance than the barrage of conflicting macro takes doing the rounds right now. If the price remains below it, establish shorts with a stop above it for protection, and vice versa if the opposite occurs.
Even with Tuesday's snapback, the edge still leans slightly bearish after last week’s break of uptrend support. That move flagged rising downside risks, and little has changed since. RSI (14) and MACD both point to waning bullish momentum, remaining locked in downtrends that could produce firm bearish signals if they persist.
The 50-day moving average is an obvious hurdle for bears to overcome on the downside. If it were to be broken, it opens the door for a run towards support at 1.0900 and the 200-day moving average. If the price is able to push back above 1.1200 it would put resistance at 1.1276 and 1.1380 on the menu for longs.
With a quieter data calendar on Wednesday, let the price action guide you on how to best proceed.
Good luck!
DS
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1208
1st Support: 1.1117
1st Resistance: 1.1244
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD sell target/buy orderPrice went down and hit a previously marked level at 11083.6 and bounced. However I believe there is still strong selling pressure and the trend will continue to the downside.
There is another high volume area waiting below at 10996.5, Confluence here as this area was the volume point of control on the 10th April.
Usually would trade this as a buy when the level is reached, but I have the confidence that this will continue to drop, so selling down to this level.
Up again for EUHi traders,
Last week EU made another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
The bigger correction could now be finished (or one more small leg down into the Daily FVG).
If this is true then next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (black) up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSDTrading EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) is important for several reasons:
1. Liquidity: It’s the most traded currency pair in the world, meaning it’s easy to enter and exit trades quickly with minimal price slippage.
2. Volatility: It offers enough movement for traders to find good opportunities without extreme unpredictability, making it suitable for many strategies.
3. Economic Significance: It reflects the economic relationship between two of the largest economies—the Eurozone and the U.S.—making it a key indicator of global economic health.
4. News Impact: It reacts clearly to economic news and central bank decisions, giving traders chances to profit from well-understood events.
5. Tight Spreads: Due to high trading volume, brokers offer very low transaction costs, which is ideal for both beginners and professionals.
6. Technical Clarity: It follows technical patterns well, allowing traders to use charts and indicators effectively.
In short, EUR/USD is reliable, active, and accessible—ideal for anyone looking to trade major currency pairs.
Correction on EURUSDEURUSD continues to pull back and is heading toward a support zone.
Tomorrow’s U.S. inflation data is expected to trigger increased volatility.
The overall uptrend remains intact, and we’re watching for a potential reaction and continuation.
At current levels, there’s no valid reason to enter a position.
A small opportunity for a small sell on lower timeframeHello,
The EURUSD pair has experienced a notable uptrend recently, catching the attention of the European Central Bank (ECB). On Friday, ECB President Christine Lagarde commented, "Despite global market volatility, euro zone financial markets are performing robustly. The ECB stands ready to utilize its tools to ensure financial stability if needed." This suggests that a stronger euro may pose challenges for the ECB at this time.
Technically, the EURUSD is forming an expanding triangle pattern and is currently trading near its upper trendline. While we anticipate continued pressure on the euro—partly due to the U.S. favoring a weaker dollar—there is potential for a minor correction on shorter timeframes. Below, we outline a potential trading opportunity based on this analysis.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Bullish Setup | Demand Rejection & Liquidity Sweep ReverBias: Short-Term Bullish
Timeframe: M15
Date: May 13, 2025
📌 Trade Idea Summary:
Price has swept the liquidity below the recent lows and showed clean demand rejection around the 1.10900–1.11050 zone. Market structure is shifting bullish on M15 with steady accumulation. A move toward inefficiency and prior supply zone is anticipated.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: 1.11120
Stop Loss: 1.10900
Take Profit: 1.11850
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.65
✅ Technical Confluences:
M15 liquidity sweep + demand reaction
Breakout from accumulation channel
Inefficiency above toward 1.118x
NY session support with bullish continuation potential
📈 Entry Type: Market or slight retracement entry
🔁 Partial TP idea: 1.11360 zone (first rejection expected)
🛑 Invalidation: Clean bearish close below 1.10900
Important EURUSD UpdateYesterday, EURUSD continued its pullback, reaching 1,1062.
Today, the U.S. inflation data will be released.
EURUSD is currently sitting in a support zone, and we're watching for a potential bounce.
This news could confirm the start of the next bullish move.
The goal: a test and breakout above the previous high!
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1200 on Stronger Dollar Amid Trade Deal HopeCMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD extended losses on Thursday, sliding over 0.6% to test the 1.1200 handle amid renewed US Dollar demand. The Greenback gained momentum following reports of a pending US-UK trade agreement, which lifted sentiment despite the lack of official confirmation. The proposed deal would exempt the UK from steep reciprocal tariffs , while a broader 10% levy remains intact, raising questions over its longer-term impact.
Meanwhile, Europe remains sidelined in US trade diplomacy , with the White House cautioning against EU retaliation. For EUR/USD, downside pressure persists but is contained, with support forming near 1.1200. The pair has eased off multi-month highs north of 1.1500 and awaits fresh catalysts. A break below 1.1200 could open the door for deeper declines, while reclaiming 1.1300 remains key for bulls.
Resistance : 1.1232 , 1.1283
Support : 1.1197 , 1.1076
EUR/USD should rebound to 1.1344-hour chart,
The EUR/USD CMCMARKETS:EURUSD is trading in a falling expanding (broadening) wedge pattern. The price rebounded from the support level S, and is expected to test the upper resistance line R - at around 1.134
After crossing the line R, and stabilizing for 12 hours above this level, the target will be 1.157 to 1.159 - passing through the shown resistance levels 1.137 and 1.142
Consider a stop loss below the support line (currently 1.119)
RSI is in the buy zone. MACD needs to cross up its signal line to confirm.
HURRAY. THE TIME IS NOW. "EURUSD"Has we begin a new week looking for opportunity in the market watch out for EURUSD going for more sells, we predict market determines. going short on this pair. thank you so much my loyal followers
EURUSD - Correction Wave A Completed?Technical Outlook — May 12, 2025
Current Market Condition:
EUR/USD has broken below the ascending channel, indicating the potential start of a larger corrective wave structure. Price is currently in the process of completing wave A and is anticipated to retrace upward to form wave B before a possible continuation to the downside (wave C).
Key Technical Highlights:
Price rejected and broke rising channel and is now trading near EMA 50 (blue)
Fibonacci Cloud is acting as a strong support for a retracement
Stochastic oscillator is not fully inn oversold territory, suggesting a temporary relief bounce is possible before a bearish continuation
Previous support turned resistance at 1.13000 aligns with the likely wave B retracement zone
Possible Scenarios:
Long Setup:
As far as EMA 50 act as a support and there's a reversal candle, Wave B will start retracement to above resistance level and will provide a short Bullish trade to 1.12500 - 1.13000.
Short Setup (after wave B completes):
Look for a short entry around 1.12500-1.13000 zone after a succeful confirmation of reversal and set SL above this resistance. Aim for below support levels for your TPs.
Invalidation:
A sustained close above 1.1400 would invalidate the current wave count and bearish bias.
Important Note:
Key US CPI data is scheduled this week. Be cautious of increased volatility and fakeouts during news events.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1085
1st Support: 1.0946
1st Resistance: 1.1267
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD first 1D MA50 test since March 03. Bearish?Last time we had a look at the EURUSD pair (April 28, see chart below), we gave a bearish continuation signal, which not only did it hit its 1.12500 Target but also broke below the 3-month Channel Down:
This has brought us to the almost the first 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test since the March 03 break-out. As long as this holds, it keeps the trend bullish but the 1D RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, indicating a potential long-term trend change.
Technically it is similar with the December 28 2023 High, which at the time of the 1D MA50 test was also on Higher Lows but its RSI on Lower Lows (Bearish Div). The 1D MA50 eventually broke, leading to a sell continuation that hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the bottom.
As a result, if the D MA50 breaks, we will turn bearish, targeting 1.07000 (the 0.618 Fib).
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EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias
Interest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%.
Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty.
Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later.
Differential:
~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro.
Key May 2025 Economic Data
Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD
Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%).
US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April).
Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR.
Directional Bias
Bearish EUR/USD:
Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro.
Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession.
Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
EUR/USD: Bears Are Loading !!EUR/USD: Bearish Mouvement
Price was consolidating then broke the last Higher Low and a Major Support Level
Target : 1.11413
#EURUSD #Forex #FXTrading #PriceAction #ChoCH #BearishSetup #ForexAnalysis #Euro #USDollar #TradeIdeas
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.11194 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD staff pattern tips EURUSD to down sideThe EUR/USD exchange rate has generally moved downward since its high point in 2008, reflecting a period of euro weakness and U.S. dollar strength. After reaching its peak, the pair has gone through several bearish phases, and interestingly, the support and resistance lines form a staff.
Economic Recovery in the EU and UK Since the Global Financial Crisis
The EU and UK have seen "no meaningful recovery" since the global financial crisis. Many regions in the EU managed to recover their GDP per capita to pre-crisis levels within a couple of years, though the pace and strength of recovery varied widely. The UK, after a deep recession, returned to its pre-recession GDP levels within several years. However, both the EU and UK have faced ongoing challenges, including sluggish productivity growth and weaker expansion compared to previous decades.
Green Energy Transition and Grid Stability
European policymakers have made the green energy transition a top priority, sometimes advancing more quickly than infrastructure could support. Experts warned as early as 2014 that the rapid adoption of solar panels could put stress on power grids and increase the risk of instability. This concern became reality in Spain, where a significant blackout occurred shortly after the country announced it had achieved 100% renewable power on weekdays. To prevent similar incidents, experts now believe that a massive upgrade of the EU power grid will be necessary to ensure reliable integration of renewable energy sources, and this will cost a trillion dollars. The shortage and rising energy costs will make the EU and the UK lag in the AI race. Especially, a data center is power-consuming. The energy cost of the UK is the highest among developed countries and 5 times that of the US. Thank you to the politicians adopting an unrealistic path to green energy.
Outlook for the EU economy
With ongoing challenges such as the need for large-scale infrastructure investment, slow productivity growth, and pressures from global trade dynamics, the EU economy is expected to continue facing headwinds. Most forecasts indicate that economic growth will remain subdued in the short term, and further slowdowns are possible if structural issues are not addressed.
