USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅4 hour bullish order block
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Smart Money is Not Selling Yet 🧭 EUR/USD – Smart Money is Not Selling Yet
Market Outlook: Bullish Continuation with Consolidation
🧠 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
| Timeframe | Behavior | Structure |
|-----------|-----------|-----------|
| **12M** | Bullish (new candle in development) | Strong upside push |
| **10W** | Bullish | Breakout from consolidation |
| **9W** | Bullish | Continuation strength |
| **7W** | Indecision | Buyers and sellers wrestling |
| **6W** | Bullish | Prior strong move |
| **30D (1M)** | Bullish | Solid body, no upper wick |
| **18D** | Bullish inside liquidity | 1.12414–1.11982 |
| **3D** | Consolidation | Range forming at support |
| **4H** | Testing structure | Rejections at support floor |
🔑 Key Levels:
- **Psychological Resistance:** 1.15729 – 1.16921
- **Neckline (Mid SR):** 1.14221
- **Liquidity Zone Support:** 1.12414 – 1.11982
- **Invalidation Level:** Daily close below 1.11982
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📌 What I'm Watching:
Price action is currently consolidating on lower timeframes (3D and 4H), while all
**higher timeframes remain bullish**.
A dip into the **liquidity zone** may trap early sellers and trigger a **retest of the 1.15729 zone**.
Until a breakdown confirms beneath 1.11982, this structure remains a **bullish continuation setup**.
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📊 My Bias:
"Smart money doesn’t sell indecision – it buys time. Don’t trade noise. Trade structure."
EURUSD April 30 Trade ExecutedEURUSD
April 30 Trade Executed
Previous session Price delivering in a discount, Price only expanded rebalancing a FVG. Price came to the 50 level. Coming into Asia breaks down. I suspected for Price to lower to gravitate to equal lows target.
When price hit the equal lows and in a discount I suspected for Price to come to rebalance the FVG and possibility expand to the 50 level.
Elements to my set up
*liquidity taken
*in a discount PD array
*inefficiency target identified FVG to rebalance, equal highs
*risk to reward calculated
*22:05 candle creates FVG
*22:40 candle taps the CE of created FVG 22:05 candle
*22:40 entry
*2:35 candle exit
4 hours for this trade to achieve.
33 pips
EUR/USD Correction in Progress – Can Bulls Still Reach 1.20?EURUSD is retesting key structure after rejecting from recent highs. Price remains above long-term trend support, but compression is tightening. This post outlines the critical zones to watch, what invalidates the move, and whether the 1.20 target remains realistic.
Technical Analysis:
Price has pulled back from recent highs after failing to hold above short-term resistance. While the current move looks corrective, we are now at a decision point. The pair is trading above the long-term bullish trendline, but confirmation is needed before continuation toward 1.20.
Support Zones (if pullback deepens):
🟠 1.09957–1.09439 – Last 1H Support (Medium Risk):
Short-term intraday demand zone. If price pulls back, this is the first area bulls might defend.
Stop-loss: Below 1.09439
🟢 1.05484 – Weekly Strong Buy Zone (Low Risk):
Major structure from previous macro reversals. Clean area for swing entries if reached.
Stop-loss: Below 1.03400
Resistance Target:
🔴 1.20944 – Daily Strong Resistance (High Rejection Risk):
A key supply zone from previous macro structure. If price reaches this level, watch for rejection.
Stop-loss: Above 1.22821 – A breakout above this invalidates short setups and could trigger a higher timeframe breakout continuation.
Outlook:
Bullish case: Holding above 1.09439 and reclaiming 1.1600+ opens the door to test 1.2094.
Bearish case: A clean loss of 1.09439 would shift momentum toward deeper support at 1.0548.
Bias: Short-term neutral. Structure remains bullish while support zones continue to hold.
Fundamental Insight:
The FOMC meets on Wednesday, May 1. If the Fed hints at easing or rate cuts later this year, EURUSD could rally toward 1.20 on USD weakness. But if Powell reaffirms a “higher-for-longer” stance, expect downside continuation into the 1.09957 or 1.05484 support zones.
✅ Conclusion:
EURUSD is at a technical decision point. If buyers defend mapped support, the path to 1.20 remains valid. A breakdown below 1.094 could trigger deeper retracement. Until the picture clears, remain reactive to structure and macro tone.
Not financial advice. Like & follow for more EURUSD setups and structured FX market analysis.
Chart Overview (EUR/USD — 4H)Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4 Hour
Current Price: 1.13596
Key Concept Highlighted:
“This is where money is made — in the retrace, not the rally.”
(Focus is on catching retracements, not chasing rallies)
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Technical Breakdown
1. Wave Count (Elliott Wave context assumed)
The chart labels wave iii as complete.
A corrective move is underway (likely forming wave iv).
The next anticipated move is wave v rally to the upside — target zone shown near 1.22000–1.20000.
2. Key Zones
Immediate Support/Buy Zone: Small rectangle near the current price (likely minor demand zone).
Major Buy Zone: 1.10500–1.11500 (approximate)
→ Strong demand area backed by confluence of:
Previous wave structure support
Trendline retest
Cluster of economic event icons (suggesting high volatility catalysts)
3. Bias
Waiting for price to either:
Bounce from the immediate small support (early aggressive long), or
Dip deeper into the major buy zone for safer long entries.
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EURUSD(20250430) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1391
Support and resistance levels:
1.1443
1.1424
1.1411
1.1372
1.1359
1.1340
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1391, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1411
If the price breaks through 1.1372, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1359
EURUSD – Triangle Consolidation Nearing CompletionEURUSD is currently completing a contracting triangle formation within a larger corrective structure. According to Elliott Wave Theory, this appears to be an ABC correction, with wave B unfolding as a classic contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE).
The chart highlights the subwaves:
🔸 (A), (B), (C), and (D) have completed,
🔸 Wave (E) is anticipated next—likely to test the upper boundary of the triangle before a breakdown resumes the bearish impulse.
📍 The invalidation point is clearly marked—any breakout above this would invalidate the triangle scenario and call for a reassessment of the wave count.
Bias remains bearish following wave (E), expecting a strong move down upon completion of the triangle.
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12725 - 1.5750 range👀 Possible scenario:
The euro fell 0.28% against the U.S. dollar on April 29 amid rising uncertainty over U.S. inflation and unclear central bank policy paths. That same day, President Trump signed executive orders introducing relief measures to offset new auto tariffs, while trade talks showed modest progress with deals nearing completion with India and South Korea. Despite temporary market relief, concerns remain over the economic impact of tariffs.
On April 30, traders will watch key Eurozone GDP reports, which could move EUR/USD below 1.1300 or up toward 1.1430, depending on the results.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12725.
Resistance level is now located at 1.15750.
EURUSD April 29 Trade Executed and Stop loss takenEURUSD
April 29
Trade Executed and Stop loss taken
Asia Session
Coming into Asia Price was in a premium on the previous range. NY session price took buy side liquidity and rebalanced only the bottom half of a 15M FVG.
Logic and elements to the setup
Liquidity taken
Premium session with logic that Price would seek the 50 level 1.13777 and equal lows
Macro time 19:00
Smaller time frame analysis and elements that made me take the trade
*17:00 Price creates a swing low
*18:05 4 candle pattern that breaks the swing, break of market shift
*18:10 FVG created
*18:50 entry
First target the 50 level 1.13777
I executed this trade and got stoped out. Happy that my trade idea was successful and sad I was stopped out. My stop loss was 6 pips which I thought it was 10. Lesson learned. 10 pips min in future.
I am still extremely happy with my trade and it's amazing delivery to my target.
EURUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.1364 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1417
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK