EURUSD Forecast – Smart Money Setup 21st July 2025Here’s the detailed breakdown of my current EURUSD setup based on internal/external liquidity and order block reaction:
🔹 Bias: Bullish (after deeper retracement)
🧠 Breakdown:
Liquidity Sweep ✅
A clear liquidity sweep took place below recent equal lows.
This sweep triggered a bullish displacement, confirming demand.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) 🔁
A valid MSS followed the sweep, confirming short-term reversal in structure.
4H Internal Liquidity 🫧
Price tapped into internal liquidity, setting the stage for a deeper retracement before continuation.
15 Min Order Block (OB) 🧱
Price is currently trading within a 15-minute OB zone, which aligns with minor resistance before a deeper retrace.
🔻 Anticipated Retracement:
Expecting a short-term rejection from the current OB zone.
Price may retrace into the 4H OB zone near 1.1590–1.1610, aligning with an upcoming 4H liquidity pool.
This zone also aligns with previous mitigation and accumulation areas.
🟢 Final Target:
If the 4H OB holds, I'm anticipating a bullish continuation targeting the external 4H liquidity near 1.1730+.
📌 Summary:
Waiting for retracement into demand zone → looking to long from 1.1590–1.1610 area → targeting 1.1730+.
✍️ Execution Plan:
Set alerts near 1.1610
Look for LTF CHoCH or BOS confirmation in demand
Enter with tight stop loss below 4H OB
Target external liquidity
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSDHello traders,
I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today.
🔍 **Trade Details**
✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D
✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22
✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy
✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281
✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997
✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874
🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
EURUSD(20250723) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
White House officials plan to visit the Federal Reserve headquarters on Thursday local time.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1730
Support and resistance levels:
1.1811
1.1781
1.1761
1.1699
1.1679
1.1649
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1761, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1781
If the price breaks through 1.1730, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1699
EURO - Price can continue to decline in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For a long time, the price was moving within a large ascending wedge, showing a gradual upward trend.
However, buyers failed to maintain momentum, and the price made a decisive breakout below the wedge's support line.
Following the breakout, the instrument established a new structure, a local falling channel, and has been trading within its boundaries since.
Currently, the price is in a corrective upward move, approaching the key resistance area of $1.1630 - $1.1660.
This zone is significant as it aligns with a previous support level and the upper boundary of the current falling channel.
I expect that the price will face rejection from this resistance area and will then continue its decline towards the channel's support line, targeting the $1.1465 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Analysis : Liquidity Sweep – EURUSD Targets TO Reversal🧠 Institutional Context & Big Picture
EURUSD has been in a tightly controlled descending channel for several weeks—a classic sign of a market being engineered for liquidity collection. Rather than a naturally trending bearish market, this price action reflects stealth accumulation and market maker manipulation.
The channel structure was used to:
Establish a visible bearish trend (to trap sellers)
Trigger emotional bias for continued shorting
Build up stop orders below swing lows
This phase was about building energy, not continuation.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown of the Chart Elements
📌 1. Descending Channel – Controlled Manipulation
The pair moved within a well-defined bearish channel for multiple weeks.
Each touch respected the top and bottom perfectly—not random, but institutional structure.
It fostered retail confidence in the downtrend while market makers prepared for a reversal.
💥 2. Liquidity Sweep & Trap (Low Breaked & Liquidity Grabbed)
Price spiked below the previous low, clearly sweeping liquidity on July 21.
This is the "engineered breakdown", meant to trigger breakout sellers and stop out early longs.
Immediately after the sweep, the price violently reversed—clear evidence of a liquidity trap.
This is classic MMC logic: induce, trap, reverse.
🟩 3. QFL Base Formed – Bullish Engine Ignited
At the point of reversal, the chart shows the formation of a QFL (Qualified Liquidation Failure) zone.
This QFL base is the core of smart money accumulation—price broke below a base, then quickly reclaimed it.
It's not just support—it’s the true origin of the reversal and an optimal entry point.
📈 4. Breakout from the Channel – Structure Shift Confirmed
Price broke out of the descending channel with strong momentum, confirming:
Structure shift from lower lows → higher highs
Momentum shift in favor of bulls
Entry confirmation for MMC-based long setups
This breakout invalidates the bearish trend and signals a fresh leg up, likely toward unmitigated supply zones.
🟨 5. Current Price Action – Healthy Bullish Consolidation
After the breakout, price is consolidating just above the broken channel, forming a mini-flag or base.
This indicates:
Smart money is accumulating more
No significant selling pressure
Likely continuation toward next supply
🎯 6. Next Targets – Reversal Zones
Minor Resistance: ~1.1800
Major Resistance: ~1.1850 – 1.1880
Next Reversal Zone: 1.1900–1.1950
This zone is highlighted as a potential sell-off area where institutions may offload positions or create new traps.
Watch for signs of exhaustion or redistribution here.
📌 Trade Plan Based on MMC Structure
✅ Bullish Scenario (Currently Active)
Entry Area: Ideally at QFL base or breakout retest (~1.1700–1.1720 zone)
Confirmation: Bullish price action (engulfing, flag break, or liquidity wick)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: 1.1800
🎯 TP2: 1.1850
🎯 TP3: 1.1950 (Reversal Supply Zone)
❌ Invalidation:
A break below the QFL base (~1.1670) with bearish volume would invalidate the bullish MMC structure.
🧠 Smart Money Insight & Logic Recap
This entire move reflects a classic Market Maker Strategy:
Build a trend (descending channel) to shape trader bias
Trigger liquidity events (false breakdown)
Accumulate at the lows via QFL logic
Shift structure (channel breakout)
Target unfilled institutional supply (1.1850–1.1950)
This isn’t random—it’s engineered movement. Your job as a trader is to identify footprints, not follow the crowd.
EURUSD Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.174.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.184 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊EURUSD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
Short-Term Pullback Within a Bullish Higher Timeframe StructureHey Traders, hope you're all doing well! 👋
Price has recently broken above the previous weak high, showing strong bullish momentum. At the moment, we're seeing a short-term bearish pullback — a common market behavior aimed at filling buy orders near the demand zone.
Despite this minor retracement, the Higher Timeframe (HTF) remains firmly bullish. As long as that structure holds, this pullback could present a solid opportunity to rejoin the trend. Wait for bullish confirmation before executing any entries to stay aligned with the prevailing market direction.
EURUSD on the riseYesterday, EURUSD broke through the 1,1720 resistance level with strong momentum.
This confirms the uptrend and opens up opportunities for buying.
The ECB is set to announce interest rates tomorrow, which could trigger increased market volatility.
Keep an eye out for higher lows and signs of the uptrend continuing.
EURUSD FOUND SUPPORT, READY TO BREAK THE CHANNELEURUSD FOUND SUPPORT, READY TO BREAK THE CHANNEL🔥
EURUSD has been trading within the descending channel since the beginning of the descending channel. Recently the price reached the major trendline, graph started to show the bullish divergence on the RSI .
What is a bullish divergence?
A technical analysis pattern where the price makes lower lows, but a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI, MACD) forms higher lows, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a potential trend reversal upward.
So, another hike in this pair is expected. Possible direction: spike towards the SMA200, minor pullback and a further development of the bullish impulse.
EUR/USD neutral: Proceed with cautionHello traders
My short was short lived and not too damaging.
This powerful EUR/USD bounce is not unusual but perhaps a little bit of a head scratcher.
No economic data of note.
Maybe some positioning before the ECB rate decision?
I don't know what time this morning Senator Mike Lee(R) of Utah decided it was a good idea to repost a clearly fake resignation letter from Chairman Jerome Powell on X, so perhaps that was a factor.
Once again, Scott Bessent calmed the markets by stating that he does not see any reason for Chair Powell to resign.
The technical picture is clear. The pair has broken and closed above a long term downtrend line/channel but is at the upper boundary of the short term channel.
I have noticed several ideas and minds looking for a decline to 1.1450. The intersection of the up and downtrend lines identifies that as a possible level to go long.
However, I take it one day at a time and I am generally hesitant to make long term predictions, so use your own best judgment.
The current economic environment is rife with uncertainty, so keep the risk small. To diversify,
I have been looking for potential growth stocks to dip my toes back into the stock market.
JOBY or ACHR anyone?
Best of luck
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD has reclaimed the inner resistance of the 8-day descending channel after a V-shaped rebound from the lower rail; candles are now riding a fresh micro up-sloper.
● A 30 min close above 1.1666 (channel roof / prior pivot) confirms trend reversal and projects the measured move to the higher congestion band at 1.1690-1.1700.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Yesterday’s dip in US 2-yr yields after weaker Philly-Fed new-orders and higher jobless claims softens dollar demand, while ECB minutes signalled no rush to ease further, supporting the euro.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1630-1.1650; break of 1.1666 targets 1.1690 → 1.1700. Invalidate on an H1 close below 1.1585.
-------------------
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EURUSD buyThe eurusd looks set for upward move , its in a huge uptrend on the daily chart so this pullback down looks perfect for a return to the highs, now back to the 2 hr chart and we can see we have clearly bounced off a dynamic support zone not once but twice and formed a double bottom then for the first time since July 4th we have broken up throughout the 50 day moving average breaking the structure and returning back , I can now see a move upwards from here.
EURUSD – Preparing For Potential Volatility AheadThe week ahead has all the elements to be a volatile one for EURUSD traders to navigate. First, the unwind of long positions that has been on-going throughout July, since prices hit a 4 year high at 1.1830 on July 1st may have potentially found a short-term base after rebounding last week from printing a low of 1.1556 on Thursday. More on this in the technical section below.
Secondly, Bloomberg reported over the weekend that negotiations to agree a trade deal between the US and EU are proving to be more challenging than initially hoped. This leaves room for market moving headlines on this topic, or social media posts from President Trump that could influence the direction of FX markets, especially if it shifts trader expectations towards preparing for the prospect of a trade war between these two global economic heavyweights.
Then on Thursday, consideration needs to be given to the ECB interest rate decision (1315 BST) and then the press conference led by ECB President Lagarde, which starts at 1345 BST. After eight consecutive rate cuts at their previous meetings, the European Central Bank are expected to take a pause to assess incoming inflation and growth data, so this outcome would probably not be a surprise. However, the comments of Madame Lagarde in the press conference could increase EURUSD volatility given that there is some uncertainty surrounding whether a further rate cut is possible either in September, or later in the year.
Technical Update: Limited Price Correction or Reversal?
We all know well, even if an asset is trading within a positive uptrend, periods of price weakness can materialise, before fresh buying support develops. This can lead to renewed price strength that manages to break and close above a previous high, leading to an extension of a pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows.
Having been capped by the July 1st high at 1.1830, EURUSD has seen a price correction develop. Traders may be trying to decide if this is a limited move lower before fresh price strength is seen, or if it could be a price reversal, which may result in risks of a more extended phase of price weakness.
Much will depend on the outcome of the risk events outlined above, as well as future market sentiment and price trends, however it is possible to assess what may be the important support and resistance levels that traders could focus on to help gauge the next direction of price activity
Potential Support Levels:
After a period of price strength, it can be useful to calculate Fibonacci retracements on the latest up move to identify areas of potential support. As the chart below shows, for EURUSD, the latest phase of price strength seen from 1.1065 the May 12th low up to 1.1830, the July 1st high can be used for this purpose.
The 38% retracement of this advance stands at 1.1539 and after having remained intact during last week’s sell off, traders may now be watching how this support level performs on a closing basis.
Breaks below 1.1539, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may then lead to a deeper phase of weakness towards 1.1446, the June 19th low, even 1.1356, which is equal to the lower 61.8% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
If the 38% retracement support at 1.1539 holds any future price weakness in the week ahead, a positive trending condition may still be in place, opening the possibility of EURUSD moving back to higher levels again.
Any potential upside move could bring 1.1690 into play as an important resistance. This is the current level of the Bollinger mid-average, with closing breaks above this needed to open retests of 1.1830 July 1st highs, maybe further if this is in turn broken.
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2025.07.22 LONG EURUSDThis is a long trade on EURUSD utilizing smart money concepts.
There are multiple areas of liquidity pooling above, and now that trendline liquidity has been broken, trade management parameters are in place.
Orders have been transmitted, and this is a swing trade potentially lasting 4-8 weeks.
happy trading all
-kevin