USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD | 10.05.2025BUY 1.11900 | STOP 1.10000 | TAKE 1.14300 | We expect the development of an upward movement pattern from local and medium-term support levels. Technically, the price growth potential is determined by the formation of a trending upward channel. We will also watch the publication of economic data in May this year.
EURUSD(20250514) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1154
Support and resistance levels:
1.1261
1.1221
1.1195
1.1113
1.1087
1.1047
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1195, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1221
If the price breaks through 1.1154, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1113
EUR-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD broke the horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is now
A resistance and went down
So the breakout is confirmed
And now the pair is retesting
The resistance so as we are
Bearish biased we will be
Able to to enter a short trade
On Monday with the Take
Profit of 1.1197 and the
Stop Loss of 1.1311
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
short at mid-point confluence of the NWOG and 4H/1H FVG1. Smart-Money Structure & Displacement
Prior Leg: Clean 300-pip drop from 1.1262 → 1.1083 established a clear bearish displacement and lower-high/ lower-low structure on 1H & 4H.
CHoCH Confirmation: The bounce off 1.1083 and return up into 1.1200+ shows a Change-of-Character: the initial bearish leg is now being mitigated. A valid “return” leg is in play.
2. Confluence at 1.12250
Confluence Type Level(s) Comment
NWOG Mid-Zone ~1.1203 New-Week Open Gap (week of May 11) midpoint is ~1.1203
4H Fair Value Gap 1.1210–1.1230 Unfilled imbalance from the swift drop on May 9
1H Order-Block 1.1220–1.1240 Remnant liquidity block from the retracement high
Everything clusters tightly around 1.1220–1.1230, making 1.12250 an excellent tactical entry.
Tactical Plan
1. Set Sell Limit at 1.12250.
2. Stop at 1.12450.
3. Partial Target at 1.10830 (prior low) → +1.2 R.
4. Full Target at 1.09596 → +13 R.
5. Monitor for a clean bearish 1H wick off 1.1225 during NY open—enter only on clear rejection.
6. Hold through Powell; let price guide you—moves in your favor are likely sharp and directional.
Eurusd signal EUR/USD remains capped below its 2025 peak of 1.1572 (April 21), with the 1.1600 level and the October 2021 high at 1.1692 acting as key resistance zones.
EUR/USD took a hard step lower on Monday, kicking off the new trading week with a fresh dip below 1.1000 before a late recovery pushed the pair back toward 1.1100. The Fiber still closed 1.4% lower on the day, and investors are bracing for a fresh batch of US Consumer Price Index inflation data due on Tuesday.
EUR_USD MOVE DOWN IS LIKELY|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD is retesting a
Horizontal resistance level
Around 1.1280 and we are
Locally bearish biased we
Will be expecting a pullback
And a local move down
On Monday
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1140
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1281
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1066
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
1. EUR/USD Buy Setup1. Entry Point:
Marked at: 1.12243
This is the suggested price level to enter a long (buy) trade.
2. Stop Loss:
Set at: 1.11542
Placed below a support zone, it limits the downside risk if the trade moves against the position.
3. Target Points:
EA Target Point One: 1.13891
EA Target Point (Final): 1.15929
These levels are profit-taking zones, with the first being a conservative target and the second being a more extended move.
4. Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
A red shorter-term moving average (possibly 20 EMA)
A blue longer-term moving average (possibly 200 EMA)
Price is currently below both, indicating bearish momentum, though the long setup is anticipating a reversal.
5. Support/Resistance Zones:
Purple Zones: Highlighted as key demand and supply areas.
The lower purple zone supports the entry and stop-loss area.
The upper purple zones mark resistance areas aligning with the target levels.
6. Current Price:
Around 1.12459, slightly above the entry zone.
Conclusion:
This setup is a bullish trade idea with a clearly defined:
Entry (1.12243),
Stop-loss (1.11542), and
Two take-profit levels (1.13891 and 1.15929).
EURUSD: Liquidity Grab & Bearish Outlook 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal
support cluster on a daily.
After a breakout, the broken structure turned into a strong resistance
and was retested.
I spotted a confirmed liquidity grab on an hourly time frame
and a consequent bearish imbalance candle.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop
at least to 1.122
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading?Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading?
In swing trading, moving averages are widely used to analyse market trends and identify potential turning points. In this article, we’ll dive into the most commonly used MAs, their unique characteristics, and how they can be applied in swing trading strategies.
What Are Moving Averages?
You definitely know what moving averages are. However, we need to start our article with a brief introduction to this market analysis tool.
A moving average (MA) is a fundamental tool in technical analysis that helps traders understand the direction of a market trend by smoothing out price fluctuations, often touted among the best indicators for swing trading. Instead of focusing on the volatile ups and downs, MAs calculate an average of prices over a specific period, such as 20, 50, or 200 periods. This gives traders a clearer picture of the overall trend by filtering out short-term volatility.
There are different types of moving averages, but they all work on the same principle: tracking the average price over time to highlight the market's trajectory. For example, a 20-period MA shows the average (usually closing price but a trader can choose highs, lows, and opens) over the past 20 periods, updating as new prices come in. This rolling calculation creates a line on the chart, making it easy to identify whether the market is trending upwards, downwards, or moving sideways.
Types of Moving Averages
Moving averages come in various forms, each with unique characteristics that cater to different trading styles and strategies.
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
The simple moving average (SMA) is the most straightforward type, calculated by averaging the closing prices (but a trader can choose any price type) over a set number of periods. For example, a 20-period SMA adds up the last 20 closing prices and divides by 20. It’s popular among traders who want a broader view of price trends without overreacting to short-term fluctuations, making it a contender for one of the best moving averages for swing trading. However, SMAs can lag behind price action, as they give equal weight to all prices in the calculation.
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
The hull moving average (HMA) is designed to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth line. By combining weighted averages with additional smoothing techniques, the HMA offers a balance of speed and clarity, making it an underrated moving average for swing trading.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The exponential moving average (EMA) prioritises recent prices, giving them more weight in the calculation. This makes it more responsive to price changes compared to the SMA. Swing traders often use EMAs in faster-moving markets, where quick adjustments to trend shifts are crucial, with 8- and 21-period EMAs considered by some traders as two of the best EMAs for swing trading. For instance, a 20-period EMA reacts faster to sudden price movements than a 20-period SMA, helping traders spot potential reversals sooner.
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Similar to the EMA, the weighted moving average (WMA) also gives more importance to recent prices but does so with a linear weighting system. This means the most recent price has the greatest impact, gradually decreasing with older data. WMAs are less common but useful when traders want a more precise reflection of recent price action.
How to Use Moving Averages in Swing Analysis and Trading
Moving averages are versatile tools that can provide valuable insights for swing traders. Beyond highlighting trends, they can help identify potential turning points and dynamic support or resistance levels. Here’s how they’re commonly used in swing trading:
1. Identifying Trends
MAs are widely used to assess the direction of a trend. For instance, if the price consistently stays above a rising moving average, it suggests an upward trend. Conversely, when prices remain below a declining moving average, the market could be trending downward. Swing traders often rely on shorter moving averages, like the 20-period, for identifying trends that align with their trading horizon.
2. Spotting Reversals with Crossovers
Crossovers happen when two MAs intersect. A common example is a shorter MA crossing above a longer one, which may indicate a shift towards bullish momentum and vice versa.
3. Dynamic Support and Resistance
MAs act as floating support and resistance levels. MAs serve as a support level in an uptrend, with the price bouncing off it repeatedly. In a downtrend, the same moving average might act as resistance, limiting upward moves.
4. Filtering Market Noise
In choppy markets, MAs can smooth out minor fluctuations, making it easier to focus on the bigger picture. Swing traders often use longer MAs, such as the 50-day or 200-day, to filter out irrelevant short-term movements.
5. Timing Entry and Exit Zones
Many traders use crossovers to time their entries and exits, though it’s worth noting their lagging nature means they can result in untimely trades. They can also provide context. For example, if the price approaches a key moving average after a strong move, it might indicate a consolidation phase or a potential reversal, allowing traders to adapt their analysis.
Common Moving Averages for Swing Trading: The 20, 50, and 200 MAs
Swing traders often turn to the 20-, 50-, and 200-period moving averages as their go-to tools for analysing market trends. Each serves a specific purpose, helping traders gauge short-, medium-, and long-term price movements. These moving averages are often used together.
20-Period Moving Average
The 20-period MA is a favourite for short-term trend analysis. It reacts quickly to price changes; therefore, traders use it to identify recent momentum or potential trend shifts. Traders frequently watch for price “bounces” off the 20-period MA as potential indications of continuation in the current trend.
50-Period Moving Average
The 50-period MA provides a medium-term perspective, offering a smoother look at price trends. It’s slower to react than the 20-period MA but avoids being overly lagging. This balance makes it useful for identifying sustained trends while filtering out minor price noise. When prices interact with the 50-period MA, it often acts as a dynamic support or resistance level.
200-Period Moving Average
The 200-period MA is the benchmark for long-term trend analysis. It’s often used to determine the overall market direction. This MA is also a widely followed indicator for institutional traders, adding weight to its significance. Interactions with the 200-period MA often mark key turning points or areas of consolidation.
Traders also monitor crossovers between the 50- and 200-period MAs, recognised by some as the best moving average crossover for swing trading. For instance:
- Golden Cross: When the 50-period MA crosses above the 200-period MA, it suggests potential bullish momentum.
- Death Cross: When the 50-period MA drops below the 200-period MA, it signals a possible bearish shift.
Using Them Together
Using the 20-, 50-, and 200-period MAs together offers a comprehensive approach to identifying the best moving average crossover setups, allowing traders to see the bigger picture while still tracking short-term shifts. For instance, when the price breaks above the 200-period MA while the 20-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA, it may signal the beginning of a broader bullish trend. Meanwhile, a price drop below all three MAs could suggest broader bearish momentum.
Other Moving Average Combinations for Swing Trading
While the 20, 50, and 200-period MAs are staples in swing trading, exploring other combinations can offer nuanced insights tailored to specific trading strategies. Some alternative moving average setups that traders often employ include:
8-Period and 21-Period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
This pairing is favoured by traders seeking to capture short-term price movements with greater sensitivity. They call this the best EMA crossover strategy. The 8-period EMA responds swiftly to recent price changes, while the 21-period EMA provides a slightly broader perspective.
10-Period and 50-Period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs)
Combining the 10- and 50-period SMAs offers a balance between short-term agility and medium-term trend identification. This combination helps traders filter out minor price fluctuations and focus on more sustained movements.
28-Period and 50-Period HMAs
For traders focused on short-to-medium-term trends, the 28- and 50-period HMAs offer a balanced approach. The 28-period HMA reacts quickly to price changes, while the 50-period HMA provides a steadier view of the broader trend. Crossovers between the two can signal potential bullish or bearish momentum shifts, benefiting from the HMA’s reduced lag.
13-Period and 34-Period WMAs
Rooted in Fibonacci sequences, the 13- and 34-period WMAs are employed by traders who believe in the natural rhythm of the markets. A 55-period WMA can also be included for a longer-term perspective. Crossovers between these WMAs can highlight potential trend reversals or continuations, with the WMA adapting more quickly than other MAs due to its weighted calculation.
Implementing These Combinations
When applying these moving average combinations, it's crucial to consider the following:
- Market Conditions: These combinations often perform better in trending markets versus ranging markets. Moreover, shorter MAs might be more effective in capturing quick price movements during high volatility.
- Timeframes: Traders align MAs with their trading horizon. Shorter periods like the 5-period or 8-period MAs are usually used by traders focusing on brief swings, while longer periods like the 50-period MA cater to those looking at extended trends.
- Confirmation with Other Indicators: Relying solely on moving averages can lead to false signals. Traders corroborate these signals with other technical indicators, such as Bollinger Bands or the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
What Moving Averages Should You Use for Swing Trading?
There is no best moving average for swing trading. The choice of MAs ultimately depends on a trader's strategy and preferences. The combinations discussed provide a framework, but experimenting with different setups can help identify what aligns with individual trading styles and objectives.
The Bottom Line
Moving averages are powerful tools for swing trading, offering insights into trends and potential market turning points. Whatever your unique preference for different types and lengths, understanding their application can refine your strategy.
FAQ
Which Moving Average Is Good for Swing Trading?
The 20-period, 50-period, and 200-period moving averages are widely used in swing trading. However, different combinations, like the 8- and 21-period or 13- and 34-period MAs can offer equally valuable insights; it ultimately comes down to the trader’s preference.
What Is the Most Popular Moving Average to Use?
The most popular moving average depends on a trader’s trading style and goals. Shorter MAs, like the 20-day MA, are popular for quick trend identification, while longer ones, such as the 200-day MA, provide a bigger picture. Many traders combine MAs to cover different timeframes.
Is 200 EMA Good for Swing Trading?
The 200-period EMA is useful for swing traders seeking to understand long-term trends. It reacts faster than the 200-period SMA, making it suitable for traders looking to incorporate a responsive indicator in their analysis.
Which Indicator Is Most Popular for Swing Trading?
There isn’t a single best indicator for swing trading. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume indicators are commonly used. Combining these can provide a more comprehensive analysis.
Which Volume Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading?
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) are popular volume indicators for swing traders, helping assess market momentum.
Which RSI Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading?
The standard 14-period RSI is widely used. Swing traders often adjust it to shorter periods (e.g., 7) for faster signals or longer periods (e.g., 21) for smoother trends.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD consolidates ahead of US CPICMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD holds above the 1.1110 area ahead of key US inflation data. The pair rebounded modestly after finding support near the breakout zone (1.1046-1.1100), but upward momentum is capped by minor resistance at 1.1127. A failure to break above this level may expose the 1.1046 support. Technically, the broader trend remains under pressure, as the pair trades below trendline resistance and recent breakdown levels. The upcoming US CPI release could trigger volatility and provide directional confirmation.
Resistance: 1.1127, 1.1212
Support: 1.1046, 1.0960
EUR/USD Weekly Analysis - Major Buy Opportunity 📈 EUR/USD Weekly Analysis — Major Buy Opportunity 🚀
Key Insight:
The EUR/USD is showing strong signs of accumulation after a long-term downtrend (2014–2022). Based on price structure, MACD divergence, and volume spikes, we have identified three major BUY zones where smart entries are likely.
🔥 3 Major Buy Zones:
1. Zone 1: 1.0500–1.0800 (Primary Demand Zone)
Historical major support level since 2015.
MACD bullish divergence confirming strength.
Large buyer volume at recent retests.
✅ Safest zone for deep entries.
Entry Idea: Buy dips inside this zone.
Stop Loss: Below 1.0450.
Target: 1.1500+ initially.
2. Zone 2: 1.0900–1.1000 (Breakout Retest Area)
Retest of previous resistance turned support after breakout.
Confirmation of higher low formation.
🔄 Ideal for breakout + retest traders.
Entry Idea: Buy on clean bullish retest.
Stop Loss: Below 1.0880.
Target: 1.1400s and above.
3. Zone 3: 1.1100–1.1150 (Aggressive Momentum Entry)
Price acceptance above key structure.
Higher risk/reward setup with tighter stop loss.
⚡ Perfect for momentum traders.
Entry Idea: Buy small pullbacks around 1.1100.
Stop Loss: Below 1.1050.
Target: 1.1400–1.1500 first.
🧠 Summary Strategy:
Conservative traders should prioritize Zone 1.
Medium-risk traders can wait for Zone 2 breakout retests.
Aggressive traders can start building at Zone 3 with tight risk.
Major upside if the liquidity trendline breaks! 🚀
🛡️ Risk Management Reminder:
Always use stop-losses and proper position sizing — smart entries are only half the battle!
🎯 Final Target:
Liquidity resting above 1.1500 — and possibly continuation higher towards 1.1800 if momentum carries through.
👉 Drop a ⭐ if you found this helpful, and follow for weekly chart breakdowns!
The euro dollar may NOT rise above $1.15 unless...Introduction: The euro dollar is the best-performing major Forex pair this year (2025), up over 8%. But since the beginning of May, major resistance at $1.15 and an overbought technical environment have halted the rise, while trade negotiations between the USA and China are well underway. Although the rise in the EUR/USD rate has been underpinned by structural factors since the start of the year, there is an essential fundamental missing from the prospect of breaking through major resistance at $1.15 later this year.
1) The $1.15 level is a long-term technical resistance on the euro-dollar exchange rate and should lock in prices for some time
In our previous TradingView contributions, we highlighted the major dimension of the $1.15 resistance, which has effectively triggered a retracement entry for the EUR/USD rate on Forex. The first chart below illustrates the scope of this technical resistance, which has joined all monthly highs for almost 20 years.
We consider it likely that the euro/dollar rate will hold below this resistance in the short term, with initial support in the $1.09/$1.10 zone.
2) The euro dollar's annual rebound was built on structural factors
Several factors underpinned the euro dollar's rise between January and April, some of which have a structural dimension:
- Institutional net positioning in Euro Dollar futures and options moved back into long territory in the first quarter of this year (see second chart below).
- Germany's fiscal easing and the prospect of a ceasefire in Ukraine were two pillars of the rebound.
- The trade war between the USA and over 70 countries weighed on the US dollar
Now that trade diplomacy has taken the upper hand, the US dollar has entered a technical rebound, with the result that the euro-dollar rate has entered a short-term downward retracement phase.
3) But the euro-dollar won't break through $1.15 until the Federal Reserve (FED) resumes cutting its federal funds rate.
So there are structural signals in favor of a rising euro dollar this year, driven by fiscal, macroeconomic and geopolitical fundamentals. But there is one divergence that still calls for caution: the famous divergence of monetary policies
Historically, there is a positive correlation between the euro-dollar rate and the anticipated rate differential between the Federal Reserve and the ECB. The narrower this rate differential, the more bullish the euro-dollar and vice versa.
Over the past few weeks, this expected rate differential has fallen with the Fed's intransigence regarding the risk of a rebound in US inflation due to tariffs. If the FED does not move, then it is unlikely that the EUR/USD rate will be able to break through $1.15 in the short term.
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EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Gap fill
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD Expecting Bearish movementAfter the Geneva talks, the two sides announced a 90-day suspension of some tariff measures and a reduction in the tax rates of some goods. This progress has alleviated market concerns about the escalation of global trade frictions and weakened the attractiveness of the euro as a risky currency. Schnabel, an executive board member of the ECB, said, "There is no need for further interest rate cuts," believing that the current interest rate is at a neutral level. However, the market still expects that if the economic data in the eurozone is weak, the ECB may be forced to continue its easing policy within this year, which poses potential pressure on the euro.
The exchange rate has fallen below the 200-day moving average (1.1195) and is far away from the 12-day EMA (1.1303) and the 26-day EMA (1.1284), and the short-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement.
MACD indicator: The DIFF (0.0044) is lower than the DEA (0.0089), and the negative value of the histogram has expanded, indicating an increase in the downward momentum.
RSI (14): Currently at 43.29, it has not entered the oversold range, suggesting that there is still room for further decline.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.