A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown
🔻 Price Action & Structure:
The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines.
The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
🔄 Projected Move:
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.
The white projected path shows:
A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800.
A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity.
🧠
EQH = Equal High Liquidity
:
The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting.
It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing.
💡 Interpretation:
The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts.
Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook.
Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
USDEUR trade ideas
eur/usdTRADE 5 long term i belive we are still bearish but long term retracement has been in order and is still going but it has hit a key resistance level that i dont belive it to break if it does break it we will look for it to hit the surport line and then use it as a entry, as fgor now though a engulfing candle pattern happend and i do belive us to go in the bearish movment back down lets see where it takes us
EURUSD Sell at current market priceBased on Daily/ H4 & H1 price action, current market price is the best price to enter sell in my opinion. I'm predicted that price will close below 1.15 level at the daily close.
This is my analysis, please calculate your own risk & reward.
Good Luck & happy trading.
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.15043 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.14942..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD broke the Support level 1.14865👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.07% on June 16, supported by safe-haven flows as geopolitical tensions escalated. The move followed U.S. calls for evacuation from Tehran after intensified Israeli strikes, with former President Trump blaming Iran for rejecting a nuclear deal.
Markets now eye the Fed’s upcoming policy decision and June 17’s U.S. Retail Sales report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Strong data may push EURUSD down toward 1.15000, while weaker numbers could lift it back to 1.16300. Peace talk updates between Israel and Iran may also impact sentiment.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.14740
Resistance level is located at 1.16330
ABC Bullish Hello awesome traders, hope you're having a great week!
We’ve got a clean ABC bullish setup unfolding beautifully on EURUSD 4H:
🔶 Pattern: ABC Bullish
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
⚡️ Structure: AB=CD completion at 61.8% with PRZ confluence
📍 Entry Level: 1.15058 (confirmed breakout + retest)
🎯 Target 1: 1.16006 (AB=CD)
🎯 Target 2: 1.16561 (extended projection)
🛑 Invalidation: Below 1.13717 (D-point)
Technical Highlights:
✅ 61.8% retracement support at D
✅ 78.6% BC retracement
✅ Price bounced cleanly and is consolidating above EL
✅ Momentum build above structure, higher lows in play
📊 Watching for continuation toward 1.1600 and beyond if structure holds.
Trade smart, protect capital, and let the pattern do the work!
Long trade
📍 Pair: EURUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 1.14816
Profit Level 1.15696 (+0.77%)
Stop Loss 1.14640 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 5:1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1H Structure Entry:
Trade initiated at a key bullish order block on the 1hr timeframe, following higher-timeframe trend alignment.
Going to accumulate more Euro dollars Looking at the 4H chart, it has come down to the important support level of 1.1493. If it is able to sustain above this level, then it should have no problem surpassing the previous high of 1.16 price level.
Thereafter, it may form a triple top formation and we see some retracement
EUR/USD Pressured by Safe-Haven Dollar DemandEUR/USD traded near 1.15 on Wednesday, under pressure from safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar as Middle East tensions escalated. Fears of broader conflict involving the U.S. kept the dollar firm. Markets await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged, though guidance may shape future expectations. The euro remained weak, burdened by Europe’s energy import exposure amid rising oil prices.
Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 18, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
12:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision
Declining confidence in the US economy amid trade policy is undermining the US Dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR). Data released by the US Census Bureau on Tuesday showed that US retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in May, compared to a 0.1% decline (revised from +0.1%) recorded in April. The figure was weaker than estimates of -0.7%. Meanwhile, US industrial production in May declined 0.2% m/m vs. 0.1% previously (revised from 0%), worse than expectations of 0.1%.
Traders expect the US Federal Reserve to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its June meeting on Wednesday. Markets now estimate a nearly 80% chance that the Fed will cut rates in September and then another in October, according to Reuters.
The mood of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is supportive of the common currency. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end as the central bank is now in a “good position” to deal with the current uncertainty.
Meanwhile, investors will keep an eye on geopolitical risks. Israel is set to step up strikes on Tehran, while the US is considering expanding its role amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1460, SL 1.1560, TP 1.1260
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● A completed AB=CD (0.883 / 1.112) pattern at the channel floor (1.1488) produced a hammer, signalling exhaustion of bears at the measured PRZ.
● Price is now reclaiming the micro structure high 1.1526; that flips the inner range to support and opens the next intra-channel pivot 1.1560, with room to the upper wall near 1.1600.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● EZ May trade balance swung back to a €4 bn surplus while weak US housing starts shaved another 4 bp off 2-yr yields, compressing the short-rate gap and underpinning EUR bids.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.1500-1.1530; break >1.1560 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1650. Bull bias void on 30 min close below 1.1480.
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EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, downside pressure intensifiesEURUSD formed a lower high near 1.1613, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Price is now testing a key trendline, and a break below 1.1473 could confirm a bearish move toward 1.1350.
Market sentiment is currently dominated by the Fed’s hawkish stance following the latest FOMC meeting, where the central bank kept rates unchanged but expressed readiness to hike further if necessary. Meanwhile, although tensions in the Middle East are escalating, they have yet to deliver a significant blow to the USD.
Given the current backdrop, EURUSD is under considerable pressure and may soon break its bullish structure unless strong buying interest re-emerges.
EURUSD Eyes Potential Bullish BatOn the daily chart, EURUSD is currently oscillating at a high level. In the short term, we can pay attention to the area around 1.1402 below. This position is a potential buying position for a bullish bat pattern, and this position is also within the previous demand area.
EUR/USD Buy EUR/USD pull-back long
Buy-limit at 1.1460
Stop-loss at 1.1395
Take-profit 1 at 1.1560 – when this first target is reached, move the stop to breakeven
Take-profit 2 at 1.1630
Condition: keep the order active only while the daily candle continues to close at or above 1.1445.
Expiry: if the order hasn’t been filled after five full trading days, cancel it and reassess.
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1538, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1454, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2 Fib extension.
The stop loss is set at 1.1570, an overlap resistance.
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Goldman and BofA agree: The dollar is losing its edgeGoldman Sachs now expects the EUR/USD to hit 1.20 by the end of the year. While this prediction draws comparisons to the 2017 rally in the pair, Goldman notes a key difference. This time, the pricing reflects pessimism in the US dollar, rather than optimism in the euro.
Bank of America seemingly agrees and warns that even a “hawkish” dot plot at this week’s FOMC meeting, where Fed officials signal fewer rate cuts, may only cause a brief bout of euro weakness against the dollar.
EUR/USD has recently broken out of a long-term descending triangle pattern, which capped price action from mid-April through early June, aligning with Goldman Sachs’ and BofA’s view of a broad EUR strength/ USD weakness.
This recent pullback to the 1.1480 area is a retest of former resistance turned support, suggesting a potential continuation pattern if buyers defend this level.
EUR USD Price has previously rejected from the resistance zone in DTF, and Also traded in an ascending triangle and also formed a double top pattern and held d bearish Trendline, which are all indications of a Bearish trend and movement as seen.
And priced moved perfectly in our Direction 🔥
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.