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USDEUR trade ideas

DeGRAM | EURUSD holding the 1.12 level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price defended the rising-channel median (1.1200) and formed a bullish pennant against the blue corrective trend-line; pattern completion projects to the next horizontal/diagonal confluence at 1.1380. ● Momentum is flipping positive as the pair climbs back above the short-term descending channel roof, turning it into support and aligning with repeat bounces off 1.1100. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● May euro-area flash PMIs surprised on the upside while US industrial output slipped, narrowing growth differentials and cooling USD demand. ✨ Summary Pennant + channel support and firmer EU data vs. softer US output back a push toward 1.1300 → 1.1380; bias void if 1.1100 breaks. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
4
EUR/USD is Loading a Breakout?!EUR/USD has posted an interesting bullish reaction following a controlled descent within a descending channel. After a brief break below a long-term ascending trendline, price established support within a clear demand zone between 1.1130 and 1.1170, closing the daily candle back above the key area. This structure suggests a possible phase of accumulation, especially given the presence of a strong lower wick and the defense of the highlighted yellow zone. Still, the pair remains within the descending channel, and the squeeze between the trendline and resistance at 1.1280 could become a decision zone. A daily close above 1.1280 would support bullish continuation and open the way to 1.1450. 🧠 Institutional Positioning (COT): Large speculators continue to favor the long side on the euro, with a noticeable increase in net long exposure. This confirms the accumulation narrative visible on the chart. Meanwhile, the USD shows a consistent decline in bullish positioning, adding weight to the case for a softer dollar — supportive of a potential EUR breakout. 📊 Retail Sentiment: Retail traders are slightly skewed to the short side (52% short), which is not extreme but does act as a contrarian input favoring bullish continuation — especially if the price breaks above dynamic resistance. 📅 Seasonality (May): Historically, May tends to be a weak-to-neutral month for EUR/USD over the 10–20Y horizon. However, recent years (last 2Y) show a bullish deviation from that trend, supporting the idea that any dips could offer opportunity rather than signal trend reversals. 🧭 Summary 📈 Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish ❌ Invalidation: Daily close below 1.1130 🎯 Target Levels: • Key Resistance: 1.1280 • Extension Zone: 1.1450 🧠 Key Takeaway: EUR/USD is showing early signs of bullish reversal within a still-constrained technical structure. Demand rejection, institutional long bias, and retail short pressure all align for a potential continuation higher. However, a confirmed breakout above 1.1280 is crucial to validate the scenario.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG)💹📊 EURUSD – Buy to Mega Resistance 1.2455 (then SELL BIG) 🧨🔮 The EURUSD is marching toward history once again—right into the jaws of the 1.2455 Mega Resistance (descending level-approximate target). As always, the structure tells the story. 📈 What we’re seeing now is the third peak of a massive, decade-long descending formation. Every previous touch has ended in a violent rejection—2014, 2018... and now 2025? 👁 But here’s where it gets spicy: See that small “👁” near 2017 on the chart? That wasn’t just a market pivot—it was a geopolitical tremor that reshaped the EURUSD landscape. Want to dive into what really happened behind closed doors in 2017 that’s still quietly echoing through the price action today? Drop a comment below for the conspiracy version of this chart. 🕵️‍♂️📉 🔍 Strategy Overview: ✅ BUY setups targeting 1.2455 ❗ Then get ready to SELL BIG — the third touch historically marks the turn. 📉 Bear targets: 1.03860 and 1.04772 (classic collapse zones) The chart confirms the momentum is still alive—just like the 2020 setup that nailed the top at 1.232 ( ) History doesn’t repeat… but it sure does rhyme 🎭 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first!
Long
by FX_Professor
4
EUR/USD 2H CHART PATTERNThis EUR/USD 2-hour chart illustrates a bearish flag pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the prior downtrend. After a sharp drop, price consolidated within an upward-sloping channel, forming the flag. The pattern suggests weakening bullish momentum as the price reached a resistance zone and was rejected. A projected breakdown below the channel supports a bearish outlook, with expectations of a strong downward move. The black arrow on the chart confirms the anticipated decline. This setup aligns with classic bearish flag characteristics, where the consolidation phase is followed by a continuation of the previous bearish impulse. Entry: 1.3150 1st Target: 1.12300 2nd Target: 1.11270
Short
by Trend_logic
8
EURUSD 5-Wave Rally Confirms Bullish TrendThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD indicates that the correction from the April 21, 2025, high has concluded with wave (4) at 1.1059. From the wave (3) peak, the decline unfolded as follows: wave W ended at 1.1265, wave X at 1.1381, and wave Y, structured as a zigzag, completed at 1.1059. Within wave Y, wave ((a)) reached 1.1196 and wave ((b)) hit 1.1292. Wave ((c)) lower concluded at 1.106, finalizing wave Y of (4). The pair has since turned upward in wave (5). From the wave (4) low, the rally in wave ((i)) is developing as a five-wave diagonal pattern. Wave (i) peaked at 1.1265, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to 1.1128. Then wave (iii) advanced to 1.1288, and wave (iv) retraced to 1.1215. Wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) in a higher degree. Subsequently, a pullback in wave ((ii)) should correct the cycle from the May 13, 2025, low before the pair resumes its upward trend. As long as the 1.106 pivot low holds, any near-term pullback is likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by TrendDiva
90
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
6
May it continue to rise!During the European session, EUR/USD broke above 1.1250, extending its second consecutive daily gain amid U.S. dollar weakness following Moody’s rating downgrade. UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia noted that after days of range-bound trading, EUR rose to 1.1288 yesterday. However, the increase in momentum is insufficient to signal sustained progress. The euro must first decisively break above 1.1290 to have a chance of rising to 1.1330. Currently, the likelihood of a clear break above 1.1290 remains low, but as long as the pair holds above 1.1165, an upward move in the coming days is plausible. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
Long
by Ashbur
2
EURUSD Trade Idea – Two Scenarios to WatchPrice is currently hovering near key resistance around 1.12619. Two possible outcomes to anticipate: 🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish): If price holds above the 1.12400–1.12600 zone, we may see continuation to the upside toward the next key resistance at 1.13199. 🔻 Scenario 2 (Bearish): If price gets rejected from this resistance zone and breaks below 1.12189, downside continuation is likely with potential target around 1.11762. 🔍 Waiting for price confirmation before taking a position. Both paths are valid — plan accordingly.
by dannyrahadian
2
EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025 🔹 Current Price: 1.12570 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 📌 Key Demand Zone: 🟢 1.11200–1.11650 – Major bullish rejection zone; structure formed after strong accumulation and upside expansion. 📈 Bullish Outlook – Eyes on 1.14259: 🔸 If price cleanly breaks and retests 1.12926, we could see a sharp continuation toward 1.14259 🔸 Market showing higher highs and strong impulse legs from demand 📉 Invalidation Risk: 🔸 A break back below 1.12200 may invalidate bullish bias and revisit deeper demand 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ 1H bullish structure remains intact ✅ Watch for 15M BOS above 1.12900 for low-risk entry ✅ Ideal for swing or intraday buys with proper RR #EURUSD #ForexUpdate #FXFOREVER #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #DemandZone #BreakoutSetup #PriceActionForex #EuroDollar
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
2
EURUSD - The Bears Are Getting Started!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been bullish trading within the rising blue channel. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of both red and blue channels. 🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and orange resistance zone. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
5
EUROUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis chart The EUR/USD pair has demonstrated a convincing upward momentum, which might suggest a sustained long opportunity. However, traders should exercise caution—this bullish move could be a classic trap. Despite the current strength, signs of exhaustion are beginning to appear in the price action and volume. The market may soon shift direction, and a downward correction or full reversal could be imminent. Now is not the time to chase the high—stay alert, as the fall could happen sooner than expected.
by SadarExplore
2
EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken. According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
Lingrid | EURUSD possible REVERSAL Zone After CorrectionFX:EURUSD respected the support at the higher low and rebounded, holding the upward trendline. Price is currently compressing near the 1.114 zone after a sharp pullback from the resistance. If buyers maintain strength above the trendline, a continuation toward 1.1350 is likely in the coming sessions. 📌 Key Levels Support: 1.11429 Intermediate resistance: 1.12384 Target: 1.13500 ⚠️ Risks Failure to hold above the trendline may retest 1.114 Breakdown could expose the pair to 1.07389 Prolonged consolidation might weaken bullish momentum Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
4
EUR/USD) breakout trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis 1-hour EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) chart using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and technical confluence. Here's the idea behind the analysis: --- 1. Bearish Rejection Setup Strong resistance zone around 1.12176–1.12500 has been tested multiple times and held. Bearish rejection is shown with a black circle indicating a breakdown from previous support turned resistance (support flip). Price failed to stay above the key structure, indicating bearish intent. --- 2. Break of Structure The support level near 1.11600 has been broken, marked by the black circle. This is a clear change in structure, implying a likely shift from bullish to bearish. --- 3. Price Action Forecast The chart expects a minor pullback (retest) into the broken support zone (now resistance). Followed by a continuation move to the downside, targeting the support level at 1.10668. Projection shows a ~100 pip drop from current levels. --- 4. EMA & RSI EMA 200 is trending downward and acting as dynamic resistance. RSI (14) is under 50 and sloping down, suggesting bearish momentum is building. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion This is a bearish continuation setup based on structure break, failed bullish momentum, and confirmation via indicators. The analyst expects EUR/USD to reject the 1.116 area again and drop toward the 1.10668 target. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
How to Draw Trendline in Changing MarketHey Traders so here I wanted to illustrate how you catch the change from Uptrend to Downtrend on the charts. You never know for sure if the trend has completely changed but basically look for 3 bars that you draw a straight line and connect them together. You don't need indicators you just need to be able to draw a straight line. Buy or Sell when market touches trendline. Technical Analysis is a little bit like Art but alot of time it can work really well if you draw correctly! So in uptrend you would be buyer at the trendline. In downtrend you would be seller at the trendline. Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis) Hope This Helps Your Trading Clifford
Education
by TradetheFuturesCharts
1
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds. 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming: Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure. Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process. Triangle Contraction Zone: Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern. Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails. Key Bearish Targets: TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support. TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low. Trade Setup (as per chart): Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300. Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high). Targets: TP1: 1.1090 TP2: 1.0890 🌐 Macro Context USD Side: Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed. Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off. Euro Side: Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Short
by ultreosforex
49