USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1357 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1324
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys!
I think eurusd is bearish! why?
A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out.
QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal.
Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support.
Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup.
Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation.
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🎯 Bearish Target Zone:
First TP: 1.12640
Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
USD strength still underrated? Credit Agricole thinks soEUR/USD is struggling to hold above 1.1250 after a modest bounce from recent lows near 1.1220. On the 4-hour chart, price remains capped below the 9-period SMA, with RSI hovering near neutral at 40 and volume showing persistent selling pressure. The technical setup points to a fragile recovery that has yet to gain conviction.
This comes as Credit Agricole maintains an above-consensus bullish view on the US dollar, projecting a recovery through H2 2025 and into 2026. While structural risks—such as ongoing US-China trade tensions—continue to draw market attention, the bank sees these concerns as overstated.
President Trump’s latest comments could reinforce that view, suggesting an 80% tariff on Chinese goods could be a viable alternative to the 145% already in place. The upcoming trade talks in Switzerland will be key to near-term direction, but for now, the bias for USD strength appears intact—keeping downside pressure on EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 9, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited signs of weakness following a rebound at the Mean Resistance level of 1.137. With decisive, vigorous bearish price activity, the currency pair decisively breached the critical Mean Support level of 1.128. Current market indicators suggest that the Euro will likely close on a Mean Support level of 1.119, moving further towards an Outer Currency Dip at 1.111. However, it is essential to acknowledge that upward dead-cat rebounds may re-emerge at the present price range level.
EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones)
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Key Concepts on Chart
CHOCH (Change of Character)
Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal.
✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box)
H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand.
✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow)
1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500
2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply)
✅ Elliott Wave Context
Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias.
Entry Idea:
> Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260)
Target 1:
> 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone
Target 2:
> 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone
Invalidation (Stop Loss):
> Below major demand (
I had some bad luck todayI had some bad luck today. This setup was originally meant for me, but things didn’t go as planned. A crypto exchange claimed it supports USD-based trading, and since working with brokers like Lazzam is a bit confusing and complicated for me, I got excited and deposited my $11 there.
But then I realized the minimum position size was $1,250 USDT — way too much. I totally fell for it. So yeah, I couldn't take the trade, but now this setup is for you. Hope you enjoy it!
Good night — although it might not be night where you are. But I'm in Iran, and well, I guess that's my second bad luck of the day. Wish I were in the U.S. instead!
EURUSD: Important Bearish Reversal Confirmed?!The EURUSD chart shows a large head and shoulders pattern on a daily basis, indicating a strong bearish reversal signal with the breakout of the neckline.
The broken neckline now acts as a key resistance level, suggesting a potential further decline towards the 1.1150 level.
The Day Ahead Friday May 9
Data: China April trade balance, Q1 BoP current account balance, Japan March labor cash earnings, household spending, leading index, coincident index, Italy March industrial production, Canada April jobs report, Norway April CPI
Central banks: Fed's Williams, Waller, Kugler, Goolsbee and Barr speak, ECB's Simkus and Rehn speak, BoE's Bailey and Pill speak
Earnings: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Recruit Holdings, Commerzbank, Cellnex
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1278
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1344
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1236
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Hit Target, what´s next? The EUR/USD just hit my take profit target at 1.12, exactly as planned. I'm now patiently waiting for the next bullish rejection to re-enter a short position. The setup remains aligned with my overall bias, and I’ll be watching closely for confirmation before pulling the trigger again. @moneyflowing
DeGRAM | EURUSD is holding the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis
● CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is pressing the purple resistance line (~1.1335); a close above it should carry the pair to the mid‑channel support level at 1.1450, then to the upper resistance level near 1.1560.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US initial claims rose to 241 k and continuing claims to 1.916 m, pushing yields lower and softening the USD.
● ECB officials signal caution on additional rate cuts after June, helping anchor euro yields and sentiment.
✨ Summary
Accumulation‑zone strength, weakening USD data, and a cautious ECB support a short‑term long view: objectives 1.1450 → 1.1560; the daily candlestick closes under the channel.
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Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues
Hey traders! 👋
After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery?
🔎 What’s going on?
Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments:
He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US.
There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September.
Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe.
These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.1278 – First level to break for bulls
1.1301 – Near-term resistance
1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds
Support:
1.1240 – Holding well so far
1.1198 – Key BUY zone
1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls
🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th)
✅ BUY IDEA:
Buy Zone: 1.1198
SL: 1.1138
TP Targets:
→ 1.1235
→ 1.1285
→ 1.1325
❌ SELL IDEA:
Sell Zone: 1.1301
SL: 1.1360
TP Targets:
→ 1.1265
→ 1.1225
→ 1.1185
📌 Final Thoughts
The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range.
Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals.
👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you.
Good luck! 🚀
Skeptic |EUR/USD : Bearish Breakout Unlocks Deep Corrections!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s start this Friday morning with a fresh EUR/USD analysis—some juicy setups are waiting! 😊 Our previous long position after the 1.13485 resistance break turned out to be a fake breakout, hitting our stop loss. But the short trigger I mentioned below 1.12676 activated, hitting a 2:1 R/R with a safe stop loss. Now, we’ve seen a pullback to that broken level, and if the trend continues, we can find more solid triggers. Stick with me to break it all down! Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The upward channel on the daily chart has finally broken , and when we talk about a channel break, we don’t mean a weak one—this was confirmed by two strong bearish candles. We might see a pullback to the channel, but if not, a break below the 1.12006 support could send us into a deeper correction toward 1.08454 . To confirm a full trend reversal, we’d need to see lower highs and lower lows on the daily.
So, with this in mind, it’s smarter to take positions in lower timeframes (like 4H or below) in the direction of the current bearish momentum to boost your win rate and R/R. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for the actionable setups.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After a prolonged box range and a fake breakout above the box’s ceiling, the price has now broken lower and is pulling back. For our short setup, we already have a position open from above at 1.12676 . But after a break of 1.12012 (which aligns with daily support), we can add to our position—with proper capital and risk management, of course.
Another confirmation for the short? The RSI entering oversold territory can be a solid signal. Why oversold? We need tools to gauge momentum, like SMA, RSI, or volume (though volume only works well in crypto since forex volume isn’t transparent due to bank transactions, etc. In crypto, every transaction is recorded, so volume is reliable). RSI is one of my go-to tools for spotting momentum shifts, and it’s been a profit machine for me. But remember: oscillators and indicators aren’t entry signals —they’re confirmations for the setups we’re trading. Want to learn more? I could drop a few YouTube videos on RSI alone—it’s worth the deep dive! 📚
For a long setup , we’d need a return to the box range and a break above resistance at 1.13740 to open a long. I’m not giving any long triggers before that because, as we said, the daily momentum has shifted to a downtrend, and we don’t want to trade against the higher timeframe flow.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
EURUSD – 1H Update on Our Previous EURUSD Post +60 PipsAs expected from our last idea, price reacted well to our 1H Order Block zones.
🔹 Upon receiving bullish confirmation on the 3-minute timeframe, we entered a long position, which has now moved 60 pips in our favor.
📍 Current Setup:
Price is now at a decision point – around yesterday’s high (PDH) and the 1H supply (OB).
✅ If price breaks above PDH (dashed yellow line), it could lead to a clean break of the 1H resistance and continuation to the upside.
🚫 However, if bullish momentum weakens, there’s a real chance price may pull back to collect buy-side liquidity in the blue and green demand boxes below.
⚠️ It’s Friday – trade with caution!
Late-week volatility and false spikes are common before weekly close.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
EUR/USD M15 Break & Retest Setup Price has broken above the key resistance zone around 1.13200–1.13250 and is currently forming a potential pullback. I'm watching for a retest of this zone to act as new support.
If we get a bullish rejection or strong engulfing candle at this level, I'll consider a long entry targeting the next liquidity zone above 1.13500+. Setup aligns with EMA20/50 bullish crossover and momentum shift.
Plan:
✅ Wait for price to revisit and hold above 1.13200–1.13250
✅ Look for bullish confirmation
🎯 Target: 1.13550+
🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below 1.13150
Let’s see if the retest holds!"**
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Two-year rising channel is intact; price just rebounded from the lower rail (RB) and punched back above the 2020-2024 red resistance trend-line, repeating the 2022 “break-retest-fixation” pattern.
● An 18-month accumulation rectangle (1.06-1.13) has resolved higher, printing a bullish weekly engulfing; the measured move points to the channel mid-band / horizontal cluster at 1.1600, then the upper rail near 1.1950.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Eurozone core CPI is stuck at 2.7 % y/y while US ISM and housing prints cooled, dragging real U.S. yields lower and narrowing the policy-rate gap priced for 2025.
✨ Summary
Long above 1.1214; breakout projects 1.16 ➜ 1.195. Risk flips only on a weekly close back below 1.108.
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