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EUR/USD Coils Below Resistance at 1.0940The euro is attempting to build bullish momentum against the U.S. dollar, but the pair remains capped by key resistance at 1.0940. Today’s bounce to 1.0852 (+0.55%) keeps the pair above both the 200-day (1.0732) and 50-day (1.0603) SMAs, suggesting the broader structure has turned constructive. 🔹 MACD is flat, showing waning upside momentum. 🔹 RSI is trending upward, now at 60.13, approaching overbought territory. 🔹 Price is consolidating in a shallow bullish flag pattern above the 200-day average. A break above 1.0940 would confirm bullish continuation, potentially targeting 1.1050–1.1100. On the flip side, failure to clear resistance could prompt a pullback toward 1.0750 or the 50-day SMA. This consolidation is getting tighter – a breakout looks imminent. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support). Appearance on the Chart: The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle. The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout. The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080). This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210). This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110. This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss. The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend. The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments. Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
2 April Liberation Day: USA-Europe War Impact on ForexHi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that is shaking global markets: the tariff war between the United States and Europe. Sunday, April 2, we started in force and new American news, celebrating "Liberation Day" by President Donald Trump. These data, which include 25% tariffs on your steel, aluminum and automobiles, look to rebalance the trade deficit of the United States. However, Europe is not ready to be saved. Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, has said that Europe has not started this matter, but is ready to defend its interests with a strong plan for control2. The tension between the economic power has caused a significant impact on the market. The European stock exchange has not recorded consistent losses, with Milan having lost 16.4 million euros. Europe has responded with tariffs to its strategic American products, such as whiskey, motorcycles and legumes, and is evaluating further measures to protect its own industry4. Forex Impact This commercial war will bring about repercussions directly on the Forex market. Here's what to expect: Removal of the American Dollar (USD): Protectionist tariffs tend to reforce the dollar, as they reduce the command of foreign currencies for imports. In addition, the increase in the price could lead the Federal Reserve to modify its own monetary policy, increasing interest rates. Volatility of European Currencies: The euro (EUR) may rise in pressures due to economic uncertainties and European constraints. Also the value of the Swedish crown (SEK) may be negatively influenced. Opportunity for the Trader: The volatility generated by these tensions offers opportunities for the Forex trader. Significant movements and exchange rates can be completed with trading strategies soon, but fundamentally adopt rigorous risk management. Conclusion The tariff war between the United States and Europe represents a significant loss for the global economy and the Forex market. Tomorrow will be a crucial day, and the trader will not carefully monitor the resources to adapt their own strategy. Always advise me to do my own analysis and operate with prudence. Happy trading everyone!
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Long-Term Outlook: Potential for EUR/USD to Rise to 1.14917Opinion: Based on current analysis, I foresee the EUR/USD pair potentially rising to 1.14917 in the long term. This move could take several months to materialize, potentially extending into the first quarter of 2026. Please note: This is not a trading signal but rather an opinion on possible market direction. I encourage you to share your thoughts and opinions to foster constructive discussion for the benefit of all traders. Thank you for your time and engagement.
Long
by elmaghrebi01
EUR/USD Breaks Out of Ascending Triangle – SHORT SETUPEUR/USD has broken below the ascending triangle pattern, signaling potential downside movement. The price is currently testing support at 1.0782, with the next key level around 1.0732. A retest of the broken trendline may confirm further bearish momentum. Traders watching for a short setup with a stop above 1.0812 and a target around 1.0732. 💡 Risk Management: Always follow a risk management strategy and never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for personal record-keeping and educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Short
by seventeacup
EUR/USD possible short setupCurrent news:  – European data: The EUR inflation flash reading and related core inflation numbers (high‐ and medium‐impact) are on the radar. Although the forecast for the headline rate was 2.1% (down from 2.3%), the eventual outcome remains unknown, leaving the market sensitive.  – U.S. indicators: Medium–to–high impact US manufacturing data (ISM PMI and job openings) scheduled later today may add volatility and influence risk sentiment. • Trend Probability:  – Short Trade: With the price currently trading below the previously indicated support, a bearish continuation is more likely. Based on technical break and pending high-impact news, a short trade outcome is estimated at roughly a 65–70% probability.  – Long Trade: A countertrend bounce toward support is less likely given the breakdown. The probability for a successful long trade stands roughly at 30–35%. • Technical Analysis:  – Support/Resistance: The key support area (historically around the 1.0800 level) has now been breached. This breakout suggests potential further declines, with lower support possibly near 1.0770–1.0760.  – Price Action & Indicators: Recent M15 candles have confirmed a downward slide beyond a previous rally zone, and while some oscillators show mixed readings, the overall picture reinforces bearish momentum.  – Moving averages: The 50– and 200–period SMAs remain closely monitored. The break below support suggests that price is not only declining but may struggle to regain grip above these averages. • Trade Setups & Levels:     • Entry: Consider entering around the current price (roughly 1.0784–1.0786)   • Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss just above the previous support zone, around 1.0805 to limit risk in case of a reversal.   • Take Profit (TP): Aim for lower support targets near 1.0760 or even 1.0755, adjusting based on emerging price action. Disclaimer: this is just an idea and not recommendation or any kind of advice.
Short
by VS-NTC
The Day Ahead Key Events for Tuesday, April 1, 2025 Economic Data Releases: US: ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending, JOLTS Job Openings, Vehicle Sales China: Caixin Manufacturing PMI Japan: Tankan Survey, Jobless Rate, Job-to-Applicant Ratio Italy: Manufacturing PMI, Car Sales, Unemployment Rate, Budget Balance Eurozone: CPI (Inflation), Unemployment Rate Canada: Manufacturing PMI Central Banks: Fed: Barkin speaks ECB: Lagarde & Lane speak BoE: Greene speaks RBA: Holds rates at 4.1% Other: US House Special Elections in Florida (Could impact markets) This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD: Eurozone CPI expectations and PMIs in Europe and the US.By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD trades cautiously on Tuesday, in a context marked by the release of key data that could define its direction in the coming days. The pair is trading slightly lower by 0.09%, reflecting investors' uncertainty ahead of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) and manufacturing PMIs in Europe and the United States. Eurozone CPI under the spotlight The market expects March CPI in the Eurozone to have risen by 2.2% y/y, one tenth less than in February, while core inflation could come in at 2.5%, also one tenth below the previous figure. A lower-than-expected figure could reinforce expectations of a more moderate stance by the European Central Bank (ECB), which would put further pressure on the euro against the dollar. PMI and economic outlook Manufacturing PMIs will also be released today in Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK, the Eurozone and the US. These data will offer insight into the health of the manufacturing sector and could influence perceptions of economic strength in both regions. If the data in Europe shows weakness and the US data beats expectations, the dollar could strengthen further, extending the downward pressure on the EURUSD. Technical Analysis The EURUSD is currently climbing in price since April 26th, supporting its climb at higher supports at each time 1.07364, 1.07649, 1.07913 its current POC, and today it has broken out generating support near 1.08 dollars per euro. If this price holds as support, we will see an increase in the value of the euro against the dollar. The 1-day chart shows an upward expansion of the averages, but if we go to 4 hours this expansion is much more timid. And in 1 hour this expansion is non-existent and the three averages are about to make a possible confluence of averages. In the Asian day there has been some correction with volume which could mark, together with the RSI currently at 43.10%, a recovery of the price. It is likely that in the news hours these prices will soar throughout the day, especially at the beginning of the American session that will put on the table the US data, which after the consequences of the tariff pressure are generating undesirable effects towards the United States, with its consequent weakening. If the U.S. data shows strength, the next area of movement for the dollar would be its second support indicated at 1.07649. In this environment, investors will continue to watch bond market signals and central bankers' speeches for clues on future monetary policy decisions that could impact the EURUSD price. EURUSD remains in a key zone, with support at 1.08, awaiting inflation and PMI data. If European data disappoints and the US shows strength, the dollar could gain ground. The US session will set the direction of the pair. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Long
by ActivTrades
EUR/USD BuyHello dear traders I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me. These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible. And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them. Be sure to follow the capital management. Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions. Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades. (Good luck)
Long
by khakzadi