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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD : Up and DownLife’s a ride of highs and lows, A dance of joy, a tide that flows. Up we climb with laughter bright, Down we sink in quiet night. Mountaintop or valley deep, Moments swift or slow to creep. Sunlit days will surely shine, Storms will pass—just give them time. Up again, we spread our wings, Chasing dreams on hopeful strings. Down once more? That’s alright too— Every fall makes strength feel new. So take the highs, embrace the low, Life’s a rhythm, ebb and flow. Up and down, we twist, we bend, But the journey? Worth it, friend. Good luck.
by i_am_siew
#AN012: Early July News and Forex Impact 1. US Debt and Dollar Depreciation The US Senate is debating an ambitious $3.3 trillion fiscal package, fuelling concerns about rising debt. The dollar has lost ground against the euro, hitting its lowest level in nearly four years. Forex Impact: Dollar weakness favors crosses such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Possible rate speculation, with prospects of Fed cuts. 2. NATO Summit and Increased Defense Spending At the NATO summit in The Hague, the commitment is to increase to 5% of GDP by 2035. This strengthens European government bonds and the dollar, in view of a safe-haven and new flows into the USD. Forex Impact: Support for the USD, increased volatility on crosses linked to the euro and sterling, potential trade on EUR/USD and GBP/USD. 3. Taiwan dollar appreciation The Taiwan dollar jumped 2.5% as local insurers hedge against dollar decline. Forex Impact: Dollar depreciation slows; Asian crosses such as USD/SGD and USD/KRW under pressure. 4. Global dollar weakness Euro bounces above 1.17 and USD/CHF below 0.80 on weak macro data and Fed cut speculation. Forex Impact: Open to long EUR/USD, short USD/CHF strategies, with potential carry trades. 5. Israel-Iran Ceasefire & Geopolitical Risk Israel-Iran fighting ends, but tensions remain. Markets are monitoring the fallout on oil and safe assets. Forex Impact: Possible increase in geopolitical volatility, with USD, JPY, CHF as a hedge; volatility on oil influences crosses that contain commodities (AUD/USD, CAD/USD). Hi, I'm Andrea Russo, a forex trader, and today I want to talk to you about the impact of the latest global news on currency markets. 🏛️ US debt and fiscal tensions The 3.3 trillion fiscal package under discussion in the United States has weakened the dollar. This weakness fuels opportunities on EUR/USD and GBP/USD, with potential upside on long positions, but beware of future Fed interventions. ⚔️ NATO towards 5% of GDP for defense The NATO Summit in The Hague marked a paradigm shift: more defense spending means bond issuance and USD flows as a safe-haven. This supports the greenback, making European crosses volatile. 💱 Forex Asia: the case of the Taiwanese dollar Yesterday's rise in the Taiwan dollar is a clear sign of protection against USD weakness. Unicorn to watch for those betting on emerging crosses in Asia. 💶 EUR/CHI and euro crosses recovering EUR/USD rises above 1.17 and USD/CHF falls below 0.80: perfect timing for strategic longs. The market is discounting falling Fed rates, amplifying the momentum on the euro. 🛡️ Geopolitics: fragile truce and geopolitical risk The truce between Israel and Iran currently limits the impact but does not eliminate the risk: safe haven assets such as USD, JPY and CHF remain under pressure for future eventualities. 🎯 Conclusion and trading opportunities Long EUR/USD on euro momentum and USD reflux Monitoring GBP/USD for macro sentiment Watch out for USD/CAD, AUD/USD for oil shocks This article was created with the support of our Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE. Keep following me for more updates.
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
TiqGpt setup for todayMARKET NARRATIVE: The EUR/USD currency pair across multiple timeframes shows a consistent bullish momentum, indicating strong buying pressure. Starting from the 1D chart down to the 1m chart, there is a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting institutional accumulation and a lack of significant sell-side pressure. The 1D and 4H charts display a series of green candles with minimal wicks, indicating that the market is in a strong bullish phase with little retracement. The 1H and lower timeframes show some consolidation, but the overall structure remains bullish, suggesting that institutions are still in control of the price action. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, consistently pushing the price higher. The lack of deep pullbacks and the formation of higher lows across timeframes suggest that there is ongoing demand at higher price levels. This is indicative of a liquidity grab above the current highs, where institutions may be targeting stop losses placed by retail traders who are positioned for a reversal. LEARNING POINT: The consistent bullish candles with minimal retracement across higher timeframes (1D, 4H) highlight a strong institutional buying phase, potentially leading to a liquidity sweep above recent highs. SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: EUR/USD ENTRY PRICE: $1.18140 STOP LOSS: $1.17950 (below the recent minor consolidation on the 1H chart) TARGET PRICE: $1.18500 (just below the next psychological round number and potential liquidity pool) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $1.18140 after a minor retracement confirms continued buying interest. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: Institutional Accumulation, Liquidity Sweep Targeting URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on the consistency of the bullish structure and lack of significant bearish counter-signals) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum) Risk = $1.18140 - $1.17950 = $0.00190 Reward = $1.18500 - $1.18140 = $0.00360 Ratio = $0.00360 / $0.00190 = 1:1.89 Given that the risk/reward ratio is slightly below the required 2:1, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better entry point that could provide a higher reward relative to the risk or adjust the target price if market conditions change to improve the potential reward.
Long
by Mistermoriarty
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 1, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 01.07 16:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks 01.07 16:30 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks 01.07 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI EUR/USD is trading in negative territory near 1.1790 in the early European session on Tuesday. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) amid growing budget concerns and uncertainty surrounding trade deals. Four people familiar with the negotiations said US President Donald Trump's administration is seeking to phase in deals with the most involved countries as they rush to reach an agreement by the July 9 deadline. Uncertainty over trade agreements continued to weigh on sentiment and sell the US dollar. Investors are concerned about the US Senate's attempts to pass Trump's tax and spending cuts bill, which faces intra-party disagreement over a projected $3.3 trillion increase in the national debt. Fiscal concerns have dampened optimism and contributed to the decline in the US dollar. This, in turn, serves as a tailwind for the major pair. German inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), eased to 2.0% y/y in June from 2.1% in the previous reading. The figure was below expectations of 2.2%. On a month-on-month basis, HICP rose 0.1% in June vs. 0.2% previously, below the market consensus forecast of 0.3%. Softer-than-expected German inflation data may limit near-term growth. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1795, SL 1.1725, TP 1.1880
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND EURUSD TRADING IN BULLISH TREND. Price is currently forming higher high and higher low formation. Market was trading in secondary trend from lest few sessions. Recently market shows interest of buyers by bullish engulfing candle. Market may end this secondary trend and can start moving in primary trend. Market is expected to remain bullish in upcoming trading sessions. On lower side, 1.12200 is key support level. On higher side market may hit the target levels of 1.15600.
Long
by TraderAishDXB
2
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1788, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.1753, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.18080 a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Wave 5 is here... but are buyers about to get trapped1D Timeframe (Main Chart) ✅ Elliott Wave Count: Wave 1–2–3–4–5 structure is clearly marked. Wave 5 seems to be completing near the upper trendline, aligning with potential C wave of a larger correction. 🔺 Key Zones: Buyer zone highlighted under Wave 4 – indicating strong demand before Wave 5 push. Resistance from the descending trendline just above Wave 5 – potential reversal/sell area. Price region near 1.1757–1.1835 marked as a potential exhaustion zone. --- 🕒 4H Timeframe (Inset Chart) 📈 Current Price: Trading around 1.1755, approaching the resistance cluster (1.1757–1.1835). 🔻 Potential Scenarios: 1. Immediate Sell-Off: If Wave 5 has completed, expect a retracement back to previous demand zones (around 1.1683, 1.1446, or even 1.1362). 2. Final Push Up: If minor Wave 5 isn't finished yet, price could test the 1.1833–1.1853 area before reversing.
Long
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD Analysis – June 29, 2025The US dollar hasn't seen such a significant decline against the euro in the past three years. Just moments ago, EUR/USD broke above the 1.17 level, pushing into a new high. 📈 Looking at the chart, there’s a clear bullish momentum, especially impressive for a typically cautious pair like EUR/USD. To be honest, I wasn’t expecting this much upside in the current time window — but the ongoing strength doesn’t look like it’s going to fade easily either. ⚠️ If you're considering a counter-trend trade, a potential short could be taken around the 1.165 area, provided there’s a solid closing signal, targeting the 1.150 demand zone. 📌 Still, both mid-term and long-term structure remain bullish, and a better buy setup may come around the 1.148 level.
Short
by SineHeidari
EUR/USD BUY IDEA - SMT WITH GBPHere's my analysis , let me share my A+ set up with you : 1 - WAIT ON ASIA LOW SWEEP WITH EUR / USD 2 - WE WILL POTENTIALLY HAVE A SMT WITH GBP USD IF WE SWEEP ASIA LOW 3 - WAIT ON BOS + FVG IN 5 MIN TIME FRAME 4 - TARGET PREVIOUS WEEK HIGH AS DRAW ON LIQUIDITY This is what I see happening . After full take profit, we will have our new Weekly Protected High I believe and from there we can start targeting Sellside Liquidity . I hope you enjoyed the analysis , I will post updates during the day . Talk to you guys soon ! =D
Long
by cyw_chartyourway
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.17460 👀 Possible scenario: On June 30, the euro (EUR) rose 0.15% to 1.17500, briefly reaching 1.17540—its highest level since September 2021—marking a 1.57% weekly gain, the strongest since May 19. The rally was driven by broad U.S. dollar weakness as markets adjusted to signs of slowing U.S. growth and subdued inflation, fueling expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, resilient European data supported the euro. On June 30, investors will closely monitor speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials for policy signals, with particular focus on President Christine Lagarde’s address at 5:00 p.m. UTC, which may provide key insights into the ECB’s monetary stance. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.15900 Resistance level is located at 1.17460
by MaxOnMarkets
Buy setup TiqGpt1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a strong bullish momentum with a series of green candles indicating a clear uptrend. This suggests institutional buying pressure and a lack of significant sell-side resistance. 4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart presents a more consolidated view with price action oscillating around the 1.17200 level. This could indicate a phase of distribution or accumulation as institutions prepare for the next significant move. 1H Timeframe: The hourly chart shows a similar consolidation pattern with slight bullish bias as evidenced by the recent green candles. This could be a preparation phase before a potential liquidity sweep. 15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart shows more volatility with price testing both higher and lower bounds around the central consolidation zone. This indicates active trading and potential setup for stop hunts. 5M Timeframe: On the 5-minute chart, there is a visible decline, suggesting a potential liquidity grab as price dips below the consolidation zone, possibly trapping late retail sellers. 1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows a sharp drop followed by a quick recovery, indicative of a stop hunt or liquidity sweep, confirming the potential trap seen on the 5-minute chart. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a liquidity sweep, particularly visible on the lower timeframes. The recent sharp movements on the 1-minute and 5-minute charts suggest a trapping of retail positions, setting the stage for a potential bullish continuation. LEARNING POINT: "1M and 5M liquidity sweep and trapping of retail sellers before potential bullish continuation."
Long
by Mistermoriarty