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Eurozone Growth Slows, ECB Leans DovishThe euro hovered near $1.08, its weakest since March 6, as investors digested PMI data and ECB comments. Eurozone private sector activity grew at its fastest pace since August but missed expectations, with manufacturing rebounding and services slowing. ECB’s Cipollone and Stournaras signaled growing support for a rate cut, possibly in April, citing faster disinflation. Lagarde warned of weaker growth but downplayed inflation risks from EU-U.S. trade tensions, suggesting no rate hikes. De Galhau also noted room for further easing. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600. 
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 26, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate has been declining for the fifth consecutive trading day, as the price continues to test below 1.08000. The Euro is finding it difficult to regain its strength, as the absence of significant economic data from the EU leaves traders vulnerable to geopolitical headlines and market fluctuations resulting from US data releases. On Tuesday, the US Conference Board (CB) reported a rise in one-year consumer inflation expectations, which rose to 6.2% in March from 5.8% in February. Consumers are understandably concerned about the ongoing high prices of necessities, particularly eggs, and the potential inflationary impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The Central Bank's survey of consumer confidence also revealed a decline in future economic expectations, reaching a 12-year low of 65.2 in March, well below the 80.0 mark that typically signals a potential recession. These concerns have been further compounded by a warning from Moody's, a leading ratings agency, which has expressed concerns over the U.S. fiscal sustainability, particularly in light of mounting debt service challenges. Moody's has also forecast that the country's fiscal sustainability is likely to face a prolonged decline, a statement that could displease Donald Trump and his administration, who are currently in favour of a significant debt ceiling increase by Congress. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.07700, SL 1.08400, TP 1.06750
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
The trend of the EURUSD fluctuates and declines downwardOn Monday, as expected, the EUR/USD pair generally trended downwards. The price dropped to a low of 1.0781 and climbed to a high of 1.0857 on that day, closing at 1.0800. Looking back at Monday's market performance, the price made a short - term upward correction right after the morning opening. Then, as anticipated, it reached the resistance levels on the four - hour chart and within the daily resistance range before halting its ascent. The price came under renewed pressure and declined during the pre - US session and the US trading session, ultimately closing with a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart. Currently, on the daily chart, special attention should be paid to the resistance area around 1.0860. As long as the price stays below this level, a downward - pressured trend can be expected for the swing trading. Meanwhile, from the perspective of the four - hour chart in the short term, the area around 1.0770 needs to be closely watched. Once it is broken below, the focus should shift to the area around 1.0720. Trading strategy: Sell@1.0820-1.0830 TP:1.0770-1.0720 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Short
by LeoBlackwood
EURUSD March 25 Asia to LondonEURUSD March 25 Asia to London Price had been consolidating in a discount from NY PM session until 23:00. Price takes minor buy side and starts to seek lower price. Price hits my sell side liquidity and at 4 macro market shifts as it should and seek the 50 level coming into NY open. Model set formed after sell side liquidity was taken at the 4 macro. Great delivery! What you learned to build from *block outside noise *Reenforce that when liquidity is taken the hunt can begin -mark out minor/major liquidity *after liquidity is taken then look for market shift in candle formation ((I like how you did that today)) *if you miss the run don't worry wait for the next liquidity to be taken *managing must be done from the 1 to 4 hour chart-stay clear of smaller timeframe until liquidity is taken *keep utilizing your alerts on liquidity markers *Be more active in Asia coming into London with analyzing a narrative from the higher timeframes * refrain from speculation trap instead TAPE READ-example allowing myself to draft my narrative around price making a low or high today Success is built on failures-the more times you fail means your getting closer to not making the same mistakes. Good job for trying. Keep going
by LeanLena
EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. This indicates that although the price has been trending downward, the selling pressure is weakening, and a breakout to the upside is becoming more likely. Currently, the price has broken above the wedge, signaling potential trend reversal. However, traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm whether the price holds above the resistance-turned-support area before further upward movement. Key Components of the Chart 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, showing a narrowing price range. This pattern is formed when: The price makes lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The slope of the lower trendline is less steep than the upper one, meaning sellers are losing momentum. Eventually, the price breaks out above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Support Zone (Key Demand Area) The price recently tested a strong support level (highlighted in beige), where buyers aggressively entered the market. This level has held multiple times, indicating that buyers are stepping in whenever the price reaches this zone. The green upward arrow suggests that this is a key accumulation area, where demand is stronger than supply. 🚫 Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The resistance zone near 1.09450 is the first major target for bulls. Historically, price action has struggled to break through this level, making it a logical place to take profits. 3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Retest The price has successfully broken out above the falling wedge, which is a strong buy signal. However, a retest of the breakout level (marked by the yellow circle) might occur before further bullish continuation. If the price retests and holds above the previous resistance (now support), this will confirm the breakout and provide an additional buying opportunity. Trade Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Point: Enter a long trade after the breakout confirmation. For conservative traders, waiting for a successful retest before entering can reduce risk. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low at 1.07541 to limit downside risk. This ensures that if the breakout fails, the trade is exited with minimal loss. 📌 Profit Target: The first take-profit target is at 1.09450, the key resistance level. If bullish momentum continues, traders can look for higher targets based on price action. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, meaning that potential profits outweigh the risk taken on the trade. Technical Indicators Supporting the Trade 📈 Trend Reversal Signals The market has been in a downtrend, but the falling wedge signals a potential reversal. A higher low after the breakout would further confirm the uptrend. 📊 Volume Confirmation Ideally, a breakout should be accompanied by increased volume, showing strong buying pressure. If volume is low, a false breakout could occur, requiring careful trade management. 🔍 Retest & Price Action A retest of the breakout level should hold above the wedge to confirm bullish momentum. If the price fails to hold and falls back below, the breakout may have been a fakeout, meaning traders should exit or wait for re-entry. Risk Management & Trade Considerations Always use a stop-loss to manage risk. If the price fails to stay above the breakout level, consider exiting early. Watch for external market factors such as news events or economic data releases, which can impact EUR/USD volatility. Conclusion: Bullish Momentum is Building 🚀 This falling wedge breakout on the EUR/USD chart provides a high-probability long trade setup. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation toward 1.09450 is expected. Traders should monitor price action carefully and adjust their positions accordingly to maximize gains while managing risks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades