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USDEUR trade ideas

Euro Firms as U.S.-China-EU Trade Rift WidensThe euro hovered near $1.10, its highest since October 2024, as the dollar weakened and trade tensions escalated. China plans to impose 34% tariffs on all U.S. goods from April 10, following Trump’s 10% tariff on all imports, including 20% on EU and 34% on Chinese goods. France urged firms to halt U.S. investments, and the EU is preparing countermeasures. Markets now price in a 90% chance of an ECB rate cut in April, with the deposit rate seen falling to 1.65% by December from 2.5%. Key resistance is at 1.1100, followed by 1.1150 and 1.1215. Support lies at 1.0900, then 1.0850 and 1.0730.
by ChartMage
The Day AheadKey Data Releases US: March NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – gauge of small business sentiment, could hint at future economic activity and inflation pressures. Japan: March Economy Watchers Survey – frontline view of economic trends. February BoP (Balance of Payments): Current account & trade balance – impacts yen and risk sentiment. France: February trade and current account balances – minor euro impact unless surprise. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Daly – watch for comments on rate path or inflation risks. ECB: Holzmann, Guindos, Cipollone – possible euro movement on hawkish/dovish tones. BoE: Lombardelli – any forward guidance on rates may move GBP. Earnings Samsung – bellwether for tech and semis; relevant for risk sentiment in Asia. Walgreens Boots Alliance – watch for US consumer health and retail trends. Fixed Income US: 3-Year Note Auction – important for yield curve dynamics and short-end demand. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone–1HChart AnalysisEUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis 🔵 Trend Line: * Price was respecting a falling trend line * Lower highs marked with 🔴 red dots showing bearish pressure 🟦 Demand Zone (Support Area): * Price is currently hovering around a demand zone * Marked by a blue box — this is where buyers are stepping in * Think of this as a "bounce zone" 📍Marked with 🟦 blue dots as key bounce points 🚀 Potential Bullish Breakout: • If price breaks the trend line — get ready for lift-off * Entry idea: ✅ Buy near the bottom of the blue zone * Target: 🎯 1.11455 * Profit potential: +241 pips (2.21%) * Move marked with 🟧 upward arrow path ❌ Stop Loss: • Just below the demand zone at 1.08809 * Marked with a ⚠️ stop sign to avoid large losses 📉 DEMA (9): • Yellow moving average line — shows recent momentum * Right now, price is slightly below it, but a break above can support bullish case Summary: Buy Setup ✅ Entry: Around 1.09000 (🟦 demand zone) 🎯 Target: 1.11455 ⚠️ Stop Loss: 1.08809 📈 Risk:Reward — Great!
Long
by Jameshead007
EURUSD April 8 Trade ExecutedEURUSD April 8 Trade Executed Analysis coming into the Asia session *Price in discount previous session and recent range *Previous session Price takes sell stops in NY am session comes back down again at 16:00 *Price closes NY in a small consolidation cycle *Expect an expansion in Asia *Asia could come to the 50 level *cross referencing DXY discerning it was in a Premium and likely to seek lower to its 50 level Model factors met to take the trade *Liquidity was taken and tested again *In a deep discount price will want to seek the equilibrium level *On smaller timeframes price *18:00 price makes a swing high *Price comes into a FVG twice to test and then creates a FVG energetically moving to buy side *20:00 open of Asia creates a large displacement candle *20:09 inside the 20 macro I entered *22:40 I exited at the 50 level i had the equal highs as a target, however what I focusing now is low stress in and out trade model repeatable I also wanted to practice my greed wanting more and controlling that need for a clean trade! My model consists of many blending of ICT SMC and this 1 trade model I am back testing is when price is in those deep discounts/premiums at the .79 with liquidity taken HTF target and coming out of a consolidation cycle its getting clearer to see that the 50-equilibrium level is a logic trade. The value of knowing what cycle price is in, is so important along with premium/discount and PD array. Very happy after weeks and weeks of not trusting my analysis and so much discernment, today marks the foundation I can take forward to continuing my back testing this model for consistency in prep for my funded account challenge. Excited to back test 1 model now that I think I m getting it. So cool.
Long
by LeanLena
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 8, 2025 EURUSDAfter a tense week in which the US fully adopted a protectionist trade policy - despite lacking the necessary industrial infrastructure - tariffs on imports were imposed. The US now applies a general 10 per cent import tax on all goods from each country, as well as various ‘reciprocal’ tariffs calculated by dividing US imports by exports. After imposing a 34 per cent tariff on Chinese products, China responded with its own 34 per cent tariff on all goods imported from the US. Unable to find alternative solutions, the Trump administration threatened to impose an additional 50 per cent tariff on all Chinese goods, which is set to take effect on April 8. US data takes centre stage again this week, with the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Thursday. On Friday, producer price index (PPI) data and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey are expected. Investors are raising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates to reduce recession risks. Markets are factoring in nearly 200 basis points of rate cuts through the end of 2025, despite the Fed issuing cautious policy statements indicating that trade uncertainty complicates any potential rate cut. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0950, SL 1.1030, TP 1.0830
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
#eurusd(April8)Levels where price reactions are most likely to occur during the day. Naturally, at each level, you can have buy and sell positions and you can freely use the levels for a new order or for TP of your postions. The levels are updated daily! The results of price reaction to these levels will be shown in the upcoming videos. You should note that the levels are based on price action knowledge, and no indicators are used to determine these levels. Therefore, the reaction ranges could occur a few pips above or below the levels marked on the charts!
by chartwikii
EUR/USD: Bearish Bias DevelopingAs we analyze the EUR/USD pair, the overall market structure appears to be shifting toward a bearish outlook. The recent price action suggests a potential continuation of downward momentum, with various technical signals aligning to support this view. With increasing pressure on the upside, it seems that sellers may start to dominate in the near term. Key factors to watch include price reactions around certain zones that could indicate further downside potential. We will be monitoring for any confirming signals that align with the bearish narrative. Keep an eye on the broader market trends and any developments that might influence the direction in the coming sessions
Short
by trader9224
Can EURUSD Take Out the Major High 1.12000?EURUSD Major Forex Pair Following Trump’s tariff policies announced on Friday, the price of the EURUSD forex pair broke the daily higher high structure and is now returning to retest that level. This morning, the price bounced off the 0.618 daily Fibonacci level, suggesting that it may move upward again, potentially reaching the major high around 1.12000 or hitting one of the Fibonacci extension levels. Price Action on the 4-Hour Chart I have shifted down to the 4-hour chart to analyze the price action in more detail. While it appears somewhat chaotic due to Friday's news and the aggressive bullish impulse, it’s encouraging that the price broke through the higher high structure and is now retesting it. At this point, I would like to see the price remain above the 0.618 daily Fibonacci level and stay within the upward trendline. Additionally, the price is forming a symmetric triangle. Once it breaks out of this pattern, I plan to enter a buy position with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2, targeting the supply area near the major high. I will provide an update as more price action develops later in the week, so stay tuned!
Long
by M-Floyd
EURUSD April 7 Hindsight ReviewEURUSD April 7 Hindsight Review Last night before Sundays delivery I suspected that price would lower to take the sells side liquidity. I was bull for Asia and London. Great delivery to set up Asia/London Fib take aways To note I use the FIB interchangeably because price is sensitive in both directions *Sundays delivery comes to the .79 recent range level for a stop hunt, what I was setting up for *Asia comes to the previous session .79 which is a trigger to start hunting for a buy Asia Marco Analysis Price retraces to recent inefficient delivered price level at the .79 previous range, now in a discount. Trigger to start hunting 23:00 macro price reacts and forms the ICT 2022 model: *liquidity taken in Sundays delivery *retraces to discount discounted array and first presented FVG *LTF swing high candle that creates a FVG *price validates the swing high with an inversion comes to and through it *23:03 entry *target the 50 level previous range and FVG *look how price delivers through the FVG and almost to .79 range to range with that swing and lands on big figure number 1.1400 Stellar delivery! Get in and get out trade. What I am most happy with that price did deliver my analysis. What I'm most happy about is reading the cycles of expansion, retracement and reversal patterns an spanning out to identify where I want to be entering trades. Today is a prefect example of the PD Array after liquidity is taken and in deep discount to trigger the hunt. No trade and letting this slip through my fingers, did get me for a minute and then I recall the win of the analysis and clarity of when I am ready to press buttons again I will have confidence because I am taking the time to build a solid repeatable model. Keep going!
by LeanLena
Long Position for EUR: A Bullish Opportunity Next Week - Key Insights: The EUR shows resilience and potential for upward movement despite global market challenges. A bullish trend against USD is supported by recent candle formations and sentiment shifts favoring non-USD currencies. Key support at 1.07802 and breakout above 1.09281 solidify EUR's potential. - Price Targets: Next week targets - T1: 1.09800, T2: 1.10200; Stop levels - S1: 1.08700, S2: 1.08200. - Recent Performance: EUR/USD exhibits an overall upward trend in a volatile market, breaking key resistance levels, even as European indices face declines. - Expert Analysis: Analysts suggest continued bullish movements as USD faces bearish pressures, increasing confidence in EUR's upward trajectory. - News Impact: Declines in Euro Stock 600 and pending CPI data are critical factors. Market participants should remain vigilant of economic reports that could influence EUR's movement against USD.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading