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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

US PMI Strength Drives Dollar HigherEUR/USD is trading at $1.08 as the U.S. dollar strengthens on solid U.S. services PMI data, which signaled economic resilience and pushed yields higher. Confidence in the dollar was further enabled by Trump’s remarks suggesting not all April 2 tariffs will be implemented, with possible exemptions for some countries. Meanwhile, the euro is under pressure as its recent rally fades and Eurozone economic signals weaken, keeping EUR/USD on a downward path driven by dollar strength. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600.
by ChartMage
EURUSD March 23 Analysis March 24 IdeaEURUSD March 24 Price in a bias bull Price is in a Premium M/W/D Discount current range and a Discount previous range. Dealing range pips 29 check back after Asia No News March 24 Idea Always reanalyze after Asia. Price is in a discount, likely to see price seek the 50 level maybe rebalance the FVG. I suspect that higher prices in London and Price to lower in NY. That said however I consider that there is no news today and tomorrow which can present high resistance conditions, stay sharp. March 23 Analysis I suspect that we could see lower prices in the beginning of the week and we did! Price in a premium took minor buy side then lower to the .70 consolidating coming into to London in discount. 2 macro Price seeks session equal highs and FVG to rebalance, in a premium. Price retraces in a whip saw to close London reversing in NY. Small consolation then news driver pushed Price lower taking sell stops and rebalance daily FVG back to a discount. Great delivery! *My longer term through is still bullish however it seems Price could be gravitating to the 50 level at 1.07000 *Note the event horizon is to the buy side, possible magnet this week.
by LeanLena
TRADE ASSESSMENT: March 23 EuroUSD - LOSSwhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance. that's your narrative. then look for context and entry. (POC+OTE+FVG) when price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance
Short
by reventioaxie
Break or Bounce? EUR/USD OpportunityHi Traders! The price is in a descending channel and is testing the lower boundary. 🔹 Scenarios: Buy if it breaks above 1.0845, with a stop loss at 1.0790 and targets at 1.0870, 1.0900, and 1.0950. Sell if it breaks below 1.0780, with a stop loss at 1.0830 and targets at 1.0750, 1.0720, and 1.0700. 📊 RSI is in the oversold zone—a potential bounce is possible! Watch the price action closely. 📢 Stay updated with live market movements! 🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
by FXOnTop
EU updateFor the days ahead, starting March 24, 2025, the direction of EUR/USD is likely to be downward. The fundamental drivers—monetary policy divergence—provide a robust case for continued USD strength and Euro weakness. The COT report’s indication of increased net-short positions by commercial traders supports this bearish trend. While the reduction in large speculators’ net-short exposure suggests possible short-term volatility or a bounce (e.g., if support at 1.0795/1.0800 holds), the lack of extreme positioning data and the overriding fundamental pressures indicate that any upside would be limited and temporary. Thus, the prevailing direction remains downward, consistent with the pair’s broader trend. Let's wait and see how the downward plays out
Short
by D_Virtual
EUR/USD Weekly Bias technical analysis appears well-reasoned. EUR/USD Weekly Bias Analysis Technical analysis appears well-reasoned: 1. Short-term bearish bias: You anticipate a decline towards the previous week's low, indicating a potential short-term downtrend. 2. Bullish reversal zone: You've identified a critical area, marked by the weekly Fibonacci Volume Zone (FVG), where a potential bullish reversal could occur. 3. Upside target: Your analysis suggests a move towards the weekly high, offering a clear profit target. # Key Confirmation Factors: To validate your bias and adjust your strategy, consider the following: - Candlestick patterns: Monitor for bullish reversal patterns, such as hammer or engulfing candles, to confirm a potential trend change. - Momentum indicators: Keep an eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators to gauge the strength of the potential reversal. - Volume analysis: Analyze trading volumes to ensure they support your bias, with increasing volumes on up days and decreasing volumes on down days. By carefully monitoring these factors, you'll be well-positioned to adjust your strategy and capitalize on potential trading opportunities in the EUR/USD market.
by Peter_Wade
EU UpdateBased on today's fundamental news from Forex Factory, the euro appears to be showing modestly positive fundamentals. In other words, the latest economic releases and sentiment for the EUR are supporting a slight bullish bias. When you combine this with the technical picture for EUR/USD (which is pulling back but still sitting above key moving averages), it suggests that—after a short period of consolidation—the pair is likely to resume an upward move. In summary, the fundamental data imply that EUR/USD should have modest upside potential in the coming days, although traders should watch for resistance levels at 1.09251 that might slow the move.
Long
by D_Virtual
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term. At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
Long
by RTED_Investing
EURUSD Trade ExecutionEURUSD Trade Execution Logic was following the previous session price had taken clean equal lows where I had just exited from a short. Asia into London Session Macro Price was in a discount taken previous sessions equal lows. Utilizing the alerts feature to signal me to start hunting for a set up. 0:15. When Price did not want go lower to my equal lows targets I started hunting for a long. Cross referencing DXY was in a premium and suspected it would gravitate to its noted equal lows to a discount. 0:30 candle creates the first presented FVG. Price consolidates testing the FVG 1:03 macro testes the FVG 1:27 changed the state of delivery 1:54 entry I suspected that Price would come to 1.08433 of a FVG I held to 1.08475 and exited. This set up met my criteria *session liquidity taken *bias determined *model 2022 candle signature formed *first presented FVG *macro time *logic confidence framed around DXY and GBP I can the set more clearly on the smaller timeframes. I would have continued with the trade however with news coming I felt content with clean entries and exits. Good job!
by LeanLena
EURUSD Trade Execution Asia MacroEURUSD Trade Execution Asia Macro Logic was following the previous session price had taken sell side. When Price started rallying in Asia for equal highs, I started hunting for a set up. Asia Session Macro Asia in a premium take previous sessions clean equal highs. Utilizing the alerts feature to signal me to start hunting for a set up. 20:15. When Price did not want go higher into the FVG and began to roll over I suspected this was a ICT 2022 model forming. Cross referencing DXY was in a premium and suspected it would gravitate to its noted equal highs in a discount. 20:30 candle creates the first presented FVG. Price consolidates testing the FVG 21:00 macro testes the FVG and rolls over 21:02 entry 21:09 change in the state of delivery Minutes of heat as the full change of delivery had not happened before I entered I suspected that Price would come to 1.08176 and yet I thought it would come lower I had 2 additional targets lower. My OG target was hit and saw the quick change I exited. This set up met my criteria *session liquidity taken *bias determined *model 2022 candle signature formed *first presented FVG *macro time *logic confidence framed around DXY and GBP I can the set more clearly on the smaller timeframes. Nice quick scalp!
by LeanLena