Be careful with EURUSD !!!The Euro will increase THREE cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks.
Give me some energy !!
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USDEUR trade ideas
What Is a Balanced Price Range, and How Can You Use ItWhat Is a Balanced Price Range, and How Can You Use It in Trading?
Balanced Price Ranges (BPRs) offer traders insight into areas where market forces temporarily balance. Understanding how BPRs form and how to use them can help traders identify key zones of interest on the chart. This article explores the details of BPRs, their applications in trading, and how combining them with other tools can refine your market analysis.
What Is a Balanced Price Range (BPR)?
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept used to pinpoint areas on a price chart where market activity reflects a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. These zones, often identified through overlapping Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), highlight price levels where buying and selling pressures have offset each other, creating a balance.
Here’s how it works in a bullish scenario: a rapid price move downward leaves a bearish Fair Value Gap—a price range the market skips over due to strong selling momentum. If the price rises with equal intensity shortly, creating a bullish Fair Value Gap in the opposite direction, the overlapping region between these gaps becomes the BPR. This overlap represents a zone of temporary balance, where the market has effectively “corrected” the earlier imbalance.
BPR zones are not random. They often form in areas of high market interest—perhaps near key support or resistance levels, or after significant news events that cause sharp price movements. Traders look at these ranges because they frequently act as reference points for future price reactions.
The boundaries of an ICT BPR—its high and low—serve as critical levels. These edges often function as dynamic support and resistance, helping traders gauge potential turning points. Furthermore, BPRs can appear across various timeframes, from minute-by-minute to weekly charts.
How Does a Balanced Price Range Form?
Now that we know the idea of the ICT Balanced Price Range, let’s look at how it forms step by step.
1. An Initial Price Imbalance
A BPR begins with a strong price movement in one direction—either up or down. For example, in an overall bearish scenario, buyers initially drive the price up rapidly and leave behind a bullish FVG. This gap reflects an area where the market didn’t fully engage, often skipping over price levels due to overwhelming demand.
2. A Counter-Move Creates an Opposing Gap
After the initial move, the market can shift in the opposite direction with equal momentum. In our example, sellers step in, pushing the price downward. This creates a bearish FVG that partially overlaps with the earlier bullish FVG. These rapid shifts often occur around key events, such as news releases or liquidity grabs, which ignite temporary market imbalances.
3. Overlapping Fair Value Gaps Define the Range
The overlapping portion of the bullish and bearish FVGs is what forms the BPR. This zone represents the price levels where buying and selling forces are temporarily balanced, neutralising the earlier imbalances.
4. Market Consolidation and Testing
Once the BPR is established, the price often consolidates near this range. This zone acts as a magnet for future price action because it’s seen as an area of high market interest, where traders may take note of previous balance. In the example given, a test may precede a bearish reaction.
Combining BPRs With Other ICT Concepts
Balanced Price Ranges in the ICT methodology become even more powerful when combined with other related concepts. By layering multiple tools, traders can refine their analysis and pinpoint high-probability areas for market activity. Here’s how BPRs work with key ICT concepts:
Fair Value Gaps
Since BPRs are defined by overlapping fair value gaps, understanding how to read these gaps adds depth to BPR analysis. FVGs outside the BPR can act as supplementary zones of interest.
Order Blocks
Traders often spot BPRs forming near significant order blocks. When these zones overlap, they highlight areas where institutional activity may have left a footprint, increasing their importance for analysis.
Liquidity Pools
BPRs often align with liquidity zones where stop orders are clustered. Price may gravitate toward these areas before reacting, offering traders insight into potential price reversals or continuations.
Market Structure Shifts
BPRs can reinforce insights gained from market structure shifts. For example, a BPR forming after a break in structure might signal consolidation before the next major move.
Higher Timeframe Confluence
When a BPR aligns with key levels on higher timeframes, it can provide added confidence in the zone’s relevance for price reactions.
How to Use a Balanced Price Range
The Balanced Price Range can provide traders with valuable insights into price behaviour, acting as a reference point for analysing potential market movements. By understanding how these zones function, traders often use them to refine their strategies and enhance their market analysis.
Identifying High-Interest Zones
As BPRs highlight areas where the market found an equilibrium between buyers and sellers, traders typically monitor how the price reacts when revisiting a BPR. For example, if the price approaches the upper or lower boundary of a BPR, it may indicate a potential turning point or a continuation, depending on the market context.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
One common approach is to view BPRs as dynamic support or resistance zones. When the price tests the range, traders often anticipate a reaction. For instance, a rejection from a BPR in a bearish trend may suggest continued downward momentum, while a breach might signal weakening selling pressure.
Contextualising Larger Market Structures
BPRs don’t exist in isolation; they often align with broader market structures. Traders may use them in combination with tools like liquidity zones or order blocks to build a more complete market picture. For instance, if a BPR forms near a major resistance level on a higher timeframe, this confluence could strengthen its importance as a reference point.
Adjusting for Timeframe and Strategy
The relevance of a BPR often depends on the timeframe being analysed. Day traders might focus on intraday BPRs to find potential trading opportunities, while swing traders could look for these zones on higher timeframes, considering them significant levels for long-term moves. Either trader can use lower and higher timeframe BPRs to inform their analysis and entries.
Managing Risk Around BPRs
Traders may incorporate BPRs into their risk management plans, such as by using the boundaries of the range to set stop-loss or take-profit levels. A breach of these levels can indicate a shift in market sentiment, helping traders refine their analysis.
Risks and Considerations When Using BPRs
While BPRs can be a useful tool for analysing price behaviour, they aren’t without limitations. Traders need to approach BPRs with a clear understanding of their potential pitfalls. Here are some key considerations:
- Not Predictive: BPRs don’t guarantee future price movement. While they highlight zones of interest, traders must combine them with broader market analysis to avoid over-reliance.
- Subjectivity: Identifying BPRs can sometimes be subjective. What one trader sees as a balanced range might not align with another’s interpretation, especially on different timeframes.
- Timeframe Sensitivity: A BPR on a lower timeframe may lose significance in the broader market context. Conversely, higher timeframe BPRs may lag behind fast-moving markets.
- False Breakouts: Price can move beyond a BPR briefly before reversing, creating potential traps for traders relying solely on breakout strategies.
- Market Context Matters: BPRs are analysed alongside market conditions like volatility, news events, or broader trends. Ignoring these factors can reduce their reliability.
The Bottom Line
Understanding Balanced Price Ranges can help traders interpret key market zones and improve their analysis. By combining BPRs with other tools and strategies, traders gain deeper insights into price movements.
FAQ
What Is the ICT Price Range?
The ICT price range refers to specific price levels or zones highlighted in the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. These ranges often represent areas of interest in the market, such as liquidity pools, fair value gaps, or balanced price ranges. Traders use ICT price ranges to analyse price movement, identify potential reaction points, and refine their trading strategies.
What Is the Meaning of a Balanced Price?
Balanced price describes a market state where buying and selling pressures are in equilibrium. It typically forms in areas where overlapping fair value gaps exist, reflecting zones where previous imbalances have corrected. These areas can act as key levels for future price reactions.
What Is an Optimal Trade Entry in a Balanced Price Range?
Optimal trade entry in a balanced price range refers to identifying high-probability entry points within or near a BPR. Traders often look for price reactions at the range’s boundaries, combining BPR analysis with other ICT tools, such as order blocks or liquidity zones, to refine their approach.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25
GM GM!
SUMMARY
- Weekly order block short
- Unconvincing bearish move via the order block therefore 15' break of structure required. MINIMUM
- Tap entry via the 15' order block only valid if major 15' structure levels broken. In turn we will see a turn around in higher time frame price action support the short from the weekly order block
- A + short would be to await all of the above prior short
Trade well.
FRGNT X
Important news about EURUSD
EURUSD continues to move sideways since the beginning of the week and managed to reach 1,1412 yesterday.
Today at 1:15 pm (London time), the ECB is expected to cut interest rates.
This will likely cause increased volatility.
It is advisable to reduce risk on all positions and look for new entries after the news!
EUR/USD Short 17/04/25Price had been consolidating and we failed to make a higher high while making lower low and breaking structure to the downside. Selling pressure is mounting. Currently testing the lower high. Red folder Eur news will likely be priced in overnight or be the catalyst for the sell into 1.12250.
EURUSD Bulls Warming Up – Next Stop: 1.1650? EURUSD 4H Analysis
Technical Outlook — 16th April 2025
Current Market Condition:
EURUSD is currently trading near 1.1386 after breaking out of a descending structure and retesting it as support. Price is holding above dynamic support (ascending channel), showing continuation signs after recent bullish momentum. The market is in a short-term consolidation phase, coiling below a key resistance zone.
Key Technical Highlights:
Bullish structure breakout and successful retest of channel support.
Price is forming higher lows above key support around 1.1350-1.1300.
Stochastic (21/5/5) has turned upward from oversold, suggesting renewed bullish pressure.
Resistance zone ahead at 1.1450-1.1500 — a breakout above it opens clean skies.
Clean FVG/liquidity gap seen above 1.1500 towards 1.1650 and 1.1800 (targets shown with arrows).
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Bias (Primary Scenario):
If price holds above 1.1350 and breaks 1.1450 resistance, expect a bullish rally towards:
Target 1: 1.1650 (mid resistance)
Target 2: 1.1800 (major resistance)
Confluence: Strong uptrend structure, momentum shift on stochastic, and breakout continuation setup.
Bearish Bias (Less Likely for Now):
Break below 1.1350 and channel support may drag price down toward 1.1300 and 1.1200 supports.
Confirmation: Bearish candle close below channel + Stochastic rollover.
Important Note:
Multiple high-impact USD news events are clustered around this region. Expect volatility in the upcoming sessions. Monitor DXY and yields for correlation. Confirmation is essential before entering any breakout plays.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EUR/USD at Key Decision Zone – Breakout or Smart Money Trap?🟢 Current Context
Price: 1.13820 USD
Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April.
Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked).
🧱 Key Zones
🔴 Supply Zone (1.13000–1.15000)
Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it.
🟦 Demand Zone (1.08500–1.10000)
Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher.
⚫ Lower Supports
1.03600: Weekly support
1.02838: Monthly support
Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began.
📈 Price Structure
Strong breakout above 1.10–1.11 resistance.
Currently pulling back inside the supply zone – the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+.
🔍 Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI)
Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls.
📊 Scenarios
✅ Bullish:
Clean break above 1.14500–1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries.
⚠️ Bearish (corrective):
Strong rejection from the supply zone → potential pullback to 1.10–1.0850 (blue zone).
Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed.
🧠 Strategic Note
This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends.
Watch how this weekly candle closes – we’re either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
EURUSD IDEA BY ICT 4+ ConfirmationIn my analysis of EURUSD using ICT concepts, I identified several confirmations, including: Fair Value Gap (FVG), Discount & Premium levels, Breaker Block, and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE). For each of the mentioned PD Arrays, I used the 50% level of the range as a key reference point.
Based on this approach, my point of view is that there is potential for EURUSD to move upward during the Asia/European session.
Note: This is only analysis, not financial advice
The Euro Bull sharpening it's horns against the USD?After further analysis on the weekly and monthly chart, I have identified what looks like a much larger broadening bottom pattern which signals the possibility of much further U.S. Dollar weakness.
Based on my previous video analysis, my original target for the EUR/USD was 1.2000 however 1.2500 – 1.3000 is not out of the question now. We haven’t traded in that price range since 2014.
In the immediate term, we could see a bullish acceleration if we begin trading cleanly above 1.1500.
I will expand on this analysis in my next upcoming weekly video.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Long trade
15min TF entry
📈 Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (EUR/USD)
📅 Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
⏰ Time: 4:00 PM – NY Session PM
📈 Pair: EUR/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.12842
Take Profit (TP): 1.14254 (+1.25%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.12692 (–0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 9.41
Day -Structure
🧠 Trade Narrative:
Targeting: A return to an HTF premium zone and previous daily high for buyside trade idea.
EUR/USD: Head, Shoulders, and a Whole Lotta Drama Oh, EUR/USD, you’re out here living your best life, hitting 1.14 on April 10, 2025, while the USD throws a tariff tantrum (Trump, you’re a mess 🤦♂️). A head and shoulders pattern is trying to gatecrash, with a left shoulder already set and the head still puffing up its ego. But the right shoulder? Nowhere in sight—drama TBD! 🎭
RSI’s giving “maybe chill” vibes after being overbought. 🥱 Central bank moves and trade talk chaos might clip your wings, and inflation fears aren’t helping. Will this H&S finish its glow-up, or are you heading for the stars? Traders, what’s your take—bearish breakup or EUR party? Drop your thoughts! ☕ #EURUSD #ForexDrama #TradingView
EURUSD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13590 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13083.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Short IdeaI see that we broke structure to the downside on 15m, isnt the best break but i will still count it based on the fact where we are on HTF (D/W OB) and the mini-gap which got created in current asia.
I cant cover the highs with a 10 pip stop so i will wait to see some bearish confirmation either a clear 1m bos to the downside, or nice price action on 5/15m indicating reversal in price.
TP will be as always 1:3 and extendet TP will be unfilled previous asia sessions.