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U.S. Dollar / Euro

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USDEUR trade ideas

Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
Elliott Wave Insight Into EUR/USD’s Recent MovesThe EUR/USD chart has delivered a clean Elliott Wave sequence, which helps us forecast what may come next. Wave Count Overview The structure leading up to the high shows a clear five-wave impulsive rally, ending at Wave 3 in yellow. This was followed by a corrective A-B-C zigzag, with: A sharp Wave A down A shallow Wave B bounce A clean Wave C drop, matching Wave A in length, bottoming at the 100% Fibonacci projection around 1.10711. Why This Matters Elliott Wave theory tells us that a completed zigzag correction—especially when followed by a consolidation like a triangle—often leads to a continuation in the direction of the larger trend. If this consolidation is indeed a Wave 4 triangle, Wave 5 may soon emerge with strength. What to Watch For: Breakout from the current flag/triangle pattern. Confirmation via price closing above the Wave B high. Strong bullish momentum and rising volume as signs Wave 5 is kicking off. Conclusion EUR/USD may be gearing up for a Wave 5 breakout, following a classic zigzag correction and potential triangle consolidation. If this pattern breaks to the upside, it could offer a great trend continuation trade opportunity.
Long
by RealWaveTrader-
EURUSD - AB=CD harmonic Pattern | BULLISH TREND continuationThis analysis is done on 4H time frame, as it can be seen that market is making series of HH and HL which is our Bullish Trend. however, market took a deep correction and broke the HL which seems trend reversal. Since there is no divergence before correction therefore it is more weighted toward continuation pattern. Having said that, Market took a deep correction till FIB level of 0.618 which forms a AB=CD Harmonic Pattern. The point D is our Potential Reverse Zone, and it also coincides with the 4H good resistance level (Perfect confluence of PRZ). Therefore we can project our market to reach there. Entry Points : IN our case we shall plan safe entry on Break-of-Neckline, however the neckline is already broken, therefore we can instant enter into the market OR wait to break again the Market with Good Bullish candle (with good momentum / body). Our 1st TP will be with R:R of 1:1 and 2nd TP would be 1:2 R:R , As usual SL would be placed below HL as market in the chart. Regards,
Long
by ProTradeProfessor
EURUSD HTF IOF continuationEURUSD is currently in the sell side of the SMR model as price swept the Previous Month High , and a classic example of SMR has taken place. Draw on liquidity is the deeply discounted H4 Unmitigated Bullish OB found at the 70.5% fib . I Believe that Price will either reach the D.O.L through NFP news release , or price will continue retracing to the POI prior to news release I believe L.O.M should be set here , followed by a continued bulls rally following HTF IOF.
Long
by jacquesnortje
What is the TACO trade in forex trading? The “TACO trade” – short for “Trump Always Chickens Out” – originated in equity markets but is equally relevant in forex. The pattern is simple: Trump signals aggressive tariffs, markets react and then reverse when the threat is walked back. One example: In May 2025, the U.S. dollar weakened sharply after Trump announced a 50% tariff on EU imports. EUR/USD rallied to 1.1440 as traders priced in slower U.S. growth. But just days later, the Trump delayed the tariffs to July, and the dollar quickly regained ground. For forex traders, the TACO trade strategy is about timing: entering on initial panic and exiting on the rollback. That said, it’s not without risk. If tariffs are actually enforced, the dollar’s decline may be more prolonged. And with markets increasingly aware of this pattern, reactions may become less predictable.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD showing signs of a false breakoutEUR/USD Analysis: Potential Downside Correction After False Breakout EUR/USD currently showing signs of a false breakout from a strong resistance level. Although the broader market condition remains bullish, the recent price action suggests that the breakout may not sustain. This could trigger a downside correction. The U.S. Dollar (USD) is approaching a key support level, which might provide some strength to the dollar and put downward pressure on EUR/USD. Resistance zone 1.14000 Support Level 1.13500 / 1.13000 you may find more detail in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Short
by MrMartin_11
6
Market next move Disruption of the Downtrend Analysis The chart currently suggests a bearish breakout with a downside target near 1.12900. Let’s challenge that: --- 🟩 Bullish Reversal Possibility 1. Support Zone Near 1.1370: Price has shown signs of stabilizing around the 1.1370 level. Multiple wicks below the candles suggest buyer interest at this level. 2. Low Volume on Recent Red Candles: A decreasing volume trend on recent red candles can indicate weak bearish momentum. Bulls may be waiting to enter on a breakout above the 1.1380–1.1390 zone. 3. Potential for Fakeout: The sharp expected drop might be a bear trap. If price breaks back above 1.1385 with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish thesis. 4. RSI/Momentum Divergence (Assumed): If momentum indicators (not shown) display bullish divergence, this strengthens the case for a reversal
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Falling towards pullback support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1325 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1266 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1418 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13812 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.14059.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EUR/USD - Sweeping the highs, retracement following?The EUR/USD has experienced a steep and aggressive bullish run today, showing strong upward momentum across multiple timeframes. This impulsive move has led to a sweep of the recent highs, taking out key liquidity levels that were resting above previous swing points. In the context of smart money concepts and institutional trading models, such a move typically signifies the activation of buy-side liquidity, where stop-loss orders and breakout entries are triggered above a well-defined high. This behavior is often engineered by larger market participants to fulfill liquidity objectives before potentially reversing or retracing. During this strong bullish leg, the EUR/USD left behind a noticeable imbalance, commonly referred to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the lower timeframes. This imbalance reflects an area where price moved too rapidly, leaving behind unfilled orders and creating a price inefficiency. Specifically, an FVG remains open around the 1.13700 level, a zone that was bypassed during the impulsive rally and now stands as a likely magnet for price in the near term. These imbalances are significant because price tends to revisit them to seek equilibrium and fill in the inefficient areas, especially after a major liquidity grab. The sweep of the highs was a classic liquidity-taking event. When price runs above a prominent high, especially one that's visible on higher timeframes like the 4H or daily, it often signals that buy stops (retail breakout entries or protective stops) have been targeted. Once these stops are taken, there is typically a shift in market behavior. The aggressive buyers have been filled, and institutional players may look to reverse or retrace price toward areas of unfilled orders, such as the aforementioned FVG. The market often transitions from a state of expansion (impulse move) to a state of rebalancing or consolidation, which opens the door for a pullback. Given that the liquidity above the highs has been taken and that the 1.13700 gap remains unmitigated, it becomes increasingly likely that EUR/USD will begin a retracement. This corrective move would serve to rebalance the price, revisit the inefficiency, and potentially test the validity of any newly-formed demand zones. From a technical standpoint, this area is crucial, not only because of the gap itself but also due to its positioning in relation to prior market structure. In summary, today’s bullish extension in EUR/USD accomplished a major liquidity objective by sweeping the highs. However, the move left behind a significant imbalance at 1.13700, suggesting that the pair could be due for a corrective pullback to fill the gap. Traders should monitor lower timeframes for signs of distribution, potential shifts in market structure, or bearish order blocks forming after the sweep. All of these could provide clues that the market is preparing to return to the gap and restore price efficiency. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
16