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Skeptic | EUR/USD Breakdown: Key Levels & Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re diving into a multi-timeframe breakdown of EUR/USD. We’ll analyze EURX (Euro Index) and wrap it up with some high-probability trade setups. Let’s get started! 🚀 EURX Analysis Looking at the EURX chart, after a secondary uptrend, we’ve formed an upward channel. When price enters a channel after a sharp uptrend, it typically signals a loss of momentum, increasing the chances of a continuation of the major downtrend—which is exactly what’s happening now. Currently, price is testing a key support at 1037.8 . This is a critical level, and if broken, we can expect further downside for EUR pairs. EUR/USD Technical Breakdown In the 4-hour timeframe, after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase. However, bearish momentum is more visible: ✔ SMA 7 is sloping downward and positioned above candles, reinforcing selling pressure. ✔ Given the EUR/USD and EURX analysis, we can afford to be more aggressive with short positions while remaining cautious with longs. Trade Setups & Key Levels 📉 Short Setup: Trigger: Break below 1.07124 Confirmation: RSI breaking support at 34.40 & increasing bearish momentum Target: Next support at 1.07154 📈 Long Setup: Trigger: Break above 1.09453 Confirmation: Strong bullish momentum & breakout of consolidation range ⚠ Important: These levels mark the highs and lows of the 4H consolidation zone, meaning whichever way price breaks, it’s likely to continue in that direction. Thanks for sticking around until the end—drop your thoughts in the comments & let me know your setups! See you in the next analysis <3
by SkepticWise
3
XAUUSD Trend Today - Slightly Downtrend🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: 👉The EUR/USD pair continues to extend its decline from its recent yearly high, starting the week on a negative note. It has fallen below the 1.0800 support level, reaching a new three-week low near 1.0780, an area that also coincides with the temporary 100-day SMA. This correction comes as the US Dollar (USD) regains momentum, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthening further above the 104.00 mark, as investors closely monitor the latest developments regarding tariffs. Personal analysis: 👉EUR/USD will maintain its short-term decline and await further news on US tariffs and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks. 👉The market is stable as there is little information affecting the pair today. 👉Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USd 1.0790- 1.0800 ❌SL: 1.0830 | ✅TP: 1.0750 – 1.0720 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EURUSD Hello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? The EURUSD entered a corrective phase after hitting the anticipated resistance zone and was rejected from this area, as previously analyzed. The price is now approaching a key support level. At this support level, there is a possibility of a new bullish move starting, which could lead to a breakout above the previous resistance and push the price toward the next identified target. Will EURUSD hold the support and push higher, or is there more downside ahead? Let us know your thoughts! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
9
EURUSD about to begin a bearish movementEURUSD about to begin a bearish movement Seen in another perspective from Friday EURUSD was dominated more by a bearish volume. The price didn't manage to rise too much. Considering that also this week has not so important data the chances are that we can see more a release of liquidity on EURUSD. If EURUSD moves down a bit more from the current zone will confirm more the bearish movement and it can follow our targets near 1.0730 and 1.0680 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
19
EUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe AnalysisEUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis EUR/USD has shown bullish momentum in the past few weeks, primarily driven by the ECB's recent rate cut of 25 basis points to 2.5% and its move toward normalizing monetary policy as inflation nears target levels. However, price action has shifted, displaying lower highs and lower lows, indicating increasing selling pressure. We have identified a minor key resistance level at 1.08300, where a breakout could reignite buying momentum. Meanwhile, a major key support at 1.07700 has been broken, signaling a Change of Character (CHOCH) and a potential bearish shift. Currently, price is accumulating, suggesting a possible liquidity hunt before the next major move. Outlook and Key Technical Levels 🔹 Minor Key Resistance: 1.08300 (breakout point for bulls) 🔹 Sell Limit Entry: 1.07650 (pending order) 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.08270 (above liquidity zone) 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.06280 (next minor support) Our strategy is to wait for a 4-hour candle close below 1.07700 before executing a sell limit order at 1.07650. This confirmation increases the probability of further downside movement. Fundamental Insight and Market Sentiment Recent developments suggest EUR weakness, aligning with our technical outlook: 📉 ECB Policy Shift: The rate cut, while initially bullish, may contribute to euro softness as markets adjust to a more accommodative stance. 📉 Trade War Tensions: The U.S. imposing tariffs on European imports has pressured the euro, pushing EUR/USD toward 1.0733 before a slight recovery. 📉 USD Strength: The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has climbed to 103.88, as the Federal Reserve remains cautious about rate cuts, maintaining USD strength. The combination of technical breakdowns and fundamental euro weakness supports a bearish bias on EUR/USD. We remain patient, monitoring liquidity formation before executing our trade. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
EUR/USD: ECB and US GDP ExpectationsBy Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD is at a time of high expectation, with key European Central Bank (ECB) appearances and the release of quarterly U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) promising to generate significant moves in the financial markets. Today, all eyes are on Christine Lagarde and Luis de Guindos, president and vice-president of the ECB, who will provide details that could reveal the institution's interest rate strategy. Uncertainty over monetary policy in the Eurozone remains a key determinant of EUR/USD performance. The Role of the ECB and Market Expectations The appearance of Lagarde and De Guindos has become one of the most anticipated events of the day. Investors are analyzing every word, looking for clues about possible monetary policy adjustments. Uncertainty about future interest rate moves directly affects the euro, as a more hawkish stance could weaken the currency, while a cautious stance or signs of easing could generate upward momentum. This attention is because the FX market reacts almost immediately to expectations about monetary policy, making EUR/USD a direct reflection of the economic outlook in the region. The Impact of Quarterly GDP in the U.S. On the other hand, in the United States, the quarterly GDP is expected to be published, with a growth projection of 2.3%, in contrast to the 3.1% of the previous period. This data is crucial for the dollar, as a slowdown in economic activity could weaken the US currency. Investors are watching to see if the US economy shows signs of slowing or if growth trends continue, which would have a direct impact on the EUR/USD. A lower than expected figure could translate into a loss of dollar strength, thus boosting the euro in the international market. Technical Analysis The EURUSD has recovered in a bullish push up to $1.09296 per euro on the 18th of this month, the correction was not long in coming and the correction has continued to 1.07614 in today's trading. This has all the feel of support in a bullish momentum given that today's candle is all green, so it is very likely that this sentiment will push the euro back towards its upper end of the range and look to test the $1.09296 price. This theory is supported by the fact that the triple crossover of averages has pushed the 50-average above the 100-average since the impulse and yesterday there was a golden crossover where the value of the 200-average is starting to move into position below the 100-average, signaling to us a possible price expansion. This theory is supported by the fact that the RSI has made a micro support at the 50% average so this corrective sentiment seems to have stopped. If today's price breaks above the 50-average we could see an advance towards $1.10 per euro. If the US GDP data surprises and Europe does not have enough bullish sentiment we could see a return to the current checkpoint (POC) around 1.05327, but this is not expected to happen with a US market on a war footing with Trump's tariffs threatening the economic stability of its companies in exports. Other Financial Environment Variables In addition to the ECB statements and the GDP data, other elements are influencing the macroeconomic environment. Cryptocurrencies, for example, are trading with high volatility; while Bitcoin moves around $87,000 and Ethereum around $2,000, these assets reflect the general uncertainty in the market. Likewise, Brent, coffee and gold also move in a context of caution and uncertainty, factors that affect risk perception and, by extension, EUR/USD. In Asia, the indices show mixed movements. The Nikkei is down 0.9%, the Hang Seng is up 0.7% and the Shanghai Composite is little changed. These indicators reflect the diversity in the performance of international markets, although the main focus is on Wall Street's reaction. Yesterday, US indices ended in the red, with the S&P 500 down 1.1%, Nasdaq down 2% and Dow Jones down 0.3%. These dynamics are contributing to a cautious mood that is seeping into the FX market. EUR/USD Outlook In summary, the EUR/USD is at an inflection point where ECB statements and US macroeconomic data play a crucial role. Investors expect any hints on the future direction of monetary policy in the Eurozone or on the economic health of the US to trigger significant moves in the pair. Attention will be particularly focused on how ECB policymakers communicate, and the market's reaction to the GDP figure, which could reshape the direction of the dollar and, consequently, the euro. Technical analysis reveals that, after a recovery and a crossover of moving averages, the euro is holding up and could move towards $1.10 if it breaks above the 50-mark. However, global volatility and economic tensions warn investors to maintain a flexible and vigilant strategy. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Long
by ActivTrades
EURUSD Contracts Ahead of Key Data and Trump’s "Liberation Day"The main scenarios from our earlier post remain unchanged. The 1.0800 support has shifted slightly lower to 1.0780. Trump's so-called "Liberation Day" is approaching, and it's creating downward pressure on EURUSD, despite weak U.S. data. Yesterday, consumer confidence fell to 92.90, marking the worst reading since the COVID shock, and the lowest since 2016 if you exclude that period. The magnitude of the drop is significant. EURUSD price action has now contracted into a very narrow range, suggesting that a major breakout is likely imminent. Which direction it will take remains unclear. This week’s PCE data will be important, but the main price driver will likely be the April 2 tariff announcement, or any early leaks or headlines leading up to it. 1.0780 has now become the short-term support level, while the updated trendline serves as the main resistance.
by ftdsystem
EURUSD Trade Execution EURUSD Trade Execution March 26 Asia 20:00 Macro I suspected that Price would gravitate to the 50 level through to the noted FVG. Logic was Price has been taking sell stops for the past 6 days inching lower. Price was in a deep discount and would want to retrace. Last session taking major sell stops and when the 2022 candle formation occurred I entered. I set alarm for the 50 level and saw that DXY had surpassed its 50 level so I let it ride to my next target. I saw that it could just be consolidating and want to close in the FVG it was rebalancing, however I closed the trade on my target and extremely happy with my analysis, my execution , my exit! Great delivery and trust.
Long
by LeanLena
Daily Market Brief: EUR/USD Analysis Through Correlation Pattern1. Current Market Situation EUR/USD remains under pressure following DAX's -1.17% decline. Key observations: Resistance zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Support level: 1.07810 Subdued trading volumes suggest impending volatility 2. Methodology Our analysis employs: Proprietary Correlation Indicator tracking: • DAX/S&P 500 divergence • EUR/USD's historical response to index movements • Liquidity cluster levels Price action analysis (not theoretical models) 3. Correlation Dynamics Notable patterns: Classic DAX-EUR negative correlation remains intact S&P 500 resilience creates interesting divergence Our indicator detects: 76% chance of false breakout before main move 4. Actionable Trade Plan Primary Scenario (70% probability): Sell zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Invalidation Conditions: DAX rebounds above yesterday's close EUR/USD sustains above 1.0791 5. Execution Guide Monitor DAX futures in real-time Watch for volume spikes at key levels 👉 search Evgenii’s Substack Evgenii’s Substack
Short
by zibr-a