EURUSD BULLISH BREAKOUT AND RETESTOn the weekly chart, EURUSD recently closed above the 1.2000 resistance which has been a significant price zone since February 2023, with price reversing from this point multiple times. However, in the first week of April 2025, price violated this resistance, with the weekly candle closing well above 1.4000. Not only did the price break above the resistane, it was also confirmed by an ulta high volume bar. Since then, price has been retesting the broken resistane, but look at the volume again, its falling. As the bulls come in at this level, and with subsequent rising volumes,the next resistancce for EURUSD should be at the 1.2300 price zone, which is previous resistance from 2020/2021.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD Has Completed the Head and Shoulders PatternThe head and shoulders pattern has completed, indicating a likely decline in the EURUSD pair toward 1.1000.
The potential starting points for the fall could be around 1.12800 or 1.13200, but the safest entry to open a short position is near 1.13700.
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Entry 📈 :
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Stop Loss 🛑:
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Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
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Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 1.17000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 1.10500 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a Bearish trend 🐻,., driven by several key factors.
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Detailed Point-by-Point Recap 📋✨
Fundamentals 📊: USD leads due to Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs; EUR limited by Eurozone risks 💵📉.
Macroeconomics 🌐: US resilience contrasts with Eurozone weakness, favoring USD 🚀📉.
Global Markets 🌍: US equities and yields drive USD strength; Eurozone trade woes hurt EUR 📈📉.
COT Data 📉: Bearish speculative positioning supports USD 🐻.
Seasonality 📅: May historically favors USD, aligning with current trends 📉.
Intermarket 🔗: USD benefits from equity/yield correlations; EUR hit by energy costs 📈📉.
Quantitative 📉: Technicals (RSI, Fibonacci, channels) confirm bearish momentum 🐻.
Sentiment 😣: Bearish institutional bias, with retail shorts suggesting short-term EUR bounce 📉📈.
Trend Prediction 🚀📉: Bearish across timeframes, with downside targets at 1.1080, 1.0445, and 1.00 🐻.
Outlook ⭐: Bearish (7/10), with USD dominance likely to persist 💪📉.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Weekly imbalance
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1282, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1142 a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.1397, above a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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EUR/USD Breakout Watch: All Eyes on 1.12700 Zone
EUR/USD is showing a potential bearish setup after rejecting the strong resistance zone around 1.13800 and forming a Change of Character (ChoCh) at the 1.13100 level. The pair has bounced from the strong support zone at 1.12700 , but structure suggests that a break below this level could confirm a bearish continuation.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
- Price has respected the lower high structure and retraced to the 0.786 fib level near 1.12975.
- A clear breakdown below 1.12700 support would likely trigger a wave down toward the 1.12100 expected target , which aligns with the 1.618 fib extension.
- If price breaks and holds above 1.13800 resistance , this bearish setup becomes invalid.
📰 Fundamental Drivers Supporting Bearish Bias:
- 🇺🇸 US Dollar Strengthening: Recent U.S. economic data including better-than-expected ISM Services PMI and non-farm payrolls continue to support a strong dollar, limiting EUR upside.
- Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance: Fed officials remain cautious about rate cuts. A prolonged pause or delay in easing continues to attract capital back into USD.
- 🇪🇺 Eurozone Weakness: The ECB has signaled a possible rate cut by June, supported by falling inflation and slowing growth in Germany and France. This diverging policy path weakens the Euro.
Yield Spread Pressure: The widening bond yield spread between U.S. and European bonds favors USD accumulation.
// As long as EUR/USD trades below 1.13800, the bias remains bearish. A confirmed breakdown below 1.12700 could open the door to 1.12100 and deeper targets like 1.11600. //
EURUSD 30min Smart Money Long | Order Block + Discount Entry⚡ EURUSD 30m Smart Money Long | May 9, 2025
We're spotting a strong potential reversal after price melts into a clearly defined Order Block deep in the discount zone. Momentum slows, wicks reject the lows, and we’re stacked for a bullish bounce.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
📉 Sharp selloff into 1.12204 support
🧱 Bullish Order Block holding with rejection wicks
🧠 Smart Money Entry Zone marked just above 1.1219
📐 Price below 50% Fib = Discounted premium RR
🚀 TP targeting imbalance fill near 1.13204
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 1.12204
SL: ~1.12078
TP: ~1.13204
RR: Approx. 1:6+
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Big players often load longs in these deep discount zones, right before the crowd notices the shift. This zone is layered with protection: OB, liquidity sweep, and slowed momentum — textbook for a reversal.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
"Don’t chase — wait for price to come to you… in the discount, at the OB."
Wave C Completion Confirmation Through Fibonacci and Level BFX:EURUSD We are now in wave C of the fourth wave, waiting for its completion. Fibonacci levels can be counted to determine potential correction targets, but to confirm further, breaking the key level at B should be monitored, as its breakout could provide a strong signal for the next direction.
EUR_USD LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.1187
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 1.1278
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 8 May 2025
- EURUSD broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.1130
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the support area between the support level 1.1300 (which has been reversing the pair from the start of April), support trendline of the daily up channel from March and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction ii from the start of April.
EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1130 (former strong resistance from the start of April).
EUR/USD at Make or Break Zone — Will the 200 SMA Hold the Line?EUR/USD 4H Analysis
Technical Outlook — May 8, 2025
📊 Current Market Condition:
EUR/USD is retesting key confluence support at 1.1220 where the ascending channel, horizontal support, and 200 SMA align. Price has closed below the 50 EMA and the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting short-term bearish pressure — but a rebound is still possible.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Price is respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel
200 SMA (red) is acting as last line of defense
50 EMA (blue) crossed above price = bearish structure
Stochastic near oversold = possible bullish divergence setup
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas:
📌 Setup 1 — Long Reversal at Channel + 200 SMA Support
Entry: 1.1225–1.1200 (on bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1175 (beneath recent low and channel)
Take Profit 1: 1.1325 (mid-level resistance)
Take Profit 2: 1.1450 (key resistance + top of channel)
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.5+
Note: Wait for confirmation with a bullish 4H close or stochastic crossover before entering.
📌 Setup 2 — Bearish Breakdown & Retest Short
Entry: On break and retest of 1.1200 as resistance
Stop Loss: Above 1.1240 (back inside the channel)
Take Profit 1: 1.1150
Take Profit 2: 1.1080 (previous consolidation zone)
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2+
Note: Look for clean candle close below 1.1200 and rejection from underside before entering.
⚠️ Important Note:
FOMC speeches or USD data could cause unexpected volatility — manage risk accordingly.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.