EURUSD is going to baseMy view about EURUSD: The EU will be in the downtrend until it forms a double bottom pattern and then change direction to the upside until a W pattern forms.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on support zone
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
EURUSD NExt year bullishI believe we may see a potential bearish structure commonly referred to as the “Bart Simpson” pattern, followed by a clear upward trend with a prolonged rally and periodic signs of European recovery. This outlook is supported by the expectation that the United States will move away from Democratic governance, and that a similar shift will occur in core European countries that were previously undermined by these corrupt, progressive left-wing governments.
EUR/USD Downward Movement to Continue?The EUR/USD pair continues to show bearish potential on the daily timeframe.
While Friday's high could be taken as part of a retracement, the overall trend remains bearish.
There is a potential move toward the sell-side liquidity (SSL) below, aligning with unmitigated imbalance zones and market structure.
Watch for price reaction in and around the Daily FVG level and the Fibonacci retracement zones for a potential bearish setup on the lower timeframes.
Trade Safe ;)
EUR / USD - Weekly forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast (Daily TF):
1.0777 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.0629 on 12/06/2024, so more losses to support(s) 1.0332, 1.0206, 1.0002 and more depths is expected.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Trend Hunter Sell Zone (1.0669 to 1.0777). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
We would set sell orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (1.0669)
Ending of entry zone (1.0777)
Take Profits:
1.0600
1.0517
1.0445
1.0332
1.0206
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EURUSD SHORT POSITIONGreetings Traders this is my analysis for EURUSD .
From the last chart that had a solid growth we can see that the price is managing itself for a future Downtrend Movement.
I have redrawn the waves and now I see the completion of the five-wave impulse in the wave “5” of higher order.
I expect that the price should update the nearest local minimum of the wave “3” 1.03350.
I expect the price to reach at least the area of 1.02540 possibly short key level to 1.03072
I think the price will start a downfall to it might reach our potential target for a Downtrend and for a Sell Position
Traders make your own analysis before trading.
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Thank you!
Solo Trading in a Frenzied Market: Avoiding the Crowd TrapIn the world of trading, the crowd effect is a serious psychological obstacle that often causes traders to lose their way. This phenomenon, where traders make decisions based on the majority's actions rather than their own analysis, can result in impulsive buying or selling. As many traders point out, such decisions often end in financial losses.
📍 Understanding the Crowd Effect
The crowd effect is based on the tendency of people to obey the actions of the majority. In the trading arena, it can manifest itself when traders jump on the bandwagon and buy assets during an uptrend in the market or hastily sell them during a downtrend due to panic.
While trend trading may be logical - after all, if most people are buying, it may seem unwise to resist the flow - there is a delicate balance to be struck here. Joining a long-term uptrend can lead to buying assets at their peak. This is especially evident in cryptocurrency markets, where FOMO can cause prices to rise artificially, allowing an experienced market maker to capitalize on these moments by selling off assets at peak levels.
📍 The Dangers of the Crowd Effect for Traders
• Impulsive Decision-Making: Crowd-driven decisions are rarely based on careful analysis, increasing the risk of costly mistakes.
• Ignoring Personal Strategy: Traders often abandon their trading plans in the heat of mass panic or excitement, forgetting the essential disciplines that guide their decisions.
• Overestimating Risks: Following the herd can lead to overextended positions in the expectation of “guaranteed” profits, further increasing potential losses.
• Market Bubbles and Crashes: Collective crowd behavior can lead to market bubbles and sharp declines, negatively affecting all participants.
📍 Examples of the Crowd Effect
▸ Bull Market and FOMO: During a strong uptrend, new traders may be attracted by the sight of other people buying assets. They often join the frenzy at the peak of prices and then take losses when the market corrects.
▸ Bear Market and Panic Selling: During a downturn, fear can prompt traders to sell off massively, minimizing their ability to recoup losses in a recovering market.
▸ Social Media Influence: In today's digital age, the opinions of self-proclaimed market “gurus” can prompt uncritical investment decisions. Traders may buy trending assets without proper analysis, leading to losses when prices inevitably fall.
📍 Why Traders Give in to Crowd Influence
Several psychological factors underlie why traders may succumb to the crowd effect:
▪️ Fear of Being Wrong: Traders derive a sense of security by aligning with the majority, even when it contradicts their logic.
▪️ Desire for Social Approval: The inclination to conform can lead to decisions based on collective trends rather than independent analysis.
▪️ Emotional Traps: High volatility can spread feelings of euphoria or panic, swaying traders away from rational decision-making.
▪️ Cognitive Distortions: The phenomenon of groupthink reinforces the false belief that popular decisions are invariably correct.
▪️ Lack of Confidence: Inexperienced traders, particularly, may align themselves with the crowd out of insecurity in their own judgment.
📍 Steps to Mitigate the Crowd Effect
🔹 Develop a Clear Trading Strategy: Create and adhere to a trading plan that reflects your risk tolerance, and trust it even when market participants act differently.
🔹 Avoid Emotional Decision-Making: Base your trading on systematic analysis rather than fleeting market sentiment. Take a moment to pause and assess your emotions before making critical choices.
🔹 Limit External Influences: Steer clear of forums and social media during volatile periods; avoid following advice without verifiable research.
🔹 Employ Objective Analysis Tools: Lean on technical and fundamental analysis instead of crowd sentiment. Identify patterns and levels for entry and exit rather than moving with the trending tide.
🔹 Enhance Self-Confidence: Fortify your market knowledge and trading strategy to reduce reliance on crowd validation. Keep a trading journal to document your successes and the soundness of your decisions.
🔹 Manage Risks Wisely: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Segment your capital to mitigate the impact of any sizable losses.
🔹 Assess Crowd Behavior: Use indicators, such as market sentiment and trading volume, to gauge the crowd's actions, but retain the independence of thought. Remember that crowds can often misjudge trend reversals.
📍 Conclusion
The crowd effect poses a serious threat to rational decision-making in trading. However, through disciplined strategies, thorough analysis, and effective emotion management, traders can minimize adverse impacts. Remember that successful trading is rooted in objectivity and independent judgment rather than blind conformity.
“The market favors traders who think independently instead of conforming to the crowd.”
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EURUSD SELL ZONE URUSD – Key Sell Zone Identified
EURUSD is trading near a strong resistance area around 1.05270 – 1.05340, indicating a potential sell opportunity.
Trade Setup:
Sell Zone: 1.05270 – 1.05340
Support Levels:
First Target (TP1): 1.04825
Second Target (TP2): 1.04511
Trade Plan:
Entry: Wait for price rejection or bearish confirmation in the sell zone.
Stop Loss: Above 1.05340 (safe protection against breakout).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.04825 (mid-support zone)
TP2: 1.04511 (lower support zone)
Outlook:
Price action suggests a potential downward movement after rejection from the resistance zone. Manage risk carefully and follow confirmation signals for entry.
EURO - Price can break resistance level and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside flat, where it declined to resistance area and then rose to top part of flat.
Also, when price rose to top part of flat, EUR made a first gap and then made downward impulse.
Price exited from flat and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it broke $1.0760 level and continued to fall.
Later price reached $1.0520 level, some time traded near, and then declined to $1.0335 points, exiting of falling channel.
Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a second gap and some time traded between $1.0520 level.
Now price trying to break $1.0520 level, and I think it can break it and continue to grow to $1.0720 in channel.
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EUR/USD Forecasting for MondayCycle complete
market Just need some LIQ to Get Energy For Going UP
so I expecting Price in Asia Session going down and then to Go UP
Eurusd Sell OpportunityI'm anticipating a double bottom set up before reversing to an uptrend.
Fib levels on Daily/Wkly show price has reached 50% . Needs to complete the fib sequence on the higher time frame. If price moves above 1.054 we will invalidate this trade idea and look for buying opportunities.
Final Target 1 .03725
EURUSD → Consolidation before Fed Interest Rate DecisionFX:EURUSD is in a consolidation phase, as is the dollar index. The outcome could be decided this week. Traders are waiting for the FED meeting on US interest rates
Globally the trend is neutral, but the price is consolidating near the key support that has been holding the market for two years. Aggressive interest rate cuts in Europe are putting overall negative pressure on the currency pair. The dollar may go into a downward correction if the decision to cut interest rates is made on December 17-18. But any hint of hawkish policy on the part of the Fed may strengthen the dollar, which will intensify the decline in EURUSD
Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.065
Support levels: 1.045, 1.033
Based on interest, amid the downtrend, the price has not yet reached the key liquidity zone. Before important news, the market may reach 1.0607. But based on the technical and fundamental background, the fall may continue, and a breakdown of 1.0448 will strengthen this fall.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD: The Dollar Continues to Take OverHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04700 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Forex Traders Await the Fed's DecisionForex Traders Await the Fed's Decision
The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision today at 21:00 GMT+2, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell holding a press conference 30 minutes later. According to Forex Factory, the market expects a rate cut to 4.25%-4.50% from the current 4.50%-4.75%.
Analysts at Apollo Global Management, in their Economic Outlook, predict:
→ In 2025, the Fed will continue lowering rates but at a slower pace than the market anticipates;
→ By the end of 2025, the rate is expected to settle at 4.0%.
In anticipation of today's decision, the currency markets are experiencing a period of calm.
The technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart shows that the pair consolidates between the upper boundary of a descending channel and the lower black support line, forming a narrowing triangle pattern (highlighted in purple).
Today's Fed meeting could trigger a surge in volatility, potentially driving sharp movements in USD pairs. For EUR/USD, opposite scenarios are possible:
→ An upward movement with a bullish breakout of the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel;
→ Continuation of the downtrend with a breakout below the lower black support line.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Rising from the Ashes: EURO's Path to RecoveryGood day traders,
Trust we all profited from the FOMC report of yesterday.
Please take a moment to go through my outlook and expectation on Euro in the coming weeks into the new year.
Overview
EUR/USD appears to be rebounding after a sharp decline triggered by yesterday's FOMC report, where the FED delivered a hawkish 25bps cut, which drove higher market-driven borrowing costs, a stronger dollar and a sharp drop in stocks. From the start of the week EURUSD had previously been consolidating, during which weak buyers (traders) were caught off guard by a false breakout to the upside, reaching a weekly high of 1.05342 on Tuesday.
Idea
The subsequent sell-off drove the pair to a four-week low of 1.03439, just above the November 22nd low of 1.03324. This drop aligns with a key Fibonacci reversal pattern under Elliott Wave theory, suggesting the potential for a significant rally. If this pattern holds, EUR/USD could gain approximately 400 pips (1.08150) in the coming weeks, with the recovery likely extending into the new year.
Conclusion
The recent low is expected to act as a firm support level, and a breach of the November low appears unlikely. This anticipated rally could mark the beginning of a period of recovery and optimism for the euro.
Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
EURUSD M30
In the previous analysis , the momentum generated by news pushed the market sharply downward, aligning with my projections but with a slight delay. As a result, the market moved 128 pips lower, just one day off the original forecast.
The overall bearish trend remains intact. However, the market is currently in a consolidation phase, which could offer a temporary buying opportunity. I anticipate that buyers may push the price higher toward 1.0423, and potentially 1.0460.
From these levels, the downtrend is likely to resume. Close observation of selling pressure at these key zones will be essential to confirm the next phase of the market's movement.
EUR/USD is on track for a price increase
The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.0394-1.0382 support zone on the hourly timeframe after a decline. This area is considered a valid and important support due to the intersection of key Fibonacci levels (50% and 61.8%) and previous strong reactions.
The price reaction to this support area indicates the presence of buyers and their desire to return the price to higher levels. If the price can hold this level, a move towards the resistances of 1.0513 and then 1.0618 is not far off in the short term.
On the other hand, a clear break of this support range (1.0394-1.0382) could lead to increased selling pressure and a drop to lower levels. Traders should pay attention to the reaction of the candles in this range as well as volume indicators to make better decisions.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0455
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0536
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0334
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURUSD ShortCurrently short on EU
Reasons:
- Downwards trend
- COT traders overwhelmingly bearish on EUR
- Political instability in Europe
- Bad economic news in Europe
- ECB president "highlighted that euro area economic growth is expected to weaken in the coming months"
- US expected to also cut rates, but looks a lot stronger economically compared to most of the world right now
A golden move by EURUSDA golden move by EURUSD almost half pennant pattern nearly completed waiting for the remaining parts and there is a beautiful 5-drive pattern complete and waiting for a short triangle breakout and everything goes in the same directions
EURUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone. FX:EURUSD is coming out of a prolonged consolidation. As part of counter-trend correction, the price is testing the previously broken support and trying to consolidate in the selling zone.
The fundamental background has become sharply negative since last week, which generally determines the medium-term potential for the currency pair.
The rate cuts in the US have slowed down, but in Europe they are going to continue to cut rates. Trump's policy with his tariff system will also put negative pressure on the EURO.
Technically, against the background of a strong rallying dollar, the euro has almost no chance.
If the bears keep the defense below 1.0448 and focus on breaking the support, the currency pair may head towards 1.022 in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.022
At the moment, the focus is on the two nearest resistances. It is possible to retest these zones and try to defend their borders from the buyer's side, but there are not many chances. A breakdown and fixing of the price in the selling zone will strengthen further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on December 20? Simple Tips The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0406, above 1/8 of Murray, and within the downtrend channel forming since November 29th.
Yesterday during the American session, the euro reached the low of 1.0325 and covered the gap that it had left on November 20th around 1.0417.
Since the euro is showing a slight recovery while consolidating above 1/8 of Murray, we could expect EUR/USD to reach 21 SMA located at 1.0465 and even climb to the 200 EMA located at 1.0576.
Since the market is showing signs of overselling, it is likely that the euro will consolidate above 1.03 and below 1.05 due to low liquidity at the end of the year.
Meanwhile, we will look for opportunities to buy within this range.
A sharp break and consolidation above the psychological level of 1.05 and above 2/8 Murray could mean a strong recovery.
Therefore, we expect the instrument to reach 4/8 Murray 1.0742 and even rebound to 1.0864.
EURUSD: Best opportunity to buy for the long term.EURUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.973, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 14.482) but almost still oversold on 1W (RSI = 35.674). This is because after the November 18th 1W candle bottom on the LL trendline of the 2 year Channel Down, it has completed 2 red weeks in a row. Still, having rebounded on oversold 1W RSI territory, those low levels present an excellent buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom. Every bounce on the Channel Down bottom has made at least a +5.42% rally, and that is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.0900). This may coincide with a 1W MA200 test.
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