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EURUSDHello, traders Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce. 1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails. 1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement. Resistance Levels: 1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside. 1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues. 1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point. Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
by JuliaKathleen
1
EURO - Price can drop to $1.1200 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price traded inside a flat structure with weak movement and low volatility in a tight range. Then the Euro made a breakout and formed a strong impulse, reaching resistance and creating a new local high. After that, price entered a pennant and made a short correction, but then continued rising with momentum. Later, it touched resistance again and started forming a triangle pattern with a tightening structure. Now price is near the upper boundary of the triangle and trades above $1.1135 support without a clear breakout. In my opinion, Euro can reverse from resistance and decline to $1.1200 in the next move, thereby exiting from pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
9
Long-term bullish breakout on EUR/USD!Hey traders, Let’s dive into some weekly price action on EUR/USD and uncover what the charts are really telling us. 📈 🔍 Key observations (weekly Chart): Major breakout: Two weeks ago, EUR/USD printed a strong bullish candle that broke and closed above a critical resistance zone, the July 2023 high and September 2024 high. ➡️ This marks a bullish structural shift on the higher timeframe. Bullish inside bar: Last week's candle was also bullish but formed an inside bar, closing within the previous candle’s range and failing to break the high. ➡️ This suggests consolidation, not rejection. 🧠 What it means: ✅ The break above multi-month highs signals strength and long-term bullish momentum. ✅ The inside bar can be viewed as a pause or healthy retest rather than weakness. ✅ Likely, price is accumulating orders before a new push higher. 📅 Weekly bias: bullish continuation Here’s why: The break and close above key structure is a big deal. Consolidation after such a breakout is normal and often precedes continuation. As long as price stays above the broken highs, the bias is firmly bullish. 🔔 What to watch next: ✅ A break and close above last week's high = strong bullish continuation signal. 🔁 A dip into the broken resistance (now support) + bullish rejection = a solid buy opportunity. ⚖️ There’s a price imbalance just below last week’s low, price could dip into it before taking off again. 💬 Final thoughts: The long-term trend is shifting. This is not the time to fade strength, but rather to look for high-probability entries on pullbacks. 📢 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to boost the idea and follow for more weekly updates!
Long
by AmaWina
2
EUR/USD – Perfection in Motion🔥 EUR/USD – Perfection in Motion 🔥 This 20HR chart is a textbook example of precision trading: Price tapped perfectly off the Fibonacci 0.236 at 1.1368 and held. You can clearly see how the structure is respecting both the 11HR low and 18D Candle Bottom zone. The rejection wick from the top aligns with the 20HR Previous High at 1.1572, adding confluence to this current retracement. We're now in a tight reaction zone, where the next candle or two will tell the story: is it continuation… or deeper pullback? This is why I focus on: ✅ Zone behavior ✅ Candle reaction ✅ Trend maturity Not just noise. 📊 "The market doesn't lie — it just waits for you to listen." #EURUSD #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStructure #PerfectionInCharts
Long
by MoNi_MoN
2
EURUSD 4H LongTrading Idea: Long Position on EURUSD This chart illustrates a short position on EURUSD, capitalizing on Fibonacci Retracement and Order block Analysis: • Market Structure: The overall market structure is in bullish mode. • Fair Value Gap: With recent breakout (both internal and external), the market created fair value gap, hence we expect retracement to fill that gap before giving further breakout. • Fibonacci Retracement: We expect the market to retrace to the Fibonacci Golden level of 61.8% • Order Block: We can also place another limit order near the Order Block. Trade plan 1: • Entry: 1.13705 • Stop Loss: 1.13144 • Take Profit: 1.15733 • Risk-Reward: 1:3.5 Trade plan 2: • Entry: 1.2922 • Stop Loss: 1.1239 • Take Profit: 1.14082 • Risk-Reward: 1:2 Disclaimer : The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information.
Long
by ManiMarkets
2
EURUSDEUR/USD Directional Bias in the Face of Tariff War The ongoing tariff war—particularly between the US and China, but also involving threats of US tariffs on the Eurozone—is exerting a complex but generally bullish bias on the EUR/USD pair in the short term, despite underlying economic headwinds for the Eurozone Key Drivers of EUR/USD Directional Bias 1. US Dollar Weakness from Trade War Fears The escalation of US-China tariffs and threats of additional US tariffs on Eurozone goods have led to increased fears of a US recession and higher inflation, both of which are negative for the dollar. As US companies face higher costs and potentially lower revenues due to tariffs and retaliation, the market expects the US economy to falter faster than others, prompting capital outflows from the dollar and into other currencies, including the euro. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped to multi-year lows, supporting EUR/USD gains. 2. Euro as a Relative Beneficiary Despite the ECB's dovish stance and recent rate cut, the euro has benefited from the dollar’s weakness and the perception that Europe may weather the trade war fallout better than the US, at least in the short run. The Eurozone’s willingness to consider fiscal support measures and the potential for capital repatriation from US assets to Europe further support the euro. 3. Market Sentiment and Positioning Speculative positioning is increasingly bullish on the euro, with net long positions at their highest since September 2024. However, commercial hedgers are extending short exposure, suggesting caution and the potential for volatility. The pair is approaching overbought levels, so while the bias is up, a short-term retracement is possible if the rally becomes overstretched. 4. Risks and Uncertainties Any signs of de-escalation in the tariff war or a sudden improvement in US-China or US-EU trade negotiations could quickly reverse the euro’s gains. The Eurozone is not immune to trade war fallout; ECB estimates suggest tariffs could cut Eurozone GDP by 0.5–1 percentage point, which could weigh on the euro if realized Summary Table: EUR/USD in Tariff War Context Factor Impact on EUR/USD US-China/EU Tariff Escalation Bullish for EUR/USD US Recession Fears Bullish for EUR/USD ECB Rate Cuts Limits EUR upside Eurozone Fiscal Support Supports EUR Market Positioning Bullish, but watch for volatility Trade War De-escalation Bearish for EUR/USD Conclusion In the current tariff war environment, the EUR/USD directional bias is bullish, driven primarily by US dollar weakness and relative safe-haven flows into the euro. However, this bias is fragile—vulnerable to changes in trade policy rhetoric, economic data surprises, and any signs of de-escalation. Near-term, EUR/USD could continue to test higher resistance levels, but overbought conditions and Eurozone economic risks may cap gains or trigger corrections.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
2
EUR/USD , here’s a clean pattern breakdown:1. Market Structure Range-Bound Consolidation Zone between 1.1325 – 1.1383 Multiple equal lows near 1.1325 → liquidity pool Strong bullish impulse leg prior → possible bullish continuation base Lower highs forming since the spike near 1.1570 → potential descending triangle if support fails 2. Key Levels (Marked on Chart) Resistance: 1.1383 → Recent high / breakout cap 1.1421 → Prior HTF supply 1.1472 / 1.1570 → Major HTF OBs Support: 1.1340 → Micro support 1.1325 → Liquidity base (very reactive) 1.1279 → Key HTF Demand Zone (OB + FVG) 1.1248 → Breaker block zone 3. Patterns Detected Mini Range Formation between 1.1325 – 1.1380 Equal Lows Sweep Setup → classic bullish liquidity trap play Break & Retest Play forming around 1.1380 zone Candle wicks show bullish absorption at the base (1.1325) Volume rising on bounces = demand showing up 4. Trade Bias & Setup Ideas Bias: Bullish above 1.1325, bearish below 1.1279 Intraday Trade Idea: Look for sweep of 1.1325 liquidity, then H1 bullish engulfing or M15 engulfing + volume surge TP1: 1.1380, TP2: 1.1420, SL: below 1.1310 (1.5x ATR) Swing Play Idea: If price closes above 1.1380 with strength, potential breakout toward 1.1420 → 1.1470 5. Session Play Map London: likely sweep + bounce New York: continuation or breakout zone Asia: typically range-bound or sweep setups EUR/USD – Swing Trade Recommendation As of: April 25, 2025 – 3:25 PM EST Broker: Oanda Current Price: 1.1368 ATR (H1): ~19 pips Risk Level: Medium Bias: Bullish ✅ 🧠 Swing Setup Logic We're in a bullish continuation zone after multiple defenses of the 1.1325 liquidity base. Price is compressing below 1.1380, forming a potential breakout structure. HTF trend remains bullish with W1 + D1 both holding higher lows. Momentum building. 🛠️ Swing Trade Setup Entry Plan: Buy on H4 close above 1.1385 with confirmation from volume spike or Buy the retest of 1.1380–1.1365 zone with bullish engulfing on H1/M30 SL: 1.1310 (1.5x ATR buffer under structure) TP1: 1.1420 (2R) TP2: 1.1470 (3R) TP3 (trail): If daily candle closes above 1.1470, trail using H1 higher lows Lot Size (1% risk on $20K): ~1.05 lots (with 58-pip SL) ⚠️ Risk Filters News Risk: No high-impact events in next 6 hrs ✅ Volume Check: Only enter if breakout candle has >20% above avg volume Rejection Filter: Avoid entry if breakout stalls at 1.1385 (double top warning) 🧩 Final Score (Pre-Trade Grading) HTF Trend: ✅ (2/2) Confluence: ✅ (2/2) Price Behavior: ✅ (2/2) RR Quality: ✅ (2/2) News Filtered: ✅ (2/2) Total Score: 10/10 → TRADE CONFIRMED ✅ Swing Recap Bias: Long Entry Trigger: Break & Retest or Breakout of 1.1385 Target Range: 1.1420 → 1.1470 Stop: 1.1310 Risk:Reward: 1:2.2 to 1:3.3 Confidence: High
Long
by wojoforex
1
EURUSD: continuously overboughtPrevious week was the relatively calmer one on financial markets, to some extent due to lack of new information regarding trade tariffs. In addition, Friday was a holiday on Western markets, and was a non-working day, same as Monday in the week ahead. Usually, the pre-holiday period is a relatively calmer one on markets. As for macro data posted for the US, the Retail Sales in March were higher by 1,4% a bit higher from market consensus of 1,3%. The Industrial Production in March dropped by -0,3% for the month, while on a yearly basis was standing at 1,3%. Building permits preliminary for March were at the level of 1.482M a bit higher from market estimate of 1,45M. Building permits were by 1,6% higher on a monthly basis. The major event during the previous week was the ECB meeting and decision on facility rate. For one more time the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points. In an after the meeting press conference, the SCB President Lagarde expressed some urgency in light of ongoing trade tensions as well as increased disinflationary pressures. The wholesale prices in Germany dropped by -0,2% in March, leading to an increase of 1,3% on a yearly basis. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for April in Germany reached the level of -14,0, which was significantly below estimated 9,5. The Inflation rate in the Euro Zone final for March was standing at 0,6%, a bit higher from previous 0,4%, but in line with market expectations. Inflation rate on a yearly basis in march was at the level of 2,2%. The Producers Price Index in Germany in March was -0,2% for the year and -0,7% for the month. Both figures were well below market estimates. Friday, April 11th, was the critical day from the point of technical analysis, considering that the market pushed the eurusd toward the long term resistance line at 1,14. As expected, the market used the previous week to test this level. The moving range of the currency pair was between 1,1273 and 1,1406. Evidently, at this point of time there was no strength to cross the 1,14 level. The RSI continues to move at the highly overbought market side, above the level of 70. Interesting development occurred with MA lines, where MA 50 crossed the MA 200 from the downside. This formation in technical analysis is called the golden-cross, indicating high potential for a trend reversal, in this case, in the favour of the euro. The week ahead will start slowly, considering Easter holidays on the Western markets. At the same time, there is no currently important news scheduled for a release. The final Michigan Consumer Sentiment for April is set for a release, however, the market is not expecting to see some significant change from the previous post. In this sense, there is a higher probability of a relaxation in the eurusd currency pair. The 1,14 level could be shortly tested again, while on the downside, there is equal probability that the 1,12 support level could be tested again. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for April for Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate in Germany in April, USD: S&P Global Composite PMI Flash for April, Durable Goods Orders in March, Existing Home Sales in March, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for April.
by XBTFX
What Is a PD Array in ICT, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a PD Array in ICT, and How Can You Use It in Trading? The PD array, or Premium and Discount array, is a key concept within the Inner Circle Trader methodology, designed to help traders map market movements and identify high-probability zones. By breaking down price behaviour into premium and discount levels, along with tools like order blocks and fair value gaps, the PD array provides a structured framework for analysis. This article explores its components, applications, and how traders can integrate it into their strategies. What Is a PD Array? An ICT PD array, short for Premium and Discount array, is a concept developed by Michael J. Huddleston, the mind behind the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. At its core, the PD array is a framework used to organise price levels and zones on a chart where significant institutional activity is likely to occur. These zones highlight areas of interest such as potential support or resistance, points where liquidity resides, or regions that might attract price movement. The PD array divides the market into two primary zones: premium and discount. These zones help traders gauge whether the price is above or below its equilibrium, often calculated using the 50% level of a significant price range. In practical terms, prices in the premium zone are typically considered attractive in a downtrend and unattractive in an uptrend, while prices in the discount zone are more attractive in an uptrend and less attractive in a downtrend. Beyond premium and discount zones, PD arrays include specific elements like order blocks, which are regions linked to institutional buying or selling, and fair value gaps (FVGs), which are imbalances or gaps in price that the market often seeks to revisit. Together, these elements create a structured roadmap for traders to interpret price behaviour. Unlike a static indicator, an ICT PD array is dynamic and requires traders to interpret price movements in real time, considering the broader market context. It’s not a quick fix but a methodical approach to understanding how price delivers across different levels, offering a clearer view of where high-probability reactions could occur. The PD array is often combined with other ICT concepts, like market structure shifts or SMT divergence, to sharpen analysis and focus on precise market opportunities. Premium and Discount Zones of a PD Array The foundation of a PD array starts with defining the premium and discount zones. This is typically done by identifying a significant price swing—either a low to a high or vice versa—and applying a Fibonacci retracement. The 50% level of this range serves as the equilibrium point, dividing the chart into two zones: - Premium zone: Price levels above 50%, often considered less attractive in an uptrend and more attractive in a downtrend. - Discount zone: Price levels below 50%, seen as more attractive in an uptrend and less attractive in a downtrend. This equilibrium acts as a baseline, helping traders assess whether the price is likely to reverse, consolidate, or continue based on its position relative to the 50% mark. Tools Within the PD Array The PD array doesn’t rely on a fixed set of tools. Instead, it offers a collection of components traders can use to refine their analysis. While the choice of tools can vary, they’re often ranked in a loose hierarchy, known as a PD array matrix, based on their importance within the ICT methodology. Let’s break down how this structure works. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas where institutional traders placed large buy or sell orders, often leading to significant price moves. On a chart, they appear as the last bullish or bearish candle before a sharp reversal. Order blocks are highly prioritised within the PD array because they indicate zones of potential support or resistance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) FVGs are gaps between price levels that form when the market moves too quickly to fill orders evenly. These imbalances create "unfinished business" in the market, and price often revisits these areas to restore balance. They are especially useful for spotting potential reversals or continuation points. Breaker Blocks Breaker blocks form when order blocks fail. When supply or demand zones are unable to hold and the market structure shifts, breaker blocks emerge, highlighting key levels to monitor. Mitigation Blocks Mitigation blocks are related to breaker blocks but form after a market structure shift, where the price makes a lower high (in an uptrend) or a higher low (in a downtrend). They function the same as breaker blocks, but the key difference is in the failure of a new high/low before the trend reverses. Liquidity Voids Liquidity voids are areas on the chart where there’s little to no trading activity, often following sharp price movements. These large FVGs are often revisited by price as the market seeks to rebalance liquidity, making them significant for identifying future price movements. Rejection Blocks ICT rejection blocks are similar in concept to order blocks but consist of the wicks present on a given timeframe where an order block could be drawn. They are essentially a refined version of an order block where the price may reverse. Old Lows or Highs Old lows or highs represent liquidity pools where traders place stop orders. These levels are magnets for the price, as the market often seeks to trigger these stops before reversing. Identifying these points helps traders anticipate where the price might gravitate. Using ICT PD Arrays for Trading Let’s consider how to use the PD array of the ICT methodology. Evaluating Trend Structure Before anything else, traders typically assess the broader trend by analysing highs and lows. The goal is to identify the current structure and wait for the market to form a new significant high or low that aligns with the existing trend. For instance, in an uptrend, a trader might wait for a new higher high to form, followed by a retracement. Once the new high or low is established, traders often draw a Fibonacci retracement tool between the previous low and the recent swing high (or vice versa for a downtrend). This creates a clear division of the price range into premium and discount zones, providing the foundation of the PD array. Retracement into the PD Array As the price retraces within the range, traders watch for it to reach the premium zone in a downtrend or the discount zone in an uptrend. This positioning is essential—it signals that the price has reached an area where the risk-reward profile may be more favourable. Finding Specific Setups Within these zones, traders use the tools of the PD array to refine their approach. For instance, an FVG might act as a key level, particularly if it sits just ahead of an order block. Alternatively, a breaker block might signal a potential reversal if the price aligns with the broader trend structure. By combining these elements, traders can narrow their focus to setups that align with both the PD array and the underlying market conditions. The Limitations of ICT PD Arrays While ICT PD arrays offer a structured framework for analysing price behaviour, they’re not without their challenges. Traders relying on this methodology should be aware of its limitations to avoid potential pitfalls. Here are some key considerations: - Subjectivity in Marking Zones: Identifying premium and discount zones, as well as order blocks or other components, can vary between traders. This subjectivity means that no two analyses are identical, which may lead to inconsistent outcomes. - Experience Required: Effectively using PD arrays demands a solid understanding of market structure, liquidity concepts, and the ICT methodology. It can feel overwhelming for beginners without adequate practice. - Higher Timeframe Dependence: While PD arrays are valuable, they’re more popular on higher timeframes. Traders focusing solely on smaller timeframes might encounter more false signals. - Dynamic Nature: Markets evolve quickly, and PD arrays require traders to adapt in real time. This dynamic quality can be a challenge for those who struggle with decision-making under pressure. - Overfitting Risk: With so many tools available within the ICT framework, it’s easy to overanalyse or misinterpret signals, leading to analysis paralysis. The Bottom Line ICT PD arrays offer traders a structured framework to analyse market movements and identify key price zones, helping them refine their strategies. By combining these arrays with other tools and techniques, traders can gain deeper insights into institutional activity. FAQ What Is the ICT PD Array? The ICT PD array meaning refers to a Premium and Discount array, a trading concept developed within the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. It organises price levels and zones into premium and discount areas, helping traders analyse where the price is likely to react and reverse and place entry and exit points. The framework includes tools like order blocks, fair value gaps, and liquidity voids to identify potential areas of institutional interest. What Is a Premium Array in Forex? A premium array in forex refers to the portion of a price range above its equilibrium level, typically the 50% mark of a significant swing high and low. Traders consider this zone less attractive for buying, as it’s closer to overvaluation, and often watch for potential selling opportunities. What Is a Discount Array in Forex? A discount array is the zone below the equilibrium level of a price range. It represents a potentially more favourable area for potential buying opportunities, as prices are considered undervalued relative to the swing high and low. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Lingrid | EURUSD bullish MOMENTUM Testing KEY Resistance LevelThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It reached the target zone. FX:EURUSD formed a massive bullish weekly candle, representing an impulse leg on lower timeframes. The market broke and closed above the 2023 high and is now testing the 2022 high. On the 1H timeframe, the market is likely to create an ABC pullback toward the support level and upward trendline. I think the price may continue moving sideways since consolidation phases typically follow impulse legs. If the price rejects the support level below, we can expect the market to move higher. This consolidation would be a natural breathing period after the strong upward movement before potentially continuing the bullish trend. My goal is resistance zone around 1.15000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
15
EURUSD 3 TARGETS for selling 3 TOPS. The 5 year cheat-sheet!The EURUSD pair opened the week with a strong rally already due to the fundamentals surrounding the recent Tariff news. The 1W RSI is overbought at 74.00 and it hasn't been that high since January 22 2018. That was a long-term Top for EURUSD that initiated a 2-year downtrend until the March 2020 COVID crash and the start of massive rate hiking. Even the last two times that the RSI came close to such overbought levels, the pair started a 6-month peak formation pattern with 3 Highs that offered solid short entries before the eventual larger downtrend. Those periods were January 30 2023 - July 17 2023 and August 31 2020 - May 24 2021. Given that EURUSD is now trading within a long-term Channel Up (blue) and just formed a 1D MA50/ 1W MA50 Bullish Cross, we are closer to High (1) than not, since every time that is formed close to the standard +16.19% rise from the bottom. For those successive Highs, our long-term sell targets will be 1.12500, 1.13250 and 1.12000 on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level respectively. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart) 🧭 Chart Overview: Current Price: ~1.1350 Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support. EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone. 📌 Key Levels: 🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400 Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern. Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area. 🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345 Currently acting as a decision zone. If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg. 🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130 Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone. Potential target for the anticipated drop. 🧠 Price Action & Structure: Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels. Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top. Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone. ⚙️ Possible Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support. Target: 1.1110 area. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability): Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum. Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+. 🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: Lower high formation potential. EMA 50 starting to flatten. Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance. Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks. 📉 Conclusion: This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
Short
by MrStellanSight
6
ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higherThe euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day. The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December 2022. The markets had expected the rate cut and the euro showed limited movement in response to the move. The ECB's rate cut was largely a response to the chaos around US tariff policy. US President Donald Trump has sharply attacked the EU over its trade policy and slapped 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the US. The EU retaliated with counter-tariffs but suspended those measures for 90 days after Trump suspended a second round of tariffs on EU goods. The sides are negoatiating but the US has threatened new tariffs on pharmaceutical products and the EU-US trade war could escalate in the coming weeks. The euro has benefited so far from the escalating trade tensions, as hit 1.1476 last week, its highest level since February 2022. The US dollar has sustained sharp losses against the major currencies as investors look for safer shores in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets. The ECB statement said that the inflation continues to ease but expressed concern over worsening trade tensions which have muddied the economic outlook. ECB President Lagarde said in her follow-up press conference that "downside risks to economic growth have increased" which would likely impact on exports, investment and consumption. The Federal Reserve is prepared to lower rates if necesary but the markets have priced in a hold at 90% the May 7 meeting according to CME Fedwatch. A cut in June is much more likely, with a 60% probability.
by OANDA
1
More upside for EUHi traders, Last week EU finished the correction (orange) wave 4 and after that it went up again for wave 5 (orange). As you see price made a three wave impulse so wave 5 could be an ending diagonal or wave 4 becomes a Triangle. In both cases we could see some more upside next week. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Bearish reversal for the Fiber?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1532 1st Support: 1.1198 1st Resistance: 1.1710 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets