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Advanced Trend Analysis in SMC Smart Money Concept Trading Forex In this article, we will discuss how to execute advanced market trend analysis with smart money concept trading. I will teach you how to identify long-term, mid-term and minor trend and how to apply trend analysis in making predictions and trading. First, let me briefly remind you the basic rules of a trend analysis in SMC trading. We say that the market is bullish if there are at least 2 bullish impulses with 2 higher highs and a retracement leg between them with a higher low. The market is bearish if there are at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 lower lows and a retracement leg between them with a lower high. If the conditions for a bullish or a bearish trend are not met, we say that the market is consolidating . Bullish violation of the last higher high in a bullish trend is called a Break of Structure BoS. Bearish violation of the last higher low in a bullish trend is called a Change of Character CHoCH. Bearish violation of the last lower low in a bearish trend is called a Break of Structure BoS. Bullish violation of the last lower high in a bearish trend is called a Change of Character CHoCH. BoS signifies a trend continuation. CHoCH signifies a trend violation. In order to apply these rules on a price chart, we perceive the market movements as the set of impulse and retracement legs. However, with such a method of analysis a big question arises: what is exactly is the impulse leg, how strong and long it should be. Which price fluctuations can be a part of the impulse and which should be excluded. Look at the example above. A price action on AUDCAD can be perceived as one single bullish impulse or a combination of 3 bullish impulses and retracements and a combination of multiple impulses and retracements. Which way of analysis is correct? The fact is that the price action analysis on each chart is correct . The only difference between them is the perspective . From a long-term perspective , the entire price movement on the chart is a one single impulse. From a mid-term perspective , it is the market that is trading in a bullish trend in 3 bullish impulses. From a short-term perspective , it is the market that is trading in a bullish trend and started to consolidate and trade in sideways for some time, resuming the growth then. With advanced SMC trend analysis, you should learn to perceive a price chart not only as a combination of impulse and retracement legs, but also as a combination of long-term, mid-term and short-term trends and movements. Depending on your trading style, such a reasoning can be applied on any time frame. Look at AUDJPY pair on an hourly time frame. From a long-term perspective, the pair is trading in a bearish trend. Studying in details the last bullish impulse, we can perceive it as a minor bullish trend with its confirmed violation after a Change of Character. Let's discuss another example. EURNZD is trading in a clear long-term bullish trend on a daily. Zooming in the chart, we can also analyze the last bullish impulse in a long-term bullish trend as a mid-term bullish trend. At the same time, if we analyze the recent minor movements, we can spot a confirmed minor bearish trade on the pair. Why do we need such an in-depth market trend analysis? Always remember that a global trend is always born from a minor trend. Minor trend analysis will help you to identify local reversal, trend following signals much earlier. The fact that EURNZD started to trade in a minor bearish trend, being globally bullish, can be an important warning sign for us. You can see that after some time the pair started to fall rapidly. A minor bearish trend continued, a mid-term bullish trend was violated and a correction started in a global bullish trend. Your ability to correctly analyze different market perspectives is essential for making accurate predictions. The trend analysis rules and events that we discussed are more than enough for successful trading any time frame and any market. Study trend analysis, learn to identify global, mid-term and minor trend and good luck in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
3
The Best Level to Short EURUSD TP +120/+240 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 6hour chart for EURUSD today. As expected previously we are getting a normal bounce off the fresh demand zone at 0800 currently closing on heavy overhead mirror s/r resistance. 🔸This setup falls in-line with my strategic outlook for EURUSD which is targeting 0500, review via link: 🔸Key mirror S/R detected at 0925/0945, most likely further upside is very limited in EURUSD so expecting fresh sell-side pressure and reversal from the key s/r zone. Bears will target fresh demand zone near 0700. 🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: focus on short selling high near 0925/0945 price cluster SL fixed at 40 pips TP1 +120 pips TP2 +240 pips final exit at 0700. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mirror S/R level at 0700. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
28
Why I Prefer EURUSD Long Now.EURUSD is showing some rejection post election and USD strength as a result of Trumps win. Trumps inflationary effect is what gives a boost to the USD as it is less likely rates will fall from the FED quickly. Similarly, there is still a case for long side inflows into the EURO, particularly if key data shortly encourages it further. A stronger rebound of the EU economy is causing a hold on rate reducing as it is less necessary. Would not be wholly surprised if a rebound occurs. Take note of the continued sideways movement long term that could easily persist as there is no real favourability of the USD over the EURO. Long side entries favourable and taken for swing moves. Will reflect on price action as the move progresses and goes through key FIBs/Price action levels higher. Interesting to keep an eye on the sentiment case, but so far, does not reflect ultra USD strength VS the EURO.
Long
by WillSebastian
2
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.0621 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.0722 Safe Stop Loss - 1.0566 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
HelenP. I Euro will rebound down from resistance zone to $1.0650Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price trades near the resistance zone (1.1120/1.1090) and then breaks the 2nd resistance level and starts to trades below. Some time later price declined a little more, but soon turned around and rose to the resistance zone, breaking resistance 1 one more time. Next, Euro continued to grow and reached the trend line, after which turned around and started to decline. In a shor time, the price broke resistance 1 again and continued to fall to another one resistance zone (1.0790/1.0760), which coincided with the current resistance level. When the price reached this zone, it at once rebounded and rose to the trend line, but soon fell back to the resistance area, after which made a strong upward movement, breaking the trend line. Euro rose to 1.0940 points, making a gap also, and then made a strong impulse down. Price broke resistance 1 and reached the trend line, but a not long time ago it rose to this level and now trades very close. In my opinion, EURUSD will enter to resistance zone and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 1.0650 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
1
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0753, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0811, a multi-swing high resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 1.0703, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
2
EURUSD Will Grow! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.061. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.068 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
Application of Quantum Analysis in ForexApplication of Quantum Analysis in Forex Quantum mechanics, once the realm of advanced physics, is making waves in the forex trading world. As technology evolves, the principles of quantum analysis are set to revolutionise trading strategies, offering profound insights into market movements. Dive in to learn about quantum AI, quantum analysis, and the challenges going forward. Quantum Analysis: Breaking It Down Quantum analysis draws inspiration from quantum mechanics, the branch of physics that delves into the behaviour of particles at their most microscopic levels. Its principles challenge the classical views of physics, introducing concepts that, at first glance, might seem counterintuitive. Three foundational principles drive quantum mechanics: superposition, entanglement, and quantum tunnelling. Superposition posits that a quantum system can exist in multiple states simultaneously until observed. This idea can be translated to market scenarios, where multiple outcomes are possible until a decisive market event occurs. Entanglement describes how particles, once interconnected, remain linked even when separated by vast distances. In trading, this could symbolise the interconnectedness of global markets. Lastly, quantum tunnelling pertains to a particle's ability to pass through barriers. Analogously, in forex, this can represent unexpected market shifts or breakthroughs. The Intersection of Quantum Computing and Forex Quantum computing harnesses the unique capabilities of quantum mechanics to process information at rates unimaginable with classical computers. In forex, where milliseconds can mean significant profit or loss, the unparalleled speed and precision of quantum computers present groundbreaking potential. Quantum FX trading emerges at this juncture, leveraging quantum computational power to analyse vast datasets rapidly, predict market movements, and optimise strategies. As these computational behemoths become more mainstream, they have the potential to reshape the landscape of forex trading, offering traders more refined tools to navigate the ever-fluctuating currency markets. In today’s markets, a reliable trading platform is vital to cover opportunities on numerous markets. FXOpen’s advanced TickTrader is just that, offering over 1,200 technical analysis tools ready to help you navigate the markets. Quantum AI: What Is It? Quantum AI integrates the principles of quantum mechanics with artificial intelligence, creating systems that can process information and make predictions with unprecedented accuracy. In the world of forex, where decisions often hinge on the slightest of market fluctuations, the introduction of quantum AI stands poised to be a game-changer. A notable extension of this is in quantum AI crypto* trading. The volatile nature of cryptocurrencies*, combined with the vast amount of data from different blockchains, presents a challenging landscape. However, a quantum AI system can analyse this data in real-time, extracting patterns and insights that might elude traditional analytical tools. By doing so, it offers traders an edge, allowing for strategies that are more responsive to rapid shifts in the crypto* market. Furthermore, the adaptive learning capabilities of a quantum AI trading app can evolve its predictive models continuously. This means that as market dynamics change, the system refines its algorithms, ensuring its predictions remain relevant and accurate. For forex traders, this translates to more informed decision-making and the potential for increased profitability in an ever-evolving market landscape. Challenges and Considerations - Hardware Limitations: Quantum computers, still in their nascent stage, face challenges in terms of stability and scalability. - Scalability Concerns: As forex data grows, ensuring quantum systems can handle increased loads is crucial. - Accuracy: While quantum AI boasts enhanced predictive capabilities, it's not infallible. Misinterpretations can lead to significant losses. - Adoption Barriers: High costs and complexity can deter many institutions from integrating these technologies. - Lack of Expertise: The niche nature of quantum tech means there's a shortage of experts proficient in its application in forex. The Bottom Line While the prospects of quantum forex trading offer revolutionary possibilities, full-scale adoption still seems a ways off, given current challenges. As the industry navigates this evolving frontier, traders keen on staying ahead might consider taking advantage of advanced trading platforms. To embark on this journey, open an FXOpen account and embrace the future of trading. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
Education
by FXOpen
2
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 1.0642, a swing low support. Our take profit will be at 1.0683, a pullback resistance The stop loss will be placed below the 127.2% Fibo extesnios High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
Lingrid | EURUSD bearish MOMENTUM: Short from RESISTANCE zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached the take profit level. FX:EURUSD has recently formed a strong impulse leg down, breaking and closing below the previous support level on the 4H timeframe. Currently, the price is generating a long-tailed bar, which could indicate a potential pullback against major trend. Also recent surge in the TVC:DXY , shows a bearish sentiment and on the daily timeframe, the price broke through the upward trendline that has been in place since April, further confirming bearish sentiment. I expect a pullback in the near term, but the overall trajectory seems to suggest that the market will continue to move down or consolidate after the impulse leg. My goal is support zone around 1.06700 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
5
How Information Overload Hinders Decision-Making in TradingUsing minimal input information for analysis can be problematic, but overloading on data can be even worse. For instance, when a trader overlooks fundamental factors, it constitutes a mistake. However, when a trader attempts to gather excessive information, including subjective insights, the risk of making errors rises significantly. 📍 Why Too Much Information Can Be Detrimental The phenomenon known as " Information Overload" occurs when an individual is overwhelmed by too much data, leading to impaired decision-making. In the world of trading, there is an abundance of information available from various sources, including both technical and fundamental analysis. Traders often have access to indicators, chart patterns, analytical portals, market sentiment, correlation calculators, Pivot points, rumors, expert opinions, signals from third-party sources, and a wide array of data from analytical websites. Given this vast wealth of information, one might wonder: is it truly beneficial to utilize all these sources simultaneously? 📍 Causes of Information Overload 1. Overloading the Number of Sources: The advent of modern technology and the internet has facilitated access to a plethora of information sources, including articles, videos, social media, blogs, and news outlets. While this offers the opportunity to find relevant data, it can also lead to information overload. Individuals struggle to assess the reliability and relevance of myriad sources. The constant influx of updates exacerbates this problem, fostering a sense of urgency to stay constantly informed, which can result in information fatigue. Additionally, the rise of artificial intelligence in generating trading algorithms adds another layer of complexity. For traders still developing their strategies, AI-generated recommendations may be confusing and overwhelming. 2. Complexity of Information: Much of the information available is laden with technical terms or specialized vocabulary, making it challenging to digest. Analyzing such data demands a substantial investment of time and effort to grasp foundational concepts. Moreover, the interconnection between various types of analyses complicates matters further. For example, while a seemingly straightforward strategy like moving averages may appear simple, traders must also account for trading volumes (often analyzed through VSA), trader activity influenced by trading sessions, and other nuances like time zones. This interconnectedness necessitates a broader understanding that can complicate focus and clarity. 3. Lack of Filters: Many individuals struggle to identify what is truly important amid the vast array of information available. Without clear criteria for sorting and prioritizing data, traders can easily become lost within the information flow. Additionally, weak critical thinking skills can hinder one's ability to swiftly assess the significance of information. When traders cannot quickly distinguish between essential and secondary data, they may take considerable time to process information, leading to delayed or poor decision-making. 📍 Impact on Decision Making 1. Analysis Paralysis: The concept of “analysis paralysis” describes a state where a trader struggles to make a decision due to overwhelming amounts of data and competing options. The sheer number of possibilities creates a perception that each choice must be meticulously analyzed, leading to indecision and wasted time. Additionally, the fear of making mistakes can exacerbate this paralysis. With an abundance of information at one's fingertips, the apprehension of overlooking critical details can prevent a person from committing to any decision at all. This fear of missing out or choosing wrongly can create a cycle of inaction, ultimately stalling progress. 2. Decreased Quality of Decisions: Information overload can cause traders to lose focus on key factors while becoming fixated on minor details. This shift in focus can lead to decisions being made based on incomplete or less relevant information, which may not effectively serve their intended purpose. As individuals become accustomed to superficial analysis—often due to time constraints or a lack of motivation to dive deeper into the data—the quality of decisions tends to diminish. Important contextual details and insights may be overlooked, resulting in decisions that are less informed or even flawed. 3. Fatigue and Stress: The continuous influx of information can lead to significant mental fatigue, impairing cognitive function and concentration. As the brain struggles to process and filter through the constant barrage of data, decision-making abilities can decline. Furthermore, emotional stress often escalates in the face of overwhelming information. The sense of being inundated can lead to feelings of helplessness or inadequacy, making it even more challenging to complete tasks effectively. This stress can also manifest physically, contributing to burnout and decreased overall productivity. 📍 Ways to Combat Information Overload • Prioritization: Prioritizing key data points is essential for effective decision-making. Tools like prioritization matrices, such as the Eisenhower Matrix, can help categorize tasks and information into urgent and important segments. This allows individuals to focus on what genuinely matters and streamline their decision-making processes. • Focused Analysis: To combat information overload, it’s crucial to concentrate on sources that are directly relevant to the task or decision at hand. This means avoiding distractions from less important details or tangential information that may convolute the analysis process. By maintaining a sharp focus, individuals can make more informed decisions without being sidetracked by extraneous data. • Use of Data Filtering Tools: Automated data analysis programs and algorithms can serve as effective tools for sorting and filtering information. These tools can help highlight key facts and figures while minimizing the time spent on information processing. Utilizing such technologies can significantly enhance clarity and efficiency in decision-making. • News and Content Aggregators: Specialized applications that curate verified sources and organize information based on relevance can also help users stay informed without becoming overwhelmed. By presenting data in a structured manner, these tools reduce the cognitive load associated with sifting through vast amounts of content. • Limiting the Time to Search for Information: Setting strict time limits for data retrieval can promote greater efficiency and sharp focus. By allocating a specific timeframe for gathering necessary information, traders are less likely to fall into the trap of excessive searching and are encouraged to prioritize critical details. Techniques like the Pomodoro Method can further enhance time management by breaking work into focused intervals (typically 25 minutes) followed by short breaks. This structured approach not only fosters concentration but also helps prevent feelings of being overwhelmed. • Delegation and Consultation: Involving experts or specialists can significantly alleviate the pressure of data analysis. When experts evaluate specific aspects of information, it allows individuals to concentrate on essential points while relying on trusted professional insights. This delegation not only simplifies the decision-making process but also brings in valuable expertise. • Teamwork: Engaging in discussions with other traders or partners can enhance the decision-making process. Collaboration provides diverse perspectives and insights, making it easier to navigate complex information. By pooling knowledge and experience, teams can simplify analysis and reach more balanced decisions. 📍 Conclusion In the face of information overload, it's essential to adopt a more streamlined approach. Avoid the temptation to juggle multiple indicators or attempt to cover every possible piece of information. Instead, identify the tools and methods that you find most comfortable and effective, focusing on those that yield the best results in a short timeframe. Prioritize what is convenient and readily accessible, and invest time in discovering the right combination of resources and strategies that work for you. By doing so, you can simplify your decision-making process and enhance your productivity, while minimizing the stress associated with information overload. Embrace clarity and focus, and allow yourself to operate effectively within a manageable framework. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
1
EURUSD giving a buy signal on amazing symmetry.EURUSD is under heavy selling pressure since the elections result. Still, today's 1day candle is the 3rd in a row that doesn't cross Support A. As you can see the pair displays an uncanny symmetry, having respected all symmetrical Resistance and Support levels since the Double Top of September 25th. This is a buy signal that is aiming at 1.09000 (June 4th High). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Short
by TheCryptagon
1