$EURUSD Short IdeaAnother day and yet another interesting euro trade. Today, EURUSD broke its uptrend line with a convincing daily candle. The broken level near 1.1270 offers a compelling short with stop above the hourly swing high. I usually prefer taking an entry near the swing 0.382 fib, but the 0.5 offers a better proposition in this configuration. My entry is GTD for 12 hours and thereafter actively managed on the H1.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Breakdown - Lesson in IDMTook a Loss here by misreading IDM on the 4H.
Price was Breaking Highs, so I leaned bullish, but didn't wait for that full IDM sequence to confirm.
Lesson: Take a few extra minutes to read the Higher TimeFrames Properly. No Rush.
This week's blueprint is simple: patience, clean structure, strong inducement first.
Also noting pair correlations: XAU/USD, EU, AND GU tend to move together. GJ/UJ on their own rhythm.
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EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you.
Looking at the chart, EUR-USD is currently in a price range. After reaching the top of the range, I expect it to move toward the bottom of the range, and I anticipate a breakdown below the range's bottom.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks the bottom of the range, I expect the price to move toward my first target at 1.12142.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Top of the range
Support: Bottom of the range
💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
EU shorts!!Monday and Tuesday created a weekly candle with a higher wick. Wednesday showed retracement into the pro trend. Today and possibly Friday may see weekly bearish pro-trend movement.
Daily alignment also favors lower prices, and SMT correlation with DXY suggests a potential price drawdown.
Watching how London session develops for entry. If Asia H levels aren't swept, then New York session may offer possible continuation.
EURUSD Bearish Breakout | Price Targeting Daily ImbalanceEURUSD has officially broken structure on the daily timeframe. After forming a rising wedge pattern, price rejected the upper resistance and broke down with strong bearish momentum.
Key Highlights:
• Clean structure break below wedge support
• Daily imbalance zone in view near 1.1100
• Price may retest the previous support zone near 1.1310, which could now act as resistance
• Setup aligns with bearish market flow and SMC principles (structure + imbalance)
Watching for:
• Retest and rejection confirmations
• Continuation into imbalance zone
EURUSD Technical Analysis.The second chart you uploaded shows the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, as displayed on TradingView.
Key observations:
1. Uptrend and Downtrend Channels:
The green trend lines indicate a bullish phase where the price moved upward.
The red trend lines indicate a subsequent bearish phase with a strong downward movement.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Gray boxes highlight key support and resistance areas.
The price broke below the lower support zone, indicating a bearish breakout.
3. Rebound and Target:
After the sharp decline to around 1.12256, the chart shows a potential recovery toward the resistance zone near 1.13000.
The projected path shows a zigzag upward movement, suggesting a cautious recovery phase.
This chart indicates that after a significant bearish breakdown, there is an expectation of a pullback to retest the 1.13000 resistance zone.
Would you like insights on potential entry and exit strategies for this setup?
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1268
1st Support: 1.1088
1st Resistance: 1.1369
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EURUSD... 1H CHAT PATTERNMy sharing a EUR/USD trading setup:
* **Entry:** 1.1122 (Buy)
* **1st Target:** 1.1129 (7 pips)
* **2nd Target:** 1.1132 (10 pips)
* **Stop Loss:** 1.1119 (3 pips)
Here’s a quick breakdown:
### Risk-to-Reward Ratio
* **Risk:** 3 pips (from 1.1122 to 1.1119)
* **Reward:**
* **Target 1:** 7 pips → RR = 2.33
* **Target 2:** 10 pips → RR = 3.33
### Observations:
* Very tight stop loss — market noise might hit it before targets.
* High reward-to-risk ratio, but execution must be precise.
* Suitable for scalping or high-frequency strategi
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1274
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.1373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1106
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EUR/USD – Bearish Breakout ConfirmedEUR/USD has broken below a well-respected descending channel on the 2H chart, suggesting further downside is likely.
🔎 Technical Analysis:
• Price rejected resistance with three clear rejections (🔴 red arrows).
• Breakout below the lower channel boundary is now confirmed, signaling strong bearish momentum.
• MACD shows repeated bearish crossovers (🟠 circles), supporting the trend shift.
• This is no longer just a channel play — momentum suggests a deeper drop.
🎯TP1: 1.1200
🎯TP2: 1.1150
🎯TP3: 1.1100 (major support zone)
🛑 Invalidation: Strong close back above 1.1300 would neutralize the setup and indicate a possible false breakout.
💡 Look for a retest of the broken trendline as resistance for potential re-entry.
EURUSD bulling ideaAlthough there is no single significant event directly affecting the euro-dollar exchange rate on May 8, from a macro perspective, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated on that day, having a certain impact on the euro-dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar index once broke the 100 mark. Generally speaking, the strength of the U.S. dollar index has an inverse relationship with the euro-dollar exchange rate. From different time cycles, on the monthly chart, the euro-dollar is supported at the 1.0800 level, and the long-term trend is regarded as bullish. At the weekly level, the price is supported in the 1.0900 area, and the medium-term outlook remains bullish
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Euro-dollar holds around $1.13Trade and monetary policy remain important drivers for euro-dollar, so with the former calming down somewhat and the latter shifting towards a likely large gap in rates by the end of the year, upward momentum has declined. Markets seem to be pricing in 1.6% for the deposit facility rate by the end of the year while the most likely scenario now for the Fed’s funds rate at the end of 2025 is 3.5-3.75%.
The test of $1.15 on 21-22 April was rejected but so far there’s been no clear push below $1.13, making that a main technical reference and likely support given the presence of the 61.8% monthly Fibonacci retracement. Volume has declined sharply since early April, which probably makes sense since movements this time last month were really exceptional. An immediate movement lower also seems questionable because the slow stochastic is clearly oversold.
All of these technical factors might suggest a period of consolidation before the next significant movement. Traders are looking primarily at American inflation on 13 May for a possible driver, but attention will also remain on politics and ongoing negotiations around tariffs.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EUR/USD Daily Technical Analysis 5.8.25EUR/USD Technical Research Report
Overview
The EUR/USD exchange rate has experienced fluctuations amid economic and tariff uncertainties. The recent trend shows a general upward movement with some volatility.
Historical Price Analysis
- April 1 to May 7, 2025: The exchange rate started at approximately 1.08 and peaked around 1.14 before stabilizing near 1.13.
- Volatility: The rate exhibited significant volatility, particularly around mid-April, likely influenced by geopolitical and economic factors.
Key Influences:
1. Economic Indicators: The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has provided some stability, but ongoing inflation concerns continue to impact the market.
2. Trade Talks: Positive developments in US-China trade talks have buoyed market sentiment, potentially supporting the euro.
3. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical tensions may contribute to future volatility.
Technical Indicators:
- Support Level: Around 1.08, where the rate found initial support.
- Resistance Level: Near 1.14, where the rate faced resistance before stabilizing.
- Momentum: The upward momentum suggests potential for further gains, but caution is warranted due to underlying economic concerns.
Outlook:
- Short-term: Expect continued volatility with potential upward movement if positive economic data and trade developments persist.
- Long-term: Economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may lead to fluctuations, requiring close monitoring of economic indicators and trade negotiations.
Recommendations:
- Traders: Consider short-term opportunities with a focus on technical levels and economic data releases.
- Investors: Maintain a cautious approach, keeping an eye on geopolitical developments and central bank policies.
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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The next EUR/USD move could pay twice”Current Price Structure:
Price is forming a potential Head & Shoulders / distribution near resistance (blue + red zone).
There is a clear supply zone overhead around 1.14255–1.14496.
Key demand zone (yellow box) 1.12274–1.11800.
3. Potential Trade Ideas (2 setups):
First short from the current resistance (blue box), aiming towards yellow demand zone.
Second opportunity: After a potential bounce → re-test of lower highs (blue box again) → another short towards demand zone (confluence short twice).
4. Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.14255 – 1.14496
Support: 1.12274 – 1.11800
Current price: 1.13115
5. Bias:
Short-term bearish towards 1.1227 zone.
Wait for confirmation with structure breaks and lower highs.