EUR/USD Forecast: Impulse Wave Progressing TowardThe EUR/USD is currently exhibiting a well-defined impulsive structure following the completion of a corrective (ABC) phase. The market has successfully formed waves (1) and (2), and is now advancing within wave (3), which typically carries the most momentum in an Elliott Wave cycle.
The ongoing rally suggests wave (3) is targeting the 1.15350 level — a key Fibonacci projection area that aligns with previous structural resistance. Momentum remains strong, supported by bullish market structure and sustained buying pressure.
Should wave (3) conclude near this zone, a brief corrective pullback into wave (4) is anticipated, likely retracing toward the 1.14440–1.14730 support range. This would offer a potential entry opportunity before the market resumes its higher trajectory in wave (5), targeting the 1.16077 level.
T1: 1.14857
T2: 1.15090
SL: 1.13867
USDEUR trade ideas
HEAVILY BULLISH -Price is heavily bullish
-Expecting price to react at marked 4H Supply
( expecting CRT entry model from marked Supply or confirmation entry)
- The pullback can be a minor pullback or a major pullback- meaning the 1st marked demand ( Low probability demand LP demand can hold and expect Buys from there or it can fail then we expect that HP demand to hold for longs.
So once price tapped in the 1st Point of Interest we can confirm on LTF if price is going to hold for longs or fail.....confirmation entries
EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results.
I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example.
After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up.
Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap!
Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls!
Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets, too. ))
EUR/USD nears breakout as ECB prepares another rate cut?The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates again this week, marking its eighth consecutive reduction as policymakers attempt to support sluggish growth across the eurozone. Markets widely anticipate a 25-basis-point cut, which would bring the deposit rate down to 2.00%.
EUR/USD is testing the upper boundary of a triangle formation visible on the 4H chart. Price action has tightened in recent weeks, and the pair is now attempting a breakout near the 1.1440 zone.
A confirmed close above this resistance could signal a bullish continuation, with upside targets around 1.1500 and 1.1620. Momentum indicators like RSI could be watched to confirm the strength behind any breakout. On the downside, immediate support possibly rests at 1.1350.
Euro Eyes Bullish Breakout Amid ECB Policy UncertaintyTargets:
- T1 = $1.1500
- T2 = $1.1650
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $1.1200
- S2 = $1.1100
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro.
**Key Insights:**
The Euro is currently positioned at a pivotal technical level, with the possibility of a bullish breakout brewing. The European Central Bank (ECB)'s looming policy decisions add a layer of unpredictability, but the overall sentiment points to optimism. Robust economic performance in Germany — driven by improving industrial production and resilient consumer demand — provides a strong fundamental backdrop, while cooling inflationary data from Spain and France bolster investor confidence. On the technical front, key resistance levels are being tested with upward momentum, signaling potential upside in the weeks ahead.
**Recent Performance:**
The pair has demonstrated strong resilience above the $1.13 level amidst last week’s fluctuating global macroeconomic environment. Notable strength in European equity indices, such as a +0.81% rise in the STOXX 600, has also provided an indirect boost to the Euro’s valuation. This bullish sentiment is further supported by diminishing uncertainty around the U.S. debt ceiling resolution, which reduces safe-haven demand for the dollar.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts emphasize the bullish continuation pattern visible on daily charts, with RSI improving and MACD trending upwards. A break above $1.14 could solidify the bullish trend, paving the way for the Euro to challenge the $1.15 and $1.165 resistance levels. Additionally, economists speculate that the ECB may hold rates steady or offer a modest increase during its next policy meeting, creating a recipe for Euro appreciation against the U.S. Dollar in tandem with dovish Fed expectations.
**News Impact:**
Upcoming ECB discussions remain a core short-term driver for EUR/USD movements. The potential for dovish commentary may create initial volatility, although market participants seem to be pricing in a steady view on rates in the near term. Additionally, the recent announcement of increased European clean energy investments — coupled with surging demand across green initiatives — is expected to add to the Euro’s strength by bolstering cross-border capital inflows.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the bullish technical setup, strong fundamental backdrop, and macroeconomic drivers supporting the Euro, traders should consider a long position. The current price action suggests an attractive entry point, with upside potential extending towards $1.15 and $1.165. Employing the recommended stop-loss levels at $1.12 and $1.11 will ensure risk management is effectively balanced in case of market reversals.
EURUSD Follow Ascending channel bullish strong from supportFX:EURUSD Technical Outlook – 1H Time Frame
✨ By Livia
FX:EURUSD has been respecting a strong ascending channel, demonstrating bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.12600. Price action continues to make higher highs and higher lows, confirming buyer control within the current structure.
📈 Key Highlight:
The pair is steadily approaching the 1.14000 level, a notable supply zone where previous selling pressure emerged. This level marks the next potential target for bulls, with possible resistance or profit-taking interest around that area.
💡 Outlook:
As long as price remains above the midline of the channel and holds above 1.12600, the bullish bias remains intact. Watch for potential consolidation or reaction at 1.14000.
POST NEWS TRADING (EUR USD) - MAY 2025this is the back test result of post news trading of may 2025
.
.
.
strategy summary: after high impact news (find at economic calendar) we wait for first 15 min candle to be closed then we put buy stop and sell stop at high and low of the candle . one order cancels other as soon as one is hit.
sl would be one hour atr and tp 1.5 times that,
exceptions: we don't trade if there is another news within an hour ...
.
.
.
cautions : although there is a promising result but its not the holy grail and it can have different out comes based on the pair and the month , every month the market can change and show different attitude ..
.
.
.
📊 Statistical Summary:
Number of trades: 12
Winning trades: 9
Losing trades: 3
Win rate: 75%
Total pips:
246 pips
Average pips per trade:
20.5 pips
Max gain: 60 pips
Max loss: -18 pips
Bulls are strong and may continue to push the market into a bullPrimary Bullish Scenario (Red Arrow Path 1):
Price retraces slightly.
Finds support around the current zone or slightly lower (1.139–1.140).
Then resumes upward movement, targeting above 1.14566.
2. Alternative Bullish Scenario (Red Arrow Path 2):
Deeper retracement toward the yellow demand zone (~1.13700).
Strong bullish bounce expected from there.
Suggests liquidity grab before continuation.
Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Bearish Analysis:
🧱 1. Failed Breakout Attempt
Price is hovering at resistance but showing indecisive candles (small bodies, wicks on both sides).
This hints at buyer exhaustion rather than breakout momentum.
📉 2. Bearish Divergence (Possible)
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD—not shown here) are diverging from price, it could signal a reversal.
Price rising while momentum flattens or drops suggests a fakeout is likely.
🕳️ 3. Liquidity Grab Trap
The chart may show a classic “bull trap”:
Price broke resistance briefly but quickly fell back.
This signals institutional liquidity grab, possibly before a downward push.
🔽 4. Volume Imbalance
The spike in volume earlier may be followed by decreasing bullish volume, indicating weak follow-through.
Sellers could take over if bulls can’t sustain pressure.
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.14292 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.13945..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD IDEAHere the price has shown upward momentum but there is the strong supply zone UP and also demand zone below from where we look for confirmation entry .
at the moment the price is at sell area which is probably in higher risk then the provided area of our iterest.
please follow and subscibe to support me .
EUR/USD Eyes More Upside PotentialDuring the European session, the price showed a trend of first fluctuating and then rising sharply. Currently, the price is at 1.1433, higher than the intraday moving average of 1.1380, indicating that the bulls are in the dominant position. According to ING (International Netherlands Group), the EUR/USD has some intraday resistance at 1.1425, and above this level, it is expected to rise to 1.1500 in the short term. The euro has formed a bottom above 1.1200 and started a new round of upward movement against the US dollar. The EUR/USD has broken through the resistance level of 1.1280, with a bullish trend. The first major resistance level is at 1.1450. If the closing price is above the 1.1450 level, it may lay the foundation for another wave of upward movement. In this case, the currency pair may even break through the resistance level of 1.1500. The next major target for the bulls may be near the resistance level of 1.1580.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.1300-1.1350
TP:1.1450-1.1500
EUR/USD Multi-Timeframe AnalysisAs we start a new trading week, let’s take a look at EUR/USD across multiple timeframes.
Weekly
EUR/USD has broken above a major resistance zone defined by the highs from both 2023 and 2024.
That area was retested and has now held, with price starting to build above it. The RSI is climbing
steadily and remains below overbought territory, suggesting there’s scope for further progress.
Importantly, price action is also holding above the 200-week moving average, which adds weight to
the bullish structure developing at the higher timeframe.
EUR/USD Weekly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Daily
On the daily chart we can see the breakout and retest in more detail. The 50-day moving average
has provided dynamic support, helping to establish a recent swing low as part of the retest. Since
then, EUR/USD has pushed higher, respecting an ascending trendline that has now been tested
multiple times. As long as price continues to respect that trendline and the 50-day average, the near-
term bias remains to the upside.
EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
4hr
The four-hour chart helps assess how short-term momentum is developing. Price remains above the
VWAP anchored to the May lows, with the 9 EMA also above the 21 EMA, showing that short-term
trend and momentum are aligned. Price is now pushing towards a break above last week’s swing
highs, and at this stage, there’s no clear sign of bearish divergence or slowdown.
EUR/USD Four-Hour Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
1hr
The hourly chart gives us a closer look at recent action and can be useful for shaping entries. With
the same indicators in place, we can see that price has now broken and closed above last week’s
swing highs. That breakout, combined with the rising EMAs and supportive VWAP positioning,
suggests that short-term momentum continues to favour the bulls.
EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Summary:
Across all timeframes, EUR/USD is showing a consistent bullish structure. The weekly and daily
charts confirm that the breakout above last year’s highs has held and is now building. On the four-
hour and hourly timeframes, short-term momentum indicators remain supportive, and price is
already pressing into new ground above last week’s highs. As things stand, the trend remains intact,
with no signs yet of reversal or fatigue.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not
constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or
objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not
a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK
residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly
due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and
CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs
work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.