EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setting Up? | H1 Analysis by WaverVan🔍 Technical Outlook
The Euro is showing signs of bullish continuation following a clean reclaim of the equilibrium zone (1.13226), backed by strong volume and impulsive structure. We’ve now entered a high-probability decision zone just beneath a Premium Supply Block (1.1375–1.1400).
📌 Key Technical Confluences
🔺 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Filled with price pushing into premium
📉 Previous Break of Structure (BoS) followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms bullish intent
🌀 Fib Cluster (0.786 - 1.0) rejection turned into support
📈 Volume Surge on bullish engulfing confirms strong interest at 1.1260–1.1320 (Discount Zone)
🧠 Smart Money likely targeting Liquidity above Weak High @ 1.14329
📐 Target Zones
🎯 Short-Term TP1: 1.14329 (Liquidity above weak high)
🎯 TP2: 1.15009 (1.618 Fib Extension)
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 1.13226 equilibrium structure
🧮 Probabilities
📊 Bullish Continuation: ~68% based on confluences and volume thrust
📉 Rejection at Premium Zone (1.1400–1.1430): ~32% if DXY strengthens or macro reverses
🌐 Macro Context
ECB remains relatively dovish while USD shows temporary weakness
Market pricing mild Fed easing later in the year, creating tailwinds for EUR
Watch Friday's NFP for volatility risk
📢 Trader Guidance
⚠️ If price retests 1.1355–1.1370 and holds, aggressive longs targeting 1.1432+ are justified.
📉 Protect against reversal near 1.1400–1.1430 zone.
📆 Swing traders: Consider trailing stop once 1.14329 is tagged.
📍Posted by WaverVanir International LLC
Pushing financial insight through technical intelligence
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SMC #Fibonacci #VolumeProfile #WaverVanir #TradingStrategy #LiquidityZones #Breakout
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview
Current Price: 1.12753
Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area.
🧱 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target)
Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target)
Intermediate Zones:
Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈
Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉
🔄 Scenario Outlook
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards:
1.14139 (minor target)
1.15639 (major resistance & final target)
🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower:
First support at 1.11687
Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone
🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
EUR/USD - continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.12890 and 1.12460 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025 (Re-entry)Still maintaining the same HTF bearish bias – daily OB + D trend direction, with liquidity above W/D highs already swept.
After initial stop-out, price offered a cleaner entry: reacting from a 15m POI, followed by a clear BOS on the 1m timeframe.
Plan is to enter on the retest of the 1m OB left behind after the break.
First TP at 1:3 RR, with extended targets below Asia lows if momentum continues.
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.14380 range👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.29% on June 2 as renewed trade tensions, sparked by Trump’s plan to double steel and aluminum tariffs from June 4, weighed on market sentiment. Beijing denied Trump's claims of a trade agreement breach, dimming hopes for near-term diplomacy.
Markets now eye a possible Trump-Xi meeting and upcoming U.S. economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 2:00 p.m. UTC and Friday’s jobs report. These releases could drive volatility and shape expectations for the U.S. dollar.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14380.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 2 - 6 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoC & ECB Rates, Canada and US Job Data & Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
— BoC’s Interest Rate Decision
— ECB’s Interest Rate Decision
— Unemployment Rate in Canada
— NFP and Unemployment Rate in the US
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Channel Up targeting 1.15000.The EURUSD pair just broke above the Resistance 1 level (1.14250) confirming the extension of the current Bullish Leg of the short-term Channel Up.
With their 4H RSI patterns very similar, the previous Bullish Leg rose by +2.58% before a pull-back to the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). That gives us a potential Target of 1.15000 on the short-term.
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EURUSD Short June 2, 2025EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025
Bearish narrative across the board. HTF aligned with daily OB + D trend, plus clear liquidity sitting at previous weekly and daily highs.
On LTF, we had clean 15m bearish structure forming during Asia, and price tapped into the HTF OB during London open, rejecting from session high.
Entry was based on tap (0.5% Risk) and will reenter with another 0.5% after 1m BOS.
Partials taken at 1:3 RR, with final TP set at Asia low for full move.
EUR/USD Rises to 4-Week HighEUR/USD Rises to 4-Week High
As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro rose to a 4-week high against the US dollar this morning.
The euro's strength relative to the US dollar is supported by traders’ expectations ahead of the ECB's interest rate decision, scheduled for Thursday at 15:15 GMT+3.
This upcoming event is notable not only because the ECB is expected to cut rates from 2.40% to 2.15% (for the seventh consecutive time), but also due to the broader context shaped by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s recent remarks on the euro’s status as a reserve currency.
At the same time, the US dollar is weakening amid growing trade concerns—on Friday, the US President Donald Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%. He also accused China of breaching the recent trade truce.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Seven days ago, when analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ observed bullish sentiment;
→ highlighted the importance of the 1.1400 resistance level;
→ suggested that bears might attempt to strike back.
Since then, the price has pulled back from the mentioned level (as indicated by the arrow), but found support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The current bullish momentum could push EUR/USD towards the psychological level of 1.1500 during the week ahead.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Trade Executed June 2 EURUSD Trade Executed
June 2
4 hour chart logic
Last week Price takes sell side Wednesday. Thursday expands to the buy side stepping up from the 70 OTE. Friday was retracement to the 50 level. When price bounced off the 50 in the NY sliver bullet I suspected that we could see higher prices coming into Monday.
Minute chart logic
20:00 Asia expands immediately into a FVG and minor buy side. Admittedly I took a bad short thinking it was going to the equal lows.
*cross referenced DXY after evaluation of the higher time frame range that it would drop to its equal lows, while GBP would also rally to the equal highs
Hunting for an expansion signal
23:20 creates a swing high
23:30 Price swing low and comes back to its opening price of Asia right into a first presented FVG
*Price creates a tiny FVG
*23:55 taps the FVG and takes off
*price goes into a small consolidation
*1:00 price takes off
*1:10 I wanted to enter but froze waited for the next macro
1:50 entered
3:25 exited target of equal highs hit
I really relied on the higher time range that price would seek last Monday’s high to complete the range and for DXY to make its low.
I can see it so clearly on the 1 hour and 4 hour charts price narrative and why ICT coaches to manage bias from here. Hindsight I am desiring to trade the days range and sticking to my bias with understanding the what cycle price is in. EX Friday closes in a consolidation cycle expansion is next. Asia expansion for the win.
To be honest this trade feels like chasing price. Probably cause it is!
To study it feels better than the pips in my account.
*Price was in a premium-rule broken in taken this trade-but narrative was there
*Analysis was built from 4 hour which I m getting used to trusting-narrative was buy side was the target after taking sell side last week
*I expected a pull back from Sundays delivery, did not happen, barely made it to the 50 previous range
*Price pulling back to the 50 on Friday was key to a expansion buy today
4 hour chart is king is todays take away!
EURUSD – The bearish threat is becoming increasingly clearRecently released PMI data shows that the U.S. manufacturing sector is rebounding. This dampens expectations of monetary easing from the Fed. With a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields, USD-denominated assets like EURUSD are facing downward pressure.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is approaching the resistance zone at 1.16438 – an area that has rejected prices before. The recent rebound appears to be losing strength, and the ascending trendline is at risk of breaking.
If the price fails to hold above this trendline as illustrated, a breakout to the downside could drive the market toward the 1.10757 zone – which aligns with a previous strong support level.
In summary: be cautious of a potential trend break. If a pattern of lower highs continues, sellers may soon take control.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.126 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURO/USD 4H/Daily OutlookStill bullish — just waiting for the 4H BISI to form.
We’ll likely get overlapping price action around the 4H FVG + 0.75 retracement zone.
👉 Once we see displacement from the 50% of the 4H BISI, that’s the green light.
That’s the setup. That’s the "go in HAHAHA" moment 😂
For extra confirmation:
✅ A clean 15min BISI forming after the 4H displacement would seal the deal — ideal entry trigger.
🎯 Stay patient. Let the market build the setup. Precision > Prediction.
EUR/USD Hits Key Supply Zone! Pullback Loading?The bulls just slammed into a strong intraday supply zone (1.1415 – 1.1422), with signs of exhaustion showing near the highs. Liquidity sweep completed — are we set for a reversal?
🔵 Volume Profile shows a high-volume rejection.
📉 Previous aggressive drop from this zone adds confluence.
🔔 Multiple red news events ahead — brace for spikes and volatility.
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🧠 Smart Money Insight
This price action fits the liquidity grab + reversal pattern we’ve seen often during news-heavy weeks. Institutions may be unloading longs here — setting up for a quick 1.1323 or 1.1227 test.
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📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔵 Supply Zone (Short-Term): 1.1415 – 1.1422 (Already reacting)
🟦 Mid Support: 1.1323 → Former resistance flip
🟫 Demand Zone (Buy Area): 1.1227 → Deep value zone if bearish move continues
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🧪 Trade Setup Ideas
> Scalp Short Setup
📍 Entry: 1.1415 – 1.1422
🎯 TP1: 1.1323
🎯 TP2: 1.1227
❌ SL: 1.1435
> Aggressive Buy Plan (if price drops fast)
📍 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1250
🎯 TP: 1.1320 – 1.1350
❌ SL: 1.1205
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📰 Event Watch
📌 EUR & USD have back-to-back high-impact events over the next 48 hours. Expect rapid moves — stay nimble or wait for confirmation candles.
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. Correction?FX:EURUSD is strengthening amid a decline in the dollar, but the currency pair is encountering strong resistance and forming a false breakout, which could trigger a correction.
EURUSD is testing the resistance range as part of a distribution and forming a false breakout. The market structure is bullish, with the price breaking through local resistance and updating its high. The inability to continue growth and price consolidation below 1.1418 may trigger a correction. The dollar is also hitting support and may form a small correction, which will put pressure on EURUSD
Resistance levels: 1.14246, 1.1418
Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343
If the currency pair fails to consolidate above 1.14246 during the resistance retest in order to continue its growth, then we can expect price consolidation below this level to open a short position. The correction may reach the specified support zones before continuing its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rebounded off the flag base (1.128) and reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, keeping the sequence of higher-lows inside the two-year rising channel.
● The flag’s upper rail at 1.145 has been tested twice; a close above completes the pattern and projects to the channel roof / horizontal confluence at 1.1600, while dynamic support rises with the violet breakout line at 1.1214.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro stays bid after May EZ headline CPI re-accelerated to 2.6 % y/y, tempering expectations for aggressive ECB cuts, whereas weaker US ADP hiring and cooling core-PCE pressured real yields and the dollar.
✨ Summary
Long bias above 1.128; flag break > 1.145 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on daily close < 1.1080.
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EURUSD Long Setup Brewing – Here's My Trade Plan!Keeping an eye 👀 on EURUSD – price has just broken market structure 📈 to the upside, and we're seeing clear higher highs 🔼 and higher lows 🔽 forming on the 4H timeframe 🕓.
Price has now rallied into a premium zone 💰, and i'm watching for a retracement 🔁 into my Fibonacci 61.8% 📐✨ point of interest for a potential long entry 🟢.
✅ Entry criteria?
Wait for price to pull back ⬅️ and then give us a break of market structure again 💥.
I'll be looking for confirmations on the 30min or 15min ⏱️ timeframes.
🚫 Not financial advice ✌️
EURO/USD a projected bullish breakout.🧠 Chart Structure Overview
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour (4H)
Platform: TradingView
Indicators: SMART D S 250 6 2.6 (likely a custom or proprietary indicator)
Date Range: March to early June
Chart Type: Candlestick
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🧾 Key Technical Elements
🔴 Support Zone
Marked in Red: A clear demand zone between 1.07002 and 1.08499, showing historical buying interest.
This is a high-probability reversal zone where price previously bounced, reinforcing the zone's strength.
🟢 Trendline Support
A dynamic upward sloping trendline intersects near current price action, adding confluence to the potential bounce area.
🟨 FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A yellow rectangle labeled "FVG" suggests an imbalance in price, where the market moved too quickly, leaving unfilled orders.
Often, price retraces to these zones before continuing the trend — a key liquidity magnet for smart money traders.
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📈 Projected Price Movement (Trade Idea)
✔️ Bullish Bias
The chart suggests a bullish continuation setup, with price expected to:
1. Retest the ascending trendline and support zone.
2. Possibly dip into the FVG area.
3. Form a higher low.
4. Resume upward momentum targeting the green zone above.
🟩 Target Zone
Marked in green, the target zone ranges from around 1.14700 to 1.16750.
This is likely a take-profit zone, corresponding to prior structure highs or supply zones.
🟥 Stop-Loss Zone
Located just below the support area, likely in the 1.09800 - 1.07000 range, providing a tight risk-to-reward ratio.
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⚙️ Risk/Reward Setup
The green and red rectangles represent a classic risk-reward trade box:
Risk: Below the trendline and support.
Reward: Above the current range high, with a projected bullish breakout.
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🧠 Final Thoughts
This chart reflects a smart money concept-based approach, combining:
Market structure
Liquidity zones (FVG)
Support/resistance and trendlines
Risk-reward planning
It implies a well-defined long (buy) trade plan with technical confluences supporting bullish continuation — ideal for swing traders or intra-week position traders.