EURUSD Good sell opportunity on this short-term rejectionThe EURUSD pair got an initial rejection near its 2-month Higher Highs trend-line with the 4H RSI an a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs) since April 03.
The last pull-back was -2.31% and made double contact with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding. In fact all Higher Highs rejections hit at least he 4H MA50 before rebounding.
As a result, we see a strong short-term sell opportunity now, which even though could technically reach 1.12150 (-2.30% drop), it is advised to take profit once contact with the 4H MA50 is made.
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USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD.. 30M chart Pattren..MYr short trade on EUR/USD looks like a solid plan, especially with the focus on a trend line breakout for confirmation. Let's break down some key aspects to consider:
*Trend Line Breakout Confirmation*
1. *Confirmation Criteria*: Ensure the breakout is confirmed with a strong candlestick close below the trend line on the 30-minute chart. This reduces the chance of false breakouts.
2. *Volume*: Check if there's an increase in volume during the breakout. Higher volume can validate the strength of the move.
*Stop-Loss Placement*
1. *Above Recent Swing High*: Placing your stop-loss above the recent swing high provides a buffer against minor price fluctuations.
2. *Dynamic Stop-Loss*: Consider using a trailing stop-loss that adjusts as the price moves in your favor. This can help lock in profits while giving the trade room to breathe.
*Risk Management*
1. *Position Sizing*: Determine the appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on a single trade.
2. *Risk-Reward Ratio*: Calculate the risk-reward ratio for your trade. With targets at 1.12800 and 1.11600, your potential reward seems substantial. Ensure this aligns with your trading strategy.
*Additional Considerations*
1. *Market Sentiment and News*: Keep an eye on economic news and events that could impact the EUR/USD pair. Central bank announcements, economic indicators, and geopolitical events can cause significant price movements.
2. *Technical Indicators*: Utilize indicators like the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator to gauge the momentum and potential reversal points.
*Next Steps*
- *Monitor the Trend Line*: Keep a close watch on the trend line and ensure the breakout is confirmed before entering the trade.
- *Adjust Targets and Stop-Loss*: Based on the market conditions and your analysis, be prepared to adjust your targets and stop-loss levels.
- *Stay Updated*: Continuously monitor the trade and be ready to act if the market conditions change.
Would you like to discuss more about incorporating technical indicators or how to handle potential market-moving news?
GBPUSD and EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD..1h chart pattren..I'm planning a buy trade for EUR/USD at an entry point of 1.10530 with the following target points:
First Target: 1.10940
Second Target: 1.11470
Considerations for Your Trade:
1. Entry Point: 1.10530 — Make sure that the market conditions are favorable for the move. It's important to confirm that there is enough momentum to push the price up.
2. Target Points:
1.10940: First target is a reasonable price level for an initial profit-taking point.
1.11470: This level seems to be a continuation of the bullish move, assuming the market stays strong.
Important Factors:
Risk Management: Ensure that you have a stop-loss in place in case the trade doesn't go as expected. Ideally, your stop should be placed below a recent support level to minimize losses.
Trend Analysis: Look at the broader trend for EUR/USD (is it trending upward, or are there signs of a reversal?). This can help confirm whether your targets are realistic.
Economic Events: Watch for any Eurozone or U.S. economic data releases (e.g., ECB or Federal Reserve announcements) that could impact EUR/USD.
If you’d like more analysis or further assistance with the trade setup, feel free to ask!
EURUSD Double Top Forming at Supply Zone – Bearish Reversal AheaEURUSD is currently trading around 1.14028, testing a strong supply zone marked in blue. Price has previously been rejected at this level, forming a potential double top pattern — a classic bearish reversal signal.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 1.13820 – 1.14050
Immediate Support: 1.11737
Major Support: 1.09272 (Demand Zone)
Bearish Outlook (Marked with Red Arrows):
If price fails to break and hold above the supply zone, a drop toward 1.11737 is likely.
Further breakdown below 1.11737 opens room for a fall toward the demand zone at 1.09272.
Bullish Invalidations:
A strong bullish breakout above the supply zone with retest and hold would invalidate the bearish idea.
Trade Idea:
Watch for bearish candlestick confirmation at the supply zone (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar).
Entry: ~1.14000
TP1: 1.11737
TP2: 1.09272
SL: Above 1.14150
Fundamental Trigger to Watch:
Keep an eye on upcoming EUR or USD news events (CPI, interest rate decisions) for extra confluence.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments. Will the bears take control or will the bulls break through?
EURUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS🧱 Wave Structure & Pattern
Wave (1)–(5) structure is complete with strong impulse.
Wave (5) looks extended with a steep angle — could mean temporary exhaustion before a pullback or sideways correction.
Volume surged heavily during Wave (5), suggesting high participation and buying climax potential.
✏️ Key Levels:
Current Price: ~1.1394
Support Zone: Around 1.1300–1.1250 (previous resistance = now support)
Next Resistance Levels:
Minor: 1.1450
Major: 1.1600 (psychological and historical)
📈 Trendlines:
Clear rising trendline support from late January — keep an eye on any break below for early reversal signs.
A healthy retest of the 1.1300 zone could offer a long re-entry if bullish structure holds.
⚠️ Risk Watch:
After a 5-wave move, expect either an ABC corrective phase or a consolidation range.
Don’t get faked out by small pullbacks — corrections are normal after strong impulses.
🧠 Fundamental Analysis
📰 Key Drivers Today:
🇺🇸 U.S. Data / Sentiment:
Retail Sales (March) — stronger data could push the USD higher, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
Fed’s rate outlook: any hawkish hints from FOMC speakers or stronger data can boost USD.
🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors:
ECB’s recent dovish pivot is in focus.
German ZEW Economic Sentiment release is coming — a major sentiment mover.
Slower EU inflation data may keep ECB from tightening further, limiting euro upside unless the dollar weakens.
💸 Bond Yields & Dollar Index (DXY):
Rising U.S. yields or a DXY bounce could be a headwind.
DXY is hovering at key support — a rebound could stall EUR/USD's rally.
📊 Sentiment Overview:
Short-term: Bullish, but approaching overbought.
Medium-term: Cautious bullish — possible retest of support before continuation.
Macro: Dependent on U.S. data surprises and ECB tone.
🔍 Summary & Strategy Thoughts:
Bias Levels to Watch Trigger Idea
⚡ Bullish Break above 1.1450 Target 1.1600 if dollar weakens further
⚠️ Neutral / Pullback Retest of 1.1300–1.1250 support Buy-the-dip zone if trendline holds
🐻 Bearish (Short-Term) Break below 1.1250 Possible deeper correction toward 1.1100–1.1050
EUR/USD – 1H TimeframeChart Review (EUR/USD – 1H Timeframe):
This chart appears to follow a clear Elliott Wave structure. The count shows that wave (2) has completed, and we are now progressing through a strong impulsive wave (3). Within wave (3), sub-waves 1 and 2 are labeled, with wave 3 in progress. The internal structure of wave 3 is unfolding nicely, with smaller-degree waves (i), (ii), and (iii) already formed, and a corrective (iv) in red currently completing.
The recent correction seems to follow an A-B-C structure, where wave a and b are complete and wave c may be nearing its end, signaling the end of wave (iv). If this count holds, a continuation to the upside in wave (v) of (iii) is expected next, potentially pushing EUR/USD higher toward the 1.1500–1.1700 area as projected on the chart.
The bullish momentum remains intact as long as the price stays above the low of wave (iv). A break below that level would call for a reevaluation of the current count.
EUR/USD – Golden Crossover & Breakout Confirmation (Multi-T.F)EUR/USD is showing strong bullish signs across both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting a potential macro trend reversal in the making. After being trapped below a long-term descending trendline for nearly two years, price has not only broken out but also successfully retested the breakout zone — a key validation for trend continuation.
On the daily chart, a Golden Crossover is now forming, which historically precedes major uptrends in forex pairs. Combined with reclaiming key structural levels and building higher lows, EUR/USD could be positioning for a powerful upside move in Q2 2025.
Let’s dive into the multi-timeframe analysis to understand why this setup could be one of the cleanest trend reversals on the board.
1W Timeframe – Macro Breakout in Progress
EUR/USD has officially broken out of a long-standing descending resistance trendline. This breakout occurred from a structurally important zone that had acted as a ceiling for over 2 years.
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Price reclaimed and held above the key resistance zone, turning it into strong support.
🔹 Minor resistance zones lie ahead, but structure favors further upside.
🔹 Projection shows potential continuation toward 1.16+ if momentum sustains.
1D Timeframe – Bullish Retest + Golden Cross Forming
Zooming into the daily chart, we see:
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which held as support (bullish confirmation).
✅ Price is now forming a Golden Crossover – where the 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA. This is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in trending markets.
📌 What’s Bullish:
Clean breakout ✔️
Retest with strength ✔️
Momentum crossover ✔️
EUR/USD is now in a strong bullish structure, backed by a confirmed breakout on the weekly and a golden crossover on the daily. If price holds above 1.09, we may see continued upside toward 1.13–1.16 levels in the coming weeks.
Thank you for reading and supporting @unichartz. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share! 💙
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EURUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. and China have imposed retaliatory tariffs on each other, escalating trade tensions. As a result, the "Sell USA" sentiment has intensified, causing the U.S. Dollar Index to fall below the 100 level.
- The market expects that, due to the high tariffs between the U.S. and China, most trade—except for essential goods and high-margin items—will come to a complete halt. This is likely to lead to a rise in consumer prices.
- Amid growing concerns of a recession, U.S. Treasury bonds are failing to serve as safe-haven assets, raising doubts about the dollar. Most currencies have strengthened against the dollar.
- This week, the ECB is expected to cut rates by 0.25% at its April monetary policy meeting.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 16: U.K. March CPI, Eurozone March CPI, U.S. March Retail Sales, Bank of Canada Rate Decision
+ April 17: ECB Rate Decision, Fed Chair Powell Speech
+ April 18: Easter Holiday
EURUSD Chart Analysis
After a strong rally that formed a peak near the 1.15000 level, EUR/USD has partially retraced its gains. In the short term, further downside is expected, with 1.12500 likely to act as a key support level. A rebound is anticipated around this zone; however, if the price breaks below it, a deeper decline could follow. Should that happen, a new trading strategy will be established.
EURUSD on the riseOn Friday, EURUSD continued its upward movement, reaching 1,1473.
The uptrend is clear and expected to continue after a pullback.
Key support levels are at 1,1258 and 1,1127.
Wait for the pullback to develop and look for an entry with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The ECB is expected to announce its interest rate decision on Thursday.
EURUSD D1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the D1 chart, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 1.1236, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1527, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is set at 1.0935, a pullback support.
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USDollar/EuroJust wanted to point out that the dollar has already lost support in terms of the Euro, and regardless of indicators, I doubt it recovers until the next president.
I see this hitting all time lows within 2 years, that's how bearish I am on the US dollar.
Probably should have posted this Thursday when I posted teh gold plots.
EURUSD Day Trade Idea Hi today I am looking at the EURUSD, and can see some potential day trade sell possibly happening soon or now. I have drawn the sell liquidity zone using the red box to show the sell pressure candles back from the current candle. Thank you please support me by following me.
#eurusd #eur #usd #sell #daytrade #day #trade #forex
@ilyaskhan.1994
EURUSD(20250414) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1339
Support and resistance levels:
1.1624
1.1517
1.1448
1.1229
1.1160
1.1054
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1339, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1448
If the price breaks through 1.1229, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1160
EURUSD
Analyzing the EUR/USD pair, I identified a significant triangle pattern on the monthly timeframe, suggesting a potential price target of 1,19. However, the crucial 1.13 level wasn't breached on the weekly and daily timeframes, indicating a retest before any upward movement. The formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests an ongoing uptrend. Stay tuned for potential bullish continuation.
EURUSD Breaks Out – But Will the Channel Hold the Follow-ThroughEURUSD has broken above the weekly expanding wedge, but the real test lies ahead. Price is still respecting an upward channel on the daily, and this week's open could act as a key launchpad—or rejection point. A clean bounce here confirms strength; failure signals a potential fakeout. Watch closely.
EURO/USD BREAKOUT AFTER CONSOLIDATION PRICE MAKE UPWORD MOVEA resistance zone is marked near the top (around the 1.13 - 1.14 range), which was previously a strong price ceiling.
A support zone is marked near the bottom, showing a level where price previously bounced back up.
2. Break of Structure (BOS):
A BOS label indicates a key price structure has been broken, suggesting a potential shift in market direction — in this case, likely a bullish breakout.
3. Rocket Icon and Target Area:
The rocket icon and green target box symbolize a bullish price projection, suggesting that price may continue upward.
The target zone is projected near 1.165547, hinting at a long/buy position expectation.
4. Fibonacci Level:
There's a Fibonacci extension or retracement level (0.786923566402819) drawn, likely helping define entries or confirmations.
5. Price Action:
The chart shows a strong bullish momentum with a recent breakout from consolidation.
A small consolidation or retest pattern is drawn within the green zone (above 1.13546), suggesting a bullish continuation after a potential retest.
6. Trade Setup:
The chart likely represents a buy setup, entering around 1.13546 after a pullback, with stop loss below the red zone and take profit near the green target zone.