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USDEUR trade ideas

my idea about gold . during the FOMC news today april 9 2025# ✨ XAU/USD FOMC STRATEGY PLAN (April 9, 2025) ## 🔬 Fundamental Context **Event:** FOMC Minutes **Time:** 1:00 PM ET / 10:30 PM IST / 8:00 PM EAT **Market Mood:** - US-China trade tension - Inflation still a concern - Fed likely to sound cautious or hawkish **Implication:** - If hawkish: USD ↗️ = Gold ↓ (but potential fakeout first) - If dovish: USD ↓ = Gold ↗️ (bullish breakout likely) --- ## 🌐 Key Levels to Watch ### ▼ Support Zone: - **2270 - 2255** - Previous demand zone - Potential stop hunt area ### ▲ Resistance Zone: - **2310 - 2325** - Previous rejection - Breakout zone into momentum --- ## ⚖️ Trade Scenarios ### ✅ Scenario A: Hawkish Fed (USD Bullish, Gold Dips) - Wait for gold to dump into **2270 - 2265** - Watch for **M15 bullish engulfing or rejection wick** - Enter BUY: - **SL:** 2257 - **TP1:** 2298 - **TP2:** 2315 ### ✨ Scenario B: Dovish Fed (USD Weak, Gold Pumps) - Wait for **clean breakout above 2310** - Look for **pullback + bullish structure on M5/M15** - Enter BUY: - **SL:** Below pullback low (~2302) - **TP1:** 2325 - **TP2:** 2340 ### ⚠️ Scenario C: Whipsaw / Mixed News - No rush - Let the market choose direction first (wait 15–30 min) - Watch for clean structure shift or fakeouts --- ## 📊 Risk & Management - Use **tight SL** and **defined TP zones** - Risk only **0.5% – 1% per position** - Adjust position size based on SL distance - **Avoid revenge trades** if whipsaw hits --- ## 🌟 Mindset > "Wait like a monk. Strike like a sniper. Let the market come to you." Stay present. Be patient. Gold rewards clarity, not chaos.
by joackimboniface
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes IncreaseMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes Increase EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0950 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a decent upward move from the 1.0880 zone against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0775 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0950 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1000. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1150 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1146 before the pair corrected gains. It dipped below 1.1000 and tested 1.0880. The pair is again rising from the 1.0880 zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1045 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low. The first major resistance is near the 1.1080 level. An upside break above the 1.1080 level might send the pair toward the 1.1145 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1165 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1200 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the 1.0955 level. The next major support is the 1.0880 level. A downside break below the 1.0880 support could send the pair toward the 1.0830 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0775. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂. Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day. As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️ My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
1
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a swing high resistance. Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
RSI bearish divergence seen on EURUSDFundamental Perspective: The euro steadied around $1.09 as markets awaited the EU's next move after the US rejected its zero-for-zero tariff proposal. The EU is now planning 25% counter-tariffs on the US goods, signaling a more confrontational stance. The escalating trade tension could create uncertainty over the EU's economic growth, as tariff retaliation could harm both EU exports to the US and potentially escalate into further trade restrictions. A weaker outlook for the EU economy could put the euro under pressure. Technical Perspective: EURUSD is testing the upper bound of the ascending channel and weekly fair value gap, with a bearish divergence seen on the RSI, indicating the potential for a reversal. If EURUSD reverses below the resistance zone at 1.1050, the price could plunge to the support at 1.08880, which resides near the previous day's low. Conversely, a decisive close above the weekly resistance zone could prompt a further rise toward the following resistance at 1.1200. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Short
by lixing_gan
1
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 1.0976, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.1076, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.0879, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EUR/USD Long Setup – Breakout Retest with Target Toward 1.21155Description: This EUR/USD idea is a long setup based on a clean breakout–retest structure on the 4H timeframe. Price broke out above a previous consolidation zone between ~1.083–1.093 and is now retesting that same zone, which is acting as support. The retest is showing signs of buyer interest, aligning with bullish continuation momentum. We’re seeing confluence from: Break and retest of horizontal support (former resistance) Continuation structure above the key demand zone Bullish trend in play with higher highs and higher lows Potential to target the next significant resistance around 1.21155 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 1.092 Stop Loss: 1.088 Target: 1.21155 This setup offers a favorable risk-reward scenario while aligning with macro USD softness and euro strength on recent economic developments. I’ll be monitoring momentum and price action on the lower timeframes to manage the trade accordingly.
Long
by GreenZoneCapital
I decided to start sharing ideas and Analyses - Here is EU/USD I have no actual experience on Forex trading and i am NOOB Analyst but here is a simple Analysis i just made in 2 min on the 4hr Timeframe EU/USD. You can see it is now testing the 0.5 level, which may continue to the 618, 0 (for a double top to DUMP again) or all the way up to 1.11 area. Just check the pic and you'll see the fib targets in the proper colours. It's intentionally very simple and short description. MAKE IT OR BREAK IT GUYS! Your criticism is my learning curve. Let it be Positive and Constructive though! This is just my start.
Long
by Cashaap
3
What You Can Do (Trading Plan):Wait for Completion of Wave B: Monitor if price shows rejection or reversal signs (like bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.) near the recent high. 2. Entry for Wave C: Once reversal is confirmed from the top of Wave B, you can: Enter a Sell trade targeting the red zone (1.06924 to 1.06700 area). Use confirmation from 1H or 30min timeframes (bearish structure, momentum loss). 3. Stop Loss Placement: Place SL just above the high of Wave B. Example: If B ends around 1.0990, keep SL near 1.1005. 4. Take Profit: TP in the middle to bottom of the red zone (1.0700 – 1.0670). --- Optional Smart Additions: Use Fibonacci retracement on wave A to confirm wave B top (61.8%–78.6% is common). Watch news events around April 10–12 (shown in icons), could bring volatility. ---
by Greenfireforex
This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context: EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout. ⚙️ Price Structure Overview: The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion. 1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor. Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: 🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario: If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward: Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level. Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March. A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number. 🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario: If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction: Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone. Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket. A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control. ⏳ Conclusion: The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming. This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
Short
by Saeed966
1
EurUsdTrade Idea: EUR/USD Short – “Magnet Trap Rejection” Setup (MTR) Timeframe: M15 Risk/Reward: High probability reversal zone 📉 Narrative: We are looking at a classic Magnet Trap Rejection (MTR) setup. Price has been climbing into a key supply zone (gray box) with clear exhaustion signs along the way. Let's break down the story told by price action and emojis: 🔍 Price Action Breakdown: 🕸 “Web of Liquidity”: Price created a base of liquidity at the low, where the spiderweb indicates retail stop-hunts and weak hands being trapped. 👀 “Observation Peak”: Smart money was clearly watching from above, letting retail traders build up positions with false confidence. 🧑‍🦽 “Wheelchair Rally”: The move up is weak and artificial – it's not running, it's being dragged up. No strength, just fumes. 🧲 “First Magnet”: Price gets pulled into the first magnet zone – engineered liquidity meant to bait in breakout buyers. 🪝 “Hook Trap”: Right after the magnet, we see a clear liquidity hook – fake breakout wick grabs stop losses and retail FOMO buyers. 💧 “Sweat Drop”: Price hesitates. The market is sweating. Reversal is brewing. 🔨 “Hammer of Rejection”: Clean rejection off the supply zone. Institutional sell orders are being executed here. 🧲 “Final Magnet Down”: The second magnet suggests price is now being pulled to the downside, toward previous liquidity pools. 🧠 Why I Like This Trade: Psychological traps are everywhere – retail longs are in pain. Clean structure with engineered liquidity zones. Rejection candle confirms institutional presence. Great RR due to well-defined entry and target zones. 🎯 Entry: After the rejection wick in the supply zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the hammer zone ✅ Take Profit: Near previous magnet/liquidity pool below This is a textbook example of emotional manipulation turned into opportunity. The “Magnet Trap Rejection” (MTR) setup is rare but deadly when it hits.
Short
by STZG
1
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025 Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here! Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area. It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute" This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then. Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer. EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning. You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT