USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD TRADING JOURNAL March20EURUSD TRADING JOURNAL
March20
Price in a bias bull
Price is in a Premium M/W
Premium daily range and a Premium previous range.
Dealing range pips 47
New 8:30
March 19
Sell stop raid. Price consolidates to expand in Asia. Perfect set up at 1 macro and ride it to know targets already noted in a previous journal. Price retraces and consolidates. Comes into the session created FVG only balancing the lower half tipping its hand price will go lower, it does to a sell stop. PM NY FOMC rallies retraces and goes into consolidation in a FVG. Note how close Price got to its Event Horizon.
March 20
Looking for higher prices today.
With yesterdays sell off Premium to discount back to equilibrium Im suspecting higher prices.
Watch for fake swings at 1 or 2 macro
Note what stops are taken
My Model Factors
Price will have to do the following for me to trade
*session liquidity taken
*macro time only
*first presented FVG
*4 candle pattern
*every trading hour top down analysis 1min to 1 hour TF identify trading conditions based on candles
*every hour mark out what price has done
FOLLOW THE RULES
EURUSD bearish idea double top!EURUSD is showing multiple signs of a bearish turn with Tuesday being the high of the week and a double top on the hourly at weekly levels , so one can expect bearish prices.
EURUSD / SHORT / 20.03.25⬇️ SELL EUR/USD 20.03.25
💰 Entry: $1.08926
🎯 Goal: $1.04254
⛔️ Stop: $1.09548
Entry reasons:
1) OSOK:
— Month maximum was set at the 3th weekly of month
2) Eliott waves:
— 1D: 2th wave is formed, 3th is forming.
3) Range:
— Monthly bearish range, correction into zone OTE
4) Additional arguments:
— Divergence delta cluster
— Divergence 1d
— Weekly liquidity is captured
Strategy: #osok #wave #cluster
EURUSDDaily, will go on a long-term to 1.11 before dropping.
The H4 timeframe is building a bearish flag to allow the price to fill the imbalance and also to reach the Order Block on H4 before push even more to the upside
Order Block @1.0938 |Sell SignalPrice was in an uptrend and gave us a break of structure and the failed to break the swing high created by the break of structure. It then proceeded to give us a change of character and retraced a little to created some inducement. Now I'll wait for price to sweep the inducement and mitigate the order block. I'll enter a sell position when price gives me some confirmation on the order block.
Mid Week Analysis: 19/3Price has returned back to the weekly open
Since today we've experiencing a change in price where now we can expect bearish price action.
OB marked so lets see if this respects over asia so we can continue the idea on London Open.
At the same time, we could break this weeks high now that we took last weeks low.
Currently on +3.6% due to BE from trades im covering on smaller TF.
Need to let trades room to breathe and moving to BE might be too aggressive since I have the 2% buffer now.
Let's aim for 5% by COB Friday
EUR USD - Bias: BullishLooking at the EUR/USD charts across the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour timeframes, here's my price action analysis:
Bias: Bullish
Market Structure Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows a clear bullish trend that began in late February, with EUR/USD making consistent higher lows and higher highs. After the strong rally from around 1.0400 to 1.0950, price has established a consolidation zone. The 1-hour chart reveals that price is respecting the recent range between approximately 1.0880 and 1.0940, showing signs of resuming the uptrend after testing support. The 15-minute timeframe shows recent bullish momentum with price holding above the 1.0920 level.
Entry Strategy:
Limit order at 1.0905, looking for a retest of the recent support that has formed in the 1.0900-1.0910 region.
Stop Loss: 1.0870 (35 pips risk)
Take Profit (TP1): 1.0975 (70 pips, 1:2 risk-reward)
Extended Take Profit (TP2): 1.1040 (135 pips, targeting previous structural highs)
Order Type: Limit order
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks below 1.0880 without triggering the entry, wait for a potential retest of the 1.0850 level. A break and close below 1.0850 would invalidate the bullish bias and suggest a deeper correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.0940, 1.0975, 1.1040
Support: 1.0900, 1.0880, 1.0850
This setup aligns with the overall bullish market structure while managing risk appropriately, targeting a continuation of the established uptrend after the current consolidation phase.
Eurousd technical analysis.Eurousd technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
EURUSD (SHORT )I entered a long position on EUR/USD at 1.09510, with a target at the external sell-side liquidity around 1.08242. The reason for taking this trade is based on the identification of a support zone and an Order Block (OB), where I used the 50% Fibonacci retracement level for my entry.
For a potential re-entry, I see an OB forming at the 1.09301 level, which I anticipate to act as a resistance (R) level. After the market fills the imbalance from the previous move, I expect a retracement to the support (S) level. Once that occurs, the market should push back towards the OB at 1.09301, which could trigger a short position. My targets for the short would either be the minor internal liquidity at 1.08603 (which could serve as TP1) or the POI at 1.08242. What do you think of it?
EURUSD Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price ActEURUSD (30M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Action
🔹 Bias: Bearish, Unless Price Reclaims 1.0945
Price is in a downtrend, rejecting key liquidity levels.
Sell-side liquidity has been taken at EPL (Equal Lows), but the reaction is weak.
Market structure is still bearish, with no confirmed shift to bullish.
🟢 Bullish Execution Plan (Low Probability Unless Price Reclaims Key Levels)
🔹 Buy Entry 1: 1.0865 - 1.0880 (Liquidity Grab & Reversal)
Confluence: 20ADR Level + Bullish Order Block
Trigger: Price sweeps below EPL & shows bullish rejection (engulfing or strong wick)
Target: 1.0900 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.0945 (CBR Retest)
Stop Loss: Below 1.0850
Risk: Medium
🔹 Buy Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.0945
Confluence: Previous Support-Turned-Resistance + Daily Open (DO)
Trigger: Strong close above 1.0945, followed by a bullish retest
Target: 1.0980 → 1.1000 (ADR Highs)
Stop Loss: Below 1.0930
Risk: High (Fakeouts likely)
🔴 Bearish Execution Plan (Primary Plan, Based on ICT Concepts)
🔹 Sell Entry 1: 1.0945 (CBR Retest & Rejection)
Confluence: DO Level + EPH (Liquidity Above)
Trigger: Price taps into 1.0945 and forms rejection candle
Target: 1.0900 → 1.0880 → 1.0865
Stop Loss: Above 1.0960
Risk: Low
🔹 Sell Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.0880 (EPL Breakdown)
Confluence: Structural Breakdown + New York Session Confirmation
Trigger: Candle closes below 1.0880 and retests as resistance
Target: 1.0850 (20ADR Target) → 1.0800 (Final TP)
Stop Loss: Above 1.0895
Risk: Medium
📌 Final Thoughts & Execution Summary
Main Idea: Watch for a 1.0945 rejection to enter shorts.
Alternative Buy Plan: If price drops to 1.0865, look for bullish reactions.
High Probability Play:
→ Short 1.0945 → TP1: 1.0900 → TP2: 1.0880 → TP3: 1.0865
🔥 Primary Play: Sell at premium, target new lows.
Liquidity Grab eurusd Supply & Demand Zones:
🔻 A major supply zone (resistance) is marked above 1.09618, where institutional selling pressure may appear.
🔹 A demand zone (support) is established below 1.09064, providing potential entry opportunities.
📈 Trading Plan & Targets:
✅ Expecting a bullish move from the demand zone as price reacts positively.
🎯 Target 1: 1.09064 – Mid-level liquidity area.
🎯 Target 2: 1.09618 – Major resistance & supply zone.
📌 Smart Money Concept (SMC):
🔹 Price is forming a liquidity sweep before a potential bullish push.
🔹 The structure suggests an accumulation phase, with a breakout confirmation above key levels.
💡 Key Takeaways:
🔹 Bullish bias unless price invalidates the demand zone.
EURUSD SHORTPlacing a short position. Price bounced off a key level twice and crossed my uptrend line. My two confirmations I needed. Let’s keep it simple.
EURUSD Falling WedgeEURUSD is forming a Falling Wedge. Price is expected to fall towards the support area. Look for potential Sells.
EUR/USD Analysis – 4H Timeframe
📉 Overall Trend:
The pair has been in an uptrend but is now facing a strong resistance zone.
A corrective move to the downside is expected after reaching these levels.
📊 Key Levels:
🔴 Strong Resistance Zone:
1.0958 - 1.0993 (A supply zone that could push the price down).
🟠 Targeted Support Zone:
1.0376 - 1.0335 (A demand area where price may find support and bounce).
📉 Expected Scenario:
1️⃣ The price may reject the current resistance level and start a corrective move downward.
2️⃣ A potential retest of 1.097 - 1.099 could occur before confirming the bearish move.
3️⃣ The downside target is around 1.037 - 1.033, where a strong support level is expected.
🎯 Conclusion: Monitor price action at resistance; if reversal signals appear, selling opportunities could be considered with targets at the mentioned support levels.
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
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EURUSD Possible Buy TradeWait market to reach FVG, then use entry confirmation buy using techniques and then enter in trade,
Happy Trading
EURUSD LIVE TRADE EXACUTION 57K PROFITEUR/USD was seen trading around the 1.0895 area after the European session, posting a moderate decline.
The pair confirms a corrective phase as buyers lose grip, with the recent price action suggesting further downside.
RSI is escaping the overbought zone, signaling the potential for extended losses if bearish momentum builds.
EUR/USD moved lower on Wednesday after the European session, retreating toward the 1.0895 zone following recent strong gains. The pair’s correction was largely anticipated as momentum indicators flashed overbought signals earlier in the week.
From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving sharply lower, now exiting overbought conditions. This suggests that selling pressure may persist in the near term. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is printing flat green bars, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum.
FOMC Mid-Week Reversal on EURUSDFOMC Mid-Week Reversal on EURUSD
Let's see if Medz is right once again.
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025
- EURUSD reversed from resistance level 1.0930
- Likely to fall to support level 1.0830
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 1.0930 (a former monthly high from November, which also stopped the earlier minor impulse wave iii).
The downward reversal from resistance level 1.0930 is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – a strong sell signal for EURUSD.
Given the overbought daily RSI and strongly bullish US dollar sentiment, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.0830 (low of the previous correction iv).
