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USDEUR trade ideas

Trading EURUSD and AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 18/02/2025The previous trading week wrapped up on a profitable note, delivering solid gains. We had the opportunity to take four trades on GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD, while EURUSD was the only pair that didn’t present any setups. Out of these four trades, three were winners, and only one resulted in a loss, allowing us to close the week with a 5% return. With such strong results, we were eager to see what opportunities this trading week would bring. By Tuesday, we had already taken two trades, and in this post, we’ll walk you through how they played out At 08:55 EST, both EURUSD and AUDUSD experienced a liquidity sweep, clearing out liquidity resting at the lows of their respective zones. This sweep on the lows directed our focus toward potential buying opportunities for the session on both pairs After patiently waiting, all our trade entry requirements aligned for both currency pairs, giving us the green light to execute. If you're wondering what our entry criteria are, here’s our checklist: 1. Break of structure to the upside 2. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) must be formed 3. Price must retrace into the FVG We don’t take trades unless all three conditions are met—no exceptions. Even if two out of three align, we stay on the sidelines. This disciplined approach helps us focus only on high-probability setups, increasing our edge in the market After execution, EURUSD wasted no time, hitting our take profit in just 1 hour and 25 minutes. AUDUSD had barely reached 1R within the same timeframe, signaling that this trade would require more patience. We were completely fine with this because we always risk only what we can afford to lose, which helps us stay detached from the outcome—win or lose. Plus, with EURUSD already securing a 2% gain, even a 1% loss on AUDUSD wouldn’t significantly impact our overall performance. Now, it’s just a matter of staying patient and letting the trade play out. This trade truly tested our patience. After a period of consolidation, it finally moved in our favor, allowing us to lock in a 2% gain after 15 hours and 15 minutes. Our total gain for the day reached 4%, making the session a solid success
by CleoFinance
SHORTING EURUSDTechnical Overview: Timeframe: Daily (1D) Pair: EUR/USD Indicator: EMA 21 (Exponential Moving Average) Key Levels: Resistance: ~1.05155 Support: ~1.03330 Psychological Level: 1.04550 (current price zone) Major Support Zone: ~1.02500 Analysis: Market Structure: The market is in a retracement phase after a bullish move. A bearish rejection at resistance (~1.05155) led to a pullback, which is now interacting with the 21 EMA and a possible support zone. Price Action & Rejection: The recent bearish candle pushed the price down, but there was an immediate rejection from a demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. This suggests that buyers are stepping in, showing potential support at the 1.0400 - 1.0450 zone. Confluence Factors: EMA 21 Acting as Dynamic Support: The price has previously respected the 21 EMA, and the latest reaction suggests it may hold as support. Order Block/Reliquidity Grab: A small liquidity grab below the previous lows before bouncing indicates that smart money may be accumulating long positions. Bullish Rejection Wick: The last candle shows buyer pressure, hinting at a possible move higher. Trade Bias: If the price holds above the EMA 21 and current support, bullish continuation is expected. A break above 1.0455 could signal further bullish movement toward 1.05155. However, if price breaks below 1.0400, it could indicate further downside toward 1.03330.
Short
by jamesprivado20
1
EURUSD Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.043. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.041 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on EUR/USD with you. Based on the 15-minute timeframe, EUR/USD is currently in a downward trend. However, if the price breaks above 1.04414, I expect a potential bullish reversal. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 1.04414 could push the price toward 1.05330 as the first target and 1.06011 as the second target. Bearish Scenario: If the breakout fails, the downtrend may continue. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.04414, 1.05330, 1.06011 Support: Monitor price action below 1.04414 💬 What’s your outlook on EUR/USD? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
EURUSD 20 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday - US Unemployment ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Some USA economic news today: US : Unemployment Claims & Philly Fed Manufacturing Index The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹With the recent moves, Minor Supply is holding and demand is failing to facilitate the INT-INT Bullish structure Pullback which reached the structure EQ (50%). 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bullish ii-BOS, price pulled in a corrective PA to the structure EQ (50%) and currently within the Daily Demand. 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures. 🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. 🔹Technically Shorts is the straight forward play (Played very well yesterday as per expectations and executions), but keep in mind that the Bearish INT structures task is to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback and we are currently in the Swing Discount Zone and if the Swing is going to continue Bullish, there is a high probability that the INT Structure is going to shift Bullish. 3️⃣ 🔹It’s a crossroads! Expectations is for price to turn Bullish and create a Bullish INT structure to confirm the Swing Pullback is over and the start of the Swing Bullish continuation Phase (Bullish iBOS for confirmation). 🔹Will be looking for longs after Bullish iBOS. As for Shorts, not in my interest currently based on where we are within the 115m Swing (Discount)/15m & 4H Demand even with the INT structure is Bearish.
by Amr-Sadek