USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD InsightWelcome, dear subscribers.
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Key Points
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated during a congressional hearing that "as early as this week, trade agreements with some of our largest trading partners may be announced."
- President Trump mentioned that "a product-specific tariff announcement on pharmaceuticals will be made within the next two weeks."
- On May 7, the Federal Reserve will announce the results of its FOMC meeting. While the market largely expects a rate hold, attention is focused on whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell will shift his stance.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 7: FOMC meeting results announcement
+ May 8: Bank of England interest rate decision
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is experiencing a pullback after encountering resistance at recent highs, with a temporary rebound following a recent decline. Based on the medium-to-short-term trend, further pullbacks are expected. In that case, a bottom is likely to form around the 1.11000 level. However, if the price breaks above the 1.14000 level, it may attempt to break through the resistance at the high again, so this resistance level deserves close attention.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 7, 2025 EURUSDEURUSD:
EUR/USD failed to hold on Tuesday, marking a new short-term consolidation range near the key 1.1300 mark as traders wait for a reason to move. The key event this week is the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate announcement in the middle of the week, which has pinned investor sentiment to the pole for now.
The Fed's upcoming rate decision on Wednesday remains the focus of markets this week. While many expect the Fed to maintain current rates, investors will be closely monitoring comments from policymakers, especially Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, for any signs that the shift to a rate-cutting cycle may occur sooner than expected.
Recently, the Fed has been facing increasing pressure to lower interest rates. Market participants have consistently sought lower funding costs, and the Trump administration has been particularly vocal in insisting that the Fed must cut rates to ease the cost of servicing US debt. However, this stance runs counter to the Fed's dual mandate of promoting full employment and controlling price stability, which President Donald Trump does not appear to be taking into account.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1350, SL 1.1330, TP 1.1440
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1424
1st Support: 1.1268
1st Resistance: 1.1484
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EUR/USD Price Update – Bears Lurking Below Major Resistance ZoneEUR/USD is currently trading around 1.13720, after bouncing back from consolidation. However, the pair is approaching a high-volume supply zone between 1.13750 – 1.14017, marked by the LuxAlgo Supply and Demand Visible Range. This area has historically acted as a strong resistance, leading to sharp rejections.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 1.13750 – 1.14017 (high volume node + rejection area)
First Support: 1.11392 – If price breaks structure here, we may see acceleration downward.
Major Demand Zone: 1.08262 – 1.08800 – Historically strong bullish reaction zone.
Bearish Outlook: If the bulls fail to break and close above 1.14017, I expect price to roll over, targeting:
1. 1.11392 – Minor support level
2. 1.08262 – Key demand zone where buyers previously stepped in hard
Why It Matters: We are entering a critical area ahead of major USD news events (FOMC + NFP) shown on the chart. Volatility is expected, and liquidity grabs above or below key levels are highly likely.
My Plan: Looking for a bearish rejection at the current supply zone or fakeout above it (liquidity sweep) before entering short positions. If confirmed, my downside targets are clearly marked.
What do YOU think? Will the dollar strength return, or will EUR/USD break above the resistance for a new rally?
Like, comment your analysis, and follow for more FX setups!
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #FOMC #ForexStrategy
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in May, and there is uncertainty about the future path of rate cuts. In contrast, the European Central Bank's monetary policy is gradually tightening, leading the market to expect that the euro has room for appreciation in the future. This difference in monetary policy expectations has driven the rise in the euro - dollar exchange rate. Technically, it is necessary to pay attention to the resistance level of the euro - dollar exchange rate near 1.16 and the support level near 1.12. If the 1.16 resistance level can be broken through, the euro - dollar exchange rate is likely to continue to rise. Conversely, if it falls back due to resistance, the effectiveness of the 1.12 support level needs to be observed.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
EURUSD... 4H CHAT PATTERN MY outlining a short trade setup on **EUR/USD** with the following parameters:
* **Entry:** 1.1136 (Sell)
* **Stop Loss:** 1.1141 (5 pips)
* **Target 1:** 1.1125 (11 pips)
* **Target 2:** 1.1110 (26 pips)
### Trade Analysis:
* **Risk:** 5 pips
* **Reward (Target 1):** 11 pips → **Risk\:Reward = 1:2.2**
* **Reward (Target 2):** 26 pips → **Risk\:Reward = 1:5.2**
This is a **scalping to short-term** setup with a tight stop loss. The R\:R ratio is favorable, especially if you plan to scale out at Target 1 and let the rest ride to Target 2.
### Tips:
* Make sure volatility and spread aren't too high, especially around news releases.
* Consider using a trailing stop once the price moves past Target 1.
* Confirm with indicators or price action (e.g., bearish engulfing, trendline break) for stronger entry confirmation.
EURUSD is set to move up?EURUSD 1h back to back 2 candle has got rejected from the support level with long wick which is smart money bullish order flow showing potential move back to the resistance line. As Daily trend is bullish we may see EURUSD continue to bounce back to the resistance with newly develop uptrend.
A buy trade is high probable
Buy EUR/USD now. Sell laterSimple bullish channel, got confirmation on 15m. Trade is now active, wish me luck. I believe it isn’t too late to buy in.
The 3M, Monthly, and Weekly indicate bearish Except we have 24 days left in this month to be really bullish and then dump in a couple weeks
The daily, 4H share strong bullish trendlines and we just rejected the bottom, already on our way up
The 1H and 15m has its own bullish channel as well
So in conclusion, the next 1-3 weeks will be very bullish. After that, expect a huge bear run. Get out as soon as the bull run is over and start shorting 🐻
For now, wait for a quick dip, buy a long and close your laptop for a week. (With risk management) Check back in a week and see if it’s still running, wait until it hits your TP (which will be at the top of the Trendline on the daily or 4H) then start shorting
Hope this was all helpful, if you have any questions, comment or DM me. I am currently in the trade and I will let you guys know how it goes :)
EUR/USD Analysis – Difficulty at Resistance and Possible PullbacThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading at a strong resistance level. This area stands out both because it has historically been a zone of intensified selling pressure and because indicators like the RSI are giving overbought signals.
On the other hand, the DXY being at a support area and the potential for an upward response suggests that the dollar may strengthen against the euro. If this scenario occurs, we are likely to see a downward correction in the EUR/USD pair.
EURUSD May 6 Trade ExecutionEURUSD
May 6 Trade Execution
Coming into Asia Price was in a discount on the previous range and had been in a reversal from NY 9 am macro, that retraced and then consolidated.
Once Price expanded to the minor equal lows into a FVG I started to hunt for the model 2022 form.
Was also crossing referencing with DXY and GBP to frame this trade.
When DXY and GBP started to turn and break structure I suspected that the lower noted equal lows price was going to seek higher prices.
Price expands at 20:00 taking the liquidity noted equal lows.
Analysis taken from the 1 min chart
Prices weaves in a small consolidation
21:33 price creates displacement and a FVG
21:40 prices creates another FVG
21:50 price creates another FVG
21:56 I entered
First target 1.13331
Second target 1.3448
Third target 1.13449
Amazing to get up and analyze to discern a narrative about what I suspected price would do in Asia and for it to complete my 3 targets doesn't get any sweeter than that.
Rinse wash and retrade this model when it forms.
May 6, 2025 - EURUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% (+0.5% potential add-on) | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (75% off), final TP > 1:8
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from Daily Orderblock, broke structure on 15m ⛓️.
Refined entry from 15m OB → 5m OB for more precision on the tap entry🎯.
2x Asia lows below = high-probability targets 🔻.
Looking to add 0.5% if 1m BOS + retracement OB confirm.
⚠️ Note:
There’s unmitigated Asia High & 15m OB above, but too far to affect today’s bearish idea.
EURUSD**EUR/USD Short Signal – 15-Minute Time Frame Description**
**Signal Overview:**
EUR/USD has given a clear **short (sell)** signal on the **15-minute time frame**. The price formed a **lower high** and was rejected from a key **resistance zone**, indicating bearish pressure. A strong **bearish candlestick pattern** — such as a **bearish engulfing** or **rejection wick** — confirms the momentum shift.
**Technical Confirmations:**
* **RSI** reversed from the overbought zone (near 70), signaling potential downside.
* **EMA crossover** (e.g., 20 and 50) is showing bearish alignment.
* **Volume** supports the selling pressure, adding to the strength of the signal.
**Trade Setup (Scalp Idea):**
* **Entry:** Near the resistance area after bearish candle confirmation
* **Stop Loss (SL):** Just above the recent high
* **Take Profit (TP):** At the nearest support or based on a 1:2 risk-reward ratio
**Note:**
If you want detailed chart analysis or live trade updates, **you can DM me**.
Would you like me to include a chart image or visual for this setup?