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Massive Breakout in EUR/USD – Time to Ride the Trend?📊 EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025 The euro-dollar pair (EUR/USD) continued its upward momentum on Friday, reaching a high of $1.1473 before closing at $1.1352. This movement reflects a significant appreciation of the euro, influenced by a weakening U.S. dollar amid escalating trade tensions and a selloff in U.S. Treasuries. 📈 Current Market Structure: After consolidating earlier in the week, EUR/USD broke above key resistance levels, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The pair's movement suggests a potential shift in market dynamics, with investors seeking alternatives to the dollar. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: $1.1473: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal further bullish continuation. $1.1500: Psychological resistance and a potential target for bulls. $1.1600: A more substantial resistance area that could be tested if momentum continues. 🔸 Key Support Levels: $1.1300: Recent support. A break below this level could indicate a short-term pullback. $1.1200: Next significant support, representing a potential bounce point. $1.1100: A critical support level that, if breached, could lead to a shift in market sentiment. 📐 Price Action Patterns: The pair's recent breakout above previous resistance levels suggests a strong bullish trend. The formation of higher highs and higher lows supports this view. However, traders should watch for potential reversal patterns near resistance areas. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If EUR/USD breaks and holds above $1.1473, it could target $1.1500 and potentially $1.1600. Continued weakness in the U.S. dollar and positive Eurozone data would support this move. ❌ Bearish Scenario: Failure to sustain above $1.1300 may lead to a retest of $1.1200, with further declines possible toward $1.1100 if bearish momentum increases. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels. Traders should monitor upcoming economic indicators and geopolitical developments that may influence the pair's direction. 💬 What's your outlook for EUR/USD? Do you anticipate continued strength in the euro, or will the dollar regain its footing? Share your thoughts below! Let me know if you'd like this analysis tailored for a specific platform or with additional details!
Long
by Saeed966
7
EUR/USD - Further Room For Bullish MoveEUR/USD is nearing the upper trendline of a descending wedge on the weekly chart, currently at 1.13297, near the 1.1200 resistance. The 50-week EMA (blue) is above the 200-week MA (red), indicating underlying bullish momentum, and stochastic Oscillator has also room for further upside move. Below is the likely setup: Bullish Setup (Sustained Breakout Above Resistance): Buy Entry: On a weekly close above 1.1200 or retest of 1.1200 as support. Stop Loss: 1.1100. Take Profit: 1.1750 (first target), 1.2300 (second target). Confirmation: Strong close above 1.1200, Stochastic holding above 50 after a pullback. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
EURUSD - Medium-term analysis of the euroThe weekly order flow is bearish and the daily is bullish. But let's take a closer look at the EUR from the monthly timeframe: On the monthly timeframe, the price has hit the middle of the swing structure and has also filled the FVG. Regardless of the seasonal tendencies that slightly favor the monthly bullish candle, on the weekly timeframe, the price has hit an order block last week and has gathered liquidity at equal levels below this order block. With all these interpretations and signs that I see, although the daily timeframe has bullish order flow, I think the price can move down from this point (unless Trump gets naughty) and and target external liquidity on March 26. I predict that the April monthly candle will close as a doji. Everything is indicated on the chart. This analysis will be updated in the future. Be profitable
Short
by alixjey
The Day Ahead Friday, April 11 – Market Movers Macro Data Releases US: March PPI: Key inflation metric; will shape expectations for upcoming Fed decisions. April University of Michigan Sentiment: Critical for gauging consumer confidence and inflation expectations—could move Treasuries and USD. UK: February GDP (m/m): Signals short-term growth trends; implications for GBP and BoE policy stance. Japan: March M2, M3: Measures of monetary supply; minor market mover but relevant for BoJ watchers. Germany: February Current Account Balance: Trade-driven indicator; may influence EUR depending on surplus/deficit surprise. Central Bank Watch Fed’s Williams and Musalem speak: Markets will watch closely for any guidance on rate trajectory or balance sheet. Hawkish/dovish tone could directly impact bond yields and USD positioning. Earnings – Big Banks Lead Q1 Reports JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, BlackRock Key Focus for Traders Paired with Fed speak, inflation data (PPI, Michigan inflation expectations) could drive rate volatility and USD. Equity rotation within financials is underway—watch credit-sensitive and trading revenue trends. FX: EUR and GBP are at risk from economic surprises; potential moves are tied to relative growth and trade flows.
by TradeNation
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 11, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD hit its highest levels in nearly two years on Thursday, breaking through and closing above 1.1200 for the first time in 21 months. Market tensions continue to ease after the Trump administration dropped its own tariffs at the last minute, causing a general weakening in US Dollar flows. US consumer price index (CPI) inflation fell significantly short of forecasts in March. The core CPI fell to 2.8 per cent year-on-year, a four-year low after nearly eight months above 3.0 per cent. Core CPI inflation also fell to 2.4 per cent year-on-year. Investment markets will face a major challenge if the tariffs reverse the Federal Reserve's (Fed) multi-year efforts to curb inflation. On Friday, the week will conclude with the release of the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index survey. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is expected to decline again in April as consumers feel the pressure of the Trump administration's tariff and trade policies, and is likely to fall to a near three-year low of 54.5. In addition, expected consumer inflation data will be released on Friday, with UoM's 1-year and 5-year expected consumer inflation previously standing at 5% and 4.1% respectively. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1305, SL 1.1380, TP 1.1150
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EU Tariff Relief Drives Euro Above $1.13The euro climbed above $1.13, its highest since September 2024, after the EU suspended new U.S. tariffs for 90 days to allow trade talks. This followed President Trump’s move to cut tariffs to 10% for non-retaliating countries while raising Chinese duties to 125%. While easing global slowdown fears, the mixed signals fueled uncertainty. Money markets adjusted ECB expectations, pricing the deposit rate at 1.8% by December, up from 1.65%, and lowered the probability of an April cut to 90%. Key resistance is at 1.1390, followed by 1.1425 and 1.1500. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1180, and 1.1100.
by ChartMage
EURUSD Tests 17-Year Long-Term Trend!!!After Trump announced an additional 20% in tariffs, EURUSD made a relatively surprising move and surged sharply. This marks the second leg of the upward trend that began in early March. However, the sharp rise has now brought EURUSD to the doorstep of a very long-term resistance level. Since testing 1.60 in 2008, EURUSD has been moving lower within a wide descending trend channel that has held for 17 years. Since 2015, the pattern has evolved into a wedge formation within this broader channel. The most recent test of this resistance came last year, but at the time, a weak Eurozone economy, crowded Euro long positions, and a hawkish Fed prevented a breakout. This time, the landscape is different. The Eurozone is showing early signs of recovery, the ECB’s rate cuts appear to be nearing their end, and European countries have started to band together following a decline in confidence in their biggest ally and decide to increase technology, defence spending. Despite these developments, the medium-term effects of the new tariffs and the strength of the long-term resistance level are likely to prevent a clear breakout for now. Still, the long-term outlook is beginning to shift in favor of the euro, and a breakout later this year carries a significant probability.
by ftdsystem
Lingrid | EURUSD potential Short-Term PULLBACK from 2022 HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It hit the take profit. FX:EURUSD market is making higher highs, showing bullish momentum. Also the price broke and closed above the consolidation zone. However, on the daily timeframe, the price is forming an ABC move where point C completes at the psychological level of 1.15000. After the completion of this move, a pullback typically follows. Furthermore, this resistance zone represents the high of 2022, and I believe there may be liquidity above which could lead to a rollover. If we see rejection at this level, we can expect a short-term pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.12700 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
5
EURUSD UPDATE FOR NEW TRADERS Let’s break down what’s happening with the Euro vs. US Dollar (EUR/USD) 📈 PRICE RIGHT NOW ➡️ EURUSD is trading at 1.13417, which means the Euro is gaining strength against the Dollar. ➡️ It’s up +1.28% and just entered a zone where many big traders are looking to sell (called a SUPPLY ZONE) at around 1.12020 – 1.13980. ⚠️ WHY THIS MATTERS TO YOU The EURUSD is getting ready to move — maybe sharply. Today (April 11), there’s important news coming from both Europe and the U.S. that could shake up the market. 🗓️ BIG NEWS TO WATCH TODAY Here’s what’s on the calendar and how it could affect your trade: ECB President Speaking (2:45 AM PT) If she sounds confident about Europe’s economy, the Euro could go up even more If not, it may drop. Inflation Report (PPI) (5:30 AM PT) If prices in the U.S. are rising fast, the Dollar could get stronger. That could make EURUSD go down. Consumer Sentiment & Fed Speeches (7:00–8:30 AM PT) If Americans are feeling positive about the economy if Fed speakers hint at raising interest rates, the Dollar could jump. 🎯 WHAT TO DO AS A TRADER If you're already in a SELL trade near 1.12020, you’re in the right zone — just be careful of price spiking toward 1.13980 before dropping. Your next target to take profit is around 1.08289, which is where price might pull back to. If price goes above 1.14948, it could mean the SELL setup failed — that’s your STOP LOSS zone . ✅ SIMPLE GAME PLAN Watch the news today! Big moves may happen during or after these reports. Hold your position if the news supports your trade. Close your trade or move your stop if the news goes against you. If you're unsure, this is a great time to sit back, watch the market react, and learn.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
DeGRAM | EURUSD held in the channelEURUSD is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price is moving from the lower trend line, which has already acted as a rebound point, and the lower boundary of the channel, above which it has successfully consolidated. The chart formed a harmonic pattern while testing the boundaries and is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle. On the main timeframes RSI is above 50 pips, but 30m is overbought. We expect EURUSD to continue rising after consolidating above the upper trend line. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.11613.Colleagues, the price is in the correction of wave “2”. I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not yet complete. In any case, I think that the price will still reach the maximum of wave “1” at 1.11613. The question is how far will the correction of wave “2” go or is it over? There is no way to know for sure, so I don't recommend selling. I think we should stick to long positions. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
10