Potential ShortDue to the descending nature of recent move.
Creating Lower Swing Points we can conclude that the short downtrend can occure.
Volume can posses great significance in finding the good pullback opportunities.
Here we can see the top of candle with higher than average volume in immediate past.
Even the full number of price near.
We can look for the bounce from there downside to retest the recent bottom.
We shall see.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Part 2 – Trade the Break, Not the ChopIn my previous post, I highlighted a massive double bottom on the EUR/USD monthly chart, potentially signaling the birth of a multi-month bullish cycle.
Now, zooming in to the H4 timeframe, the pair is trading in a key decision zone ahead of the FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday.
Decision Zone: 1.1200–1.1400
This range is technically dangerous for new entries:
Below 1.1200, we risk confirming a local Head and Shoulders pattern → could trigger a bearish breakdown toward 1.11 or lower.
Above 1.1400, we would see a local Double Bottom, in line with the larger monthly pattern → likely continuation of the uptrend.
That’s why I believe the safest strategy right now is to wait for a breakout and confirmation — either above 1.1400 or below 1.1200. Trading inside this band means fighting uncertainty just days before a major macro event.
Reversal patterns work best when used within trends, not against them.
The current ascending structure on H4 supports a bullish continuation — if the market provides confirmation.
Until then, let the range resolve. Smart money waits, not guesses.
EURUSD 6/5/25This week, the Euro remains bearish, and we’re expecting price action to target and run the lows we’ve already identified.
One important principle we’ve repeatedly shared with our Members is this: when we hold a bearish bias, we should not expect price to return to our ideal sell zones. Instead, we should anticipate that price will move toward our projected downside targets.
If we’re fortunate enough to get a pullback into our preferred sell zones, we’ll welcome it with open arms. However, focusing too much on where you want to sell from creates the wrong mindset. It leads you to expect a pullback — a counter-directional move — even while holding a bearish bias. That approach is backwards.
Stay grounded in the principle: we expect price to reach the downside targets. If a pullback occurs, we’ll act accordingly. We've maintained a bearish outlook for some time, and recent price action has confirmed that with a significant sell-off. We expect this momentum to continue.
Orion has signalled that price should come lower, and we will continue to follow that direction. As always, stick to your risk parameters, follow your rule set, and let Orion lead the way.
Why Financial Clarity Comes Before Any Forex Trade?Before any strategy or setup, I ask one thing: is my personal financial foundation strong enough to support this trade?
In this reflection, I explore the direct impact that personal finance management has on trading performance — not as an abstract idea, but as a daily reality. When financial clarity is missing, emotional decision-making creeps in. When it’s present, I trade with more patience, discipline, and perspective.
This is not trading advice. It’s a caution to those who see trading as a way out, rather than something built upon stable ground.
Guess what? I am on a Demo Account. I will keep on trading on a Demo Account until I know that I have a solid risk management plan and a trading methodology that both will give me consistent profits.
The whole Idea with personal finance management in forex trading is to know whether you can afford trading and once you know the answer to that what is your game plan.
Just a quick hint.. If your answer is no; meaning that today you cannot afford trading, don't be discouraged, there is still a plan that can be designed. Actually, I think the ones who cannot afford trading are in a better positions than those who can.
The ones who cannot afford trading today, can easily start learning without having the itch to open a live account.
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 30M - As you can see from this market, price looks to be accumulating as its protecting lows, setting higher lows and looks to be building strength to press price higher.
I have gone ahead and marked out a level of Demand I would love to see price come down and trade into, once it does I would like to see a clean rejection. Using this area to set a new higher low.
In order for me to enter long in this market moving forward I want to see price break structure to the upside, this will give us the confluence we need in order to confirm a reversal.
A break in the last protected fractal high will tell us that price is no longer heavily weighed down by Supply but now enough Demand has been introduced to actually break those highs and continue to protect those lows.
EURUSD INTRADAY bullish consolidation supported at 1.1240Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails.
1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day AheadTuesday, May 6 – Financial Trading Summary & Relevance
Key Data Releases:
US March Trade Balance – Important for assessing the strength of US exports vs. imports. A larger deficit may weigh on USD; narrower gap may support it.
China April Caixin Services PMI – Insight into China's private service sector. Stronger data could lift global risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies (e.g., AUD).
UK April Data:
Official Reserves Changes – Minimal short-term trading impact.
New Car Registrations – Reflects consumer sentiment and demand; relevant for UK auto stocks and GBP sensitivity.
France March Industrial Production – A leading gauge for Eurozone growth; stronger output may support EUR.
Italy April Services PMI – Adds to Eurozone PMI sentiment; market-moving for EUR if deviating significantly.
Eurozone March PPI – Inflation gauge; higher-than-expected may raise ECB hawkishness bets, boosting EUR and yields.
Canada March Trade Balance – Important for CAD traders; strong trade could support CAD.
Major Earnings Releases (market movers):
Tech & Growth Focus:
Palantir (PLTR) – Government & AI analytics focus; market keen on forward guidance and AI revenues.
AMD (AMD) – Key semiconductor player; crucial for tech sentiment, especially in AI chip space.
Arista Networks (ANET) – Cloud and networking performance gives insights into broader tech infra spending.
Datadog, Astera Labs – Watch for cloud and AI-related growth signals.
Consumer & Travel:
Marriott (MAR) – Key for travel demand trends.
Zoetis – Animal health; solid defensive sector performer.
Coupang – Insight into Asian e-commerce and consumer health.
Autos & Industrials:
Ferrari, Rivian – Luxury vs. EV sentiment; Rivian earnings especially key for EV sector momentum.
Vestas – Wind energy indicator; watch for green transition spending trends.
Financial & Healthcare:
Intesa Sanpaolo – Italy’s largest bank; insight into Eurozone financials.
IQVIA, Fidelity – Relevant for healthcare services and asset management outlook.
Bond Market:
US 10-Year Note Auction – Closely watched for investor demand amid shifting Fed rate expectations. Weak auction = higher yields = USD strength.
Trading Relevance Summary:
FX: EUR, GBP, CAD and USD sensitive to economic prints (trade, PMIs, inflation).
Equities: Focus on tech (AMD, Palantir, Datadog), EVs (Rivian), and industrials (Ferrari, Vestas).
Bonds: 10-yr auction could set tone for yields.
Commodities: China services PMI may influence oil and metals via demand expectations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD EURUSD presents another buy opportunity, and I've just activated the trade.
I wanted to share it with you as well. This trade has three different Take Profit levels, which are:
1.13455 / 1.13563 / 1.13786
However, I personally plan to close the trade at 1.13455 in order to stick to my game plan.
This will be the last trade of the day for me.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 1:2.50 / 1:4.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 1.13290
✔️ Take Profit: 1.13455
✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13180
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
EURUSD main trend is up, but we are in the correction wavemain trend is up. depending on the correction we will have clear target i expect 1.19-1.23 closely watching the trend brakes. daily or h4 candle brakes are cruical. correction might be ending if not it might give us better buy opportunities around 1.11 or little bit below 1.11
Euro Pressured Ahead of Fed DecisionThe euro is trading around $1.1315 on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, where rates are expected to remain unchanged. However, the dollar still faces headwinds from doubts over its safe-haven appeal and President Trump’s unpredictable tariff stance. A dovish Fed or continued skepticism toward the dollar may limit euro losses.
Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Euro H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1426 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1583 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1274 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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EUR/USD – Why I’m Still BullishBack on March 13, EUR/USD broke above the previous high around 1.094, pushing all the way up to 1.15672—a strong move showing bullish intent.
Now price is consolidating, and if you’re looking closely at the 2-month chart, there’s a clear doji/indecision candle forming. This tells me the market is catching its breath before possibly making another leg higher.
⚠️ Trading inside indecision can mess with your psychology. It’s tricky because price is undecided, and without momentum, even good entries can feel shaky. But if you get in below the candle body structure and remain patient, that’s where the edge is.
Right now:
Bullish structure is still intact 📊
18-day candle body looks healthy, just lacking a push
I'm still expecting a retest toward 1.15
Watching neckline and key psychological zones for confirmation
All in all, higher highs could still be in play, but I’m staying tactical and letting the structure develop.
EURUSDHello everyone!
I'd like to share an ideal **Buy opportunity** on the **EURUSD** pair with you. The trade is currently **active** on my side.
🔍 **Criteria:**
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.17
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 1.13204
✔️ Take Profit: 1.13335
✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13092
🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
EU – Sniper Precision Off the 5M OBMarked my 5M order block off the last sell candle before the internal break of structure. Price showed bullish reaction early, but I didn’t flinch—no need to chase or expand the zone.
Skipped the 10M OB, stayed patient, and let price build the narrative:
• CHoCH forming
• Liquidity sweep in motion
• IDM cooking
Now I’m posted, waiting for price to tap into my 5M OB and flip with a micro LH for the entry.
No guessing. No rushing. Just letting the market come to me.
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD Rejected at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Motion!Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Designed for short-term or intraday trades.
Entry Zone (Short):
Price is reacting to a fresh supply zone around 1.13260–1.13280.
Stop Loss:
Just above the supply zone, near 1.13280 (tight SL setup).
Bearish Reaction:
Price rejected resistance with a wick and bearish body — strong confirmation of selling pressure.
Target Zone (Demand):
A wide green demand area is marked at 1.12810–1.12830, providing a solid take-profit level.
Structure Bias:
Current formation shows lower highs and clear resistance respect — indicating bearish momentum.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Strong RRR (more than 2:1) – minimal risk for decent reward.
EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4 hour order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
A 3-Step Process For Analytical SuccessIn this video I go through the 3-step process of implementing a Bias, Narrative, and Model.
This process was a game-changer for me when it came to analysis, as well as taking actual trades. It considered high-probability targets, patience in waiting for traders to coming for me, and the calm of being prepared when it was time to take an entry. It filters out pointless trades, because if I don't have Bias, then I can't have a Narrative, and if I don't have a Narrative, then I don't have a Model.
I use ICT concepts, but this process works equally well for most other methodologies that aren't completely mechanical and algorithmic.
I give a real example of a trade I took yesterday on EURUSD where I utilized this 3-step process to frame a trade.
I hope you find this video insightful and gives you more clarity in your trading!
- R2F Trading
Reconnecting with a Short Idea on EURUSDHello TradingView community!
I’m excited to reconnect with all of you after a long break. First off, I want to thank my amazing followers for your continued support—I truly appreciate it!
Today, I’d like to share a trading idea that I believe could be of interest, particularly regarding the EURUSD pair. I’ve observed a classic head and shoulders pattern forming, signalling a potential short opportunity. While the risk-to-reward ratio isn't the most enticing, the pattern itself appears convincingly strong, and I feel it’s worth considering.
Here's a brief overview of my thoughts:
- Pattern: Head and Shoulders, indicating a reversal.
- Entry Point: .
- Stop Loss: .
- Target: .
I encourage you all to conduct your own analysis and consider this trade within the context of your overall strategy. Let’s keep the conversation going—I'd love to hear your thoughts and any insights you have on this pair!
Looking forward to sharing more ideas in the future!
Happy trading!
E.K