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USDEUR trade ideas

EUR/USD Technical Outlook (Read Caption)📈 EUR/USD Technical Outlook 🗓️ Date: May 28, 2025 🕒 Timeframe: Likely 4H 💵 Current Price: 1.13387 📍 Chart Zones & Market Structure 🟣 Support Zone (1.1280 – 1.1310) 🟢 Buyers Active! ✅ Strong demand visible with multiple bullish rejections (marked by green arrows). 🛡️ Market respects this zone – accumulation possible. 🧲 Acts as a springboard for upward moves. 🔴 Resistance Zone (1.1420 – 1.1450) 🔻 Sell Pressure High! Repeated rejection at this level (red arrows 📉). 🚫 Strong resistance; previous highs couldn’t sustain. ⚠️ Price may pause or reverse here again. 📊 Price Action Pattern 📐 W-Pattern / Double Bottom Formation The chart outlines a potential W-shaped recovery from support. 🔄 Suggests possible bullish reversal if neckline breaks around 1.1380. 🎯 Target post-breakout aligns with resistance zone (1.1420+). 🔮 Bullish Scenario (Blue Arrow) 💡 Plan: Break + Retest at 1.1380 = 🚀 Long Opportunity 📈 Target: 1.1420–1.1450 zone 📦 Entry confirmation: Bullish engulfing or strong breakout candle 🛑 SL: Below 1.1310 🧠 What to Watch 🔔 Key Economic Events Coming (🎯🇺🇸 & 🇪🇺 icons): High volatility expected — align trades with fundamentals. 📅 News catalysts can validate or invalidate the technical setup. 🧭 Professional Tip 📌 "Structure first, signals second" Let the price react at key zones before entering. Patience + Reaction = Precision Trades 🧠📊 ✅ Conclusion The market is in a neutral-to-bullish phase, trading between well-defined support and resistance. With a clean structure forming and economic events lining up, it’s a great moment to stay alert, plan your entries, and execute only with clear confirmation. 🎯📉📈
Long
by ZareeFxTradingAac
2
Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary Resistance Zone: Around 1.1360 Support Zone: Same level after breakout (suggesting a breakout and retest pattern) Target: Around 1.1450 after breakout --- 🚫 Disruption Points 1. False Breakout Risk What could happen: Price might break the resistance briefly and then fall back below it. Why: Lack of volume or confirmation, or a market maker trap to gather liquidity above the resistance zone. Disruption: Instead of forming new support, it could become a bull trap leading to a sharp reversal. 2. Fundamental Risk What could happen: Unexpected U.S. or Eurozone economic data (like NFP, CPI, or ECB/Fed announcements) may shift sentiment suddenly. Why: The image shows upcoming news events (flag icons), which could induce volatility. Disruption: The news might push EUR/USD sharply down even if a breakout occurs. 3. Bearish Divergence (if applicable) What could happen: If RSI or MACD were included, they might show divergence while price is rising. Why: Divergence typically precedes reversals. Disruption: This would undermine the bullish breakout thesis.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis: The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum. What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer) The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price. Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve. The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure. 🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established. After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation. The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish. 🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip. This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals. Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers. 🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support. This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence. 🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders. This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins. 📊 Trade Management Plan: Parameter Details Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term) Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs TP1 1.14500 (interim supply) TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone) SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea) RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🧠 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH) Curve Manipulation / Compression SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange) QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) Trendline + FVG Confluence Liquidity Pool Targeting Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation 🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations: Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests. Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload. If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions. ✅ Conclusion: This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management. Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD May 30 Failed tradesEURUSD May 30 Failed trades Logic coming into today was Price would reach for equal highs liquidity, which I tried to trade wasting valuable mental capital on a swing with a small pip reward. I went long for equal highs not once but twice, anticipating to then short for the London sentiment *21:00 entry anticipating a long to equal highs risk to reward was 15 pips I suspected a swing to the higher high at price 1.13923 target *Came back on me stopped me out Embarrassed to write this out and yet lets go! *20:21 super revenge trade on my idea so low brow move same thing longed at a stupid time and got stopped out after it took session liquidity, and rolled over Broke rules *never buy in a premium *only trade macro times *suppress the urge to revenge trade *always trade after liquidity is taken Notes for failed sells I took that were poorly executed London Macro 2:00 entry with a 5 pip stop loss-stopped out 2:15 entry with a larger stop loss and came back again *Lack of trust in my bias after a dismal morning adding to over analyzing *Broke my rule of1 to 2 trades a day *If I would have taken the time to just review the morning cross reference DXY/GBP and had faith that my logic was correct both 1:45 and 2:45 provided entries *I witness the value of getting in early and yet when its right there I freeze *Focus on sound logic to reframe your confidence *stick to bias and follow through *Your idea played out and you were too eager and excited to trade-learn to calm and stay focused *small stop loss were employed, if I would have stuck to my bias in Asia and London today would have been a large success *greed in the morning captured me with wanting both swings-1 swing at a time *fear of more loss prevented a larger stop loss which at 2 macro would have held me in the trade
by LeanLena
EURUSD: weekly overviewTake FOMC meeting under observation, the US GDP is also a really important news. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Long
by AliSignals
EURUSD | Bearish Divergence | Bearish MomentumCurrently, EURUSD is clearly in a downtrend, consistently forming lower lows and lower highs, confirming a bearish market structure. According to Dow Theory, the recent bullish momentum has now shifted into a confirmed downtrend. Additionally, the 1-hour trendline support has been broken, signaling weakness in the previous bullish leg. We now anticipate a pullback toward the recently broken structure or resistance zone, where further bearish continuation is likely. On the 1-hour timeframe, a well-formed bearish divergence on the RSI adds confluence to our bias, indicating weakening bullish momentum and a potential trend continuation to the downside. Since our initial entry was slightly late, we’ve strategically placed a limit order near the retest zone and executed a partial position at the current market price to secure early exposure. Overall, structure and momentum both align with short-term bearish sentiment.
Short
by awaisulabdeen
Euro can reach resistance line of pennant and then dropHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price of the Euro had been gradually declining, forming a series of lower highs and finding support around the 1.1070 - 1.1025 buyer zone. This pullback created the groundwork for a new structure to form as volatility narrowed and momentum shifted. After reaching a local bottom, the market rebounded and began constructing an upward pennant, a classic consolidation pattern that often precedes continuation or reversal, depending on breakout direction. Within this pennant, price respected both trendlines, each approach to the upper resistance was followed by a rejection, and each touch of the support line triggered a bounce. Now, the Euro is moving closer to the resistance line of the pennant once again. Given the overall structure, proximity to the 1.1415 resistance level, and prior reactions from the seller zone, I think the Euro can reach the top boundary and then continue to decline, potentially breaking below the pattern. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1150 points, targeting a move toward the support level and exit from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
7
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.133. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.124 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Drifts Lower as Dollar ReboundsEUR/USD is struggling to hold onto Thursday’s rebound from the 1.1200 region—its lowest in nearly 10 days—and trades with a slight bearish bias in Friday’s Asian session. The pair is hovering near the mid-1.1300s, down around 0.15% on the day. The US Dollar regained some ground due to renewed safe-haven demand after a federal appeals court reinstated former President Trump’s broad trade tariffs, injecting fresh uncertainty into the markets. However, the dollar’s momentum remains limited by concerns over the US fiscal outlook and expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025. The euro finds partial support as Trump postponed tariffs on EU imports. Market focus now shifts to the upcoming US PCE inflation data, which may influence Fed policy expectations, followed by next Thursday’s ECB meeting for further direction. Resistance is seen at 1.1400, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1500. Support is located at 1.1300, followed by 1.1260 and 1.1210.
by ChartMage
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.1360 (21SMA-5/8 Murray Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.1340 and is experiencing a strong technical rebound after reaching the 4/8 Murray level at 1.1230. The euro could rise in the coming hours, but it faces strong resistance around 1.1352. This level could provide a key opportunity to resume selling. It the euro falls below the 21SMA at 1.1326 or below the 5/8 Murray level, we could expect a technical correction and could reach the 4/8 Murray level at 1.1240 and even fill the gap it left around 1.1168. The indicator is showing a negative signal, however, we could expect a recovery in the euro in the coming hours, before it could fall again.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
8
EUR/USD Weekly Analysis – Key Price Action Zones & ForecastWelcome back to the long-term EUR/USD roadmap, where we're not just looking at the next move, but building a vision for the next decade. 📉 What's Happening Now? The market is currently battling between two major macro zones: Strong Resistance at 1.22 – This is where bulls face their ultimate test. If price breaks through this zone, we could be looking at a sustained bullish trend, with 1.24 and beyond in sight. First Strong Support at 1.08 – A level that has held in past market corrections, and a key buy signal if we see price rejection with strong confirmation. Second Support at 1.0176 – If the first level fails, this is where the ultimate buying opportunity lies. Think long-term here. The price tends to rebound sharply from this level. 🎯 The Educational Breakdown: Here’s how you can approach the price action using the concept of 'range trading' vs 'breakout trading': 1. Bullish Scenario: Condition to Watch: A breakout above 1.22 would set the stage for the next leg up, with 1.24 as the initial target. This is a high-probability bullish setup. Keep an eye on strong confirmation candles around this resistance, like a bullish engulfing or a close above the level. 2. Bearish Scenario: Condition to Watch: If price fails to break and retests the support zones, we could see a retracement back down. The first target should be 1.08, but if that level breaks, we’re looking at the 1.0176 support zone, which historically holds. 3. Major Support Opportunities (Unbeatable Long-term Buy): The 1.06 to 0.97 zone is your "unbeatable first touch support". Price tends to reject hard from this range, offering high-reward long opportunities for those who can time the entry correctly with strong confirmation. 🔥 The Big Picture This is not just about trading the next week. This is about building a macro trading model that looks at multiple years of price action. Understanding where the big money plays in terms of support and resistance gives you the advantage to position ahead of the market. 🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders: Be patient with major support zones – This is where price reversals often occur. If you're playing the breakout, wait for confirmation candles above 1.22 for sustained momentum. Use multi-timeframe analysis to confirm key levels – Don’t just rely on the weekly chart; lower timeframes (like daily and 4-hour) can provide entry confirmation. 📈 What’s Next? As we continue through 2025 and beyond, these key zones will play a crucial role in determining EUR/USD's long-term trajectory. Whether you're trading short-term moves or building a macro position, mastering these zones will set you apart from the crowd. "The best traders are those who anticipate the big moves, not just react to them." – TradeWithMky 🔔 Follow for more macro insights and exclusive trading strategies. 📈 @TradeWithMky – where the charts talk louder than the noise.
by TradeWithMky
EURUSD – Bullish trend at risk amid PCE and technical pressureEURUSD has just reached the 1.13860 resistance zone – a confluence with the previous peak and former supply area. A weak rebound and a rounding top pattern are gradually forming, indicating weakening buying momentum. The 34 and 89 EMAs on the H4 chart add further pressure from a technical perspective. If the price continues to be rejected at 1.13860, it may drop toward 1.12670 – which aligns with the ascending trendline support. A break below this level would confirm a clearer bearish trend. The upcoming Core PCE data is forecasted to rise – indicating inflation remains elevated. This raises the likelihood that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for longer, supporting the USD and weighing on EURUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD – The 20-Year Gameplan | How to Think Like a Macro TradWelcome to the most important EUR/USD chart you'll see this decade. This isn't just technical analysis. This is a macro roadmap stretching from 2003 to 2045 — built for serious traders who think beyond the next candle. @TradeWithMky #Miracle 📚 What This Chart Teaches You: ✅ Long-Term Channeling: How to map 40-year channels that actually hold. ✅ Key Reaction Zones: Learn where multi-year reversals are most likely. ✅ "Range of a Generation": Why EUR/USD could stay trapped for 5+ years. ✅ Two Futures – One Decision Point: Reclaiming the main channel = Ultra Bullish. Rejection = Controlled Descent. 🎯 Trade Plan Logic (Educational Focus) 📌 If price breaks above the range zone, target is a 50% Fibonacci expansion — with 1.36 and 1.55 as the macro resistances. 📌 If price rejects, the pair could drift within a multi-year compression channel targeting the 1.06–0.95 zone over the next decade. 📌 This model blends technical geometry, historical behavior, and trend integrity — skills every pro trader should master. 👁️ Why This Matters This is not about predicting next week’s move. This is about training your eyes to see structure where others see noise. And if you can see the macro structure, you can outperform 99% of traders who zoom in too much, too soon. ⚡ Bonus Wisdom: "Amateurs react. Professionals anticipate. Masters build maps." – TradeWithMky 🔔 Follow me for more deep-dive macro education. This is where Forex meets vision. 📌 TradeWithMky – where altcoins speak louder than Bitcoin... but Forex whispers the truth.
Education
by TradeWithMky