USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
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Key Points
- Following U.S. President Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs, China responded by declaring a 34% retaliatory tariff on all U.S. products. In response, Trump stated that China had made the wrong choice.
- U.S. nonfarm payrolls for March increased by 228,000, significantly exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate came in slightly above expectations at 4.2%.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell commented that "tariffs are likely to push up inflation, at least temporarily," and added that the impact may be more lasting, signaling a slight step back from his earlier stance that the effects would be "transitory." Regarding monetary policy, he stated that "there is no need to rush."
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 10: FOMC Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index
+ April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March Consumer Price Index, U.S. March Producer Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
Previously, a strong rebound from the 1.07500 level led to a sharp rise up to the 1.11500 area. However, faced with resistance at the recent high, the pair has now retreated to around the 1.09500 level. Moving forward, we anticipate a slight decline toward the 1.08000 level, followed by a renewed upward move targeting the previous high at 1.11000.
However, if the pair breaks below the 1.08000–1.07500 range, contrary to expectations, the trend could shift to bearish. In that case, we will quickly revise our strategy.
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.0842, a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.0947, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.0731, a swing low support.
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EURUSD’s Expanding Wedge of Doom: HnS or Just Head Games?EURUSD's expanding wedge continues to stretch like the universe—unstoppable and chaotic. If it holds, we could see a clean Head and Shoulders pattern forming in the coming days. The likely path? A drop back into the liquidity void left behind during the previous bullish surge. Watch for structure, traps, and signs the market’s prepping for its next big move.
EUR/USD long: Rome burns while Nero is playing golf.Hello traders
I did mention in my last idea that I have sidelined the markets but volatility can be very profitable if the correct levels are in play.
My entry buy order was filled at the weekly high of 1.0889.
I took profit at the 0.786 fib at 1.0990 and switched to a short.
However, I will reverse again if 1.0954 holds during this session.
My take is simply, how much worse can these tariffs get? The market backlash has been severe. Will the administration amp up the threats? Possible but unlikely. Even Republicans are finally speaking out against the future damage inflicted on the economy.
We are faced with a plethora of contradicting elements. The job market was still strong in March even with unemployment ticking up. But let's see what April brings.
I am still keeping my eye on DXY, US 10Y T-note and US 10Y yield. My sense is that the markets are losing confidence in the USA and USD.
I have never made a secret of the fact that I do intraday scalping. Be assured, I am not marrying any of these trades.
Best of luck.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce tot he 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.094
1st Support: 1.0752
1st Resistance: 1.1200
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EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
EURUSD Bull Run Looking at the EU chart we can see that the Market made a Trend Shift to the Upside at the beginning of the month of march, for todays present price action i can see a nice bullish move where price can potentially be heading to 1.12000 Level because if we take a look at the Price Action, a nice Support level was created at the 1.08000 Level where after creating the support price made some solids confluences like : a Break and Retest of 1.08, if you scale to the daily timeframe chart you can see a clean Higher Low with the confirmation price has totally rejected 1.08 level thanks to that weekly close where it closed above the highs, now price is currently at a Key Area where i can see buyers start to get in or i can even see Price Retesting 1.08 before it starts moving to 1.12 because we also have Monthly Resistance 1.10 that usually price hesitates to break but with the momentum price is printing most likely price will start pushing from the key area, all will depend of the price action we get this week.
Do it againWait for momentum dissipation
distribution or accumulation, long is high probability intraday with huge potential for runner due to reversal probability
Let the market show u there are indeed buyers through volume, momentum, volatility and candle color
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
WEEK OF 4/6/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week ended bullish for the pair, but there is a correction occuring at the moment so we will follow the MTF internal structure (bearish) until it reaches the daily and 4h POI to look for bullish price action.
Internal MTF structure is always king and we will need that to shift before looking for longs.
Major news: Inflation - Thursday
Thanks for stopping by and goodluck!
USD Bear is here: Important Analysis on FX Pairs, Stock MarketIn this video I got over some important outlooks on the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY along with outlook on the stock market.
The U.S. Dollar has been getting absolutely crushed along with the stock market which usually has the opposite effect. Considering we may be into a stagflation scenario, this is not surprising.
Tariffs have spiked volatility and puts the Federal Reserve in a very tight spot of Interest Rate Policy. Interesting times ahead to say the least.
From a pure technical analysis point of view, the USD may be set for much further losses as monthly patterns suggest a big move may be on the horizon. Will be keeping a very close eye on these as we move forward in these stormy waters of the U.S. economy.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice
Bearish correction from the
Resistance above and hit
A horizontal support level
Of 1.0934 from where
We can go long on Monday
With the Take Profit of 1.0996
And the Stop Loss of 1.0906
Buy!
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Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0925
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0853
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1086
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD: Market Sentiment & Forecast
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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EUR/USD Wave ForecastHi All!
The current wave outlook for EUR/USD suggests that the third subwave within the larger third wave has likely been completed. In the coming days, we expect a correction, with the most probable target around 1.0680, potentially dipping slightly lower to 1.0620.
After that, the euro is expected to resume its uptrend within the fifth subwave of the third wave, aiming for a target of 1.11 - 1.12
#EURUSD #WaveAnalysis #Forex #Trading
EUR/USD: Correction or a New Wave of Growth?Hi All!
Last week, the euro continued its correction after a strong impulse, which is identified as subwave 3 within wave 3 of a higher degree. A technical correction occurred at the end of the week, and now the key question is whether it has been completed.
📍 Key Levels:
✅ 1.08600 – A breakout will confirm the end of the correction and open the way toward resistance levels at 1.09100 – 1.09400.
✅ If subwave 4 is complete, the next targets are 1.1100 – 1.1200.
✅ Deeper correction scenario: A possible dip toward the 100-hour moving average around 1.07800. If this level holds, we expect further growth. Otherwise, a deeper correction toward 1.07255 (38% Fibonacci retracement of subwave 3) could follow.
📊 What’s next? We are waiting for a confirmed breakout of 1.08600 or a rebound from the 100-SMA (H4).
EURUSD: Is the Market Ready for a Reversal? Hi Traders!
Since March 18, EURUSD has been moving within a descending parallel channel, with its boundaries holding the trend in place.
Yesterday, we saw a bounce off the lower boundary of the channel, accompanied by:
✅ A correction reaching 38% Fibonacci of subwave 3
✅ Wave C of the expected horizontal correction (wave 4) reaching 1.68 of wave B
📊 What Does This Mean?
At this point, we have a strong case for a EURUSD reversal and a continuation of the upward movement.
⚡ Key Signal:
To enter a position, we need to wait for a confirmed breakout above the channel. This will provide a solid basis for a medium-term trade, with targets at:
🔹 1.0950
🔹 1.1150
🔹 The 1.12 - 1.1250 zone
EUR/USD Testing Demand Zone: What Are the Next Moves...?The EUR/USD currency pair is trading at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential point of support or resistance. This level is often referred to as the "golden zone," a critical area for traders looking for reversals or continuation patterns.
When we examine the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price action is consolidating within a defined range. This consolidation suggests that market participants are indecisive, with neither buyers nor sellers gaining a clear advantage at this moment.
To identify a potential trading opportunity, we should closely monitor the upper and lower boundaries of this consolidation zone. A break above the upper boundary could signal a bullish continuation, prompting us to look for long positions, especially if it's accompanied by increasing volume or other confirming indicators. Conversely, a break below the lower boundary may indicate bearish momentum, suggesting a potential entry for short positions.
As we await a decisive breakout from this range, it's important to remain cautious and patient, ensuring that any trade setup aligns with our overall trading strategy and risk management protocols. Keeping an eye on external factors such as economic news or events can also provide additional context for making informed trading decisions.