How I Read Structure on Higher Timeframes (BMS Valid vs Invalid)Sharing a breakdown of how I personally read market structure on higher timeframes, especially when it comes to spotting a valid vs. invalid Break of Market Structure (BMS).
This is just my perspective based on experience hope it helps someone struggling with mixed signals across multiple timeframes.
Feedback and discussion always welcome 👇📊
USDEUR trade ideas
Trading Signals for EUR/USD Sell below 1.12907 (200 EMA-21 SMA)Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.12640 within the uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart since May 9 and showing signs of exhaustion.
If the euro continues its bullish cycle, we could expect a break and consolidation above 1.1354, then it could reach the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1475.
Technically, we observe that the euro is overbought, and the chart shows a small secondary downtrend channel, which will be viewed as a selling opportunity in the coming days.
The euro could attempt to recover in the coming hours as we see a small technical rebound. However, it faces strong resistance around 1.1354. Below this area, any technical rebound will be viewed as a selling opportunity, with short-term targets around the psychological level of 1.1000.
A sharp break of the uptrend channel and consolidation below the 6/8 Murray level could confirm the next bearish move and could fill the gap left at 1.1162 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level at 1.0986.
EURUSD I Daily Weekly CLS I Model 1- 2R setupHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/USD short: IEEPA; You're fired...Hello traders
I have been sitting on my hands since my last post. Thanks to @InternalTraderNYC to exercise patience. No trades, no harm. But keeping an eagle eye on the daily market chaos.
I know this may come across as "told you so" but whatever I post is always with the goal of bouncing ideas and insights off my fellow trading warriors.
I mentioned the IEEPA and the Court of International Trade as a reminder that there are legal avenues to contest the tariffs in this idea
I had been following any and all developments after the 14 state lawsuit that challenged the validity of using the IEEPA as a pretext to impose the tariffs.
Although I was dubious about any mechanism/court/legislation/congressional action that could moderate the tariffs, the Court of International Trade, based in Manhattan, NY has spoken.
The USD rallied as a result for, oh, so many reasons.
The FOMC interest rate is still the highest of the G7.
Trump's Big Beautiful Bill was already on thin ice with the House because it was predicated on increasing our insane national debt because "tariffs" would pay for the tax cuts for the 1%.
The bond market is already showing signs of US borrowing power becoming cheaper.
There is finally an adult in the room: The Court of International Trade.
Musk has officially departed the employ of the United States Government after criticizing Trump's Big Beautiful Bill. No one knows what happened behind closed doors but what we all know is that no one is allowed to contradict or criticize DJT...
At this point, I'll gloat. :)) I mentioned in one of my Ideas that Musk will be the first to depart the Trump inner circle. Only so much room for two of the biggest three narcissists on the planet. Yup, Putin is number 3.
The FOMC mentioned the "R" word in their minutes that were published today: Recession possibility stemming from trade policy.
Let's see what the US Senate does with this bill.
Stay tuned folks and watch the developments. This mess is far from over. It is all but guaranteed that this will head to the US Supreme Court.
As for trades, I am inserting a link to my previous Christmas Tree chart layout.
www.tradingview.com
The most important take away is that the 10Y T-bill is already cheaper for a higher yield.
Best of luck!!!
EUR/USD – Potential Short-Term TradeTime Frame: 1H
Bias: Long (Bullish Reversal Expected)
Setup Type: Reversal from Flip Zone
Date: May 27, 2025
🔍 Market Context:
The price is currently retracing after forming a short-term lower high.
It has entered a prior demand zone (highlighted box) that acted as resistance-turned-support — a classic flip zone.
The market has shown responsiveness to this zone in the past (bounces seen on May 22–23 and again on May 24), suggesting strong buyer interest remains here.
📌 Key Levels:
Interest Zone for Longs: 1.1300 – 1.1320
This is where buyers are expected to step in again. Look for bullish price action confirmation in this zone before entry.
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing, strong wick rejection, or bullish divergence within the demand zone.
Target Zone: 1.1424
A clean 90-pip move (approx. 0.90%) from the entry zone — aligns with the previous high and liquidity pool.
Stop Loss: Below 1.1300 (e.g., 1.1288)
To protect against deeper sweeps of the zone.
Risk-Reward: ~1:5
Excellent R:R if price reacts cleanly from the flip zone.
📈 Trade Idea Summary:
Buy EUR/USD around 1.130–1.132
Stop Loss: 1.1288
Take Profit: 1.1424
R:R Ratio: ~1:4.8
Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick pattern or rejection wick in the zone.
⚠️ Note:
If price slices cleanly through 1.1300 without wicks or slowing down, invalidate the setup — wait for a deeper retest or a fresh demand zone to form.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
EURUSD PullbackEURUSD continued its pullback this morning, reaching 1,1207.
The uptrend remains intact, and this correction is a healthy move for its continuation.
The next key support level is at 1,1198.
Watch for a potential bounce and buying opportunity.
The target is a breakout above the previous high!
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1286, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1197, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1363, a pullback resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has pulled back to the broken trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
As long as the price remains below this resistance, we expect a short-term decline toward the specified support level.
The rejection from this zone suggests a possible continuation of the down move.
However, if price breaks and holds above the resistance zone, the bearish outlook will be invalidated.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EUR/USD 1H CHART PATTERNThis EUR/USD chart shows a clear bearish setup following a break below a trendline and horizontal support. Price action suggests a descending triangle pattern with momentum shifting downward. Indicators, including moving averages and trendlines, point to a potential continuation of the bearish move. The large projected downside move is marked with measured targets, indicating strong conviction in the sell setup. The chart aligns with prior rejection points and suggests sellers are in control, aiming for key support levels. Risk management and precise entries are important, as volatility could increase near critical price zones.
Entry: 1.13640
1st target: 1.13000
2nd target: 1.12350
3rd target: 1.11200
Stop Loss: 1. 14240
EU Prints Three Black Crows!FX:EURUSD has printed a strong Triple Candlestick Pattern called Three Black Crows after having made a 50% Retracement of the failed Higher High @ 1.1407.
This 50% Retracement found price testing a Previous Low and Resistance Zone where price now has broken a Previous Level of Structure being Support and is now on its way up to Retest this Break!
If Price is able to Retrace back to the Level of Structure @ ( 1.1336 - 1.1340 ) and shows signs of Resistance, this could deliver Short opportunities to take Price down to the Next Levels of Support @ 1.131 & 1.126!
eurusd 20 short-term market update short it exit 1160🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1160
🔸5 waves impulse completed
🔸1090/1240/1140/1350/1270/1410
🔸a/b/c/ correction 1160
🔸short sell and exit at 1160
🔸Price Target Bears: 1160
Key recent developments in EURUSD
📉 The U.S. dollar weakened as investors grew concerned over President Trump's proposed tax and spending bill, which could significantly increase the national debt
📈 The euro reached a one-month high after President Trump delayed the implementation of 50% tariffs on European Union imports, providing a temporary boost to investor confidence
🗣️ European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde suggested that the euro could become a global alternative to the U.S. dollar, contingent on strengthening the EU's financial and security infrastructure
📊 Technical analysis indicates that the EUR/USD pair may edge higher within a range of 1.1360 to 1.1420, though upward momentum is slowing
📉 Soft inflation data from France has increased selling pressure on the euro, as markets anticipate a stronger divergence between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank
📉 The EUR/USD pair is under bearish pressure, trading near 1.1350, as the U.S. dollar finds demand ahead of upcoming economic data and ongoing Senate tax debates
Eurusd has the potential to Sell (short)Eurusd has the potential to sell all the way down to 1.09134 for a nice swing trade .
we also have a head and shoulder pattern that was formed , and that already broke the neckline of the head and shoulder pattern .
Price decided to go bullish for some time but I think we got a full correction to the upside before the impulsive move back down, which is what I'm expecting but my first Area to target would be 1.110654 . It is a strong Area of interest so I will be expecting price to react from that level before reaching its final target .
EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is going down
And the pair will soon hit
A horizontal support level
Around 1.1270 from where
We will be able to go long
With the Take Profit of 1.1328
And the Stop Loss of 1.1254
Buy!
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EUR/USD) breakout Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis for EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) on a 3-hour timeframe presents a bearish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas and elements in the analysis:
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1. Breakdown of Rising Channel
Ascending Channel: Price was moving upward within a clearly defined channel.
Breakout: The price broke below the ascending channel, indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
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2. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box)
Multiple Rejections: Red arrows mark points of rejection from the resistance area.
“Breakout” Label: Indicates this area was previously a support that turned into resistance after the price dropped below it.
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3. EMA 200
The 200 EMA is plotted and the price is trading slightly above it, but very close.
A break and sustained movement below the 200 EMA would typically support a bearish trend continuation.
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4. Bearish Projection
Downward Zigzag Path: Implies an expected short-term correction followed by further decline.
Target Points:
First target: 1.11307
Second, more extended target: 1.10639
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5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Current Value: Around 38.84, which is near the oversold region (30).
Bearish Momentum: RSI is trending downwards, suggesting strengthening bearish momentum.
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6. Fundamental Events
Multiple icons at the bottom (e.g., flags, calendar) indicate upcoming economic events/news which could influence volatility and confirm or invalidate the move.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This analysis suggests a bearish short- to medium-term outlook for EUR/USD, especially if price confirms a break below the 200 EMA. The resistance zone (around 1.133–1.135) is now seen as a supply zone, and the targets are around 1.113 and 1.106.
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Suggestions/Considerations:
Watch the 200 EMA: A solid break below it would reinforce the bearish bias.
Monitor Fundamentals: U.S. and Eurozone economic news could heavily impact price action.
RSI Oversold Caution: If RSI dips further, a bounce might occur before full target completion.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD Lower-High - Of Interest for USD-StrengthAs looked at in the last post the US Dollar is currently working on a doji for the month of May and the weakness that was widespread through March and the first three weeks of April has dissipated over the past month and change. USD/JPY has been a big part of that, following the pair's 140.00 test last month which has so far held at a higher-low. But - if looking for USD-strength, EUR/USD may make for a more compelling backdrop.
The pair has so far held a lower-high at the 1.1400 handle following last month's failed run at 1.1500. Notably, this also coincides with a bearish trendline, drawn from 2021 highs which came back into play last month to hold resistance for three consecutive weeks.
The lower high showing now further reinforces the view that a local top may be in-place on the pair.
If looking to work with USD-strength on the basis of a turn, EUR/USD looks like one of the more compelling major FX pairs, whereas markets like GBP/USD and USD/CAD seem situated more attractively for USD-weakness scenarios. - js
EURUSD SellEU has formed a diagonal which is a reversal pattern. We anticipate the a swing bearish move to 0.9 region. On weekly timeframe, the market is still in a corrective phase to complete the last leg of WXYXZ correction. Our first TP for the bearish impulsive move is 1.008. Wave z has 5 impulsive waves, we now on wave 3.