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EURUSD 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 - Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between US and Eurozone interest rates favors the USD. Higher US yields attract capital flows, supporting the USD against the euro. Inflation Trends: While inflation in the Eurozone remains subdued, the US continues to grapple with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed cautious about easing policy. This divergence further supports the USD. Energy Prices: Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, could weigh on the Eurozone’s trade balance and economic growth, adding pressure to the euro. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Expectations is for price to start a pullback phase from the Weekly demand zone / or from the liquidity sweep from the Nov 2022 low (Require Daily/4H confirmation). Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the receint iBOS, price pulled back to EQ (50%) of the INT Structure but currently failed to create a new iBOS with a Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand. 🔹Expectations is not clear as we could start a deep pullback to intiate the Weekly Pullback Phase required or the current failure to creare a new Bearish iBOS is just a pause in market for more bearish move to at least the Weekly Demand. More development required from LTFs. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Fractal) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that price is contained within it. 3️⃣ 🔹Price is currently ranging between Supply and Demand which clearly makes price indecisively have a clear direction. More developments required on LTFs to have a clear expectation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
3
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level that is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0426 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.0467 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0343 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
EUR/USD Weekly Price AnalysisThe technical analysis indicates that the EUR/USD currency pair is currently experiencing bearish momentum, with recent price action showing lower highs and lower lows. Significant support and resistance levels have been identified. Current Price The current price of EUR/USD is 1.05. Trend Analysis The short-term analysis indicates a bearish momentum, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Market Bias The market bias for EUR/USD is bearish. Support Levels Short-term support is around 1.00, medium-term support is at 0.95, and long-term support is approximately 0.90. Resistance Levels Short-term resistance is around 1.10, medium-term resistance is at 1.15, and long-term resistance is approximately 1.20.
by similarFerret35712
1
Trade Management Using Time StopsTrade management is one of the most crucial skills for any trader, especially when it comes to knowing when to cut your losses early. One of the key methods to achieve this is through the use of Time Stops, which provide a systematic way to assess your trades and manage risk. While traditional stop losses are indispensable for protecting your capital against adverse price moves, they don’t always address the psychological challenge of cutting losing trades early. This is where Time Stops can step in as a complementary tool. By targeting trades that show no meaningful progress within a defined timeframe, Time Stops help reduce the size of your average loss—an often overlooked but critical factor in developing a positive trading edge. It’s important to remember: Time Stops don’t replace traditional stop losses. Instead, they add an additional layer of discipline to your risk management. What Are Time Stops? Time Stops involve exiting a trade after a predetermined amount of time, regardless of whether your stop loss has been triggered. The idea is simple but effective: if a trade isn’t working as expected within the allotted time, it’s better to exit and preserve capital for better opportunities. This approach works particularly well with strategies where winning trades are expected to show results quickly. These include breakouts, where price moves decisively through a key level, and reversals, which rely on sharp changes in direction. Time Stops provide a structured way to manage trades that fail to live up to these expectations. Why Use Time Stops? Time Stops offer several potential advantages: • Emotional Discipline: One of the toughest aspects of trading is deciding when to exit a trade that hasn’t hit its stop loss but isn’t progressing as expected. Time Stops provide a clear, objective rule for exiting such trades, removing emotional decision-making and promoting a disciplined approach. • Potentially Enhanced Trading Edge: By incorporating Time Stops, you align your exits more closely with your strategy’s performance expectations. This can help refine your approach by filtering out trades that fail to meet their initial criteria, allowing you to focus on opportunities with greater potential to match your strategy’s objectives. • Maintaining Flexibility in Trade Allocation: Time Stops help ensure that your focus remains on trades that align with your strategy’s core conditions. By identifying trades that are unlikely to meet expectations early, you can keep your trading approach agile, allowing for greater readiness to act on new opportunities. Strategies That Can Benefit From Time Stops Time Stops are particularly effective in strategies that depend on quick, decisive price movements. Let’s examine examples for reversals and breakouts. Reversal Strategy Example: Tesla Daily Timeframe Tesla forms a two-bar reversal pattern on the daily candle chart at a key swing resistance level, with negative divergence on the RSI indicating potential weakness. A short trade is placed with a traditional stop loss above the two-bar reversal high and resistance level. Tesla Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results To incorporate a Time Stop, you decide to allow three days for the trade to show signs of a reversal. However, Tesla tracks sideways without breaking lower, suggesting the expected momentum has not materialised. Tesla T+3 Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Using a Time Stop in this scenario prevents prolonged exposure to a setup that hasn’t delivered, allowing you to reallocate focus to trades with stronger potential. Tesla Stopped Out Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Breakout Strategy Example: EUR/USD Hourly Timeframe EUR/USD breaks out on the hourly chart with increased volume, signalling a potential upward move. You enter a long trade with a stop loss below the swing low. EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results With a Time Stop, you give the trade ten hours to demonstrate progress. While price consolidates above the breakout level initially, the anticipated follow-through does not occur within the allotted time. In this instance, the Time Stop allows you to exit and refocus on setups with stronger momentum. EUR/USD +10 Hours Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results EUR/USD +24 Hours Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results EUR/USD Stopped Out Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Using Time Stops Effectively To implement Time Stops successfully: • Set a timeframe: Define the period based on your strategy and market. Momentum trades may require hours, while longer-term setups may need days. • Analyse your strategy: Review historical data to identify how quickly successful trades typically progress. Use this as a benchmark for your Time Stop. • Use Time Stops alongside traditional stop losses: Time Stops handle trades that stagnate, while stop losses protect against adverse price moves. Summary: Time Stops are a valuable addition to a trader’s toolkit, particularly for strategies like breakouts and reversals, where winners are expected to perform quickly. They help enforce discipline, refine focus, and manage trades that fail to meet expectations. By combining Time Stops with traditional stop losses, traders can approach the markets with greater structure and objectivity. Over time, this disciplined approach can support the pursuit of consistent results while managing risk effectively. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
4
Finding Balance: Managing GREED in TradingIs greed helping or hurting your trading? While closing trades too quickly for small profits isn't ideal, neither is holding positions too long hoping for bigger gains. Let's explore how to find the right balance between healthy ambition and destructive greed. 📍 Understanding Healthy vs. Unhealthy Greed Some greed can be good - it drives us to achieve goals and maintain optimism. But when it becomes an obsession, problems start. Professional traders manage their emotions well, while beginners often struggle as early successes fuel excitement and a dangerous focus on profits at any cost. 📍 Warning Signs of Unhealthy Trading Behavior When trading turns unhealthy, you might notice these patterns: 🔹 Ignoring proven rules because you trust your "gut feelings" more than sound strategy. Your confidence leads you to dismiss common sense in pursuit of profits. 🔹 Expecting every trade to be profitable . While optimism helps, believing you'll win just because you want money is dangerous thinking. 🔹 Living with constant stress. You can't step away from price charts, scrutinizing every move and experiencing emotional highs and lows with each trade. 🔹 Chasing profits while skipping analysis. You focus only on results without learning from each trade, leading to more frequent losses over time. 📍 Dangerous Trading Habits to Avoid ⚫️ Using maximum leverage, thinking bigger trades mean bigger profits. This often leads to heavy losses when markets move sharply against you. ⚫️ Moving stop-losses and take-profit levels mid-trade. Whether hoping to avoid losses or catch more gains, this usually results in worse outcomes and added stress. ⚫️ Following the Martingale strategy - doubling position sizes after losses or wins. This approach typically leads to losing your account quickly. 📍 Practical Steps to Control Greed 1. Start with real money, but small amounts. Demo accounts can create false confidence since there's no real risk. 2. Set clear, achievable goals. For day trading (H1-H4 timeframes), aim for about 20 pips per trade. Scalpers should be satisfied with just a few pips. 3. Create and follow a detailed trading plan. Example: Take half profits at your target, use trailing stops to protect remaining gains. 4. Practice smart risk management. Decide your maximum risk per trade and stick to it - don't adjust stops once set. 5. Keep learning and practicing. With better market understanding, you'll make fewer emotional decisions. A realistic monthly return might be 2% - treat anything above as a bonus. 6. Connect with other traders. Share experiences to manage stress and gain perspective on what's normal in professional trading. 7. Stay skeptical and analytical. When excitement runs high, slow down. Check multiple information sources and grow your trading size gradually while continuing to develop your skills. 📍 Conclusion Successful trading is about steady progress, not quick riches. Growth should happen naturally alongside your developing trading skills, without sacrificing other aspects of your life. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
2
EUR/USD Very Near Buying Area , Don`t Miss This Chance !Here we have a very good new up trend line on 4H Time Frame , and the price touch it 2 times , and now we are waiting For third touch and it will be the best one , so i`m waiting for the price to touch it and give me a good bullish price action and then we can enter a buy trade . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Long
by FX_Elite_Club
1
FINAL UPDATE ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - This market has played out beautifully for us over the course of the past few days. We managed to predict the short into the long position. I hope you all managed to get involved in either trade or even both, what a brilliant week we have had in the markets. Yet to provide analysis that hasn't played out to a T. This trade took profit for + 109 pips. (+ 11%) 11RR I will now be waiting for price to pullback into another area of interest that can be used to place more buy positions, as I feel this market is going to be bullish now longer term. If you have any questions with regards to the analysis provided this week please drop me a message personally or comment below and I will get back to you all as soon as possible!
Long
by Lukegforex
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Starts IncreaseMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Starts Increase EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.0350 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.0360 resistance zone. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0265 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0310 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The pair even settled above the 1.0350 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0435 resistance. A high is formed near 1.0434 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0266 swing low to the 1.0434 high. Immediate support is near the 1.0395 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0395. The next major support is at 1.0350 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0266 swing low to the 1.0434 high. If there is a downside break below 1.0350, the pair could drop toward the 1.0310 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0265, below which the pair could start a major decline. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.0435. The next major resistance is near the 1.0450 level. An upside break above 1.0450 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0550. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target: The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg. If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERAfter previously identifying a bearish head & shoulder pattern, price seemed to have done an inverted head & shoulder at a previous support structure. With an impulse wave and retracement to the .5 level, price seems to be in the 3rd wave that can have the potential to reach 1.03, and 1.04 which can be considered potential targets for the 3rd Elliot wave pattern. After observing high volatility in price reactions, this is an idea that can be taken into observation even with proper risk to reward trading involves partial or total loss of investment. This post is for sharing my point of view only and is not intended as a signal or alert to be traded.
Long
by MasterPipzTrader
6
EUR/USD "The Fibre" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fibre" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 1.04400 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.06000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Here are some neutral factors that could impact the EUR/USD pair: EU-US Trade Talks: The ongoing trade talks between the EU and US could lead to a neutral outcome, with both sides agreeing to maintain current trade relationships without making significant changes. European Central Bank (ECB) Forward Guidance: The ECB's forward guidance on interest rates and monetary policy could remain unchanged, providing no clear direction for the EUR/USD pair. US Federal Reserve (Fed) Balance Sheet: The Fed's balance sheet reduction could continue at a steady pace, having a neutral impact on the US Dollar and the EUR/USD pair. Eurozone Inflation: Eurozone inflation could remain stable, around 1.5%, which is close to the ECB's target, providing no clear direction for the EUR/USD pair. US Economic Data: US economic data, such as GDP growth, could come in as expected, providing no surprises and having a neutral impact on the EUR/USD pair. European Commission Economic Forecasts: The European Commission's economic forecasts could be revised slightly, but remain broadly in line with current expectations, providing no clear direction for the EUR/USD pair. German Economic Data: German economic data, such as GDP growth and industrial production, could come in as expected, providing no surprises and having a neutral impact on the EUR/USD pair. These neutral factors could help to stabilize the EUR/USD pair, reducing volatility and making it more challenging to predict the pair's direction. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
Market Outlook for EUR/USD, GBPUSD and DXY!Market Outlook for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and DXY Preparing for Significant Movement Ahead of Trump's Inauguration Today, I have prepared a market outlook for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and the Dollar Index ahead of Trump's Inauguration. Donald Trump is set to take office on Monday, January 20th, while U.S. markets will be closed for a holiday. The president-elect could issue up to 100 executive orders in the early days of his second presidency. With promises of implementing drastic policies from day one, irregular volatility risks are a key concern. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you:)
by KlejdiCuni
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage. U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board. ‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver. Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1