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EUR/USD Stagnates Near 1.0500: All Eyes on the Federal ReserveThe EUR/USD currency pair is currently consolidating within a narrow range, lingering around the 1.0500 to 1.0490 levels. As investors turn their attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting, market sentiment remains cautious yet focused. Today's scheduled announcement regarding the US Federal Funds Rate, along with the subsequent FOMC statement and press conference, could further bolster the US dollar. Expectations are leaning toward a 25 basis point reduction in interest rates by the Fed. However, it is anticipated that the central bank will accompany this cut with somewhat hawkish commentary regarding future policy guidance. Such remarks could indicate that despite the rate cut, the Fed remains vigilant about economic conditions and inflation pressures. This meeting represents a crucial moment for market participants, as it could usher in significant volatility, particularly ahead of tomorrow's Unemployment Claims report. As traders assess these economic indicators, they are likely to position themselves accordingly, especially if the data reflects a robust labor market. Given the current landscape, our outlook for the euro remains bearish as the dollar shows a tendency to strengthen. The pressure on the eurozone continues to mount amid various economic challenges, making it difficult for the euro to gain traction against its US counterpart. As we navigate this period of uncertainty, traders are advised to keep a close eye on the developments from the Federal Reserve, as well as any shifting dynamics in the broader economic context. The next few sessions could prove pivotal for both currencies, influencing the short-term trading strategies of many market participants. We expect the dollar to maintain its upward trajectory, while the euro may struggle to hold its ground. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD: Fed spoiled Holiday seasonThe FOMC cut interest rates by 25 bps at their December meeting, which was expected by the markets. Still, in an after the meeting address to the public, Fed Chair Powell provided some not-so welcomed projections for the following year. At this moment, Fed is expecting fewer rate cuts in 2025, from initially projected, with a 50 bps current baseline. This change comes from expectations of a higher inflation in 2025. The PCE indicator is expected to end next year at 2,5%, versus 2,2% previously forecasted, while its targeted 2% is expected to reach in 2027. The US Retail Sales increased in November by 0,7% for the month, above market expectation of 0,5%. Retail sales increased by 3,8% on a yearly basis. The Industrial Production was down by 0,1% in November, which was lower from market estimate of +0,3%. The IP on a yearly basis was down by -0,9%. Building Permits preliminary for November were higher by 6,1%. The GDP Growth rate final for Q3 is 3,1%, higher from market estimate of 2,8%. The PCE Prices final for Q3 were higher by 1,5% for the quarter, in line with market expectations. The PCE index was up by 0,1% in November for the month, while core PCE reached also 0,1% in November. Personal Income was up by 0,3% in November, while Personal Spending reached 0,4% for the month. The PCE index stands at 2,4% for the year, which was lower from market estimate at 2,5%. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for December was published, reaching the level of 74,0, and the five year inflation expectations of 3%. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for Germany in December was standing at 42,5, lower from market forecast of 43,1. At the same time, the same indicator for services stands better at the level of 51,0, higher from market estimate of 49,3. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany for December was 84,7, again a bit lower from estimated 85,6. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in Germany in December exceeded market expectations with a value of 15,7, while the forecasted figure was 6,5. Inflation rate in the EuroZone, final for November, was standing at 2,2%, a bit lower from estimated 2,3%. The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for January is -21,3, lower from market estimate of -22,5. It was a challenging week on financial markets. The Fed projections for the year 2025 was something that the market did not expect, so the currency pair reacted in a pretty volatile way. The eurusd started the week around 1,05 level and moved all the way down to lowest weekly level at 1,035. Still, at Friday's trading session, the currency pair reverted a bit, ending the week at 1,0430. The RSI reached an oversold territory, but ended the week at the level of 40. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA200 counterparty, indicating that no cross should be expected in the near term. The following week is a Holiday week on the Western markets. This means finally some less volatility, although this was a very challenging year-end. As seen during the previous week, the 1,04 support line might continue to be under pressure in the following period. Still, due to the Holiday, it should not be expected that this level is going to be breached till the year-end. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Holiday season starts from Wednesday, and no significant data is scheduled to be published. USD: Although Holiday season starts from Wednesday there will be only a few macro data published: Durable Goods Orders for November are due on December 24th.
by XBTFX
Sell EUR/USD Channel BrekoutThe EUR/USD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0482 2nd Support – 1.0445 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
32
EURUSD Bottom formation in progress. Strong Buy.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a nearly 2-year Channel Down. Being below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since October 02 2024, this is technically still the pattern's Bearish Leg. However, having bottomed on November 22 and transitioned into a (dotted) Channel Up, this is the technical bottom formation of the long-term Channel Down and the rise following a 1D MACD Bullish Cross from such a low level (the lowest in 2 years), confirms that. The similarities with both previous bottom formations (September - October 2023 and February - March 2023) are obvious, all of them triple bottomed before rebounding above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, buying now and targeting 1.08765 (Fib 0.618) is an excellent long-term trade in terms of R/R. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
3
EUR/USD 30-Minute Chart AnalysisEUR/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a well-defined upward channel, showing bullish momentum. It recently moved from the support level around 1.0330 to test resistance at approximately 1.0457, with the current price around 1.0429. Key levels to watch include: Resistance: Immediate resistance at 1.0457 and potential higher resistance near 1.0475. Support: Initial support at approximately 1.0384 and stronger support near the previous low at 1.0330. Traders should watch for potential reversal signals from RSI and MACD, as well as volume trends that can confirm market sentiment. Overall, the pair presents opportunities for both long and short positions depending on price action dynamics. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
by David_Josh_Trader
Heading into pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support level. Pivot: 1.0451 1st Support: 1.0333 1st Resistance: 1.0533 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSD H4 | Falling from 38.2% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0453, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0334, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0531, an overlap resistance level close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD BULLISH OUTLOOK | ( READ THE CAPTION )hello dear traders ! current situation currently market running near our demand zone at the price of 1.03950 and our demand zone level is 1.03769 / 1.03543 we are accepting bullish move from our demand zone and our target is 1.05046 level because here is our supply zone in 4h potential trade setup entry zone 1.03769 / 1.03543 target 1.05046 stop loss 1.03151 Risk Management : Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and account balance. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me!
Long
by TheForexAdventures
EUR/USD Market Dynamics: Analyzing Recent Price MovementsFollowing our previous analysis, we anticipated the market's response to last week's robust U.S. economic indicators, particularly regarding the USD's strength against the EUR. After experiencing a notable bearish trend, the euro managed to recoup some losses, specifically retesting our pending order at 1.04380. As I write this article on December 23, 2024, the currency pair trades around 1.04130, providing a rejection of our entry point. On Monday, the U.S. Dollar (USD) stabilized after a significant drop on Friday. This sell-off was prompted by weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE). Specifically, the core PCE—a key inflation metric favored by the Federal Reserve—rose by 2.8%, falling short of the projected 2.9%. On a month-to-month basis, both headline and core PCE inflation inched up by only 0.1%, leading to speculation about the Federal Reserve's trajectory concerning interest rate adjustments in 2025. Federal Reserve officials are beginning to signal expectations of fewer rate cuts in the coming year, as the disinflation process appears to be slowing and uncertainties loom over how President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming immigration, trade, and taxation policies could affect the economy. Given the current outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of bearish trends in the market. Previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0394 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0463 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURO - Price can bounce up from support level to $1.0650Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price declined inside falling channel, where it fell from resistance line to $1.0765 level. Then price rose to resistance line of channel, making first gap and then making a downward impulse, exiting from channel. Also then, EUR continued to decline inside a downward pennant, where it broke $1.0765 level and later fell to $1.0470 level. Next, price declined to support line of pennant, after which made a second gap and rose to resistance line of pennant, After this, Euro declined to $1.0470 level and some time traded near, but now it trades close support line. Possible, price can fall to support level, exiting from pennant and then bounce up to $1.0650 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
1
EURUSD Downtrend Holds Steady: Time to Go ShortEURUSD experienced a sharp decline earlier today, following the release of key economic data that spurred renewed bearish momentum. The market reaction was swift, with sellers overwhelming buyers and driving the price lower. After this initial move, the pair is now staging a pullback, attempting to recover some ground as it approaches a critical resistance zone. This retracement presents a significant technical setup that could dictate the pair’s next major move. The current pullback is bringing the price closer to the resistance zone around 1.04300, a level that has proven pivotal in the past. Historical price action highlights this area as a confluence zone, marked by prior reversals and intensified trading activity. As the price approaches this region, signs of exhaustion are becoming increasingly evident. On closer examination of the candlestick patterns, rejection candles—characterized by long upper wicks and small bodies—are forming near this resistance level. These candles suggest that buyers are struggling to push the price higher, while sellers are beginning to regain control. A deeper look at the 1-hour chart reveals a clear ABCD pullback pattern, a widely recognized harmonic structure in technical analysis. This pattern indicates a measured retracement within a broader downtrend, providing traders with potential entry points for the continuation of the trend. In this case, the "AB" leg represents the initial bearish impulse, the "BC" leg corresponds to the current corrective move, and the anticipated "CD" leg signals the likely continuation of the downward movement. If the pattern completes as expected, the price is likely to reverse from the resistance zone near 1.04300 and resume its descent. The broader market sentiment further supports a bearish outlook. Macroeconomic conditions, combined with the technical dynamics of the pair, point to continued selling pressure. The recent news release acted as a catalyst, intensifying the downward momentum, and this sentiment is unlikely to change unless there is a significant shift in market fundamentals. Additionally, the lack of follow-through by buyers in the pullback phase underscores the strength of the prevailing bearish trend. From a technical perspective, the resistance zone around 1.04300 holds immense importance. Not only does it align with the upper boundary of the ABCD pattern, but it also coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a psychological price barrier. These overlapping factors create a strong confluence area, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish momentum is expected to accelerate, targeting the next significant support zone around 1.03260. The support zone at 1.03260 represents a critical area where buyers may reenter the market. This level has acted as a demand zone in the past, providing temporary relief from selling pressure. However, given the strength of the current bearish trend, a test of this level seems increasingly likely. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling volume, as the price approaches the resistance zone. It’s also worth considering potential invalidation levels. Should the price manage to break and sustain above the 1.04300 resistance, the bearish scenario would need to be reassessed. Such a move could indicate a shift in market dynamics, opening the door for a potential bullish reversal. However, until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish. In conclusion, EURUSD continues to exhibit strong bearish momentum, with the current pullback offering an opportunity to position for the continuation of the downtrend. As the pair approaches the 1.04300 resistance zone, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests that the bearish trend is likely to resume. My primary target remains the support zone at 1.03260, which aligns with prior swing lows and key technical levels. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key levels closely, ensuring that their risk management strategies are firmly in place.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.0429 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0398 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1