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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.096. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.084 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD Asian London Session Sell Recap I have drawn a resistance or demand zone with the red box to show yesterday's sell off during the Asian and London sessions. You can see some of the price action matching with the technical indicators. There was some moderate news yesterday that was forecasted as slightly volatile at 1:00 am Vancouver time, regarding the EUR. This news was regarding the ECB's De Guindos Speaking. Thank you please follow me for more market analysis. @ilyaskhan.1994
by ilyaskhan1994
SOLID EUR/USD SETUP🔥 EUR/USD Trade Setup – Range Trading at Its Finest EUR/USD is printing a textbook range setup — unconfirmed for now, but packed with potential. 🔹 We've got 3 clear lows, with L3 within the deviation low 🔹 There's visible demand sitting right under L3 🔹 Stop-loss goes just below that demand zone 🔹 Entry comes after break of structure on the 15m 🔹 First target: liquidity sweep just below the range high 🔹 Bonus: consider extending your TP — EUR is showing strong trend strength vs USD ⚠️ Never FOMO —> wait for confirmation. 👉 Follow for more clean, structured setups without noise or hype.
Long
by JustinJoshua
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Bias After NFPThe U.S. dollar has managed to regain some ground in the short term after several sessions of gains in EUR/USD. Currently, the pair is showing a downward move of just over 1%, following the NFP report, which showed 228,000 new jobs versus the 137,000 expected. This has slightly increased demand for the U.S. dollar in recent hours, as the market anticipates the possibility of higher inflation and, consequently, more restrictive Fed policy in upcoming decisions. Uptrend Since February 28, a strong upward trend has been in place, showing a clear buying bias in EUR/USD. So far, selling corrections have not been strong enough to break key trendline levels, making this the dominant formation to watch in the short term. RSI In the case of the RSI, oscillations have started to approach the overbought zone near the 70 level. Additionally, it is important to note that while EUR/USD has posted higher highs, the RSI has shown lower highs, reflecting a bearish divergence and signaling a potential imbalance driven by strong short-term buying pressure. This could eventually lead to downward corrections in the sessions ahead. Key Levels: 1.1000 – Major resistance: This level remains the most relevant round-number resistance on the chart. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce bullish momentum in the short term. 1.07911 – Near-term barrier: This level is located near the 200-period moving average and could serve as a tentative zone for future selling corrections. 1.06132 – Distant support: Positioned around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, this level marks a key breakpoint that, if reached, could invalidate the current bullish structure. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
Original idea still valid Everyone who caught the short today congrats i went long and got stuck in my pos, however its not over yet today we saw the DXY was super bullish but i don’t think that’s the bigger picture. I think my original trade idea will play out. I believe we are literally repeating what happened during the month of February the price hit a peak (DXY) and then price was rejected and I believe what happened today is the sameish pattern that was printed during the first week of feb. The price rallied followed by a gap down and then the price tried to come back but it was rejected. A lot of people think the price is going back to 1.05 but this literally makes the perfect storm for retail and I’ve noticed this a lot so what i think will happen is institutions will come in Sunday and drop the price back down but before that happens we need liquidity to do that so what will happen Monday is a small rally (trap) followed by a dump off this has happened a million times already. So people will go crazy long and since the DXY is already in a downtrend it makes more sense for the euro to hit above 1.15 or higher, I’ve seen a few people post this sediment. So that’s may over view and ill just stay in long for a month CO’s this thing is going up for sure and the people shorting i see some opportunity when this thing pumps but the overall broad over view is bullish
Long
by christiansmithtrades
1
Could the Euro Be on the Verge of a Lasting Upward Climb? Europe is embarking on an ambitious chapter of economic revitalization, marked by expansive fiscal measures and a renewed sense of unity in policymaking. Against this backdrop, the Euro seems well positioned to embark on a sustained upward journey, potentially reversing years of lackluster performance and ushering in a prolonged bullish phase. One of the strongest pillars supporting this outlook is the growing anticipation that the ECB may soon hit the brakes on its monetary loosening. With the current policy described as having shed much of its restrictive bite, ECB leadership might opt for a strategic pause perhaps as early as spring 2025. This shift would allow time to gauge the effects of shifting trade landscapes, bold budgetary commitments and the unpredictable currents of global politics. A steadier monetary stance could serve as a springboard for the Euro’s ascent, offering stability amid a flurry of change. However, this optimistic scenario is not without its shadows. Rising friction in trade relations, particularly with the United States, looms as a significant wildcard. Equally critical is Europe’s capacity to translate its grand fiscal vision into tangible results. The coming months will act as a proving ground, revealing whether this pivotal moment can ignite a durable economic spark or if internal missteps and external storms dim the Euro’s shine. On the technical front, the pair’s recent vigor paints an encouraging picture. The drop from its 2023 high of 1.1274 now looks like a completed correction, having bottomed out at 1.0176 after a three phase decline. Should the pair decisively reclaim that 1.1274 level, it could reignite the upward momentum that kicked off from the 2022 trough of 0.9534. Analysts might then eye a target near 1.1916 a level derived by projecting the full rally from 0.9534 to 1.1274 upward from 1.0176 marking a notable milestone in the Euro’s recovery. Even more compelling is the possibility that such a surge could shatter a descending trend line that has capped the Euro’s ambitions for over twenty years( Pink Line). Breaking free of this long standing barrier would signal more than just a fleeting rally...it could herald a fundamental shift, positioning the Euro for a multi year bullish era. In essence, the Euro stands at a crossroads, buoyed by promising monetary recalibration, aggressive fiscal plans, and technical tailwinds. Yet.....its journey to a lasting bull run hinges on navigating a gauntlet of risks—from trade disputes to execution challenges. As Europe strides toward this defining moment, the Euro’s trajectory remains a tantalizing blend of potential and peril, with the next chapter still unwritten. Let's find out which one it is. Cheers
by RobertTMFX
2
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity. A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first. Confluences for EU Buys: EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside. The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias. A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside. Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken. Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD - Bullish Reversal Setup After Fair Value Gap MitigationMarket Overview: EURUSD has experienced a strong bullish impulse, breaking through a key resistance level and forming a temporary top. Following this surge, price has started a corrective pullback within a descending channel, a structure often seen before a continuation in the dominant trend. The market appears to be in the process of mitigating a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could provide an optimal area for bullish continuation. Technical Insights: - A significant support level was broken earlier, which later turned into a demand zone after the price surged. This confirms a shift in market structure towards bullish conditions. - The ongoing correction is forming a descending channel, a classical bullish flag or wedge pattern, suggesting that once the corrective phase is over, buyers might step in to push the price higher. - The FVG region below the current price aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels, reinforcing the likelihood of a reaction from this zone. If price reaches this area and forms bullish confirmation patterns such as a bullish engulfing candle or a shift in order flow, it could signal the end of the correction and the beginning of another upward move. Potential Scenario: If price continues to decline and fills the FVG, traders should monitor for a reaction in this zone. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bullish reversal, targeting previous highs and resuming the overall uptrend. The presence of a well-defined descending channel adds confluence to the bullish setup, as a breakout from this structure would further validate the expected upside movement. Risk Considerations: Traders should be cautious of any unexpected macroeconomic developments, such as central bank policy changes or geopolitical events, that could impact market sentiment. Additionally, waiting for confirmation in the FVG area is crucial to avoid premature entries and unnecessary exposure to risk. Conclusion: EURUSD is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish move, with price approaching a high-probability reversal zone. If the market responds positively to the FVG mitigation, there is a strong potential for a bullish continuation. Traders should remain patient and wait for confluence before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Louigi_24
68
Euro will rise a little more and then make correction to 1.0950Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price started to grow from the lower region near 1.0730, where it bounced off the buyer zone between 1.0690–1.0730 points and entered a strong upward movement. This impulse helped Euro break through previous resistances and approach the upper boundary of the support area, which lies between 1.0950–1.0990 points. After reaching a local high, the price formed a pennant pattern, consolidating within narrowing trend lines while respecting both the support and resistance structure. During this phase, the pair remained stable, building pressure before making the next move. Recently, EUR made a strong breakout to the upside, exiting the pennant and continuing its bullish rally. The price surged rapidly and now trades above the current support level at 1.0950, reaching fresh highs in this local trend. I expect the price to reverse soon from the current overbought region and begin a decline toward the support area, which now acts as a potential pullback zone. My target for this corrective movement is the 1.0950 level, which aligns perfectly with the current support level and the upper boundary of the support zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
EURUSD April 3 Hindsight Study EURUSD Hindsight Study April 3 Analysis Asia Price expands to consolidation to take the minor buy side swinging down 1 macro Price takes minor sell side unwilling to retrace to the equilibrium level as I suspected. (LTF demonstrates the 2022 model in candle formation which could been a buy signal because the unwillingness of Price to rebalance the FVG 21:15 candle tipping its hand that a bull rally is in play) Note I did not take this trade due to buying in a premium, and price did not retrace to discount PD ray. London 2 macro price takes very minor sell side again unwilling to rebalance the FVG 1 macro created. Buy signal again for a trend day with a parent bias known? 3 macro we see a retracement and full rally reversal to known buy stops, rebalance Sept FVG as targets. 6 macro provided my model rules. Deep premium retracement cycle expected to rebalance recent inefficiently delivered price action. Candle formation noted on LFT-hindsight sell set up. Wasn't interested in anything after London-NY too dicey for me to navigate. However in hindsight with key level of buy side liquidity taken a short set up to rebalance at the 11 macro for the courageous. What tripped me up yesterday was "expecting" for price to retrace lower in Asia and London to set up for a bull rally coming into NY, and the reverse happened. Price expanded in Asia into London with low resistance candle patterns and then reversed. What did I learn yesterday: *I suspected for price to lower it did not-when it only took minor sell side coupled with time, and the 2022 candle formation formed, with identified parent bias all factors for a buy signal in this market *several macro times price would retrace to a FVG half way point and then rally. Easiest to see this on the min charts-great example of low resistance liquidity run *low resistance days focus on liquidity taken on a PD ray for trade set ups
by LeanLena