Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂.
Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day.
As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…
USDEUR trade ideas
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a swing high resistance.
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No Trades on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD bounced off 1,0885 and climbed back above the 1,1000 level.
This move offered some short-term buying opportunities.
However, there’s no clear reason to enter new trades at the current levels.
Keep an eye on how the price reacts to the resistance zones.
Tomorrow, U.S. inflation data will be released, which is likely to trigger some market movement.
RSI bearish divergence seen on EURUSDFundamental Perspective:
The euro steadied around $1.09 as markets awaited the EU's next move after the US rejected its zero-for-zero tariff proposal. The EU is now planning 25% counter-tariffs on the US goods, signaling a more confrontational stance. The escalating trade tension could create uncertainty over the EU's economic growth, as tariff retaliation could harm both EU exports to the US and potentially escalate into further trade restrictions. A weaker outlook for the EU economy could put the euro under pressure.
Technical Perspective:
EURUSD is testing the upper bound of the ascending channel and weekly fair value gap, with a bearish divergence seen on the RSI, indicating the potential for a reversal. If EURUSD reverses below the resistance zone at 1.1050, the price could plunge to the support at 1.08880, which resides near the previous day's low. Conversely, a decisive close above the weekly resistance zone could prompt a further rise toward the following resistance at 1.1200.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 1.0976, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1076, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.0879, a swing low support.
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EUR/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
EUR/USD Long Setup – Breakout Retest with Target Toward 1.21155Description:
This EUR/USD idea is a long setup based on a clean breakout–retest structure on the 4H timeframe. Price broke out above a previous consolidation zone between ~1.083–1.093 and is now retesting that same zone, which is acting as support. The retest is showing signs of buyer interest, aligning with bullish continuation momentum.
We’re seeing confluence from:
Break and retest of horizontal support (former resistance)
Continuation structure above the key demand zone
Bullish trend in play with higher highs and higher lows
Potential to target the next significant resistance around 1.21155
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 1.092
Stop Loss: 1.088
Target: 1.21155
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward scenario while aligning with macro USD softness and euro strength on recent economic developments. I’ll be monitoring momentum and price action on the lower timeframes to manage the trade accordingly.
I decided to start sharing ideas and Analyses - Here is EU/USD I have no actual experience on Forex trading and i am NOOB Analyst but here is a simple Analysis i just made in 2 min on the 4hr Timeframe EU/USD.
You can see it is now testing the 0.5 level, which may continue to the 618, 0 (for a double top to DUMP again) or all the way up to 1.11 area.
Just check the pic and you'll see the fib targets in the proper colours.
It's intentionally very simple and short description.
MAKE IT OR BREAK IT GUYS! Your criticism is my learning curve.
Let it be Positive and Constructive though! This is just my start.
What You Can Do (Trading Plan):Wait for Completion of Wave B:
Monitor if price shows rejection or reversal signs (like bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.) near the recent high.
2. Entry for Wave C:
Once reversal is confirmed from the top of Wave B, you can:
Enter a Sell trade targeting the red zone (1.06924 to 1.06700 area).
Use confirmation from 1H or 30min timeframes (bearish structure, momentum loss).
3. Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL just above the high of Wave B.
Example: If B ends around 1.0990, keep SL near 1.1005.
4. Take Profit:
TP in the middle to bottom of the red zone (1.0700 – 1.0670).
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Optional Smart Additions:
Use Fibonacci retracement on wave A to confirm wave B top (61.8%–78.6% is common).
Watch news events around April 10–12 (shown in icons), could bring volatility.
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This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context:
EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout.
⚙️ Price Structure Overview:
The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion.
1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor.
Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward:
Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level.
Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March.
A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number.
🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction:
Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone.
Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket.
A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control.
⏳ Conclusion:
The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming.
This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
EurUsdTrade Idea: EUR/USD Short – “Magnet Trap Rejection” Setup (MTR)
Timeframe: M15
Risk/Reward: High probability reversal zone
📉 Narrative:
We are looking at a classic Magnet Trap Rejection (MTR) setup. Price has been climbing into a key supply zone (gray box) with clear exhaustion signs along the way. Let's break down the story told by price action and emojis:
🔍 Price Action Breakdown:
🕸 “Web of Liquidity”: Price created a base of liquidity at the low, where the spiderweb indicates retail stop-hunts and weak hands being trapped.
👀 “Observation Peak”: Smart money was clearly watching from above, letting retail traders build up positions with false confidence.
🧑🦽 “Wheelchair Rally”: The move up is weak and artificial – it's not running, it's being dragged up. No strength, just fumes.
🧲 “First Magnet”: Price gets pulled into the first magnet zone – engineered liquidity meant to bait in breakout buyers.
🪝 “Hook Trap”: Right after the magnet, we see a clear liquidity hook – fake breakout wick grabs stop losses and retail FOMO buyers.
💧 “Sweat Drop”: Price hesitates. The market is sweating. Reversal is brewing.
🔨 “Hammer of Rejection”: Clean rejection off the supply zone. Institutional sell orders are being executed here.
🧲 “Final Magnet Down”: The second magnet suggests price is now being pulled to the downside, toward previous liquidity pools.
🧠 Why I Like This Trade:
Psychological traps are everywhere – retail longs are in pain.
Clean structure with engineered liquidity zones.
Rejection candle confirms institutional presence.
Great RR due to well-defined entry and target zones.
🎯 Entry: After the rejection wick in the supply zone
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the hammer zone
✅ Take Profit: Near previous magnet/liquidity pool below
This is a textbook example of emotional manipulation turned into opportunity. The “Magnet Trap Rejection” (MTR) setup is rare but deadly when it hits.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025
Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here!
Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area.
It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute"
This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then.
Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer.
EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning.
You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards.
FRGNT X
EURUSD - Short Trade Confirmation :
1. Bearish Order-Flow
2. Market retraced to the supply zone with the help of previous demand, which is liquidity now
3. Tapped into the premium supply zone
4. M5 CHoCH to the downside
5. Previous high reacted as an Inducement
6. Entered in the supply tap
The only thing that is concerning the trade is market tapped into the 15m support trend-line. Once the trend-line is taken out with the strong bearish candle closure, that can add an confluence to the trade.
Thanks for the time..
EUR /USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown and idea behind the analysis:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Trend Structure:
The price was in a downtrend, moving within a descending channel.
Recently, the price has rejected the upper boundary of the channel (noted as "down reject").
There's a 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) acting as dynamic support around the 1.09086 level.
Mr SMC Trading point
2. Support Zone:
A strong demand zone (highlighted in yellow) is visible near the 1.08183 area.
This zone aligns with previous structure support and a potential reversal point.
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 49, showing a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
No overbought/oversold signals yet, suggesting room for further downside before a reversal.
4. Projection Idea:
The analyst expects a possible short-term drop into the yellow support zone (target: 1.08183).
After reaching the target, a bullish reversal is anticipated, aiming for a breakout above the downtrend with a rally towards the 1.10500+ zone.
Trading Idea:
Short-Term Bearish Move: Sell toward 1.08183 if price confirms rejection of the trendline or 200 EMA.
Medium-Term Bullish Reversal: Watch for bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, RSI divergence) at the 1.08183 zone to go long toward higher highs.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EURUSD – Why This Key Level Could Decide the Next Big MoveAt the moment, EURUSD is maintaining a bearish market structure on both the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes. Price action has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a clear indication of sustained selling pressure in the market.
Zooming in, we’ve noticed that previous support zones are no longer being respected, which further supports the bearish narrative. These failed supports are now acting as weak resistance zones, and price is cutting through them with minimal hesitation — a sign that buyers are losing control while sellers continue to dominate the market.
One of the key technical levels on our radar is marked by a horizontal red line, currently acting as minor support. A candle close below this level would be highly significant. It would indicate that the temporary consolidation or hesitation we're seeing is breaking to the downside. If this scenario plays out, it could trigger a strong bearish continuation, with increased volume likely to enter the market from breakout traders and institutions scaling in.
The chart points to a clearly defined target area for this move, located in the 1.07500 to 1.07800 range, which is marked in green. This is a strong historical support zone — one that has previously held and sparked reversals. We anticipate that if price reaches this area, we may begin to see a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal setup.
1 hour trend
Trade Plan
Bearish Bias While Below the Red Line
If price closes below the red line (~1.09200), I’ll be watching for follow-through to the downside.
Entry opportunity may exist on the retest of this broken level, provided price shows rejection or continuation patterns.
Target area: 1.07500–1.07800 (green support zone)
Bullish Setup at Key Support
Should price reach the green zone, I’ll wait for confirmation before entering a long position.
Ideal signs: bullish candlestick patterns, slowing momentum, volume divergence, or strong reaction wicks.
Potential upside target: reversion back to broken structure or trendline zone.
Fundamental Analysis: U.S.-EU Tariff Situation
In addition to the technical structure, we also need to be mindful of the fundamental backdrop, particularly the recent escalation in tariff-related discussions between the U.S. and the European Union.
The Biden administration is reportedly exploring a fresh round of tariffs on EU imports in response to long-standing disagreements around digital services taxes and subsidies in the aviation industry. These talks have gained momentum recently, with the potential for announcements in the coming days or weeks.
Should these tariffs be confirmed, it would likely:
Weigh heavily on the Euro, especially if the EU responds with retaliatory measures.
Increase uncertainty in trade flows, damaging investor confidence in the region.
Trigger a flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset, further fueling EURUSD downside.
On the flip side, if negotiations lead to a positive resolution or postponement of tariffs, the Euro could see some relief, which may coincide with a bounce from the green support zone on the chart potentially lining up with our long bias at that level.
Conclusion
The EURUSD pair is currently offering a clean, high-probability setup driven by both technical and fundamental factors. With the market respecting bearish structure on the lower timeframes and support levels being broken with ease, the path of least resistance remains to the downside at least until the 1.07500–1.07800 zone is reached.
From there, a shift in momentum could present a great opportunity to switch bias and look for a long entry with favorable risk-reward.
This trade idea remains valid as long as price respects structure. Always manage risk and stay updated with any breaking news around U.S.–EU trade talks, as those developments could heavily influence the direction of EURUSD in the coming sessions.
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