USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD...4H Chat pattren You're suggesting a **EUR/USD long (buy) position** at **1.1288**, with a target of **1.1768**, which implies a **480 pip** upside move.
Here are some key points to consider:
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### 📊 **Trade Analysis:**
**1. Risk/Reward Profile (R/R):**
- Entry: 1.1288
- Target: 1.1768
- Potential gain: **+480 pips**
Make sure you define your **stop loss**—for example:
- SL at 1.1188 (100 pip risk) → **R/R = 4.8:1** (very favorable)
- SL at 1.1238 (50 pip risk) → **R/R = 9.6:1** (even better, but tighter stop)
**2. Technical Levels:**
- 1.1280–1.1300: Recent resistance zone turned support?
- 1.1760–1.1800: Major resistance last seen mid-2021–2022
**3. Fundamentals to Watch:**
- **ECB vs. Fed policy divergence** — any dovish/hawkish surprise from either central bank could affect this.
- **Eurozone data** (GDP, CPI) and **U.S. data** (NFP, inflation, rate expectations) will likely play key roles.
- **Geopolitical tensions or risk appetite** can also influence the EUR.
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### ⚠️ **Risks to Manage:**
- Tight U.S. monetary policy could cap EUR/USD gains.
- Any EU political instability or weak economic data could send EUR lower.
- Be aware of key **news events** — like NFP or ECB meetings — that could cause spikes.
EUR/USD – Technical Outlook & Strategic Projection (May 1–17)
📉 EUR/USD – Technical Outlook & Strategic Projection (May 1–17)**
Since **April 20th**, the euro has shown a consistent decline in strength against the US dollar, reflecting a sustained bearish sentiment. However, the current market structure suggests a potential **short-term bullish retracement** in the coming days — possibly lasting through the end of this week.
This short-lived upside move is likely driven by the market's need to **seek liquidity above recent highs**, particularly near the **Previous Weekly High (PWH)** and the nearby imbalance zone (FVG). From my perspective, this setup may act as a **liquidity sweep** before resuming the broader bearish trend.
📌 **My Outlook:**
- A temporary euro recovery may occur as price revisits the 1.14500–1.15688 zone.
- Around **May 6th onwards**, I expect bearish continuation as liquidity objectives are fulfilled.
- If price confirms rejection from the premium zone, my bearish bias targets the **1.09076** and eventually **1.04172** levels.
🔍 *Conclusion:*
While the euro may show short-term strength, this is likely a setup to trap buyers before a deeper decline. I will be monitoring for confirmations of rejection and signs of trend continuation beyond the liquidity grab.
📍Posted by: *Emerson Massawe*
*Data & Market Analyst | COO of Rodaviva | Xerof Capital*
head and shoulders pattern EURUSD has formed a head and shoulders pattern and is now approaching the blue support zone. If the price breaks below this support level, it could signal a bearish move with the target set at the green line level.
📈 Technical Overview:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Support Zone: Blue area currently being approached.
🎯 Breakdown Target: Green line level upon confirmation of the breakdown
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bullish tendencies, with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1515 acting as a critical resistance. A break above this level, accompanied by supportive economic indicators and ECB policies, could lead the pair towards the target of 1.15132. Traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals to assess the likelihood of this upward movement.
EURUSD soon below 1.10After that huge pump which was expected and also bullish market which is still bullish now we are looking for a short-term fall here below 1.100 and soon again after that more rise and gain can be possible because EUR now is strong.
also our target is now 0.38% Fib level.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Headwinds for EURUSD as trade tension declinesEuro-dollar retreated further on 1 May in thin trading to retest $1.13. Trade wars are less in focus now with the rising possibility of deals between the USA and India, Japan and South Korea among others. Although American advance GDP for the first quarter was disappointing at negative 0.3%, the generally positive reaction by the dollar might suggest positive sentiment and that participants had been expecting a worse result. Flash GDP for the eurozone was better than expected on 30 April.
$1.13 remains an important technical reference. A break clearly below there might open the way to $1.11 and possibly lower in the medium term, especially if sentiment and the American job report support. Conversely, a bounce from here would probably mean a retest of the latest highs around $1.156 sooner or later. Overall, euro-dollar’s performance since the end of February has been very strong, so it’d be possible to see the price consolidating for a while before making clear new highs if the uptrend does indeed continue. Apart from 2 May’s NFP, next week’s press conference from the Fed is critical.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EURUSD is Trading Under the Pressure of a Strong DollarHey traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.13500 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.13500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD SELL (DOWNTREND) H4 SHORT LOOKEUR/USD Market Analysis
Trend: Bearish
Pattern: Strong downward momentum observed after recent highs around 1.1570
Sell Entry Zone: Confirmed with bearish momentum
Target Levels:
1st Target: 1.11000 – Key psychological and technical level
2nd Target: 1.09100 – Near the 55-day SMA, strong historical support
Final Target: 1.07500 – Close to 200-day SMA and March lows
Stop Loss: 1.15500 – Just below the recent high (1.1570), to limit upside risk.