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USDEUR trade ideas

UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 1H - As you all know I am looking to take this market long as soon as price has given us the confluence and confirmation needed in order to take it long. I want to see price trade down and into a relevant area of Demand in order to deem us a refined entry, once price trades down and into the Demand Zone we then want to see relevant breaks in structure. This is because a break in the structure that traded price down, the correction, would essentially confirm to us that it has come to an end and enough Demand has been introduced to see the market now trade higher. Once we have the break in structure and we have the confirmation needed, its then a case of waiting for price to pullback, trading into a more refined area of interest, this is where we enter from.
Long
by Lukegforex
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1490 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1559 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1399 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD H1 TECHNICAL ANALYSISThe EUR/USD market has entered a bullish phase, breaking above previous resistance levels and forming a strong upward pattern. The pair has successfully tested and moved towards significant bullish targets at 1.15000 and 1.16200, indicating strong buying momentum. Key Levels: Support: Former resistance at 1.12700 is now acting as a key support level, providing a solid base for further upward moves. Resistance/Targets: The pair is facing interim resistance near 1.15000, with extended bullish targets at 1.16200. Outlook: As long as EUR/USD holds above the 1.12700 level, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, with a potential to retest 1.16200 and possibly extend higher if supported by macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment.
by Zickey_11
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 22.04.25)Overall Trend & Context: This pair is in an overall uptrend and has broken above last weeks highs. Technical Findings: Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on the daily and 4H charts. Overall Bullish price action is evident. Price has been consolidating through London session thus far, we can expect a tap into the demand below the liquidity (relative equal lows) before continuation of bullish cycles. Notes: Price is currently at a weekly supply level, we may bounce in and out of it a few times, so manage your risk and take this setup based on your own analysis as well.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
EURUSD - Multi Time Frame Trade SetupDollar looks like it may be ready to bounce after a significant bearish trend. And so I have been looking for a suitable currency pair. Euro is printing a long wick; it looks good on the 2D chart that I will post below ⤵️. But up on high time frame, I thought it was interesting to notice that the impulsive uptrend since January appears to be topping slightly higher than the previous trading range spanning back to 2023. Whenever I see whipsaw at a slightly higher high, I am always thinking it may be a liquidity sweep as part of a Wyckoff Distribution. Here it gets interesting 😅... Because the move up was impulsive, but yet it has is printing potential topping candles at a slightly high high. This suggests that this impulse wave may actually be a blow of 3rd wave as part of a 3 wave correction. This blow off 3rd wave does not appear in any textbooks that I am aware of but I have seen this pattern in various contexts. And it can be quite a useful one to be aware of because if it is a 3 wave completion, then potentially the dominant trend may re-assert to the downside. If correct then this could be a great long term hold; down and down below the current ATL. With this in mind, I have taken a fib extension from the lows... And surprise surprise; the current wicked candles are printing tidily within the 1:0.618 Golden Window; captured nicely just shy of the 0.786 overshoot ratio. If you've done the Fibonacci homework, then you'll know that this is a weak ratio band and exactly the ratio area we would want to see topping action print within for the purpose of looking for a bearish trade setup. So okay, we have - Whipsawing candles, often seen at high time frame pivots. - Slightly higher high as part of a 3 wave 1:0.618 GW correction. - Impulsive 3rd wave suggesting it is a blow off wave which could lead to significant downside. With all this in mind, I have then looked back in the chart to take a high time frame Fib Retracement from the last major high - which was back in 2018 down to ATL which is the foot of the 3 wave correction. Again, surprise surprise; the whipsawing action appears to be printing a high time frame retracement Golden Window failure. This is a likely ratio area for rejection and further adds confluence to this bearish idea. Then in low time frame, the impulse wave completes a 1:1 upside correction; a tidy ratio for wave completion. ... In lower time frame there are 2 upper wicked candles printing a slightly higher high. So again we have Wyckoff distributive structure signalling that this is a top 🧐. So we'll see how it develops. I entered a short position here. Not advice
Short
by dRends35
EUR/USD: Is the Uptrend Losing Steam?EUR/USD has had an exceptionally strong month, gaining over 7% from bottom to top – one of the best performances in EUR’s history against the dollar. But now, things are starting to shift. 🧭 Possible Long-Term Trend Change? Beyond the impressive rally, the bigger story might be the potential shift in the long-term trend. However, after such a sharp move up, a correction is not only likely – it may already be underway. 🔍 Technical Outlook: - Price pushed above the key 1.15 psychological level but failed to hold momentum. - A bearish consolidation is forming. - A classic Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be developing, with a neckline near 1.13. - A break of that level could open the door for a deeper retracement, with a target around 1.11. 🛠️ Trading Plan: I’m looking to sell rallies, ideally near 1.1450, to maintain a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
DeGRAM | EURUSD Holding in the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD is still capped by $1.16 and has slipped back under its trend-line, keeping bearish divergence alive; sub-1.145 trade leaves $1.134 then $1.12 exposed. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Euro-area confidence and PMI hover near stagnation amid fresh U.S. tariff threats. U.S. payrolls jumped 228 k in Mar, and Fed officials favour steady rates, keeping yields and USD firm. ✨ Summary Eurozone softness versus robust U.S. data widens policy divergence, aligning with the technical rejection at $1.16. A daily close below $1.134 should quicken a slide toward $1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1278 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1149 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1428 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! Trade confluences - Weekly order block rejection - Daily bearish close - Intraday breaks of structure - 15’ order block created - Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSDThe EURUSD currency pair remains bullish after successfully retesting key support levels from last week, as indicated by a strong bullish sentiment in the most recent Commitment of Traders (COT) report. This report highlighted a notable increase in long positions, signaling positive sentiment among institutional traders. Furthermore, this week's COT data shows that the trend of accumulating long positions has continued, reinforcing the market's bullish bias for the Euro against the US Dollar.
Long
by Primus0725
EURUSD – A New High Potentially in Sight?The pullback seen in EURUSD at the start of this week, which resulted in a low of 1.1264 being registered on Tuesday may have been a natural reaction to the spike from 1.0943 on Thursday 10th April, up to 1.1473 on Friday 11th April. A quick and relentless rally (low to high) of 4.8% that caught many by surprise. Now, against the backdrop of fresh dollar selling due to a new series of tariff headlines from the Trump administration on Wednesday, the most prominent being the ban on Nvidia from exporting certain chips to China, EURUSD has started to move back towards 1.14 again with the all-important rate decision due later today at 1315 BST. The ECB are expected to cut interest rates by another 25bps, so anything else may be a seen as a surprise. This decision could be a close call given that the ECB committee seem to be split, with some more worried about supporting the economy through this period of trade war uncertainty, while others are more focused on the potential for trade tariffs to push inflation back higher. Whatever the decision, the press conference, led by ECB President Lagarde, which starts at 1345 BST could also be a focal point for EURUSD volatility as traders try and glean what they can from Madame Lagarde on whether more rate cuts are possible at the next meeting in June, her thoughts on inflation, recent Euro strength and the Eurozone economy. Technical Update: Is the Break of Long Term Resistance Significant? The current year to date phase of EURUSD price strength has seen an impressive 12.6% advance from the January low into the latest April high (1.0184 to 1.1473). However, what technical analysts are now beginning to focus on is the world's most heavily traded currency pair recent close above 2 potentially key resistance points on the weekly chart that coincide at 1.1275/1.1278. These points are equal to a combination of the July 2023 high and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February 2021 to September 2022 price decline (see chart above). While this is no guarantee of sustained phase of price strength it might well be an indication of further attempts to push towards higher levels. Potential Resistance Levels We Now Need to Monitor What the weekly chart above does show is that the latest strength has approached a previous failure high at 1.1494, which was posted in February 2022. Traders may well be focusing on this level next, as closing breaks of this resistance point might suggest current EURUSD strength may carry further. Such moves could in turn lead to a more sustained phase of price strength, with the next resistance point to consider marked by the October 2022 upside extreme at 1.1691. Potential Support Levels We Now Need to Monitor After such an extended period of price strength over a relatively short period of time there may be potential for over-extended upside price conditions to lead to the price corrections. With this in mind, it is the perhaps the daily EURUSD chart that might offer clues to possible support levels. Running Fibonacci retracements on the latest phase of price strength seen between April 4th and April 10th, we see the 38.2% retracement at 1.1244, has remained intact within this week’s latest trading activity. Any potential breaks below this level, while not suggesting a negative shift in sentiment, may prompt a deeper decline in EURUSD prices towards 1.1175, which is the 50% retracement, even 1.1106, which is the 61.8% retracement level, as seen on the chart above. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EURUSD 4h Head and Shoulders 🔍 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (4H) 🧠 Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders This is a classic reversal pattern, often indicating that the prevailing uptrend is weakening and a potential bearish move may follow. Left Shoulder: Formed around April 17–18. Head: Sharp push up and reversal around April 22. Right Shoulder: Forming now, showing a lower high compared to the head. Neckline: Currently being tested around the 1.1335–1.1340 zone. 🧭 Key Levels Zone Level Significance Resistance 1.1450 High before the drop (Head) Neckline Support 1.1335 Crucial breakout level Next Support 1.1260 March highs; potential bounce Target (H&S projection) 1.1200 - 1.1220 If neckline breaks with volume
Short
by Forexbeats