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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD Approaching its resistance, read CaptionHello Traders What do you think about EURUSD Give suggestion in comments. As the EURUSD Reached the certical resistance level at 1.03500 traders high alert. A Successful Brach of this threshold could fuel the ongoing bullish trend. if the price will break below from these resistance would price will likely intensity the bearish momentum potentially Support zone 1.02500. if you like this analysis please Support my work like and fallow thanks for Love.
Short
by FxJennefir
EUR/USD Long Opportunities for the Upcoming WeekFor the upcoming week, I'll be looking for long opportunities on EUR/USD, despite the higher time frame market structure still showing lower lows and lower highs. Price has left an imbalance around the 1.02 zone before becoming bullish, which could be a key area to watch. The liquidity below the 1.03284 swing low has already been liquidated, suggesting the potential for price to move higher before bearish pressure returns. I anticipate that price could reach the 1.045 level before the bears step back in.
Long
by Jackson-FX
The Psychology Of Markets: A Deep Dive Into Sentiment IndicatorsMarket dynamics are mainly driven by the interaction between available assets and market demand. These forces are shaped by both retail participants and professional market makers. Public sentiment reacts strongly to media coverage and market news. When negative speculation (FUD) spreads, it tends to cause selling pressure, while positive news stimulates buying activity. This can be seen now for example in the world of crypto markets when prices react sharply to world events. And while mathematical indicators track price patterns, there are specific metrics that measure collective market psychology. Let's take a look at the key indicators that measure crowd behavior. 📍 Key Market Psychology Metrics 1. Volatility Assessment (VIX) The Volatility Index, commonly referred to as TVC:VIX or the market's "pulse of fear," quantifies market turbulence expectations. Developed at CBOE, this tool projects anticipated market fluctuations for a 30-day window by analyzing S&P 500 options data. 📍 VIX Calculation Method: ◾️ Evaluates SP:SPX derivative contracts expiring within 30 days ◾️ Implements sophisticated mathematical modeling, including weighted calculations and interpolative methods ◾️ Synthesizes individual volatility projections into a comprehensive market volatility forecast 📍 Practical Applications VIX serves as a psychological barometer where: Readings below 15 indicate market stability 15-25 suggests mild uncertainty 25-30 reflects growing market anxiety Readings above 30 signal significant turbulence potential The index also functions as a risk management instrument, enabling portfolio protection strategies through VIX-based derivatives. 2. Market Sentiment Gauge CNN's proprietary sentiment measurement combines seven distinct market variables to assess whether fear or optimism dominates trading activity. This metric operates on the principle that extreme fear can trigger unnecessary sell-offs, while excessive optimism might inflate valuations unsustainably. 📍 Core Components: ◾️ Price Momentum . Compares current market prices to recent average prices. Helps understand if stocks are trending up or down ◾️ New High/Low Stock Ratios. Measures how many stocks are hitting their highest/lowest points. Indicates overall market health and investor confidence ◾️ Market-Wide Directional Trends. Tracks which stocks are rising or falling. Shows general market movement and investor sentiment ◾️ Options Trading Patterns. Analyzes buying and selling of market protection options. Reveals how investors are preparing for potential market changes ◾️ Market Volatility Metrics. Measures market price fluctuations. Higher volatility suggests more investor uncertainty ◾️ High-Yield Bond Spread Analysis . Compares returns on risky versus safe bonds. Indicates investors' willingness to take financial risks ◾️ Comparative Yield Assessment . Compares returns from stocks versus government bonds. Helps understand where investors prefer to put their money The measurement spans 0-100: 0-24: Pervasive fear 25-49: Cautious sentiment 50-74: Optimistic outlook 75-100: Excessive optimism 3. Individual Investor Sentiment Analysis (AAII Survey) The American Association of Individual Investors conducts systematic polling to capture retail market participants' outlook. This weekly assessment provides insights into non-institutional investors' expectations for market direction over a six-month horizon. The methodology offers valuable perspective on collective retail sentiment trends. Survey Structure : Participants respond to a focused query about market trajectory, selecting from three possible scenarios: Optimistic outlook (Bullish) - anticipating market appreciation Pessimistic view (Bearish) - expecting market decline Neutral stance - projecting sideways movement 📍 Practical Applications ◾️ Contrarian Signal. Extreme readings often suggest potential market reversals. For instance, widespread pessimism might indicate oversold conditions, while excessive optimism could signal overbought markets. ◾️ Sentiment Tracking. The data helps contextualize retail investor psychology within current market conditions. ◾️ Historical Pattern Analysis. Current sentiment readings gain additional meaning when compared against historical trends. Note: While informative, this metric specifically reflects retail sentiment and should be considered alongside institutional positioning and broader market indicators. 4. Market Participation Breadth Market breadth analysis examines the distribution of price movements across securities to evaluate market health beyond headline index levels. This methodology assesses whether market moves reflect broad participation or concentrated activity in specific securities. 📍 Key Breadth Metrics ◾️ Advancing vs. Declining Issues . Tracks the numerical comparison between appreciating and depreciating securities ◾️ Net Advance-Decline . Calculates the cumulative difference between rising and falling stocks to identify underlying momentum ◾️ Participation Ratio . Establishes the proportion of advancing to declining securities ◾️ Moving Average Analysis . Monitors the percentage of stocks trading above key technical levels (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages) 📍 Practical Applications ◾️ Trend Validation. Strong market breadth confirms price trends, while deteriorating breadth may signal potential reversals ◾️ Early Warning System . Divergences between price action and breadth often precede significant market shifts ◾️ Trend Strength Assessment. Broad participation in market moves typically indicates more sustainable trends This analytical framework provides deeper insight into market dynamics beyond surface-level price movements, helping investors and traders better understand the underlying strength or weakness of current market conditions. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
1
EURUSD📊 EUR/USD 2H Chart Analysis & Signal 📊 The pair has shown a strong bullish move but is now facing resistance around 1.04387, indicating a potential reversal. If the price fails to break this resistance, we anticipate a bearish correction towards the lower support zones. Trade Setup: 🔹 Sell Zone: 1.04000 - 1.04387 🔹 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.03292 TP2: 1.02674 TP3: 1.02200 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.04111 (Above resistance) 🔹 Entry Confirmation: Look for bearish rejections and candlestick confirmations before entering. ⚠️ Risk Management: Use proper lot sizes and follow break-even rules once in profit.
by FOREXQUEEN_1
EURUSD, UP or DOWN ?Hello Traders, what do you think about FX:EURUSD ? Yesterday we had a huge upward movement because of Tariff plans. but as long as price is below 1.0460, we better to find short position and if price stabilizes above this number at daily timeframe, we can think about buy. remember that Eurozone performance is unstable and we can't expect a large upward movement in this pair at least for short term, unless the data that comes from US is very bad. And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post. If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend. THANKS.
by aminrzb
EUR/USD: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern AppearsDear friends, On the D1 timeframe, EUR/USD is showing promising signs with the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, signaling a potential reversal of the downward trend. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.039, down by 0.12% for the day. However, this could simply be a minor pullback before a significant breakout. The focus is now on the 1.034 support area, which is seen as a crucial foundation for the market to stage a strong rally. If this level holds, EUR/USD has a high chance of advancing toward the 1.045 resistance level, where we could anticipate a potential breakout. Notably, a solid consolidation above 1.045 would pave the way for EUR/USD to climb further, with no significant barriers in sight to prevent the pair from reaching the 1.060 target. What are your thoughts on the upcoming trend? Can EUR/USD break through the 1.045 level and surge toward 1.060? Share your opinions and predictions in the comments below – let’s discuss and exchange insights!
Long
by Joegoldwave
Trading Plan: Bearish Breakout for EUR/USDThis trading plan focuses on a bearish breakout scenario, where the price clears the support range between 1.03560 and 1.03463, signaling a continuation downward to complete the Head and Shoulders pattern. 1. Market Context: Current Pattern: The chart suggests the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating a potential bearish reversal. Key Levels: Support Range: 1.03560–1.03463 (neckline of the pattern). Take Profit (TP) Levels: 1.03221: Intermediate target, aligning with a key support zone. 1.02992: Final target, completing the Head and Shoulders measured move. 2. Entry Criteria: Trigger for Entry: Place a sell stop order slightly below the support range at 1.03450. This ensures confirmation of the bearish breakout below the neckline. 3. Stop Loss Placement: Place the stop loss above the resistance level at 1.03600. This protects against false breakouts and provides room for minor pullbacks. 4. Take Profit Targets: Target 1 (Intermediate): 1.03221 Represents the first key support zone where price may pause or retrace. Target 2 (Final): 1.02992 Represents the measured move completion for the Head and Shoulders pattern. 5. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Entry: 1.03450 Stop Loss: 1.03600 (15-pip risk) Take Profit Levels: Target 1: 1.03221 (23-pip reward) → Risk-to-Reward Ratio = 1:1.5 Target 2: 1.02992 (46-pip reward) → Risk-to-Reward Ratio = 1:3 6. Trade Execution Plan: Monitor Volume: A spike in selling volume below 1.03450 confirms bearish momentum. Confirm Momentum: Use indicators like: RSI: Ensure it is below 50 and trending downward. MACD: Look for a bearish crossover or increasing negative histogram bars.
Short
by RNiles
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.0332 1st Support: 1.0175 1st Resistance: 1.0464 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets