Time to sell again?We've been in a major downtrend. We have attempted to retest a major structure level from which I am expecting EURUSD to fail.Shortby momeah214
Bouncing Back: Steps To Overcoming A Trading Losing StreakThe probability theory suggests that under perfectly equal conditions, your trades should be successful 50% of the time. However, market conditions rarely offer such perfect equality. During an upward trend, for instance, you might open ten short positions only to find them all unprofitable. This illustrates why probability theory alone doesn't translate well to trading. What does work, however, is mathematical statistics, including concepts like expected value and other analytical parameters. So when you encounter a series of losing trades, resist the urge to blame the market or bad luck. Instead, recognize that you might have overlooked certain factors or made calculation errors. The good news? These mistakes can be identified and corrected. 📍 How to Recover After a Series of Losing Trades 1. Step Away from Trading Temporarily The first and most crucial step is to step away from trading temporarily. This might seem obvious, yet it's often the hardest advice to follow. If you're experiencing losses regardless of whether you take long or short positions, it's time to pause. The market's volatility isn't always to blame – this break gives you valuable time to analyze what's really happening. However, executing this pause requires genuine willpower. Simply shutting down your computer isn't enough – the temptation to restart it after ten minutes can be overwhelming. Instead, make a clean break: go for a walk outside or immerse yourself in completely different activities. This physical and mental separation is essential for gaining a fresh perspective. 🔹 Define Your Consecutive Loss Limit. Your trading style and personality should determine how many consecutive losses you can tolerate before stepping back. For fast-paced scalping and intraday trading, consider pausing after 3-5 consecutive losses. If you're trading bigger timeframes, you might want to stop after just 2-3 losing trades. 🔹 Establish Clear Daily Loss Thresholds. Restrictions can be based on both trading frequency and capital loss. For example, set a firm rule to stop trading for a day as soon as your account drops by 3%. This will prevent you from making emotional decisions and protect your trading capital, especially if you trade prop firms. 🔹 Leverage Your Backtesting Data. Some trading strategies naturally experience small consecutive losses before capturing a larger winning trade that offsets previous setbacks. Use platforms like TradingView to backtest your strategy and understand its historical performance patterns. Pay attention to: The longest historical losing streaks Average loss sequences Expected drawdown periods If your current trading results deviate significantly from these historical patterns, that's your signal to pause and reassess. Remember: Success in trading isn't about gut feelings – it's about mathematical precision and disciplined execution. 2. Analyze Your Trades Over the Period It's important to remember that you haven’t always incurred losses, so take the time to evaluate the current losing streak and compare it with previous trading periods. Look for any discrepancies or patterns that may emerge. 🔹 Fundamental Factors. Identify the fundamental elements that influenced both your profitable and losing periods. 🔹 Indicators Used. Assess the indicators that were applied in both scenarios. If you used the same indicators during profitable and losing trades, analyze where the error occurred. 🔹 Stop Losses. Review the stop-loss levels you set. What led to the losses in these trades? When using your trading simulator, pay attention to specific metrics: ⚫️ Recovery Factor. This is the ratio of absolute profit to maximum drawdown. ⚫️ Profit Factor. This metric represents the ratio of total profit to total loss. ⚫️ Average Profit to Average Loss Ratio. Evaluate this ratio to understand your trade outcomes better. For the most effective analysis, focus on H1 or bigger timeframes. Analyzing trades over these extended periods allows you to discern the logic of trends, identify key levels, and gain insight into market psychology. 3. Identify Problem Areas It's essential to pinpoint the areas causing difficulties in your trading. Reflect on the psychological aspects at play: What’s bothering you? What feels off or frustrating? Sometimes, intuition can provide valuable insights as well. 🔹 Unprofitable Trading System. Market volatility may have changed, rendering your current indicator settings ineffective and leading to a non-profitable trading system. 🔹 Emotional Decision-Making. Emotions can sometimes drive you to deviate from the predetermined rules of your trading plan. 🔹 Absence of a Trading System. This is a critical mistake. It’s not just about having a strategy; a comprehensive trading system outlines your actions in unexpected situations. Be aware of potential issues such as wide stop losses, leverage that increases losses, or "strange" trades that deviate from your established setups. There are numerous variations of these problems, and your task is to identify and address them. 4. Develop a Corrective Plan Now that the analysis is complete and the main issues are identified, it’s time to address them. Avoid resuming trading at previous volumes immediately. Your goal is to test the revised trading strategy while minimizing risk. At this stage, profitability is secondary; the focus should be on ensuring that the strategy works. 🔹 Open Trades with Minimum Lot Sizes. Use leverage strategically, only to manage your exposure to Level and Margin effectively. 🔹 Implement Minimal Stops. This approach helps in risk reduction. However, ensure that stops are set within reasonable limits to avoid constant triggering from market fluctuations. Focus on average volatility to determine appropriate stop-loss levels. 🔹 Avoid Rushing into Maximum Trades. Prioritize the quality of trades over quantity. It’s more important to make well-considered decisions than to engage in numerous trades. 🔹 Stick to Your Action Plan. Consistently ask yourself key questions: Why am I opening this trade? Am I sticking to all the rules? What outcome am I aiming for? What constitutes an acceptable loss for me? For testing integrity, it is recommended to implement these changes on a real account as it develops a greater sense of accountability. 5. Focus on the Psychological Aspect Maintaining a focus on positive outcomes is crucial for success in trading. Just as a person afraid of falling off a bike will likely do so, a negative mindset can breed inevitable failures. Instead, you must cultivate confidence in positive results and adopt a constructive attitude. And if you do face setbacks, dust yourself off and continue your journey toward success. Believing in your ability to succeed is often the greatest challenge. Embrace self-belief and trust in your strength. 🔹 Avoid External Influences. Steer clear of forums and social media platforms like Instagram. Remember, you are the one making trading decisions. Listening to others can lead to FOMO and self-doubt, which can hinder your performance. 🔹 Utilize Affirmations. Regularly affirming your potential for success can significantly increase your chances of achieving it. Positive self-talk is a powerful tool in building confidence. 🔹 Take Time to Rest. Rest is essential for maintaining a healthy mindset. While meditation is beneficial, it's often overlooked; try to incorporate it into your routine, even if just for a few minutes each day. 🔹 Be Mindful of Your Nervous System . A lively nervous system can be advantageous, but excessive stimulants like caffeine can backfire. If you experience high blood pressure, caffeine may exacerbate nervousness and further overstimulate your system. 📍 Conclusion A loss is not a verdict; it is an opportunity for growth. The fact that brokers often indicate a loss rate of 60-85% among traders highlights that many are unwilling to invest the time and effort necessary to learn from their mistakes. Often, these traders give up at the first sign of failure. In contrast, the remaining 15-40% consist of those who, through hard work, patience, and persistence, transition from beginners to professionals. Don't be deterred by losses—they can be temporary if you take the time to analyze and understand their causes. Additionally, don’t succumb to pessimism; a successful trader maintains a positive mindset and embraces challenges. Remember, perseverance in the face of adversity is often the key to long-term success in trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣Educationby Lingrid8825
EURUSD// Bullish trend confirmations, strong reversal scenario..📈 EURUSD Forecast 📈 EURUSD broke the descending trendline and 200EMA with a strong bullish candle, followed by a successful retracement. Volume indicates strong buyer momentum. At the bottom of the downtrend, an inverse head and shoulders pattern confirms the reversal. 🎯 Targets: 1.0520, 1.0600, 1.0810Longby TrendLogic1118
Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro. Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart. The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves . I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line . 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. ⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.Longby pejman_zwinUpdated 8840
EURUSD Potential Yearly Swing (Bearish Momentum) Here’s my outlook for EURUSD in the following few months: We are likely to see some bullish movement toward the Bearish Order Block between 1.13000-1.13500, which aligns with the top of a descending channel from 2003. However, given the ongoing economic challenges in Europe, I anticipate a bearish trend for the euro over the next year, resembling the pattern we saw during 2021-2022. The euro is showing multiple signs of weakness, so let’s remain patient and focus on capitalizing on smaller trades. For those aiming to catch the longer-term swing trade that could extend for years, patience is key, it's approaching soon. Shortby RobertTMFXUpdated 7733
EUR-USD Bullish Breakout! Buy! Hello,Traders! EUR-USD made a bullish Breakout out of the narrowing Wedge pattern so we are Bullish biased and we Will be expecting a Further bullish move up Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Longby TopTradingSignals114
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0429 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0364 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Shortby AnabelSignals115
EUR/USD BUY NOW AT @1.04245🚀 EURUSD Analysis: Eyeing Bullish Momentum The EURUSD pair is showing signs of entering a bullish zone, with strong potential to climb higher in the coming sessions. Here's the technical breakdown: 🔄 Key Levels to Watch Bullish Zone Entry: 1.04230 Technical Target: 1.06000 📈 Resistance Zone 1.04335: A crucial resistance level. If EURUSD breaks and holds above this, it will confirm a stronger bullish move toward the target. 📉 Support Levels 1.03655: This serves as the key support zone, where buyers might step in if there’s a pullback. 💡 Trading Insights Scenario 1: A clear breakout above 1.04335 could open the path for bullish momentum to target 1.06000. Scenario 2 : A pullback toward 1.03655 could offer a re-entry opportunity for buyers looking for a better risk-reward setup.Longby ALBERTGOLDHUNTER6
DeGRAM | EURUSD has consolidated above dynamic supportEURUSD is in a descending channel between trend lines. The price is moving from the support level and the lower boundary of the channel. The chart has already consolidated above the dynamic support, which previously acted as a rebound point. We expect a rise in the channel with a successful consolidation above the resistance level, which coincides with the 50% retracement level. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!Longby DeGRAMUpdated 228
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current WEEKLY 0.7 & 0.61 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.Shortby WiLLProsperForex4
EURUSD 100% RULES BASED FIB Structure the 28Dto100K ChallengeThis is the M15 EURUSD 100% Rules Based Structure.by RobinTShark3
SELL EUR/USDTechnical vol high retracement. I'm looking for shorts. Speculative guess based on how usd will react to Trump and EUR zone differential and fair market value.Shortby shades305Updated 2
What will be the next trend of EUR/USD ?🔆The EUR/USD pair is being influenced by a number of economic and political factors, leading to significant volatility in recent times. 🔆 Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD pair is currently in an uptrend, with the price trading above both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, suggesting a bullish bias in the short term. The next resistance level is identified at 1.0530 as the 1.618 Fibonacci line intersects the resistance zone; if the price reaches this level, a corrective rally is expected. 🔆 Fundamental Analysis: A trade war between the US and Europe could push the euro to parity with the US dollar. New tariffs from the US could further weaken the eurozone economy, putting downward pressure on the euro. The US dollar is expected to maintain its strength against the euro as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates more gradually than expected as President Trump's policies may increase inflation. 🔆 Conclusion: The trend of the EUR/USD pair in the coming period will depend on the developments of the above economic and political factors. Forecast Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels, along with macroeconomic information and monetary policies from both sides to make appropriate trading decisions. Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"Shortby FM-ForexMastermind3
ERUUSD : The simple guide to the DYou should be familiar with this if you have been following me long enough. This is how I trade. Common sense will tell you if this method works or not. Let me know if you have anything better. There is also something fundamental when playing the D. I have highlighted them in circles in the chart. There are 2 circles. If you can figure it out, then your D would be very potent indeed. Good luck. Shortby i_am_siew3
EURUSD has formed a head and shoulders bottom patternOn the 4-hour chart, EURUSD has formed a head and shoulders bottom pattern. Currently, we can focus on the support around 1.034. If it does not break, it will continue to rise, with the upward target around 1.053.Longby XTrendSpeed3
Downtrend in EURUSDEURUSD has been in a downtrend for four months now. Last week, we saw a rise to 1,0354, forming a lower high. The next goal is to test and break the previous low. Keep an eye on whether it has the strength to continue, and avoid trading against the trend!Shortby ForexTrendline3
Strong Sell on EURUSD starting from today. Strong Sell on EURUSD as $$$ is getting its strength back. Enjoy the swing trade on EURUSDShortby harisawais22
EurUsd- A nice bullish setup with 1.06 targetLike most major pairs, EUR/USD experienced a challenging final quarter of 2024, with the price dropping approximately 1,000 pips following the double top at 1.12. The start of 2025 saw a further decline, breaking below the 1.0350 support level and reaching a low of 1.0180. However, the market quickly reversed after this low. On Monday, a strong Bullish Engulfing candlestick formed, reclaiming the 1.0350 support level. Yesterday, this support was confirmed again, leaving a continuation Pin Bar on the daily chart. Adding to this bullish picture, the price also broke above the falling trend line, signaling a well-structured bullish setup. Currently, the bulls have the upper hand. If the price manages to break above the horizontal resistance at 1.0440, the path should be clear for a rise toward the 1.06 zone. In conclusion, buying on dips appears to be the ideal strategy, with invalidation of this setup occurring if the price falls below 1.03. Longby Mihai_Iacob4
EURUSD: Market of Sellers Looking at the chart of EURUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Shortby UnitedSignals115
EUR/USD SELL $$$ Today we have important news for Europe and America and this makes trading a little more difficult for today. The Euro has reached its daily resistance area and liquidity has gathered the Asian ceiling. Now we have to wait for the breakdown of the last 15-minute uptrend downwards. In the order block area formed, the factor of the breakdown of the 15-minute area. We wait for the confirmation of 5 or 3 minutes to the 1-hour support areas and the Asian floor and 1-hour liquidity. Save profit on each of these areas. Because there is a possibility of a return to the top. FOLLOW FOR MORE DAILY ANALYSIS.Shortby aryaaparsii5
EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure. 3️⃣ 🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range. 🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High. 3️⃣ 🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves. 🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.by Amr-Sadek4
EURUD TRADE IDEACertainly, here's a paragraph summarizing the technical analysis of the EUR/USD trade idea based on the provided chart: The EUR/USD chart exhibits a clear downward trend since 2020, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. A descending channel pattern has formed, with the price currently trading within its boundaries. Key resistance levels are observed at 1.11973, 1.09362, and 1.08758, while support levels are seen at 1.02669, 1.00000, and 0.98210. Given the prevailing downtrend and the descending channel, a short trade could be considered. A short entry could be triggered upon a break below the lower trendline of the channel. A stop-loss order should be placed above the recent swing high, and the profit target could be set at the 0.98210 support level or the lower boundary of a demand zone. It is crucial to conduct thorough research, consult with a financial advisor, and implement proper risk management strategies before entering any trade.Shortby mpesiKarabo3
Long area for Euro/USDPossible long setup for a continuation of the bullish intentions from the demand zone.Longby ramon_markiewitz2