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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1774 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1792 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
#AN015: TRUMP-PUTIN Phone Call and July 4th, Markets Closed In an unexpected phone call on the sidelines of the American Independence Day, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump – in the midst of the campaign for his potential re-election – had a confidential conversation that quickly captured the attention of global markets, even on a day when Wall Street was closed. Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the latest news of these hours. I would like to thank in advance our Official Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE for the support in creating this article. 📉 Wall Street closed, but Forex is always open While the US stock markets remain closed for the July 4th holiday, the currency market – by its nature decentralized and global – never stops completely. And it is precisely in these moments of low liquidity that geopolitical moves can have an amplified impact. ☎️ What did Putin and Trump say to each other? Official sources speak of a “cordial discussion” on global security issues, Ukraine, and the future of US-Russia energy relations. However, according to leaks from Moscow, Putin has expressed openness to a new energy negotiation in the event of Trump’s return to the White House. Translated into Forex language? This could mean: Lower geopolitical risk on USD in the long term (Trump is seen as more in favor of dialogue with Moscow) Pressure on Euro if negotiations with Russia are diverted to a Washington-Moscow axis Temporary strength of RUB in case of glimmers of easing of energy sanctions 📊 Impact on key currency crosses Comparing the post-news movements on some crosses: USD/RUB: flat for now, but ready to jump over the weekend if confirmations arrive EUR/USD: latent weakness, also due to the decline in ISM and the resilience of European inflation USD/JPY: stable, but with pro-dollar sentiment in the background (Trump is perceived as economically dovish) ⏱️ What to expect in the next 24 hours? With liquidity recovering already since tonight (Tokyo), markets could start to price in the geopolitical narrative of Trump's return. This scenario favors: USD slightly stronger in the short term Watch out for false breakouts on low volatility (typical of July 4th)
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
The Day Ahead Major Economic Data: US: ISM Manufacturing (June) and JOLTS job openings (May) – Key for Fed rate cut outlook. Construction spending and vehicle sales – Insight into economic strength. Dallas Fed services – Regional business sentiment check. China: Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June) – Watch for signs of continued slowdown. Japan: Tankan Survey (Q2) – Key business sentiment data; may influence BoJ policy. Eurozone: June CPI (inflation) – Crucial for ECB’s rate path. Germany unemployment, Italy PMI, budget, and car sales – Regional economic health indicators. Central Bank Highlights: ECB Sintra Forum Panel: Features Powell (Fed), Lagarde (ECB), Ueda (BoJ), Bailey (BoE). Markets will watch for any policy shift signals or divergence in rate outlooks. Other ECB Speakers: Guindos, Schnabel, Elderson – may give more hints on inflation and rate moves. ECB Consumer Survey: Offers insight into household inflation expectations. Market View: US data may push Fed closer to rate cuts if weak. Eurozone inflation will guide ECB stance. China’s PMI is a global growth signal. Central bank talks at Sintra are key for global rate outlook. Overall: Markets are on edge awaiting clarity on growth, inflation, and rate paths. Expect possible moves in FX, yields, and equities depending on the data and central bank tone. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Lingrid | EURUSD Pullback - Continuation Trading OpportunityFX:EURUSD is consolidating above the upward trendline after forming a higher high and pulling back toward dynamic support. Price structure remains bullish within the rising channel, and a rebound from the 1.1640–1.1700 zone could trigger the next leg higher. If bulls regain momentum, the pair may aim for the 1.1850 resistance ceiling within the target area. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 1.1640–1.1700 Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.1640 Target: 1.1850 Buy trigger: breakout and retest above 1.1750 with strong momentum 💡 Risks Breakdown below the upward channel may signal a broader reversal Weak bullish reaction from trendline could stall upside progress Failure to reclaim 1.1750 resistance keeps price vulnerable to deeper pullbacks If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
10
EURUSD: focus on jobs dataThe major macro data for this week, the PCE indicator, was posted on Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index, Feds favorite inflation gauge, increased by 0,1% in May, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market expectations. The core PCE was a bit higher than anticipated, at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,7% for the year. A bit surprising figures came from Personal Income in May, which dropped by -0,4%, while the Personal Spending was down by -0,1% in May. Analysts are noting that implemented trade tariffs are slowly beginning to reflect in the personal spending of the US citizens. Also, this sort of potential development was noted by the Fed during the last two FOMC meetings. The rest of posted macro data for the US included the Existing Home Sales in May reached 4,03M, which was an increase of 0,8% on a monthly basis. This was significantly above the market estimate of -1,3%. The Durable Goods Orders in May were higher by 16,4%, surpassing the market estimate of 8,5%. The GDP Growth Rate final for Q1was standing in a negative territory of -0,5% for the quarter, and was higher from market expectation of -0,2%. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures final for June, which was standing at 60,7 and was in line with estimates. The Inflation Expectations were a bit higher from the previous estimate, ending the June with expected 5% inflation, while the market was expecting to see 5,1%. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for June in Germany was standing at the level of 49, while the same index for the Euro Zone reached 49,4. Both indicators were in line with market expectations. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in June reached 88,4, in line with market estimates. The GfK Consumer Confidence in July was at the level of -20,3, a bit higher from estimated -19,3. The eurusd was traded with a bullish sentiment during the previous week. The currency pair started the week around the level of 1,1460 and continued toward the upside for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level at 1,1741 was reached in Friday's trading session. The RSI reached the clear overbought market side as of the end of the week, at the level of 71. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross is near. The market favored the euro during the last two weeks. It comes as a result of insecurity when it comes to potential negative impact of implemented trade tariffs, which are slowly revealing in the US economy. The week ahead brings more jobs data, including JOLTs, NFP and unemployment rate, which will shape the investors sentiment. Some increased volatility might be ahead. The resistance level at 1,17 has been clearly tested during the previous week, and it will mark the beginning of the week ahead. The RSI is pointing to a higher probability of a short term reversal in the coming period, which might occur in the week ahead, impacted, most probably, by jobs data. In case of a reversal, the level of 1,1620 might easily be the next target. On the opposite side, there is a lower probability of a further move above the 1,17 level, however, the market might spend some time here, before a decision to make further move. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Retail Sales in May in Germany, Inflation Rate preliminary in June for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment Rate in June in Germany, USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI in June, JOLTs Job Openings in May, Non-farm Payrolls in June, Unemployment rate in June, Average Hourly Earnings and Spending, ISM Services PMI in June
by XBTFX
EUR/USD Could Take Off From Here! Strategic SetupHi traders! , Analyzing EUR/USD on the 30 minute timeframe, price is currently reacting from a strong support zone near 1.1696, showing potential for a bullish rebound after a sharp drop. 🔹 Entry: 1.1696 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.1770 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.1621 After a strong downside move, EUR/USD is attempting a recovery from a key intraday support area. The RSI is bouncing from oversold conditions (around 34), indicating a possible short-term shift in momentum. Price is also approaching the 200 EMA from below, and a break above could confirm bullish continuation toward the 1.1770 resistance zone. The setup offers a solid risk-reward ratio and aligns with mean reversion expectations. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own decisions and risk management.
Long
by FXOnTop
EUR/USD Slides Below 1.1720 - Dovish Euro Data and Hawkish FedThe euro continued to retreat against the U.S. dollar in Tuesday’s European session, with FOREXCOM:EURUSD falling to 1.17163, pressured by weakening Eurozone fundamentals and renewed U.S. dollar strength. Technically, the pair has broken below a short-term support zone around 1.1745, marking a clear shift toward bearish momentum. Price action on the 4-hour chart shows a rejection from the 1.1773 resistance zone last week, forming a descending pattern as sellers gained control. Multiple indicators confirm the downward bias. The MACD (19,39,29) and MACD (12,26,9) are both printing bearish crossovers, with declining histograms indicating increasing downside momentum. Meanwhile, the JoeChalhoub_FXForecaster V1, a custom indicator, shows fading bullish pressure with histogram bars turning pink and gradually weakening. The non-repainting version supports the same trend, reflecting reduced bullish participation. Adding to the technical signals, the OsMA oscillator remains negative and is steadily declining, underscoring the persistent bearish sentiment. On the fundamental side, pressure on the euro increased after this morning’s German Industrial Production data missed expectations, further reinforcing concerns about stagnation in Germany. This comes amid ongoing dovish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB), which is widely expected to maintain a cautious stance through Q3. In contrast, the U.S. dollar is gaining ground as investors respond to Friday’s robust Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and increasingly hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials. The central bank has hinted at the possibility of additional rate hikes should inflation remain sticky, widening the policy divergence between the Fed and the ECB. Key support levels for EUR/USD are now seen at 1.16890, followed by a critical zone at 1.16184. A break below these areas could open the door toward the 1.15230 region in the coming sessions. On the upside, resistance lies at 1.17498 and 1.17730. Outlook: The path of least resistance for EUR/USD remains lower in the short term. Unless upcoming data reverses the current macro narrative, the euro may remain on the defensive. Current Trade Status Opened - 7/7 @ 7:51 PM - 1.17043 Target - 1.16184 SL - 1.18289 Current Trading Account Status - (-0.007%) This is not trading advice. You should always perform your own research and technical analysis before opening a position.
Short
by jk13204
EURUSD Setup Scenario A – Bearish Continuation: 🔻 Sell near 1.17300–1.17340 (Resistance Zone) 🎯 Target: 1.17200 or lower 📉 Stop Loss: Above 1.17350 Scenario B – Bullish Breakout: 🔼 Buy if price breaks above 1.17350 with volume 🎯 Target: Next resistance zone (e.g., 1.17450 or more) 📉 Stop Loss: Below 1.17280 🧠 Summary: Market is consolidating after a drop. Watching for breakout above resistance or breakdown below support for next move. Currently, the bias is slightly bearish, but breakout scenarios must be monitored.
Short
by Harry_Megat
EURUSD: New-Week Technical Bias (Market Open)Multi-Timeframe Structural Outlook: Higher Timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, Daily): Market structure remains in a clear Ascend Sequence, reflecting an intact Buy-Side Bias Environment (BBE). Price action continues to build bullish structure, supporting an overall upward lean. Lower Timeframe Technical Snapshot: 4H & 1H: Current price consolidates within a well-defined Value Compression Phase (VCP) between 1.8297 – 1.7078, signaling temporary indecision and mixed short-term directional clarity. Liquidity Mechanics & Trap Dynamics: Recent Sweep Event targeting 1.7470 exploited a Trap Vector (TV), drawing price below perceived support to tap into underlying liquidity pockets within both a Price Inefficiency Zone (PIZ) and Bid Accumulation Zone (BAZ). Following this engineered sweep, price reversed, validating hidden bullish intent beneath the range. Order Clustering Targets: Expect clustered liquidity and potential price magnet zones at 1.8097 and 1.8192, representing logical upside attractions aligned with orderflow objectives. Reaction Points: VCP High (1.8297): Break and sustained acceptance above signals potential Ascend Sequence continuation and broader bullish resumption. VCP Low (1.7078): Breakdown with intent below increases probability of a Trend Signature Shift (TSS), signaling bearish structure vulnerability and potential trend deterioration. Summary: Bullish on HT structures remains valid, but short-term bias is mixed pending confirmed resolution of the VCP range boundaries. Price behavior at the highs/lows of the compression zone will dictate next directional conviction.
by Olamitrades1
EUR/USD - Bullish Bias with Key S/R Level | TCB StrategyEUR/USD - Bullish Bias with Key Support and Resistance Levels | TCB Strategy Trend: The overall trend is bullish, with EUR/USD respecting an ascending channel. The market remains in a clear uptrend on higher timeframes, favoring long positions unless resistance is broken. Key Levels: Support: 1.1750–1.1770 (bullish bias if price holds here). Resistance: 1.1800–1.1820 (possible short if price fails to break). Action Plan: Long Setup: Look for a bullish reversal pattern near 1.1750–1.1770 (solid support). Targets: 1.1800–1.1820. Short Setup: If the price fails to break 1.1800–1.1820 and shows a rejection, consider a countertrend short targeting 1.1750. Breakout Setup: If 1.1820 is broken with momentum, look for a retest and continuation towards 1.1850–1.1900. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Below 1.1750 for long trades, above 1.1820 for short trades. Risk/Reward: Favorable 1:2 or 1:3 R:R ratio based on your setup. TCB Checklist Score: 83% Trend Setup: 10/10 Countertrend Setup: 7/10 Breakout Setup: 6/10 Risk Management: 9/10 Target Setting: 8/10 External Factors: 10/10 Overall Score: 50/60 = 83% Fundamental Backing for EUR/USD Bullish Bias: ECB vs. Fed Divergence: The Fed’s hawkish policy may be nearing its peak, while the ECB continues to tighten to combat inflation, favoring the euro over the USD. As the ECB remains more aggressive than the Fed, this could keep EUR/USD supported. U.S. Economic Data: If U.S. economic data continues to underperform (e.g., weaker GDP, jobless claims, or inflation reports), it would put downward pressure on the USD, supporting a bullish EUR/USD outlook. Eurozone Economic Resilience: The Eurozone has shown solid economic growth despite global challenges, with nations like Germany and France demonstrating resilience. This strengthens the EUR against a potentially weaker USD. Geopolitical Factors: While the Russia-Ukraine war is ongoing, the EU’s resilience to the energy crisis and the gradual improvement in global risk sentiment could support the euro in the medium-term. Global Risk Sentiment: Risk-on sentiment could benefit higher-yielding assets like the euro, especially against a USD that could face weakening pressures from an economic slowdown. This setup is solid but requires further confirmation. The bullish trend supports a long bias, but be alert to potential rejections at resistance or breakouts that could push EUR/USD higher. #EURUSD #TCBStrategy #ForexTrading #Breakout #TrendFollowing #Countertrend #TradingView #ForexAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #BullishBias #ForexTraders
Long
by J1000PIPSfx