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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD - Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD recently retraced into a key demand zone where a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligned perfectly with the golden pocket (between 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci levels). This confluence provided a high-probability setup for a bullish reaction. After testing this level, price rebounded sharply, confirming that buyers are still active and protecting discounted imbalances. Imbalance Reaction and Demand Strength The initial bounce from the 4H FVG was clean, with price quickly reclaiming structure and leaving behind a fresh series of upside imbalances. These newly formed gaps are now being respected on smaller retracements, showing that the market is still imbalanced to the upside and that buyers are stepping in early during pullbacks. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios As long as price continues to respect these imbalances, the short-term outlook remains bullish. The next major test lies at the resistance zone around 1.14000, which previously caused a sharp rejection. A minor reaction is expected there, but if the market maintains bullish momentum, we could see a clean break above that level. A failure to hold above the smaller imbalances near 1.12800 would be the first sign of weakness and could open the door for a deeper retracement back into the original 4H FVG. Price Target and Expectations If the current structure holds, I expect price to push into the 1.14000 resistance zone and eventually aim for the 1.15270 level as the next major liquidity target. The current price action shows a healthy series of higher highs and higher lows, supported by imbalances being filled and respected, suggesting further upside continuation. Conclusion EURUSD is showing clean bullish structure following a textbook reaction from the 4H imbalance and golden pocket zone. As long as the market continues to respect the newly formed imbalances, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Eyes are now on the resistance zone for signs of either rejection or breakout continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
95
EUR/USD CHART PATTERN.MY EUR/USD trade setup based on the 2-hour chart pattern: 🔻 Trade Type: Short (Sell) Entry: 1.13500 Resistance (Invalidation / Strong Resistance): 1.14140 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 1.11300 🎯 Target 2 (Final): 1.10675 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Overview Target Reward (pips) Risk (pips) R:R Ratio 1st Target 220 64 3.44 2nd Target 282.5 64 4.41 🔹 Risk (in pips) = Resistance – Entry = 1.14140 – 1.13500 = 64 pips 🔹 Reward to 1st target = 220 pips 🔹 Reward to final target = 282.5 pips 📉 Chart Pattern Assumptions You mentioned a 2H pattern—though you didn’t specify, based on price action this could be: Bearish flag, double top, or rising wedge breakdown near resistance. ✅ Summary: Excellent risk-reward profile Tight resistance for SL Targets are realistic if momentum shifts lower Consider partial TP at 1.11300 and trail stop to breakeven for 1.10675
Short
by Money_Magnet5
25
EURUSD - Potential Bearish ContinuationEURUSD recently tapped into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap, aligning perfectly with a prior liquidity sweep just above the recent swing high. This zone acted as a magnet for buy-side liquidity, and price reacted sharply once that liquidity was taken out. The rejection confirms this area was used by larger players to offload positions rather than push higher. Rejection and Structure Shift After the sweep and tap into the FVG, we saw an immediate and aggressive bearish reaction, signaling a clear rejection of higher prices. Momentum flipped decisively, breaking smaller structural points on the way down. The rejection is not just technical, it’s reactive, showing that the intent was never to sustain the breakout. Break of Support Zone and Bearish Setup Price is now testing the critical mid-range structure marked in red. This zone previously held as support multiple times, but it is now under pressure. If we get a clean 4H close below this area, it confirms a market structure shift and opens the door for further downside. Bearish Target and Liquidity Zone Below If the break confirms, the next logical move would be a push down into the broader support area below. That zone holds untapped liquidity and marks the base of the recent rally. A sweep of those lows would align perfectly with the narrative of a failed breakout, followed by a deeper correction. Conclusion The rejection from the 4H Fair Value Gap, combined with a liquidity sweep and a pending structure break, builds a clean bearish case. A confirmed close below the marked zone would shift this into a continuation setup, with expectations for a move toward the lower support and a potential sweep of the lows. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
65
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. 1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume 2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Fundamental Updates : Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
24
EUR/USD4H Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection with 3:1 RRR🔷 Trend Overview 📈 Price was in a rising channel (trend line + support line). ❌ Channel broken on downside → potential trend reversal. 🟧 🔼 Supply Zone (Sell Area) 📍 Zone: 1.13707 – 1.14432 🟠 Price faced rejection here. 💡 Institutional selling likely in this zone. 🔥 This is the ideal short-entry area. 🟦 🔽 Entry Point 🎯 Entry: Around 1.13694 🧩 Sits just below supply zone = safer trigger. ✅ Wait for a bearish confirmation candle before entering. 🟨 Support Level 📉 Support Zone: ~1.13100 – 1.13400 📊 Recently broken with a strong bearish candle. 🧱 Used to act as a floor, now may act as resistance. 🟩 🎯 Target Point ✅ Take Profit: 1.10970 📎 Matches previous structure support. 💰 Lock in profits before the psychological level at 1.1100. 🟥 ⛔ Stop Loss ❌ Stop: 1.14419 📏 Placed above the supply zone for protection. 🛡️ Shields from false breakouts or spikes. ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 💡 Approx. 3:1 ✅ 📉 Risk: ~70 pips 📈 Reward: ~270 pips 🔥 High-probability setup 📌 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – 70) 📍 EMA 70 at 1.13102 🔻 Price is below the EMA → favors bearish momentum 🧠 Pro Tips: 🔍 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles at the entry zone. 🗓️ Be aware of major news events (ECB, Fed). 🧮 Adjust lot size for risk management (based on SL size). ✅ Summary: 🧩 Element 📊 Value Trade Type 🔻 Short (Sell) Entry Point 📌 1.13694 Stop Loss ⛔ 1.14419 Take Profit 🎯 1.10970 RRR ⚖️ ~3:1 Sentiment 📉 Bearish
Short
by Jameshead007
37
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now. The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time. We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week. We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions. We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content. Cheers, Team Setupsfx ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
28
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 I Target CLS 1I2 LowsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Short
by David_Perk
13
EURO - Price can boucne up of pennant, breaking resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago, price entered to pennant pattern, where it at once bounced up from support line and reached $1.0850 level. Next, it broke this level and continued to grow to resistance level, and when Euro reached it, price broke it. But, after price reached resistance line of pennant, it started to decline and soon broke $1.1380 level one more time. Price fell to support line of pennant and then turned around and, in a short time rose to resistance area. After this, price fell to support line of pennant, but recently started to grow and now trades near resistance level. I believe Euro can correct slightly and then launch upward toward $1.1600, breaking resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by WalterMoon
24
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
25
Stronger U.S. JOLTS Data Pressures EURUSD!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) failed to break the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424) and started to fall again , breaking the Support lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave X of the Double Three Correction(WXY) structure . Just moments ago, the U.S. JOLTS Job Openings data was released. ------------------------------- Actual: 7.39M Forecast: 7.11M Previous: 7.19M The stronger-than-expected JOLTS figure at 7.39 million signals a resilient labor market. This reduces recession fears and increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer. Bullish for the U.S. Dollar( TVC:DXY ) Bearish pressure could hit EURUSD, especially if it's approaching the key resistance zone. ------------------------------- I expect EURUSD to start to fall again after the pullback to the Support lines and to fall to the targets I have specified on the chart. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14580(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect a failure of the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
14
Lingrid | EURUSD Bullish Trendline Breakout. Potential LongFX:EURUSD continues to build strength above the 1.13720 resistance-turned-support line, supported by the upward channel structure. The pair is squeezing between the ascending trendline and the descending blue trendline, with higher lows signaling steady bullish pressure. A confirmed breakout above 1.14400 would likely trigger a move toward the 1.15700 target level inside the resistance zone. Price action favors bulls while the channel base holds. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 1.13720–1.14000 Buy trigger: breakout above 1.14400 Target: 1.15700 Sell trigger: close below 1.13720 💡 Risks A rejection from the downward trendline could trap breakout buyers Choppy behavior within the wedge may cause false signals Broader dollar strength could cap gains if macro data shifts unexpectedly Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
15
Euro will rise to seller zone and then drop to support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. At first, price was moving inside a downward channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. Each rejection from the resistance line pushed the price lower, and the structure remained bearish until the price reached the buyer zone near 1.1210 - 1.1185 points. A strong rebound from this area triggered a breakout from the channel, signaling a shift in market dynamics. After this breakout, the trend reversed and price started forming an upward channel, with clean impulses and structured corrections. Bulls began stepping in from higher support levels, and the market started respecting the new rising support and resistance lines. Now the price is approaching the seller zone at 1.1435 - 1.1460 points and has already shown signs of rejection from that area. Given this setup, I believe EURUSD may start to decline and fall back toward the support line of the upward channel. That’s why I’ve placed my TP at 1.1325 points, which aligns with the channel's support structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
11
EUR/USD Potential longs to the upsideEU Weekly Outlook — Bullish Pro-Trend Setup in Focus This week, my EU analysis is centered around the pro-trend movement to the upside. Price has recently broken structure and in doing so, has left behind clean demand zones on the 5H and 3H timeframes. I’ll be watching closely to see when price decides to mitigate these levels for a potential long setup. Since price is still a bit far from these zones, short-term sells may be possible, but with no strong nearby supply, I’ll be staying patient and letting price action guide me. The key is to avoid marrying any one bias and remain adaptable. Confluences for EU Buys: - Strong bullish structure on higher timeframes - Clean and unmitigated 5H and 3H demand zones - Plenty of liquidity above, including Asia highs - This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with market flow - DXY analysis supports a bullish EU outlook P.S. If price shifts and breaks structure to the downside, then we could consider short-term sell setups — but for now, I’m focused on the long opportunity forming from demand. Have a great trading week and stay sharp! 🧠💹
Long
by Hassan_fx
5
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. Correction?FX:EURUSD is strengthening amid a decline in the dollar, but the currency pair is encountering strong resistance and forming a false breakout, which could trigger a correction. EURUSD is testing the resistance range as part of a distribution and forming a false breakout. The market structure is bullish, with the price breaking through local resistance and updating its high. The inability to continue growth and price consolidation below 1.1418 may trigger a correction. The dollar is also hitting support and may form a small correction, which will put pressure on EURUSD Resistance levels: 1.14246, 1.1418 Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343 If the currency pair fails to consolidate above 1.14246 during the resistance retest in order to continue its growth, then we can expect price consolidation below this level to open a short position. The correction may reach the specified support zones before continuing its growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
EUR/USD - Sweeping the highs, retracement following?The EUR/USD has experienced a steep and aggressive bullish run today, showing strong upward momentum across multiple timeframes. This impulsive move has led to a sweep of the recent highs, taking out key liquidity levels that were resting above previous swing points. In the context of smart money concepts and institutional trading models, such a move typically signifies the activation of buy-side liquidity, where stop-loss orders and breakout entries are triggered above a well-defined high. This behavior is often engineered by larger market participants to fulfill liquidity objectives before potentially reversing or retracing. During this strong bullish leg, the EUR/USD left behind a noticeable imbalance, commonly referred to as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the lower timeframes. This imbalance reflects an area where price moved too rapidly, leaving behind unfilled orders and creating a price inefficiency. Specifically, an FVG remains open around the 1.13700 level, a zone that was bypassed during the impulsive rally and now stands as a likely magnet for price in the near term. These imbalances are significant because price tends to revisit them to seek equilibrium and fill in the inefficient areas, especially after a major liquidity grab. The sweep of the highs was a classic liquidity-taking event. When price runs above a prominent high, especially one that's visible on higher timeframes like the 4H or daily, it often signals that buy stops (retail breakout entries or protective stops) have been targeted. Once these stops are taken, there is typically a shift in market behavior. The aggressive buyers have been filled, and institutional players may look to reverse or retrace price toward areas of unfilled orders, such as the aforementioned FVG. The market often transitions from a state of expansion (impulse move) to a state of rebalancing or consolidation, which opens the door for a pullback. Given that the liquidity above the highs has been taken and that the 1.13700 gap remains unmitigated, it becomes increasingly likely that EUR/USD will begin a retracement. This corrective move would serve to rebalance the price, revisit the inefficiency, and potentially test the validity of any newly-formed demand zones. From a technical standpoint, this area is crucial, not only because of the gap itself but also due to its positioning in relation to prior market structure. In summary, today’s bullish extension in EUR/USD accomplished a major liquidity objective by sweeping the highs. However, the move left behind a significant imbalance at 1.13700, suggesting that the pair could be due for a corrective pullback to fill the gap. Traders should monitor lower timeframes for signs of distribution, potential shifts in market structure, or bearish order blocks forming after the sweep. All of these could provide clues that the market is preparing to return to the gap and restore price efficiency. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
16
Euro can reach resistance line of pennant and then dropHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price of the Euro had been gradually declining, forming a series of lower highs and finding support around the 1.1070 - 1.1025 buyer zone. This pullback created the groundwork for a new structure to form as volatility narrowed and momentum shifted. After reaching a local bottom, the market rebounded and began constructing an upward pennant, a classic consolidation pattern that often precedes continuation or reversal, depending on breakout direction. Within this pennant, price respected both trendlines, each approach to the upper resistance was followed by a rejection, and each touch of the support line triggered a bounce. Now, the Euro is moving closer to the resistance line of the pennant once again. Given the overall structure, proximity to the 1.1415 resistance level, and prior reactions from the seller zone, I think the Euro can reach the top boundary and then continue to decline, potentially breaking below the pattern. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1150 points, targeting a move toward the support level and exit from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
7
EURUSD 15 MIN Long📊 EUR/USD Smart Money Concept Trade Idea – 15-Minute Chart This setup highlights a textbook example of how market structure, liquidity grabs, and Fibonacci confluence can provide high-probability trade setups. 🔍 Breakdown: Support Respected (Left Side) Price previously respected a key support zone, leading to a strong bullish impulse. Previous Support → Resistance Flip Once price revisited this zone (marked in red), it failed to hold, indicating a shift in sentiment. This became a liquidity zone where early buyers got trapped. Liquidity Grab (Red Line) Notice how price dipped below the previous swing low, triggering stop-losses from buyers. This is a liquidity grab, a classic smart money move to fuel large buy orders. Structure Shift (Green Label) After the liquidity grab, price formed a higher high, indicating a potential shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. 50% Fibonacci Level (Green Line) The price then retraced perfectly to the 50% Fibonacci level of the bullish leg post-liquidity grab – a golden zone often used by institutions for entries. Re-Entry After Pullback The retracement to the 50 FIB level after the structure shift provided a low-risk, high-reward long opportunity, targeting the previous liquidity zone (blue line) as take-profit. Target & Stop Placement Entry: Around the 50 FIB level Stop: Below the liquidity grab low Take Profit: Near the previous liquidity zone (marked in blue), where many sell-side stops likely sit
Long
by bennymusters94
5
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.1432 (21 SMA-6/8 MurrayEUR/USD is trading around 1.1410, below the Murray 6/8 level and within the uptrend channel formed on May 9. The instrument has an area where buyers have found it easier to take profits around 1.1476. This level could be a barrier for the euro, and from there we could expect a technical correction. If the bullish force prevails, the euro could reach the top of the uptrend channel around 1.1474 and even the psychological level of 1.1500. Technically, we observe that the euro is overbought and there could be a technical correction in the coming days, as crucial data from the United States will be released later this week, which could generate strong volatility in the market. The indicator is showing a negative signal, so if an additional upward movement occurs above the current price, we could consider selling as long as the instrument consolidates below 1.1500.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
10
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.1360 (21SMA-5/8 Murray Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.1340 and is experiencing a strong technical rebound after reaching the 4/8 Murray level at 1.1230. The euro could rise in the coming hours, but it faces strong resistance around 1.1352. This level could provide a key opportunity to resume selling. It the euro falls below the 21SMA at 1.1326 or below the 5/8 Murray level, we could expect a technical correction and could reach the 4/8 Murray level at 1.1240 and even fill the gap it left around 1.1168. The indicator is showing a negative signal, however, we could expect a recovery in the euro in the coming hours, before it could fall again.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
8
EURUSD: Technical Bearish Outlook EURUSD: Technical Bearish Outlook EURUSD displays a Head & Shoulders pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. Lately the price created a deep correction by showig a potential WXZXY pattern, suggesting a potential corrective structure before further downside. Bearish Targets: 1.1230 – First major support level 1.1100 – Possible second target 1.1000 – A deeper correction point 1.0900 – Strong structural support Fundamental Impact: The main focus should be on the Trump administration, which wants countries to offer their best offer for trade negotiations by Wednesday. This will create a real mess for better or worse and should bring high market volatility. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
5
EUR/USD) Bearish breakout analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, likely projecting a short-term downward move. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis and the trade idea: --- Key Elements in the Chart: 1. Bearish Rejection from Resistance: Price was rejected twice near the 1.14400 resistance zone (highlighted in yellow). The red arrows mark double rejection at this level, suggesting strong selling pressure. 2. Break of Rising Channel: Price was previously moving inside a rising channel. Recent price action shows a clear breakdown below the lower trendline, indicating trend reversal. 3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): EMA is around 1.13188 and price is below it, reinforcing bearish momentum. EMA also acted as dynamic resistance after the channel breakdown. 4. Target Zone – Support Area: The yellow support zone around 1.10911 is the target point. This was a previous area of price consolidation and demand. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is near 51, hovering around the neutral zone. Not strongly bearish yet, but room remains to drop toward oversold if the downtrend continues. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Scenario: Price has broken a key structure and is retesting the breakdown. Expect continuation toward the 1.10900 support zone. Entry Zone: Near current price (~1.13400–1.13500), ideally on a retest of the EMA or broken trendline. Target: 1.10911 (highlighted support level). Stop-Loss (Invalidation): A break and close back above the resistance zone (~1.14000–1.14200). Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: This is a high-probability bearish setup following a structure break, retest, and double top rejection. It targets a move back down toward a previously strong support level, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
10