USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.14182 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.14050..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The Day Ahed🇺🇸 United States
May Jobs Report: Expected to show 125,000 new jobs (vs. 177,000 in April); unemployment rate likely steady at 4.2%. Slower hiring may reflect effects of trade tensions.
April Consumer Credit: Will reveal household borrowing trends. "Buy Now, Pay Later" usage is up, especially among younger, wealthier consumers. Consumer stress rising.
🇯🇵 Japan
April Household Spending: Fell 0.1% YoY, below expectations (+1.4%). Inflation outpaced wage growth, curbing spending.
Leading Economic Index: Fell 0.7%, pointing to a potential slowdown due to weak new orders and U.S. trade policy uncertainty.
Coincident Index: Up 0.1% in January, but down 0.4% over six months—indicates stagnating current economic activity.
🇩🇪 Germany
April Industrial Production: Rose 0.3% MoM, rebounding after a sharp March decline. Industrial and mining sectors showed improvement.
Trade Balance: Data awaited. Recent uptick in orders (+0.6% in April) suggests signs of manufacturing recovery.
🇫🇷 France
Trade Balance & Current Account: April data pending. In recent months, the current account deficit narrowed due to reduced goods imports.
Industrial Production: Will provide further insight into economic activity.
🇪🇺 Eurozone
April Retail Sales: Scheduled for release. Will indicate regional consumer spending strength.
🇨🇦 Canada
May Jobs Report: Will offer a snapshot of labor market health amid economic uncertainty.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD HTF IOF continuationEURUSD is currently in the sell side of the SMR model as price swept the Previous Month High , and a classic example of SMR has taken place.
Draw on liquidity is the deeply discounted H4 Unmitigated Bullish OB found at the 70.5% fib .
I Believe that Price will either reach the D.O.L through NFP news release , or price will continue retracing to the POI prior to news release
I believe L.O.M should be set here , followed by a continued bulls rally following HTF IOF.
EURO - Price can make movement up and then drop to $1.1100 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price declined inside a falling channel, where it fell to $1.0735 points and then made an upward impulse.
Price exited from channel and reached $1.1100 level, which it soon broke it and continued to move up.
Later Euro rose to $1.1425 points, and then made a correction, after which, in a short time, price rose higher this level.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline, breaking $1.1425 level again and entered to flat.
In flat, Euro bounced from $1.1100 level and started to grow inside a flat, and later rose to resistance level.
Recently price started to decline, so I expect that Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline to $1.1100 level.
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Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Long📍 Entry (Buy Limit):
1.1085
This is just above the 1.1000 psychological level but below previous minor structure at 1.1100.
Captures a shallow retest without risking being front-run by liquidity sweeps.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
1.0910
Below consolidation zone and wicks around 1.10
Provides enough space beneath the major breakout level while staying tight for R:R
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1500 (Previous weekly resistance, already tested but not broken)
TP2: 1.2000 (Next clean monthly structure level)
TP3 (macro): 1.2400 (Upper range of long-term channel, highly reactive zone)
⚖️ Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~175 pips
Reward:
• TP1: ~415 pips
• TP2: ~915 pips
• TP3: ~1,315 pips
R:R = 2.4 to 1, 5.2 to 1, 7.5 to 1
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.13800.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the support.
Pivot: 1.1424
1st Support: 1.1237
1st Resistance: 1.1555
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Trading Signals for EUR/USD Sell below 1.12907 (200 EMA-21 SMA)Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.12640 within the uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart since May 9 and showing signs of exhaustion.
If the euro continues its bullish cycle, we could expect a break and consolidation above 1.1354, then it could reach the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1475.
Technically, we observe that the euro is overbought, and the chart shows a small secondary downtrend channel, which will be viewed as a selling opportunity in the coming days.
The euro could attempt to recover in the coming hours as we see a small technical rebound. However, it faces strong resistance around 1.1354. Below this area, any technical rebound will be viewed as a selling opportunity, with short-term targets around the psychological level of 1.1000.
A sharp break of the uptrend channel and consolidation below the 6/8 Murray level could confirm the next bearish move and could fill the gap left at 1.1162 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level at 1.0986.
Bullish Breakout in EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch This WeekHi everyone,
EUR/USD had a strong week, climbing higher from the May 12 low and further reinforcing our view of a potential long-term bullish trend.
We anticipate further upside towards the 1.13768–1.13940 zone, followed by a possible pullback toward the 1.1200 area. We’ll share more updates on the expected path for EUR/USD if and when price reaches that zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, as long as price holds above the 1.10649 support.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD 15M | Bullish BAT Pattern | EURUSD | FOREXA precise Bullish BAT pattern has completed at point D (near 0.886 XA retracement), signaling a potential reversal from this harmonic support zone.
Entry Zone: 1.13415
Stop Loss: 1.13216
🔹 You can set your own profit target based on your preferred risk-reward ratio.
🟢 Watch for bullish confirmation at D. If held, this could trigger a strong intraday bounce. Structure + pattern = high-probability reversal zone.
Bearish Momentum Builds on Hourly EUR/USD ChartThe EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a short-term trend reversal, with technical indicators turning decisively bearish on the H1 timeframe. After a sustained uptrend, the pair has broken below a key ascending trendline around the 1.04060 area.
As of 11:00 AM 6/3/2025, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1391, down from recent highs near 1.1450. The breakdown comes amid weakening momentum, as confirmed by multiple technical tools.
Indicators Confirm Bearish Shift
The MACD (12,26,9) and MACD (19,39,9) indicators have both printed bearish crossovers, with expanding negative histograms, suggesting downward momentum is strengthening.
Meanwhile, the Momentum (50) indicator hovers just above the neutral 100 level, offering a potential clue of ongoing weakness unless a sharp rebound occurs.
Bearish Trading Setup
My EUR/USD position is currently short with initial downside soft targets at 1.1350, followed by 1.1280 if bearish pressure accelerates. A break above 1.1445 would invalidate bearish setups and shift focus back to the upside.
Technical Summary:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Opened 6/3/2025 5:03 am USA Eastern at 1.14060 (MT4)
Trade Invalidation: 1.1445
Soft Targets: 1.1350, then 1.1280
Hard Target: None. Holding until MACD (19,39,9) reversal.
The technical landscape suggests traders should remain cautious on long positions unless the pair reclaims the 1.1445 resistance zone. Until then, the bears appear to be in control.
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The above is an analysis of what I see using my own technical setup and is not investment advice.
XAU/USD: Ready for another Decline? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.132. If it manages to hold below 1.14, I expect further downside. The bearish targets are 1.12790, 1.11800, 1.10700, and 1.096 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Week of 5/25/25: EU AnalysisExtremely bullish last week leads to my bias being long this week until the weak daily structure is broken.
Thanks for coming, goodluck this week!
Major News:
PMI - Thursday
My Thoughts #013The pair is still quite bullish...
I would look for sells
if we get to the supply zone and get a choch I would sell then for now I just think it will push up to the supply zone before we get that drop.
As you can see it's the buy before the sell that Choch so that is why I think it will mitigate the Zone before dropping...
Yet I am not. Saying it might not sell from the point it's at but it's just my perspective
Use Proper risk management
Let's do the most
EWTSU EURUSD H4 minute ((iv)) update
Elliott Wave trade set up h4
to confirme the end of wxy corrective pattern
price must break out definitively in an impulsive mode the 1'1270 area,
heading and pass trought decisively 1.1375 area
to get to area 1.1460
invalidation: price under 1.1160
EUR/USD is about to clarify its trend direction
💡Message Strategy
The recent trend of the euro is affected by the resonance of multiple macroeconomic factors. First, the eurozone CPI data for May showed that the overall annual rate dropped sharply from 2.2% to 1.9%, and the core CPI annual rate also fell to 2.3%, hitting a one-year low, which suppressed the market demand for the euro. This cooling trend of inflation has significantly strengthened the market's expectations that the European Central Bank will further cut interest rates. The current market has fully taken into account the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut on Thursday, and even expectations of further rate cuts in July have fermented.
At the same time, US economic data is still weak. The ISM manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5, which has been in the contraction range for several consecutive months. In addition, the JOLTS job vacancies may hit a new low, which makes the dollar bulls lack support. In general, the euro is facing a tug-of-war between the eurozone's easing expectations and the weakness of the US dollar, and the market is generally optimistic about the trend.
📊Technical aspects
From the K-line pattern, the long and short sides are stuck near 1.1400, and a unilateral trend has not yet formed. It is worth noting that the high point of 1.1572 in mid-April has formed an obvious resistance band so far, and the upper 1.1500 is a psychological integer mark, and it is also the previous high, forming the first key resistance line. If it breaks through this level, it may usher in further upward space.
In terms of MACD indicators, the bar chart is currently oscillating near the zero axis, and the fast and slow lines are above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is dominant. RSI remains at 57.94, which is in the neutral to strong range, but has not entered the overbought area, and there is still potential for short-term growth.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:1.13750-1.13850
eur/usd 15mThis chart is for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis presented:
Key Areas:
1. Register Zone (Resistance) – 1.14538
Marked in red, this is a strong resistance area where price previously reversed.
It's the potential stop-loss zone for short trades.
2. 1st Setup (Entry Area) – 1.13991
A potential entry point for a short position.
Aligned with a recent support-turned-resistance level.
3. Target Level (Support) – 1.13574
Marked in green, this is the take-profit zone for the short setup.
Chart Insights:
The chart shows a descending trendline, indicating lower highs—suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Two yellow circles highlight points of failed bullish continuation at the trendline, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
The arrows suggest the expected movement:
Price to reject at or below the trendline and move down toward the target level.
If this move fails, a stop-out might occur near the register zone.
Strategy Summary:
Bias: Bearish (Short Setup)
Entry: Around 1.13991
Stop Loss: Around 1.14538 (above the register zone)
Take Profit: Around 1.13574
Would you like help with
EURO/USD 4H/Daily OutlookStill bullish — just waiting for the 4H BISI to form.
We’ll likely get overlapping price action around the 4H FVG + 0.75 retracement zone.
👉 Once we see displacement from the 50% of the 4H BISI, that’s the green light.
That’s the setup. That’s the "go in HAHAHA" moment 😂
For extra confirmation:
✅ A clean 15min BISI forming after the 4H displacement would seal the deal — ideal entry trigger.
🎯 Stay patient. Let the market build the setup. Precision > Prediction.
Important week ahead for EURUSDEURUSD is currently in an uptrend, and we expect this bullish momentum to continue throughout the week.
At this stage, buying opportunities remain the focus, with the next targets set at 1,1427 and 1,1563.
Several key economic events are also on the horizon and are likely to impact the market.
On Thursday, the ECB is expected to cut interest rates, followed by the release of U.S. Non-Farm Payroll data on Friday.
EURUSD at Resistance – Pullback Ahead?Hello traders! What’s your take on EURUSD?
EURUSD is currently trading just below a key resistance zone, signaling a potential pullback. A double top pattern may be forming, suggesting the pair could correct before regaining bullish momentum.
We expect a short-term retracement toward the identified support levels before any continuation of the broader uptrend.
Despite this near-term weakness, our long-term outlook remains bullish. This pullback might actually present a better entry opportunity in line with the overall trend.
Do you see it the same way? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 💬
