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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD DTF Fundamental and Technical AnalysisEUR/USD DTF Fundamental and Technical Analysis Fundamental Outlook: EUR/USD has experienced an upward move due to short-term positive sentiment. Optimism surrounding the European Union's fiscal policies and the European Central Bank's more dovish stance on interest rates have provided some support to the euro. Additionally, a recent weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by concerns over the U.S. economic slowdown and disappointing job data, has contributed to the euro's recent strength. However, the ongoing risk from new U.S. tariffs on European imports, escalating trade tensions, and concerns over global economic instability could weigh on the euro. The U.S. dollar remains a safe-haven asset, limiting further downside for EUR/USD in the long term. Technical Outlook: On the daily timeframe, EUR/USD is approaching a major key resistance level at 1.12500, where a double top has previously formed. This technical pattern strengthens our bearish bias for the pair. However, if price breaks above this key resistance at 1.12500, we would expect a continuation of the uptrend, suggesting that the euro remains in dominance. A breakout above this level would indicate further bullish momentum for EUR/USD. In conclusion, the resistance at 1.12500 is crucial. If it holds, we could see a reversal; if broken, the euro could continue to dominate, pushing EUR/USD higher. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
1
EURUSD road map !!!The Euro will increase two cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
Dollar Under Pressure from Recessionary SignalsEUR/USD climbed about 80 pips to 1.1040 on Wednesday as the dollar index slipped below 105.5, marking a second day of losses. The U.S. dollar weakened amid growing fears of recession, triggered by President Trump's sweeping tariffs. China now faces a 104% levy, with Beijing vowing to "fight to the end." Market sentiment remained cautious as trade negotiations stalled, despite Trump’s outreach to major partners. Concerns that the escalating trade war may tip the U.S. into recession have increased expectations of further Fed rate cuts, weighing on the dollar. Key resistance is at 1.1100, followed by 1.1150 and 1.1215. Support lies at 1.0900, then 1.0850 and 1.0730.
by ChartMage
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025 Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here! Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area. It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute" This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then. Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer. EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning. You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
What Is Momentum – And Why It’s Not Just a Trend IndicatorMost traders follow price — candles, trendlines, support/resistance. But there’s another layer that often tells the story before the price moves: momentum. ⸻ 🔍 In this post, you’ll learn: • What momentum really measures • Why it’s not the same as price direction • How momentum can signal a shift before the chart confirms it • Why combining momentum with structure improves timing ⸻ 📈 Momentum ≠ Direction Price can be rising while momentum is fading. That’s often a clue of an upcoming slowdown or reversal — long before the price turns. Similarly, price can be flat, while momentum builds in one direction. That’s tension… and tension leads to moves. ⸻ 🔥 Why Momentum Matters: • It reveals intensity, not just direction • It can act as a leading indicator — not lagging • Momentum divergences often hint at hidden accumulation or distribution • Tracking it helps you avoid late entries or false breakouts ⸻ 🔧 Takeaway for traders: If you’re only watching price, you’re only seeing half the picture. Momentum shows what’s driving the move, and when that drive starts weakening. ⸻ 💬 What’s your favorite momentum indicator? RSI, %R, CCI, or something else?
Education
by TrendGo_Official
1
Eur/Usd 4H Market Update – 03 Apr 2025Following recent tariff-related developments in the US, broad dollar softness contributed to EUR/USD moving above the 1.095 level — a zone that had held since November 2024. From a technical perspective, a few scenarios may unfold depending on broader market sentiment and price action: • The pair may approach the 1.12 region, where previous price action showed signs of slowing momentum, potentially leading to a move back toward 1.10. • If current dollar softness persists, a sustained break above 1.12 could open the path toward the 1.145 area. • Alternatively, the pair could revisit the 1.09 region, which has acted as a significant level in the past, before any renewed upward movement occurs. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point. Here are three possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. ❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows. 📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels. Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
by Louigi_24
14
EURUSD SHORT CONCEPTE-U sell sides swing concept. I'm precipitating an upsurge in the dollar index and a vice versa on both EURUSD & GBPUSD. Since last week Friday, we've been on a low resistance liquidity run to the downside 1 hr t.f. Though we got to a HTF sweet spot/ point of interest on selling pressure. We're kinda sluggish to melt to the downside. I might not know what move the markets might pull out today, but I'm looking for that selling pressure. I'll only look for buying pressure if the market gets above prev monthly highs and shows buy side interest. Comment below on what you think, hit that boost & follow for more content. Stay tuned for updates, entries and more...
Short
by gachihi
EURUSD, Bullish Bias, Fundamental and Technical AnalysisFundamental Analysis 1. Endogenous factors of EURO is getting better while USD is down 2. Seasonality shows EURO bullish in April while USD bearish 3. increased pressure of interest rate cut in USD in also leading towards DXY bearish 4. COT data shows net increase in EUR and decrease in USD 5. Sentiments shows bullish in EUR 11/8, while USD is 4/5. 6. LEI, Endogenous and Exogenous factors all in favor of Bullish momentum in EURUSD. Technical Analysis 1. Cup and Handle Formation 2. Breakout appeared 3. Breakout Retest 4. Buy in parts i. Long 1% at current price ii. Long 1% @ 1.09017 5. Stop loss below Handle 6. Projection Target 1.165 7. Take profit on Major resistance levels
Long
by itsrohansaeed
EUR/USD H1 chart analysisPair: EUR/USD Entry: 1.10530 (Buy) TP1: 1.10940 TP2: 1.11470 Stop Loss (suggested): Around 1.10200 or below recent support/swing low --- Additional Analysis Suggestions: 1. Momentum Confirmation: Check RSI or MACD on H1/H4 timeframes to confirm bullish momentum. Volume or price action near 1.10530 can signal whether buyers are stepping in. 2. Structure & Support/Resistance: 1.10530: See if it aligns with a breakout/retest zone or key support. 1.10940 & 1.11470: Confirm these levels as prior resistance or fib extensions. 3. Trend Context: Daily/4H trend: Bullish continuation patterns (higher highs/lows)? If it’s ranging, your trade could get stuck before TP1. 4. News Watchlist: Keep an eye on key events like CPI, NFP, ECB/FRB meetings, and speeches. Trade entry should ideally not be too close to high-impact releases unless you’re playing the breakout. 5. Risk/Reward: Make sure R:R is favorable (at least 1:2 ideally). Use a trailing stop or scale out at TP1 to protect profits if the price starts to retrace. --- If you want, I can help chart this setup with technical levels and confluences. Just let me know what timeframes or indicators you’re using.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5