USDEUX trade ideas
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 30M - As you can see I am wanting price to trade us down and into the Demand Zone I have marked out for us below. In doing so I am expecting Demand to be introduced and for Supply to be removed.
Due to this happening we can expect a reversal in price, this is because the Demand will begin to outweigh the Supply in the market and we should see price begin appreciating, giving us the opportunity to buy into the next impulsive wave.
We get confirmation of this by waiting for price to trade down and into this area, once it has and the change in hands has taken place, we will expect an influx in value and we should see a relevant protected high break. This gives us the confirmation we need.
Once we have that its then a case of waiting for price to trade us back down initially giving us the opportunity to get involved in this market with a more refined entry, allowing a better risk to reward ratio on the trade we place.
EUR/USD Short Setup – Correction Within Broader UptrendInstrument: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Trade Type: Countertrend Short
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.45
Duration: 2-4 days
📉 Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.13891
Target: 1.13049
Stop Loss: 1.14550
Risk: ~0.54%
Reward: ~0.78%
📌 Technical Rationale
Despite EUR/USD maintaining an overall bullish structure on higher timeframes, recent developments on the 15-minute chart indicate a potential short-term correction.
🧱 Trendline Break
Price action has decisively broken below a rising intraday trendline, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and opening the door for a corrective move.
📉 MACD Momentum Shift
The MACD histogram is contracting, and the signal line has crossed downward — often a leading indication of momentum reversal. This shift supports the short thesis as momentum fades near local highs.
📊 Stochastic RSI Confirmation
The Stochastic RSI has rolled over from overbought levels, aligning with the MACD's bearish signal and adding confluence to the setup.
🔼 Lower High Formation
Price failed to break and sustain above the previous swing high near 1.145x. The formation of a lower high within the minor uptrend adds to the probability of a short-term pullback.
🧭 Target Zone Justification
The 1.13049 level represents the next key support, coinciding with the prior consolidation zone and a low-volume pocket — providing a clean downside path for price to retrace.
🧠 Strategy Note
This is a countertrend setup, capitalizing on a temporary retracement within a larger bullish market. The defined structure and risk/reward profile make this a tactical opportunity for intraday or short-term swing traders. As always, monitor key news events and U.S. data that may impact USD volatility during the trade's lifespan.
EURUSD Short June 2, 2025EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025
Bearish narrative across the board. HTF aligned with daily OB + D trend, plus clear liquidity sitting at previous weekly and daily highs.
On LTF, we had clean 15m bearish structure forming during Asia, and price tapped into the HTF OB during London open, rejecting from session high.
Entry was based on tap (0.5% Risk) and will reenter with another 0.5% after 1m BOS.
Partials taken at 1:3 RR, with final TP set at Asia low for full move.
Going Long on EURUSDThis trade setup was stopped out
I have noticed a trend among retail traders/investors. Once they place a trade and if they get stopped out, naturally they are unhappy with the outcome. Worse, they moved on to other pairs or other asset classes to trade.
More often than not, upon closer examination, it could be a situation of placing too tight SL or having the courage to follow up again and LONG again.
It works for me, I dunno about you. Stick to a few pairs or asset classes and after a while, if you add on your winning positions, you soon realised that you and the chart becomes connected (not in a spiritual way) but you straight away know where you are at certain point in the chart and know what decision to take.
I have also revised my strategy a little. One, to have no profit target since if the market is moving in tandem with me then taking profits too early would means I have to get in at higher price each time and a strong retracement could wipe me out.
Next, adding to winning positions has also proven profitable rather than going into a new trade setup which takes time to do research.
By limiting my exposure to fewer asset class, I become more in tune with the market development and know how to react. Diversifying too widely makes my capital allocation spread too wide without the opportunity to go deep into my profits.
Lastly, slowly I am also increasing my position sizing to take advantage of the trend. IF 1 contract yields 1 dollar then 5 contracts would gives me 5 dollars with the same move. This takes courage and conviction which over time, studying the losses and winners helps me to get there , slowly...........
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1420 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1439
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1447
Support and resistance levels
1.1537
1.1503
1.1481
1.1412
1.1391
1.1357
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1447, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1481
If the price breaks through 1.1412, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1391
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout from Key Demand ZoneStrong bullish reaction from a well-defined demand zone ('zona buy') on EUR/USD. Price broke above resistance with momentum, confirming buyer interest. The RSI shows bullish strength, supporting further upside potential. Watching for continuation towards the 1.1578 target while managing risk below 1.1399 support.
EURUSD ahead of the ECBYesterday, EURUSD bounced off the support zone and moved toward the previous high.
Today, the ECB will announce its interest rate decision.
The news is scheduled for 1:15 pm (London), followed by a press conference 30 minutes later.
Expect potentially sharp and misleading price movements — reduce your risk and avoid rushing into new positions!
EUR_USD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is already making
A rebound after the retest of
The broken falling resistance
Which is now a support so we
Are locally bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD - AB=CD harmonic Pattern | BULLISH TREND continuationThis analysis is done on 4H time frame, as it can be seen that market is making series of HH and HL which is our Bullish Trend. however, market took a deep correction and broke the HL which seems trend reversal. Since there is no divergence before correction therefore it is more weighted toward continuation pattern. Having said that, Market took a deep correction till FIB level of 0.618 which forms a AB=CD Harmonic Pattern.
The point D is our Potential Reverse Zone, and it also coincides with the 4H good resistance level (Perfect confluence of PRZ). Therefore we can project our market to reach there.
Entry Points : IN our case we shall plan safe entry on Break-of-Neckline, however the neckline is already broken, therefore we can instant enter into the market OR wait to break again the Market with Good Bullish candle (with good momentum / body).
Our 1st TP will be with R:R of 1:1 and 2nd TP would be 1:2 R:R , As usual SL would be placed below HL as market in the chart.
Regards,
EURUSD: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results.
I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example.
After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up.
Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap!
Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls!
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SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸
"Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉
🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!)
📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!"
Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST!
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!)
🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!)
⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Grab
👀 Only scalp LONG!
Big wallets? Raid straight in.
Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery.
Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰
📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum)
"The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers:
Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data)
Sentiment & Intermarket Trends
Future Targets & Score Outlook
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⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨
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EURUSD(20250605) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. economic data-① ADP employment increased by 37,000 in May, far below the expected 110,000 and the previous value of 62,000. ② The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index in May fell to 49.9, shrinking for the first time in nearly a year, and the expected increase was from 51.6 to 52.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1401
Support and resistance levels:
1.1478
1.1449
1.1431
1.1372
1.1353
1.1324
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1431, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1449
If the price breaks through 1.1401, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1372
Market next move 🔍 Disruptive Counter-Analysis
1. False Breakout Risk
The current breakout could be a bull trap. Price may break above the resistance level temporarily before reversing sharply.
Volume Analysis: The volume isn't significantly higher at the breakout candle, which may suggest a lack of strong momentum or institutional participation.
2. Resistance Zone Ahead
The 1.14500 to 1.15000 range is historically a supply zone, where sellers may aggressively enter the market.
This makes any upside move vulnerable to a reversal near that zone.
3. Macroeconomic Risk
A red-circled economic event icon appears on the chart (likely an ECB or Fed-related release). This adds uncertainty—news can invalidate technical patterns.
If the event is bearish for the euro (e.g., weak data or dovish ECB comments), the pair could reverse sharply.
4. Overbought Short-Term
A series of green candles without significant pullback suggests short-term overbought conditions.
RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) may confirm this. A correction to the previous base is possible.
eur/usd 15mThe chart you've shared is for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 15-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what’s being depicted:
Key Zones & Levels:
1. Register Zone (Red Box near 1.14600):
This is likely a strong resistance zone where sellers may enter aggressively.
The chart suggests a potential reversal could happen here.
2. Spot Level (around 1.14300):
This might be a significant supply or resistance level.
Price reaching this area is highlighted as a potential short entry point.
3. 1st Level (Green line around 1.14105):
Possibly the first support level or a take-profit zone for short positions.
Acts as an initial reaction area.
4. Target Successful (Black line at 1.13745):
Final take-profit target for the short trade setup.
Market has touched this level before, marking it as a key support zone.
Visual Indicators:
Red and white arrows imply a projected bearish movement from the spot level down to the target level.
The large white arrow especially emphasizes a strong downward move.
Interpretation:
This chart suggests a short setup if the price reaches the “spot level” or “register zone,” targeting
Elliott Wave Insight Into EUR/USD’s Recent MovesThe EUR/USD chart has delivered a clean Elliott Wave sequence, which helps us forecast what may come next.
Wave Count Overview
The structure leading up to the high shows a clear five-wave impulsive rally, ending at Wave 3 in yellow.
This was followed by a corrective A-B-C zigzag, with:
A sharp Wave A down
A shallow Wave B bounce
A clean Wave C drop, matching Wave A in length, bottoming at the 100% Fibonacci projection around 1.10711.
Why This Matters
Elliott Wave theory tells us that a completed zigzag correction—especially when followed by a consolidation like a triangle—often leads to a continuation in the direction of the larger trend. If this consolidation is indeed a Wave 4 triangle, Wave 5 may soon emerge with strength.
What to Watch For:
Breakout from the current flag/triangle pattern.
Confirmation via price closing above the Wave B high.
Strong bullish momentum and rising volume as signs Wave 5 is kicking off.
Conclusion
EUR/USD may be gearing up for a Wave 5 breakout, following a classic zigzag correction and potential triangle consolidation. If this pattern breaks to the upside, it could offer a great trend continuation trade opportunity.
EUR/USD Daily AnalysisPrice found a bottom around mid May and now printing higher highs and lows.
Whilst price is above the trendline, the sentiment is bullish with a possible target of 1.1530 which was previous resistance in April.
This is an idea of what may happen. Always trade with a profitable strategy and good risk management.
EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward.
Key point.
Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152
Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440
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