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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Eur/Usd 4H Market Update – 03 Apr 2025Following recent tariff-related developments in the US, broad dollar softness contributed to EUR/USD moving above the 1.095 level — a zone that had held since November 2024. From a technical perspective, a few scenarios may unfold depending on broader market sentiment and price action: • The pair may approach the 1.12 region, where previous price action showed signs of slowing momentum, potentially leading to a move back toward 1.10. • If current dollar softness persists, a sustained break above 1.12 could open the path toward the 1.145 area. • Alternatively, the pair could revisit the 1.09 region, which has acted as a significant level in the past, before any renewed upward movement occurs. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.09484.Dear colleagues, the upward impulse of the five-wave movement is not over yet, and at the moment we see the end of the correction of wave “4”. I believe that the price can still slightly update the low and reach the area of 1.07232 , but the priority is the upward movement in wave “5”, so I expect the price to reach the resistance area of 1.09484. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
19
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point. Here are three possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. ❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows. 📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels. Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
by Louigi_24
14
New Upswing in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD broke above the previous high and reached 1,1146. To identify potential targets in a continuing trend, we use Fibonacci extensions. EURUSD hit the first target (61.8%) yesterday and bounced off from there. The next resistance levels are around the previous highs at 1,1178. If that level breaks, the next target would be 1,1328. At the current levels, it's important not to take excessive risk - consider reducing position size and only entering trades with a solid setup!
Long
by ForexTrendline
EURUSD SHORT CONCEPTE-U sell sides swing concept. I'm precipitating an upsurge in the dollar index and a vice versa on both EURUSD & GBPUSD. Since last week Friday, we've been on a low resistance liquidity run to the downside 1 hr t.f. Though we got to a HTF sweet spot/ point of interest on selling pressure. We're kinda sluggish to melt to the downside. I might not know what move the markets might pull out today, but I'm looking for that selling pressure. I'll only look for buying pressure if the market gets above prev monthly highs and shows buy side interest. Comment below on what you think, hit that boost & follow for more content. Stay tuned for updates, entries and more...
Short
by gachihi
EURUSD, Bullish Bias, Fundamental and Technical AnalysisFundamental Analysis 1. Endogenous factors of EURO is getting better while USD is down 2. Seasonality shows EURO bullish in April while USD bearish 3. increased pressure of interest rate cut in USD in also leading towards DXY bearish 4. COT data shows net increase in EUR and decrease in USD 5. Sentiments shows bullish in EUR 11/8, while USD is 4/5. 6. LEI, Endogenous and Exogenous factors all in favor of Bullish momentum in EURUSD. Technical Analysis 1. Cup and Handle Formation 2. Breakout appeared 3. Breakout Retest 4. Buy in parts i. Long 1% at current price ii. Long 1% @ 1.09017 5. Stop loss below Handle 6. Projection Target 1.165 7. Take profit on Major resistance levels
Long
by itsrohansaeed
EUR/USD H1 chart analysisPair: EUR/USD Entry: 1.10530 (Buy) TP1: 1.10940 TP2: 1.11470 Stop Loss (suggested): Around 1.10200 or below recent support/swing low --- Additional Analysis Suggestions: 1. Momentum Confirmation: Check RSI or MACD on H1/H4 timeframes to confirm bullish momentum. Volume or price action near 1.10530 can signal whether buyers are stepping in. 2. Structure & Support/Resistance: 1.10530: See if it aligns with a breakout/retest zone or key support. 1.10940 & 1.11470: Confirm these levels as prior resistance or fib extensions. 3. Trend Context: Daily/4H trend: Bullish continuation patterns (higher highs/lows)? If it’s ranging, your trade could get stuck before TP1. 4. News Watchlist: Keep an eye on key events like CPI, NFP, ECB/FRB meetings, and speeches. Trade entry should ideally not be too close to high-impact releases unless you’re playing the breakout. 5. Risk/Reward: Make sure R:R is favorable (at least 1:2 ideally). Use a trailing stop or scale out at TP1 to protect profits if the price starts to retrace. --- If you want, I can help chart this setup with technical levels and confluences. Just let me know what timeframes or indicators you’re using.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: Fishing for the Next Intramonth Bull SwingOTEUM EXPERT CALL: EUR/USD – Fishing for the Next Intramonth Bull Swing 🎣💶 OTEUM is back on the hunt—this time fishing for the next bull swing on the D1 chart 📈. Major fundamental forces are aligning in favor of the euro 🌍⚖️, giving this setup solid macro backing. The only real risk? A surprise liquidity event triggering sharp dollar strength 💥💵. Until then, we stay positioned for upside with precision and patience 🧠🎯. #EURUSD #Forex #OTEUM #BullSwing #FundamentalsFirst
Long
by Karel_OTEUM
Markets in Flux: EUR/USD Chart Hints at BreakoutGood morning Traders, Trust you are well. Below is my analysis of the current price action on EURUSD amidst the trade war. Overview EUR/USD is trading within a descending channel, showing signs of a potential bullish breakout. Price recently rejected the 1.08115 support zone with a strong wick, suggesting buyer interest. Globally, trade tensions are escalating—President Trump reintroduced 34% tariffs on China, with China responding in kind. The EU is also planning a 25% tariff on U.S. goods, sparking further risk-off sentiment. US hinting at further extending tariff on China to 50%. Idea This analysis suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity near 1.08115, with a likely breakout toward 1.10127 and beyond. Safe havens like CHF and JPY are gaining, reflecting rising risk aversion. Despite the short-term USD strength, prolonged trade wars could eventually weigh on the dollar. Conclusion EUR/USD is gearing up for a move. I will watch for a dip to support before a bullish push around 1.08115 and 1.07689. With trade wars heating up and risk sentiment dipping, commodities and currencies are about to get spicy. Do trade with caution. Cheers and Happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂. Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day. As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️ My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
1
EUR/USD Trend Today - Staying Within Downtrend Line🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: ➡️ EUR/USD is extending its rebound above the 1.0950 level in early European trading on Tuesday, supported by a weakening U.S. Dollar. Improved risk sentiment is reducing safe-haven demand for the greenback, giving the pair a lift. Additionally, dovish expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve are putting further pressure on the dollar. Market focus now turns to upcoming tariff developments. Personal opinion: ➡️ Overall, the trade war has hurt the US less than Europe. And Europe's agreement to enter the negotiating table with the US is a clear proof. Traders need to keep an eye on the upcoming April 9 tariff update to further assess the impact. Therefore, EUR/USD remains bearish in the short term. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA and trend to come up with suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0990- 1.1000 ❌SL: 1.1035 | ✅TP: 1.0910 – 1.0865 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
EURUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🧭 EURUSD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: April 4, 2025 🔒 Format: Institutional Swing Precision 🔖 Plan Type: Swing Buy Setup 📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal Continuation 🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) 📌 Status: Monitoring for Rejection in Buy Zone 📍 ENTRY ZONES: 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0940 – 1.0965 – D1 demand zone retest – 61.8% Fibo of impulse leg – H1/H4 support shelf – Breaker block retest from previous expansion leg 🟧 Secondary Buy Zone (Deeper Tap): 1.0910 – 1.0930 – Full sweep of liquidity – Below unfilled imbalance – Closer to D1/H4 OB base ❗ Stop Loss: 1.0875 – Below structure and OB base 🎯 Take Profits: • TP1: 1.1030 (Imbalance fill + H1 resistance) • TP2: 1.1075 (D1 wick fill) • TP3: 1.1130 (Break of H4 structure high) • TP4: 1.1175 (W1 FVG reaction point) 📏 Risk:Reward: ~1:3.2 to TP3, ~1:4.5 to TP4 🧠 Management Strategy: – Entry only on bullish engulfing or reversal wick on LTF (M15–H1) – SL to breakeven after TP1 – Trail above each higher low for continuation – Exit fully if bearish engulfing on D1 near TP3/TP4 ⚠️ Confirmation Criteria: – H1 bullish engulfing or strong LTF wick – Price close above 1.0980 after tapping entry zone – MACD crossover on M30 or H1 ⏳ Validity: Next 24–48 hours 🌐 Fundamentals: – USD showing softness post-volatility spike – EUR resilient with no D1 CHoCH – US macro data pending, but technicals favored above structure 📋 Final Summary: Price has retraced sharply after last impulse leg and now probing into D1/H4 demand zones. We're watching for confirmation near the zone at 1.0910–1.0930 which could offer high-RR entry. The trade is only valid with confirmation. No blind buys.
Long
by jibkhan111
EUR/USD Bias: BearishAnalysis of EUR/USD Bias: Bearish The EUR/USD pair is showing bearish momentum across multiple timeframes. On the 4-hour chart, we can see a clear rejection from the 1.1150 area, with price now trading around 1.0930. The recent price structure shows a lower high formation after a strong bearish move from the 1.1150 resistance zone. Market Structure: The 4-hour chart shows a significant bearish move from March to early April, followed by a sharp rally and recent rejection The 1-hour timeframe confirms the bearish reversal with a double top formation near 1.1050 The 15-minute chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming immediate bearish pressure Trade Setup: Entry: Sell at market (1.0930) Order Type: Market order Stop Loss: 1.0965 (35 pips above entry, just above the recent swing high) Take Profit (TP): 1.0865 (65 pips, targeting the previous support level) Extended Take Profit (TP2): 1.0800 (130 pips, targeting the psychological level and previous consolidation zone) Reasoning: The price has recently rejected the 1.10-1.11 resistance zone and formed a bearish structure. The current price action suggests continuation of the downtrend that began after testing the significant resistance around 1.1150. Multiple timeframes align to show bearish momentum, with clear rejection from higher levels. Alternative Scenario: If you miss this entry, wait for a potential retest of the 1.0965-1.0980 zone and enter on rejection with bearish confirmation (such as bearish engulfing pattern or rejection candle). In case price breaks above 1.0980, the bearish bias would be invalidated, suggesting a possible shift to a more neutral or bullish bias.
Short
by ShlomoYahbes
With the weaker dollar expecting one more pushWith the trade war beginning in March, we have seen a strong push to the higher and consolidate of two weeks, and a push up with the support of Buy-Side imbalance and sell-side inefficiency (BISI). Last week, we saw a push down with the support of weekly sell-side imbalance and buy-side inefficiency(SIBI). This week, also, I'm expecting a weaker dollar. It might push higher after filling out the weekly gap. My first target is 1.1144 Good luck & Trade safe
Long
by SNFOREXSOLUTIONS
EURUSD BULLISHPrice formed a Higher High, confirming an uptrend. Current pullback respected the Fibonacci 0.618 level, which often acts as a strong support zone during healthy retracements. We’re now expecting a Higher Low to form Bullish candle with strong wick rejection at 0.618 USD is under pressure due to expected Fed rate pause or potential cuts later this year. EUR is stable but watch for ECB commentary—hawkish tone supports EUR. DXY is weakening — supports EURUSD uptrend.
Long
by shahid767
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.10453 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.10992.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
2
EUR/USD..1h chart pattren..I'm planning a buy trade for EUR/USD at an entry point of 1.10530 with the following target points: First Target: 1.10940 Second Target: 1.11470 Considerations for Your Trade: 1. Entry Point: 1.10530 — Make sure that the market conditions are favorable for the move. It's important to confirm that there is enough momentum to push the price up. 2. Target Points: 1.10940: First target is a reasonable price level for an initial profit-taking point. 1.11470: This level seems to be a continuation of the bullish move, assuming the market stays strong. Important Factors: Risk Management: Ensure that you have a stop-loss in place in case the trade doesn't go as expected. Ideally, your stop should be placed below a recent support level to minimize losses. Trend Analysis: Look at the broader trend for EUR/USD (is it trending upward, or are there signs of a reversal?). This can help confirm whether your targets are realistic. Economic Events: Watch for any Eurozone or U.S. economic data releases (e.g., ECB or Federal Reserve announcements) that could impact EUR/USD. If you’d like more analysis or further assistance with the trade setup, feel free to ask!
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5