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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

EURUSD Trend of the Day!Hello everyone, hope you're having a great trading week! Today, we have another trend idea with two possible scenarios: a bullish continuation or a slight pullback to grab liquidity before the next move. 📌 Key focus: We must stay alert to market waves and wait for clear confirmations before entering. The market doesn't move randomly—it follows liquidity and structure, and our job is to read the signs, not chase trades. Stay patient, follow your plan, and let the market show its direction. Let’s see how it unfolds! ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
by DMKyrios
EUR/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📌 🚀 🔹 Asset: EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above 1.06077 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below 1.05743 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: 1.06586 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: 1.07215 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): 1.06077 - 1.05743 = 0.00334 risk per unit 📈 Reward to TP1: 1.06586 - 1.06077 = 0.00509 (1:1.52 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: 1.07215 - 1.06077 = 0.01138 (1:3.41 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Bullish Flag Breakout: Price has broken out of a bullish flag, signaling continuation of the uptrend. 📌 Support Rejection: The price tested 1.05743 support and showed buying pressure. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above 1.06077 to confirm bullish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above 1.06077, it could push toward 1.06586, and further to 1.07215. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 1.05743 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 1.06077 – Breakout Level / Long Entry 🔴 1.06586 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 1.07215 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above 1.06077 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (1.06077) after TP1 (1.06586) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at 1.06586, let the rest run toward 1.07215. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (1.06077) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above 1.06077 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above 1.06077 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from 1.05743 support suggests a potential breakout. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.52 to TP1, 1:3.41 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #ForexTrading 📉 #EURUSD 📊 #TradingNews 📰 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #Trading 📈 #Finance 💵 #ProfittoPath 🚀 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #ForexTrader 💸 #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #ForexSignals 📊 #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #ForexAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bullish 🐂 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝
Long
by ProfittoPath
EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher. Bias is for the Buy However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction. There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap. But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually. Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market. The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that. Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
Long
by The_Peaceful_Trader
2
EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) daily timeframe with a bullish outlook.EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) daily timeframe with a bullish outlook. Chart Analysis: • The price is currently around 1.0467, showing signs of breaking above a key resistance zone (highlighted in red). • A bullish scenario is illustrated, where the price is expected to retest the breakout zone and then continue upward. • Key resistance levels are marked at 1.0680, 1.0791, and 1.0925, which could act as potential targets for a bullish move. • The overall structure suggests a possible trend reversal after a downtrend, with a move towards higher levels. Let me know if you need a deeper breakdown or specific details!
by Artiverma256
Ultimate Guide to Technical Indicators📌 Introduction: In the world of trading, correctly interpreting price movements is essential for making informed decisions. Technical indicators are key tools that help analyze trends, momentum, volume, volatility, and other aspects of market behavior. This guide explores a wide range of indicators—from traditional ones to those that combine advanced techniques—so you can design robust analysis strategies tailored to your style. 📈 1. Trend Indicators These indicators measure the direction and strength of a trend (bullish, bearish, or sideways), allowing traders to identify potential entry and exit points. • Moving Averages (SMA/EMA): Smooth price action to identify trends (e.g., moving average crossovers). • ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures trend strength (>25 indicates a strong trend). • Ichimoku Cloud: Defines support, resistance, and momentum through a “cloud” formation. • SuperTrend: Highlights reversals with a line that follows volatility. • Envelopes: Bands around a moving average to detect overbought/oversold conditions. • Parabolic SAR: Generates dots that indicate possible trend reversals, useful in trending markets. • Alligator (Bill Williams): Uses multiple moving averages to identify emerging trends. • Donchian Channels: Detects breakouts with bands based on historical highs and lows. • Vortex Indicator: Uses two lines to confirm trend direction. • ZigZag: Filters market “noise” to highlight significant movements. 💡 Tip: Donchian Channels can also be used to analyze volatility expansion. ⚡ 2. Momentum Indicators These measure the speed and strength of price movements, helping confirm trend validity and detect reversals. • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Identifies overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) conditions. • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Signals momentum shifts through line crossovers and divergences. • Stochastic Oscillator: Compares closing price with the recent range to signal reversals. • CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Detects extreme levels, especially in cyclical assets. • TRIX: A triple-smoothed moving average oscillator that filters out minor trends. • Williams %R: Similar to Stochastic but inverted (-20 indicates overbought, -80 oversold). • Momentum Oscillator: Measures the rate of price change over a set period. • Awesome Oscillator (AO): Compares short- and long-term moving averages to detect momentum changes. • Chaikin Oscillator: Integrates volume and price to evaluate accumulation or distribution. • Rate of Change (ROC): Calculates the percentage price change over a past period. 🎯 Tip: Momentum indicators are often combined with trend indicators to validate moves and reinforce signals. 📊 3. Volume Indicators Volume is crucial for confirming trend validity and movement strength. • OBV (On-Balance Volume): Links volume to price changes to confirm trends. • Volume Profile: Displays price levels with the highest volume concentration. • MFI (Money Flow Index): Combines price and volume, similar to RSI. • Accumulation/Distribution Line: Evaluates money flow using closing price and daily range. • VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): A volume-weighted moving average used by institutional traders. • Chaikin Money Flow: Integrates volume and price to measure buying/selling pressure. • Ease of Movement (EOM): Shows how easily price moves relative to volume. • Volume Oscillator: Measures the difference between two volume moving averages. • Herrick Payoff Index (HPI): Incorporates volume, price, and open interest (common in futures). • Volume Rate of Change: Measures the speed of volume changes over time. 🔥 4. Volatility Indicators These measure price dispersion, helping define risk and market activity levels. • Bollinger Bands: Expand/contract around a moving average based on volatility. • ATR (Average True Range): Measures the average price range over a period. • Keltner Channels: Similar to Bollinger Bands but uses ATR to set bands. • Standard Deviation: Quantifies price dispersion from its average. • VIX (Volatility Index): Measures expected volatility in the S&P 500. • Choppiness Index: Determines if the market is trending or ranging (high values indicate range-bound conditions). • Donchian Channels (Volatility): Identifies price extremes to measure expansion. • GARCH Models: Statistical models for predicting future volatility. • Chaikin Volatility: Measures volatility using high-low price ranges. • Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA): Adjusts smoothing based on market volatility. 🏛 5. Support & Resistance Indicators These help identify key levels where price may pause or reverse. • Pivot Points: Daily levels based on previous highs, lows, and closes. • Fibonacci Retracements: Identify potential reversal zones (e.g., 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%). • Volume Profile: Helps spot natural support/resistance levels. • Moving Averages: Act as dynamic support/resistance over time. • Price Action (Highs/Lows): Psychological levels based on past price action. • Market Profile: Shows volume distribution across price and time levels. • Camarilla Pivots: A more detailed pivot system for intraday trading. • Anchored VWAP: VWAP calculated from a specific starting point, like trend beginnings. • Demark Sequential: Identifies potential reversals through candle counts. • Murrey Math Lines: Sets support/resistance levels based on mathematical scales. 🔍 Tip: Visual examples can help illustrate how these key zones form. 🔄 6. Cycle & Pattern Indicators Analyze seasonal repetitions or chart patterns that can anticipate future moves. • Elliott Wave Theory: Identifies cycles of 5 impulsive and 3 corrective waves. • Harmonic Patterns (Gartley, Butterfly): Geometric formations based on Fibonacci ratios. • Head & Shoulders: A classic reversal pattern signaling trend change. • Cup & Handle: A bullish continuation pattern. • Wolfe Waves: Uses price waves and channels to spot reversals. • Hurst Cycles: A model based on recurring time cycles. • Dow Theory: Classifies trends into primary, secondary, and minor. • Japanese Candlestick Patterns (Doji, Engulfing): Visual signals of reversal or continuation. • Cycle Analytics: Includes tools like Tom DeMark’s Cycle Indicator. 📊 7. Statistical & Quantitative Indicators Use mathematical models and algorithms for predictive analysis and risk management. • Linear Regression: Fits a trend line to price data. • Z-Score: Measures how far price is from its mean in standard deviations. • Monte Carlo Simulations: Simulates probabilities of future scenarios. • Machine Learning (Neural Networks): Uses AI algorithms to predict prices. • Asset Correlation: Measures relationships between assets (e.g., oil & USD/CAD). • Sharpe Ratio: Evaluates risk-adjusted returns. • Value at Risk (VaR): Estimates potential maximum loss over a timeframe. • Cointegration: Detects long-term relationships between asset pairs. • ARIMA (Time Series Models): Forecasts future movements using historical data. • Kalman Filter: Optimizes real-time market estimates. 📢 8. Market Sentiment Indicators Measure trader emotions and market positioning, such as greed, fear, optimism, or pessimism. • Fear & Greed Index: Combines multiple factors (volatility, volume, surveys) to gauge extreme emotions. • Put/Call Ratio: Compares put vs. call options to assess bearish/bullish expectations. • Commitments of Traders (COT): Weekly report showing institutional positions in futures. • Short Interest: Percentage of shares sold short, indicating bearish sentiment. • AAII Investor Sentiment Survey: Weekly retail investor market outlook. • Social Media Sentiment (Stocktwits, Twitter): NLP-based analysis of online market opinions. 📊 9. Custom/Hybrid Indicators These indicators are developed by traders or platforms to fit specific strategies, combining different techniques and data. • ✅ Volume-Weighted MACD: Integrates the MACD with volume data to filter signals. 📈 RSI with Bollinger Bands: Merges overbought/oversold analysis with volatility measurement. 🔗 Ichimoku + Fibonacci: Combines Ichimoku's dynamic support/resistance with Fibonacci retracements. 📉 SuperTrend with ATR: Adjusts SuperTrend sensitivity using the Average True Range. 🤖 Machine Learning Oscillators: AI-trained indicators (e.g., LSTM-based predictors) to anticipate movements. 📍 Custom Pivot Points: Tailored pivot points based on assets or specific timeframes. 📊 Market Profile + Volume Profile: Merges price-time distribution with volume analysis. ⚖ Synthetic Indicators: Mixes data from multiple assets (e.g., gold/oil ratio) to generate signals. 📆 Seasonality Indicators: Based on historical seasonal patterns (like the “January Rally” effect). 🚀 Hull Moving Average (HMA): Optimized moving average to reduce lag and noise. • 💡 Tip: Experiment and tweak these indicators to fit your personal trading style. 📉 10. Derivatives Market Indicators These indicators are designed for complex instruments like futures and options, allowing a deeper market analysis. • 📊 Open Interest: Number of open contracts in futures or options, indicating trend strength. ⚖ Delta Hedging Ratio: Measures the balance between call and put options. 🔄 Gamma Exposure (GEX): Assesses the impact of market makers on price through gamma hedging. 🌪 Implied Volatility (IV): Expected volatility derived from option prices (e.g., IV Rank). 📊 Skew Index: Measures volatility differences between out-of-the-money options, identifying bullish or bearish trends. 📈 Contango/Backwardation: In futures markets, shows whether prices are overvalued or undervalued relative to the spot market. 💵 Volume Delta: Real-time difference between buying and selling volume. 🔥 Liquidation Heatmaps: In crypto, highlight areas where large margin liquidations occur. 🎭 Options Pain (Max Pain Theory): Indicates the price where option sellers maximize profits. 📊 PCR (Put/Call Ratio) for Options: Similar to the Put/Call Ratio but focused on specific option volume. 🌍 11. Macro-Technical Indicators These indicators integrate technical analysis with macroeconomic factors, providing a broader market perspective. ⚖ Gold/Oil Ratio: Reflects geopolitical risk or inflationary pressures. ⚠ Yield Curve Inversion: Happens when short-term bonds yield more than long-term ones, considered a recession signal. 💲 Dollar Index (DXY) + Commodities: Shows the inverse correlation between the dollar and commodities. 🔗 Bitcoin Dominance: Represents Bitcoin’s market cap percentage relative to the total crypto market. 🚢 Baltic Dry Index: Measures shipping costs, acting as an indicator of global economic activity. 🛢 Copper/Gold Ratio: Relates copper (growth indicator) with gold (safe-haven asset) to predict economic cycles. 📈 Equity Risk Premium: Difference between stock and bond returns, useful for measuring risk appetite. ⚡ TED Spread: Difference between interbank lending rates and Treasury bonds, indicating financial stress. 📊 VIX vs. S&P 500: Links market volatility with index trends. 📉 Inflation Breakeven Rates: Calculates inflation expectations from the difference between TIPS and nominal bonds. 📝 Note: These indicators are especially valuable for contextualizing technical analysis within the global economic landscape. 📈 12. Price Action Indicators These indicators rely on direct price movement analysis, avoiding complex mathematical formulas. 🔹 Horizontal Support & Resistance: Key zones manually drawn based on historical price action. 🕯 Japanese Candlesticks: Patterns (Doji, Hammer, Engulfing, etc.) indicating possible reversals or continuations. 📊 Price Channels: Parallel trendlines framing price movement. 🚀 Breakout/False Breakout: Breaks of key levels that may confirm or turn into traps. 📏 Inside/Outside Bars: Candles that remain within or exceed the range of the previous candle. 📡 Order Flow Analysis: Real-time tracking of buy and sell orders. 🔄 Market Structure: Observing higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows to identify trends. 📊 Volume-by-Price: Side histogram displaying accumulated volume at different price levels. 📏 Wick Analysis: Examining candle wicks to detect rejections at certain levels. 🎯 Open/Close Levels: Using previous open and close prices as psychological references. 💡 Tip: Combining price action with other indicators can provide a more complete and precise market view. 🏆 Conclusion Integrating diverse technical indicators allows for a multifaceted market analysis. Each category—from trends, momentum, and volume to macroeconomic analysis and price action—offers valuable insights that, when combined, strengthen decision-making. 🚀 Key Takeaway: No single indicator is infallible! The real power lies in the synergy of multiple tools and strong risk management. Experiment, fine-tune, and adapt these indicators to your trading style and goals to build an effective and personalized strategy.
Education
by PINE_LABS
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line). Should go (up) Down Upppp! For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
Short
by sofearnot
6
EUR/USD Analysis – Invitri Strategy Masterclass Date of Analysis[/b Status: COMPLETED as predicted! On 24th Feb, we shared this clear Elliott Wave setup using our exclusive Invitri Strategy under Green Fire Forex. Here’s how the move played out step by step: Wave 1-2: Formed the base structure. Wave 3: Strong breakout, as expected – the most powerful wave. Wave 4: Beautiful correction holding between 50%-78% Fibonacci, creating a bullish flag pattern. Wave 5: Final push completing the impulse, exactly as predicted. Entry: After Wave 4 breakout confirmation (red zone). Target: Wave 5 completion (achieved successfully). Result: Full 0–5 wave structure completed with precision. What’s next? Now watching for an ABC correction to unfold from here. Why Invitri Strategy works: Combines Elliott Wave + Fibonacci + Chart Patterns. Focuses on breakout confirmations. Gives high-confidence trades with perfect risk-reward setups. Stay tuned for the next move! —
by Greenfireforex
Brenker block or Order Block + Inducement = Profits EverywhereHello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!! First of, fundamentals are heavy on EURUSD this week, like really heavy. Coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals). Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling shorts. This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 35 pips from the breaker block but if you need a tighter Stop loss then you can use the other point of interest which is the order block i marked out. Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account. Most especially, do your own analysis !
Short
by LaBOSS_FX