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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD : The FED had spokenThis is a continuation of the 'same' idea posted previously. You will notice the 'older' lines. $ assets are getting more 'expensive' with DXY and yield high, which is why stock and even the mighty BTC are falling. Very soon, either $ or yield has to give way and I think most likely it is the $. But there is still a little juice left to this SELL trade. But in the near term, it would be best to look for BUY instead. Good luck and keep an eye on the 10s as usual.
Long
by i_am_siew
3
Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 50% Fiboancci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0537 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.0604 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.0401 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Prediction of EURUSD price decrease in the near future?Dear Traders, The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around the 1.0378 mark, extending its bearish momentum for several consecutive days. This persistent decline has been largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cuts, which have bolstered the US dollar and exerted downward pressure on this major currency pair. Analyzing the 4-hour chart, it’s evident that the pair remains below the 34-period EMA, signaling that the bearish trend is far from over. After failing to sustain the upward momentum near the 1.0450 level, the price resumed its descent, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market. Given these factors, my personal analysis suggests that the downtrend is likely to accelerate in the near term. Any potential corrective pullbacks, in this context, could present strategic opportunities for sellers to re-enter the market. What’s your perspective on this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments below—I’d love to hear your take!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
EUR/USD: Awaiting the Fed for the Christmas Rally!EUR/USD continues to show weakness, hovering near weekly lows at 1.0453, reflecting an unfavorable macroeconomic outlook for the euro. The ECB's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, combined with the removal of the term "restrictive" in its monetary policy stance and the projection of inflation nearing 2% on a sustainable basis, indicates a less aggressive approach by the central bank, with negative implications for the euro. Christine Lagarde also highlighted downside risks to economic growth, amplifying concerns about the Eurozone. On the U.S. front, a higher-than-expected PPI and an increase in initial jobless claims suggest a mix of inflationary pressures and potential signs of labor market softening. The dollar benefits from strong demand driven by these economic dynamics and the perception of U.S. resilience compared to the Eurozone. Technically, the pair remains in a clear downtrend. In the short term, focus shifts to Federal Reserve statements and U.S. inflation data, which could further strengthen the dollar if they confirm a more robust economic context in the U.S. compared to Europe.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EUR/USD → Consolidates Ahead of Key Fed Interest Rate DecisionHello everyone, Ben here! EUR/USD saw a sluggish upward movement on Monday, drifting towards the upper bounds of its short-term consolidation range just north of 1.0500, though lacking any significant conviction. With relatively limited European data this week, Fiber traders are bracing for a heavy U.S. data docket. In the short term, the trend remains neutral, but prices are consolidating near a critical support level that has held firm for two years. Aggressive rate cuts in Europe are putting pressure on the pair, with expectations set for December 17th-18th. The Fed is widely anticipated to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). However, any hawkish signals from the Fed aimed at taming inflation would increase the downside potential for EUR/USD. Support levels: 1.045, 1.033 Resistance levels: 1.060, 1.065 From an interest rate perspective, within the context of a broader downtrend, price has yet to reach the key liquidity zone. Ahead of the news, I anticipate that the price will climb towards 1.060. However, based on both technical and fundamental outlooks, bearish momentum is expected to resume, and a break below the 1.045 support level will solidify the downward trend. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD: Euro Under Pressure, the Impact of Future Rate cutsThe EUR/USD currency pair began its London session with a promising bullish impulse. Initially, it appeared that the euro was gaining traction as investors showed renewed interest. However, this optimism was short-lived as the European Central Bank (ECB) officials signaled support for further interest rate cuts, leading to a swift reversal of intraday gains. Market analysts expect the ECB to implement a substantial interest rate reduction of around 100 basis points in the upcoming year. This prospective easing of monetary policy has raised concerns among investors, prompting them to reevaluate their positions in the euro. As the sentiment shifts, market participants are paying close attention to the ECB’s next moves and how they will impact the euro's valuation. In addition to developments from the ECB, investors are also focused on the Federal Reserve's dot plot, which will provide insights into future interest rate projections in the United States. As the Fed navigates its monetary policy landscape, any signals of tightening could play a significant role in influencing global currency movements, particularly with the euro in the spotlight. The Current State of the Euro As I write this article, the euro has surrendered its intraday gains and is trading around the critical psychological level of 1.0490. This decline reflects strong bearish pressure currently weighing on the currency. From a technical analysis perspective, the trends suggest a sustained downturn, raising questions about the euro's ability to regain its footing. Looking back over the past decade, seasonality data reveals a generally bullish trend for the euro during this period. However, the recent political climate, particularly the election of President Trump, has fortified the DXY’s (U.S. Dollar Index) upward momentum. This unexpected resilience of the dollar adds another layer of complexity to the euro’s outlook. With a target price established at 1.0350 for the euro, market analysts see potential for further declines. If the euro approaches this level, it could prompt a reaction from traders. However, at this juncture, the sentiment indicates little chance for a significant reversal in direction. The coming weeks will be critical as both European and U.S. economic data continue to unfold, shaping the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair. In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair started on a bullish note, the recent signals from the ECB and the prevailing market sentiment point toward a challenging environment for the euro in the short term. Traders will need to navigate carefully as they weigh the implications of interest rate cuts and geopolitical developments in their strategies. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
4
Welcome to my EUR/USD analysis for today.The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.05028, trading within the downtrend channel and below 2/8 Murray. Technically, the euro is under bearish pressure and is expected to trade below the psychological level of 1.0500 in the next few hours. The EUR/USD pair is one of the most traded currency pairs in the world, representing the value of the euro against the US dollar. As the global economy continues to navigate through uncertain times, it is essential to keep a close eye on this currency pair. In this article, i will delve into an in-depth analysis of the EUR/USD pair, provide the latest updates, and explore possible future trends. The EUR/USD pair has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent months, and today is no exception. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.04596, down 0.83% from the previous day's close. On the other hand, the US dollar has been gaining strength due to its safe-haven status amidst the global uncertainties. Despite today's minor setback, many experts believe that the EUR/USD pair is poised for a bullish run in the coming days. The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained a dovish stance, signaling a potential increase in stimulus measures to support the economy. This could weaken the euro in the short-term, but in the long run, it could lead to a recovery as the economy picks up. In contrast, the US Federal Reserve has recently announced a shift in its inflation targeting strategy, which could weaken the US dollar. The fed has indicated that it will allow inflation to run slightly above its target of 2% for some time before considering a rate hike. This move could potentially lead to a weaker dollar, which could benefit the EUR/USD pair. Technical analysis also supports a bullish trend for the EUR/USD pair. The pair has been trading above the 1.04554 level, which is a significant support level. If the pair manages to break above the 1.06051 resistance level, it could open the door for a potential rally towards the 1.06843 and 1.08010 psychological level. As traders, it is crucial to keep a close watch on key economic events that could impact the EUR/USD pair's performance. In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair is worth watching closely today. While recent economic data and short-term market trends may suggest a bearish outlook, many factors point towards a potential bullish run in the future. As always, it is essential to stay updated, monitor key economic events, and make informed trading decisions. I hope this analysis has provided valuable insights for your trading strategy. Happy trading?
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
EURUSD NExt year bullishI believe we may see a potential bearish structure commonly referred to as the “Bart Simpson” pattern, followed by a clear upward trend with a prolonged rally and periodic signs of European recovery. This outlook is supported by the expectation that the United States will move away from Democratic governance, and that a similar shift will occur in core European countries that were previously undermined by these corrupt, progressive left-wing governments.
Long
by youbottrade
1
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from. Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now! Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities. Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
by PipSurfingSociety
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Analysis The EURUSD pair is forming a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, which typically signals a potential bullish reversal. The price is currently consolidating within the wedge, and a breakout above the resistance line would indicate a shift in momentum to the upside, offering a strong buy opportunity. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Falling Wedge Forecast: Buy ( More Buy Opportunity upon Resistance Breakout) Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position after the price breaks above the wedge's resistance line and confirms the breakout with bullish price action, such as a strong close above the resistance or a retest of the breakout level. Traders should monitor supporting indicators like RSI for oversold conditions or MACD for a bullish crossover. Risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below recent lows and profit targets set at key resistance levels above the wedge.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER