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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Euro Steady as EU Retaliates on TariffsThe euro hovered around 1.0980 on Thursday, supported by rising trade tensions and renewed political stability in the Eurozone. Sentiment favored the currency after China raised tariffs on all U.S. goods to 84% from 34%, retaliating against Washington’s hike to 104% on Chinese imports. The European Commission also approved retaliatory tariffs on €21 billion worth of U.S. goods, including soybeans, motorcycles, and orange juice. The escalation pushed investors away from typical safe havens like the dollar and Treasuries. Political stability in Germany further supported the euro, as the CDU/CSU and SPD finalized a coalition, clearing the way for Friedrich Merz to become Chancellor next month. The ECB is also expected to cut rates by 25 basis points later this month. Key resistance is at 1.1020, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1150. Support lies at 1.0880, then 1.0810 and 1.0730.
by ChartMage
Euro Strengthens as Dollar Weakens !The Euro rose significantly against the US dollar during yesterday's session, Thursday, April 3, 2025, successfully breaching the resistance level at 1.09547 and establishing a new high above it. This upward movement followed the decision by the US president to impose tariffs on approximately 180 countries, significantly impacting the performance of the US dollar negatively. Currently, EUR/USD is experiencing a corrective downward movement that could extend towards the support level at 1.08211, considered an ideal point for resuming the bullish trend targeting the next level at 1.10490. The positive outlook remains valid unless the pair breaks below the critical support at 1.07331 with a daily candle closure beneath it. Such a scenario would invalidate the bullish scenario and strengthen bearish possibilities. Today, markets await the release of the US employment data, where the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are expected to decline from 151K to 137K. A reading higher than expected could positively impact the dollar and negatively affect the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.1%, and any decrease below this level would support the dollar, adding further downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
by CFI
EURUSD(20250407) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.0995 Support and resistance levels: 1.1177 1.1109 1.1065 1.0926 1.0882 1.0814 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.0995, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1065 If the price breaks through 1.0926, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0882
by BraveTigercat
EURUSD Bearish Flag Breakdown Incoming?EURUSD has formed a clear bearish flag pattern on the 2H timeframe after a strong bearish impulse. Price is currently respecting the descending trendline (red) and showing rejection near the upper boundary. Break below the flag support can potentially drive price towards the 1.07000 level, and further down to the major support at 1.06320. Watch for bearish confirmation before entering. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.10000 Support 1: 1.07000 Support 2: 1.06320 Bias: Bearish Timeframe: 2H Note: Always use proper risk management and wait for a breakout confirmation.
Short
by Singnals_Teacher