A Classic ICT 2022 model. London session.Time macro, liquidity sweep. 15 min OB. And price delivered continuation in NY.
USDEUX trade ideas
A Classic TGIF trade. Price took sell-side liquidity during the newyork kill zone, traded up creating an order block and price traded back to the bullish order-block. With a position size calculator, that was a great risk to reward trade.
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.17808 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.17671.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dollar dives as Fed rate cut bets grow | FX ResearchThe US dollar faced renewed pressure at the start of July, with the dollar index dropping to its lowest since February of 2022, marking a 10.8% decline in the first half of 2025—the worst since 1973. Driven by geopolitical tensions and Trump trade policies, President Trump's ongoing criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Powell and the Fed's high interest rates, combined with Goldman Sachs's revised forecast of three rate cuts starting in September, signal a dovish shift that could further weaken the dollar.
Eurodollar surged to its highest since September of 2021, though ECB Vice President De Guindos noted potential concerns if it exceeds 1.20, while the EU considers accepting a US 10% tariff in exchange for lower rates on key sectors.
Emerging market ETFs saw $1.22 billion in inflows last week, reflecting de-dollarization trends amid easing Middle East tensions and Fed rate cut bets. Meanwhile, China’s Caixin PMI rose and Japan’s Q2 Tankan data beat expectations, supporting risk-on sentiment.
Today’s focus is on US JOLTS job openings and manufacturing ISM data, alongside an ECB forum panel with key central bank leaders, which could influence market expectations.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
TiqGpt setup for todayMARKET NARRATIVE: The EUR/USD currency pair across multiple timeframes shows a consistent bullish momentum, indicating strong buying pressure. Starting from the 1D chart down to the 1m chart, there is a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting institutional accumulation and a lack of significant sell-side pressure. The 1D and 4H charts display a series of green candles with minimal wicks, indicating that the market is in a strong bullish phase with little retracement. The 1H and lower timeframes show some consolidation, but the overall structure remains bullish, suggesting that institutions are still in control of the price action.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, consistently pushing the price higher. The lack of deep pullbacks and the formation of higher lows across timeframes suggest that there is ongoing demand at higher price levels. This is indicative of a liquidity grab above the current highs, where institutions may be targeting stop losses placed by retail traders who are positioned for a reversal.
LEARNING POINT: The consistent bullish candles with minimal retracement across higher timeframes (1D, 4H) highlight a strong institutional buying phase, potentially leading to a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: EUR/USD ENTRY PRICE: $1.18140 STOP LOSS: $1.17950 (below the recent minor consolidation on the 1H chart) TARGET PRICE: $1.18500 (just below the next psychological round number and potential liquidity pool) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $1.18140 after a minor retracement confirms continued buying interest. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: Institutional Accumulation, Liquidity Sweep Targeting URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on the consistency of the bullish structure and lack of significant bearish counter-signals) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = $1.18140 - $1.17950 = $0.00190
Reward = $1.18500 - $1.18140 = $0.00360
Ratio = $0.00360 / $0.00190 = 1:1.89
Given that the risk/reward ratio is slightly below the required 2:1, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better entry point that could provide a higher reward relative to the risk or adjust the target price if market conditions change to improve the potential reward.
Wedge Top Short ScalpIt looks like EURUSD is forming a Wedge Top extended from the 20 EMA, presenting a Short Scalp opportunity targeting the move back to the EMA in the next few days.
Depending on how the current daily candle closes, this could be a good trade, so I'll be watching it today.
The bull trend is strong on this one, so we should expect a quick resolution on this short trade, otherwise, we have to cut it off quickly. I don't wan to be against this trend.
After the move back to the EMA, we will potentially have a Breakout Pullback opportunity to trade With Trend. So there's no need to rush.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, and welcome!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the mutual tariff suspension deadline of July 9, saying, “We can do whatever we want. We could extend it, or shorten it,” leaving the door open for an extension.
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that trade negotiations could be finalized by September 1, adding that agreements were nearing completion with more than 10 of the 18 major trading partners.
- President Trump noted that Canada is preparing to implement a digital tax, saying, “We will halt all trade discussions with Canada and within the next seven days inform them of the tariffs they must pay to operate in the U.S.”
- The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May met expectations at 2.3% year-over-year, while the Core PCE Price Index slightly exceeded expectations at 2.7% year-over-year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 30: U.K. Q1 GDP
+ July 1: Eurozone June CPI, Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey)
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is showing a steep upward trend after breaking through a previous resistance level. Further upside potential appears to remain, with the next projected target area around the 1.18500–1.19000 range. However, there is currently a resistance zone in place, making it highly likely that a short-term dip may occur before the upward trend resumes.
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1745, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fib extension.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1582, an overlap support.
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EUR/USD BULL RAID: Quick Profit Heist Before the Drop!🏴☠️ EUR/USD "The Fiber" HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! 🚨💰
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🤑
🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Activated! 🔥
Our bullish heist on EUR/USD is LIVE—time to swipe the loot before the bears set their trap! 🎯💸
📈 Entry (Vault is OPEN!):
Buy Limit Orders preferred (15M/30M swing levels).
Alert up! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Nearest Swing Low (1.15200) on 30M TF.
Adjust for your risk & lot size—no reckless robberies!
🎯 Target (Profit Hideout): 1.16400
Scalpers: Stick to LONG only—trail your SL to lock gold!
Swing Traders: Ride the wave or split the haul.
⚡ Why This Heist?
Bullish momentum + weak bears = perfect robbery conditions.
Overbought? Yes. Risky? Absolutely. But thieves thrive in chaos!
📢 Pro Tip:
Avoid news spikes (volatility = jail time for unprepared traders).
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car.
💥 BOOST THIS PLAN!
Hit 👍, share 🔄, and let’s drain this market together! More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🐱👤
(Disclaimer: Trade smart. We’re thieves, not gambleers.)
EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD
JUNE MONTH DELIVERY
*June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle
*Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021
*Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium
*Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace
*Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week
June 27 DELIVERY
*Thursday into Friday price consolidates
*Asia takes minor equal lows
*2 London macro expands to the buy side
*small retrace
*6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs
*10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side
*14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery
*Price closes just above the 50 in a premium
NFP WEEK IDEAS
Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought
*I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week
*could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037
*Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week
June 30 IDEAS
*Parent bias is bull stick to it this week
*Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618
*Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day
*watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news
*Sundays delivery could consolidation
*Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs
*see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
EURUSD Trade IdeaEURUSD is Bullish, on the weekly and daily time frame.
With RSI near the overbought region on the daily timeframe, there is a great probability that the trend perform a pull back to the support level @1.1590 zone.
If the trend break the CHocH at the 4Hr timeframe (body candle not wick), then will go short till 1.1600 level. If the news this coming week are in favor of the USD, we might see more drawdown till the Order block OB4H.
Let's be patient and watch the market carefully
Good Luck!
EURUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1716 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1635
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the course of this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited a strong rebound, successfully retesting and surpassing the Outer Currency Rally threshold of 1.163. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is poised for further upward advancement, with the key target to reach the outer currency rally target of 1.177. Nonetheless, it is essential to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline to the Mean Support level of 1.160 before a definitive upward movement.
EURUSD : Not yetSeems like it is very tempted to SELL now.
I do not think today is the day.
Maybe next Monday.
EURUSD short to 1.56Currently testing 1M resistance area and 1D downtrend line.
Expecting retracement to 1D up trendline.
DXY is also testing 1W uptrend line
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price formed an intraday rising wedge right inside the 1.1615-1.1635 supply band; the wedge has broken lower and the last two candles closed back under the long-term trendline retest.
● Bearish follow-through is favoured while price stays below 1.1604; first magnet is the confluence of former breakout base and inner channel support at 1.1569, with 1.1547 (mid-June pivot) the next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fresh Euro-area PMIs dipped below consensus while U.S. consumer-confidence beat, widening the short-rate gap and reviving USD bids.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies ≤1.1600; targets 1.1569 → 1.1547. Bias invalid if 30-min candle closes above 1.1635.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
EURUSD Technical Outlook Bearish TrendEURUSD Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
EURUSD has been pushing higher over the past few sessions, reaching a key liquidity zone. On the 4-hour chart, we’ve observed a clean sweep of previous highs, indicating a potential liquidity grab.
From this zone, there's a high probability of a downside move, especially if the price fails to sustain above this level. Any bounce from this zone that lacks momentum may signal bullish exhaustion, opening the door for sellers to step in.
Resistance zone 1.16500
Support zone 1.14500
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
Euro Dollar, institutions are still bullish ($1.20 this summer?)There's one constant on the floating exchange market (Forex) this year, the US dollar is by far the weakest currency. It's the same scenario as the first months of Donald Trump's first term in office in 2017 repeating itself. The US President's stated aim is to give US exporters a competitive exchange rate.
The Euro exchange rate is also being supported higher by a combination of fundamental factors, notably a relative catch-up of European assets against US stock market assets. It is the sum of these fundamentals that is enabling a well-constructed uptrend in the EUR/USD rate on FX this year 2025. A new monthly technical close was recorded on the evening of Monday June 30, and with technical resistances breached, it looks as if the euro-dollar rate is on course to reach $1.20 this summer.
1) A new monthly technical close (June technical close) continues to support the euro-dollar's annual uptrend
The June technical close has been in place for the euro-dollar since the start of the week, providing further bullish chart confirmation. The euro-dollar price has confirmed that it has broken through a descending resistance line in place since the 2008 financial crisis. The price is converging with its momentum (represented here by the RSI and LMACD technical indicators) and the next natural technical target lies at $1.20. This is a technical target for the summer, bearing in mind that in the short term, a move back towards support at $1.15 and $1.17 remains possible.
The chart below shows monthly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the Ichimoku, RSI and LMACD technical indicators
2) Institutional traders are still bullish on the euro-dollar rate, according to the CFTC's COT report
What's most interesting about the overall analytical approach is the convergence between technical analysis signals and institutional positioning signals on the EUR/USD rate.
According to the CFTC's COT (Commitment Of Traders) report, institutional traders (hedge funds + asset managers) became net buyers of the euro dollar at the start of 2025, and weekly updates of this positioning data show that their buying exposure is increasing as the EUR/USD price rises. This bullish convergence between chartism and institutional investor positioning lends credibility to a scenario that would see the euro dollar reach resistance at $1.20 this summer. This market view would be invalidated if support at $1.14 were broken.
The two charts below show institutional traders' positions on Euro Dollar futures. Institutional traders were predominantly bullish at the start of the year, and month after month, they are increasing their buying exposure.
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Eurusd 1Hr chart Analaysis EUR/USD is currently in a bullish trend and is expected to reach the 1.17801 – 1.18010 range. A bearish retracement is likely to occur around those levels.
Note: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East could have a significant impact on the market.
EURUSDEUR/USD Bias: Bullish
(Market is positioned for euro strength vs. dollar weakness, so EUR/USD likely to move higher)
Speculators are confident in euro strength, and mildly bearish on the dollar — giving EUR/USD a clear upward bias.
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.17460 👀 Possible scenario:
On June 30, the euro (EUR) rose 0.15% to 1.17500, briefly reaching 1.17540—its highest level since September 2021—marking a 1.57% weekly gain, the strongest since May 19. The rally was driven by broad U.S. dollar weakness as markets adjusted to signs of slowing U.S. growth and subdued inflation, fueling expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, resilient European data supported the euro.
On June 30, investors will closely monitor speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials for policy signals, with particular focus on President Christine Lagarde’s address at 5:00 p.m. UTC, which may provide key insights into the ECB’s monetary stance.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.15900
Resistance level is located at 1.17460
EURUSD BUY SETUP 1:5HELLO HOW ARE YOU ?
What i think about market ?
I Think the market will take liquidity
and will reach imbalance , then touch the supply area
and last will go up boooom
