EURUSD Reaches Key Resistance – Reversal or BreakoutEURUSD has rallied back to the 1.1382 resistance level, a zone where price previously rejected multiple times. Current structure suggests price is approaching a decision point, where it may either:
Form a double top or head-and-shoulders reversal
Or break out toward 1.1573, the next major resistance
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.13825 → Critical decision zone
Support: 1.11442 → First major downside target
Deep Support: 1.10846 → Recent low
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Case (Primary Setup)
Price fails to break above 1.1382
Reversal candlestick forms below resistance
Breakdown may target:
1.1144 (first support)
1.1084 (continuation target)
🔹 Bullish Case (Less Likely Unless Confirmed)
Break and close above 1.1382
Bullish continuation to 1.1573
Would signal shift in medium-term trend bias
Chart Pattern Notes:
Price has made multiple lower highs, but also held structure
A triple top or reversal setup is forming unless bulls break decisively
Bearish wedge and neckline structures from past price action support downside risk
Fundamental Watch:
USD volatility from Fed speakers, PMI data
Eurozone risk sentiment and ECB inflation comments
Correlation with DXY (which is near support)
Conclusion:
📌 Rejection at 1.1382 likely leads to downside toward 1.1144
📌 Break above 1.1382 invalidates bearish setup and targets 1.1573
Wait for confirmation candle or momentum before execution.
