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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD short: IEEPA; You're fired...Hello traders I have been sitting on my hands since my last post. Thanks to @InternalTraderNYC to exercise patience. No trades, no harm. But keeping an eagle eye on the daily market chaos. I know this may come across as "told you so" but whatever I post is always with the goal of bouncing ideas and insights off my fellow trading warriors. I mentioned the IEEPA and the Court of International Trade as a reminder that there are legal avenues to contest the tariffs in this idea I had been following any and all developments after the 14 state lawsuit that challenged the validity of using the IEEPA as a pretext to impose the tariffs. Although I was dubious about any mechanism/court/legislation/congressional action that could moderate the tariffs, the Court of International Trade, based in Manhattan, NY has spoken. The USD rallied as a result for, oh, so many reasons. The FOMC interest rate is still the highest of the G7. Trump's Big Beautiful Bill was already on thin ice with the House because it was predicated on increasing our insane national debt because "tariffs" would pay for the tax cuts for the 1%. The bond market is already showing signs of US borrowing power becoming cheaper. There is finally an adult in the room: The Court of International Trade. Musk has officially departed the employ of the United States Government after criticizing Trump's Big Beautiful Bill. No one knows what happened behind closed doors but what we all know is that no one is allowed to contradict or criticize DJT... At this point, I'll gloat. :)) I mentioned in one of my Ideas that Musk will be the first to depart the Trump inner circle. Only so much room for two of the biggest three narcissists on the planet. Yup, Putin is number 3. The FOMC mentioned the "R" word in their minutes that were published today: Recession possibility stemming from trade policy. Let's see what the US Senate does with this bill. Stay tuned folks and watch the developments. This mess is far from over. It is all but guaranteed that this will head to the US Supreme Court. As for trades, I am inserting a link to my previous Christmas Tree chart layout. www.tradingview.com The most important take away is that the 10Y T-bill is already cheaper for a higher yield. Best of luck!!!
by jvrfxalerts
1
Euro may grow to resistance level and then drop to 1.1275 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming a strong upward move from the buyer zone (1.11850–1.1210), the price rose sharply, broke the mid-range resistance, and entered the seller zone between 1.1380 and 1.1400. Once it reached the upper boundary of the broadening wedge, the price bounced down from resistance at 1.1380. Now the price is trading inside a broadening wedge, showing signs of a potential reversal. After failing to hold above resistance, the Euro started to decline from the seller zone, confirming selling pressure. The current movement points to a correction within the wedge structure. I expect the Euro will continue falling toward 1.1275, my TP 1, where the support line of the wedge coincides with the upper boundary of the previous buyer zone. This zone has already shown strong reactions before and could act as a short-term reversal area. Given the recent rejection from resistance, the broadening wedge formation, and return from the seller zone, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
15
EUR/USD Lower-High - Of Interest for USD-StrengthAs looked at in the last post the US Dollar is currently working on a doji for the month of May and the weakness that was widespread through March and the first three weeks of April has dissipated over the past month and change. USD/JPY has been a big part of that, following the pair's 140.00 test last month which has so far held at a higher-low. But - if looking for USD-strength, EUR/USD may make for a more compelling backdrop. The pair has so far held a lower-high at the 1.1400 handle following last month's failed run at 1.1500. Notably, this also coincides with a bearish trendline, drawn from 2021 highs which came back into play last month to hold resistance for three consecutive weeks. The lower high showing now further reinforces the view that a local top may be in-place on the pair. If looking to work with USD-strength on the basis of a turn, EUR/USD looks like one of the more compelling major FX pairs, whereas markets like GBP/USD and USD/CAD seem situated more attractively for USD-weakness scenarios. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.133. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.124 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD: Sell Opportunity after support breakOANDA:EURUSD has broken below a key support zone, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The price is now pulling back to retest this area, which previously acted as support and may now act as resistance—aligning with the possibility of continued downside. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price may decline further toward the 1.12250 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above this zone could indicate the start of a new bullish trend. Before considering any short positions, look for confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wick rejections from resistance, or rising selling volume. This is just my view on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Good luck!
Short
by LucasMgoldview
4
EUR/USD 1H AnalysisWhat we’ve got here on EUR/USD looks like a clean Elliott Wave setup shaping up. There’s a strong 5-wave move up that likely forms Wave 1, followed by a simple ABC correction — that gives us Wave 2. Now price is reacting from that C point, and this could be the beginning of Wave 3, which is usually the most powerful part of the trend. 🟩 Entry Zone: 1.114 – 1.12 🎯 TP: 1.14 🛑 SL: 1.109 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade. Keep an eye on it — could be a solid setup if it confirms. Drop your thoughts if you're trading this too 👇
by TheWaveHunter
1
EURUSD: Bullish Megaphone unfolds its new bullish wave.EURUSD just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.015, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 31.789) as it maintains a sustainable short term uptrend through a Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MA50 has assumed the role of the medium term Support and the 3rd bullish wave is already under way. We expect it to repeat at least the previous +2.59% wave, having a TP = 1.14950. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EURUSD Update – Exceptional Long Entry As mentioned in our previous post, we were waiting for price to react from one of the key demand zones: 🔹 1.12250 – 1.12500 🔹 1.1190 – 1.12060 ✅ We entered a long position on the 3-minute timeframe after getting a personal confirmation trigger. The result? An exceptional entry with a minimum of 100 pips profit so far. 📍 Now it's time to secure profits and wait for the next structure to form. We’ve been patiently waiting all week for price to hit this area – and it played out perfectly. Great execution! ✅ Keep in touch!
Long
by ProfitaminFX
EURUSD Follow Ascending channel bullish strong from supportFX:EURUSD Technical Outlook – 1H Time Frame ✨ By Livia FX:EURUSD has been respecting a strong ascending channel, demonstrating bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.12600. Price action continues to make higher highs and higher lows, confirming buyer control within the current structure. 📈 Key Highlight: The pair is steadily approaching the 1.14000 level, a notable supply zone where previous selling pressure emerged. This level marks the next potential target for bulls, with possible resistance or profit-taking interest around that area. 💡 Outlook: As long as price remains above the midline of the channel and holds above 1.12600, the bullish bias remains intact. Watch for potential consolidation or reaction at 1.14000.
Long
by LIVIATRACK
1
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview Current Price: 1.12753 Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area. 🧱 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target) Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target) Intermediate Zones: Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈 Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉 🔄 Scenario Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards: 1.14139 (minor target) 1.15639 (major resistance & final target) 🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower: First support at 1.11687 Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone 🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure. 🧠 Conclusion This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
by VikingFx-Community
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1361, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1296, a pullback support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.1392 a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
1
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.126 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price broke the two-year descending channel roof and completed a daily “cup-with-handle”; the handle low held exactly on the 1.121-1.128 former supply, confirming it as demand. ● Pattern height added to the breakout line projects to 1.1600, which coincides with the violet channel-top; next target is the upper parallel / 1.1950, while the handle floor at 1.1080 guards the trend. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Euro support grows as April EZ wage-growth beat ECB staff forecasts, tempering expectations for an aggressive easing cycle, while softer US core-PCE keeps real-yield spreads tilting in the euro’s favour. ✨ Summary Long bias intact above 1.121; objectives 1.145 breakout ➜ 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on a daily close below 1.1080. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you. Looking at the chart, if EUR-USD breaks above 1.12930 on the 1-hour time frame, I expect the price to move up to 1.15244. During this upward movement, I anticipate a pullback at 1.13805, with the price possibly retracing down to 1.12000. After this, I expect the price to continue its move upwards towards 1.15244. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Price to move up to 1.15244 after breaking above 1.12930. Pullback Expected: A possible pullback to 1.12000 after reaching 1.13805 before the price continues upwards to 1.15244. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.15244 Support: 1.12000 💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
Long
by PouyanTradeFX
1