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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Sell EUR - 4HTrade Setup Trade Bias: Bearish (Price is making lower highs and lower lows, with recent rejection from a resistance zone.) Entry Price: 1.0380 (After a minor pullback to previous support turned resistance.) Stop Loss: 1.0430 (Above the recent swing high and key resistance.) Take Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0320 (Previous support zone.) TP2: 1.0275 (Extended target near the next major support.) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2+ (Depending on execution, targeting at least twice the risk.) Trade Rationale: Price action shows a bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. The market recently rejected a key resistance zone. A pullback to 1.0380 could provide an optimal short entry before continuation downward. Bearish momentum aligns with the overall trend, increasing the probability of further downside. www.tradingview.com
Short
by ShlomoYahbes
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R ShortEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R Short Opportunity Current Market Structure The EUR/USD is displaying a clear bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with price action showing lower highs and lower lows since late 2024. Analysis of the charts reveals: Daily timeframe: Sustained downtrend since October 2024, with price currently testing resistance near 1.0380 4-hour timeframe: "Confirmed" bearish alignment with both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA positioned below the 55 EMA 1-hour timeframe: Similar bearish configuration, reinforcing the short bias EMA System Confirmation The proprietary EMA System Status indicator demonstrates strong bearish conviction: 240 Signal: Bearish 240 Trend: Bearish Alignment: Confirmed This triple confirmation suggests high-probability conditions for short entries. Key Technical Levels Support Levels: 1.0300: Psychological round number 1.0230: Recent swing low and profit target 1.0200: Major psychological support Resistance Levels: 1.0400: Key resistance zone with 200 EMA confluence 1.0430: Stop placement zone above recent swing high 1.0500: Major psychological resistance Correlation Analysis Supporting the bearish thesis, the DXY (Dollar Index) shows a complementary bullish structure with: Confirmed bullish alignment on the 4-hour timeframe Recent break above the 107.00 resistance level Bullish momentum in MACD This inverse correlation adds significant weight to the EUR/USD short setup. Trade Parameters Entry Strategy: Short at 1.03632 Stop Loss at 1.04287 (65.5 pips) Profit Target at 1.02296 (133.6 pips) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.04 Risk Management: 1% account risk allocation 0.5 lot position size $500 risk per trade (on $50,000 account) Potential profit: $1,019.85 Technical Confluence Factors Several factors align to support this trade setup: Price rejecting at 55 EMA resistance on multiple timeframes MACD showing bearish momentum and alignment Weekly and daily session boundaries reinforcing resistance zones Recent higher timeframe rejection of the 200 EMA Market Timing Considerations The European and US economic calendars should be monitored for: ECB monetary policy statements Federal Reserve commentary US dollar-impacting economic data releases Conclusion The EUR/USD presents a high-probability short opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.04. All key technical indicators align bearishly across multiple timeframes, with strong correlation confirmation from the DXY. This setup fits the criteria for a "Confirmed" signal within our trading system, meeting our standards for trade execution. Trade management will follow our established protocol with potential scaling out at interim support levels and trailing stops implemented once price moves beyond the 1:1 risk-reward ratio point.
Short
by FXCapitalClub
Correction down for EUHi traders, Last week EU went up just as I've said in my outlook. But I did not expect such an impulsive (almost vertical) move up (wave 3) so I've updated the wave count. Price smashed through the bearish Daily and Weekly FVG (making it a BPR) and now rejected from the bearish Daily FVG higher. So next week we could see a pullback into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. You don't want to intratrade a wave 4. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
by EduwaveTrading
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the preliminary phase of the Inner Currency Rally, the Euro achieved a significant milestone of 1.060 during the current week's trading session. Demonstrating an unprecedented surge in "dead-cat rally" sentiment, it subsequently completed our next targeted level of Inner Currency Rally of 1.086. As a result, the market has established a Mean Support target at 1.077, which the ongoing pullback indicates may be the next point of focus. This price movement may also lead to a further decline toward an additional Mean Support level of 1.057. Conversely, should the anticipated downward trend fail to materialize, the Eurodollar may initiate an upward trend toward the Mean Resistance level of 1.091. This movement could aim for the ultimate Outer Currency Rally level of 1.124 in the near future.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD : Lets anticipateWhat we can see from yesterday was price moving as anticipated. It is a simple move to get supplies. Yesterday, it was at 1.0845/50 where price duly move to. Today, there are no more supplies beyond 1.0800 - what this means is that the groundwork for TRAP is now happening. Idiots will BUY when price is HIGH!!! After securing supplies yesterday, how nice it would be to lay a TRAP today. As we can see, there is a D for every occasion - as long as you have the experience to 'see' it. Now we have a D on top of a D. Beyond this D2, do NOT play. Good luck.
Short
by i_am_siew
EUR/USD Holds Steady Near 1.0500 as Markets Await ECB Decision During Tuesday’s European session, the EUR/USD pair maintains stability near the critical 1.0500 level, supported by geopolitical developments and anticipation of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy announcement. A major factor influencing market sentiment is the renewed push for a peace plan in Ukraine. European officials, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, have agreed to work toward a resolution aimed at ending the two-year-long conflict. Traders are optimistic that a potential truce could help restore Eurozone supply chains, boosting confidence in the euro. ECB Rate Decision in Focus The ECB’s upcoming policy meeting on Thursday remains the key driver for the euro this week. According to a Reuters poll conducted from February 19–27, the central bank is expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.5%. If confirmed, this would mark the first rate cut in the ECB’s easing cycle. A dovish stance has been reinforced by concerns over U.S. trade policies. Market participants fear that President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs could weigh on Eurozone economic growth, pushing the ECB toward a more accommodative approach. Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch EUR/USD continues to hold above the 72-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0480, signaling a short-term bullish trend. The key resistance level for euro bulls stands at 1.0533, and a breakout above this level could open the door for further gains. On the downside, the pair finds initial support at 1.0420. A decisive break below this zone may trigger further declines toward the next key support level at 1.0330.
by softt_inc
My A plus Eur Usd - Entry A plus Head and shoulders 9am NY time Asian highs taken watch my youtube channel on my links. DXY weakens further amid rising job cuts and trade deficit concerns. Challenger Job Cuts report shows layoffs surged over 100% in February. ECB cuts rates by 25 basis points, revising inflation outlook upward. US Jobless Claims and trade balance data highlight economic strains. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is extending its losing streak on Thursday as fresh labor market and trade data put additional pressure on the Greenback. Job cuts surged dramatically, while weekly jobless claims showed a mixed picture of the labor market. Ahead of the Asian session, the buck got a boost and managed to clear some of its daily losses due to Federal Reserve's Fed Waller commenting that he sees 'no cuts in the next March meeting'. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a widely anticipated rate cut, with President Christine Lagarde emphasizing the need for heightened vigilance in uncertain economic conditions.
by EZIO-FX
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge. Key Details: Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move. Targets: Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels. Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point. This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
Long
by Charts_M7M
ECB Rate Cut Expected as EU Unveils €800B Defense PlanThe euro neared $1.08, a four-month high, as increased defense spending and borrowing strengthened Eurozone optimism. Germany’s CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to exceed 1% of GDP in defense spending and create a €500 billion off-budget fund. EU plans to mobilize €800 billion for defense, with €150 billion in loans and more fiscal flexibility. The ECB is expected to cut rates for the fifth time this week. Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0760, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage