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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🧭 EURUSD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: April 4, 2025 🔒 Format: Institutional Swing Precision 🔖 Plan Type: Swing Buy Setup 📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal Continuation 🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) 📌 Status: Monitoring for Rejection in Buy Zone 📍 ENTRY ZONES: 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0940 – 1.0965 – D1 demand zone retest – 61.8% Fibo of impulse leg – H1/H4 support shelf – Breaker block retest from previous expansion leg 🟧 Secondary Buy Zone (Deeper Tap): 1.0910 – 1.0930 – Full sweep of liquidity – Below unfilled imbalance – Closer to D1/H4 OB base ❗ Stop Loss: 1.0875 – Below structure and OB base 🎯 Take Profits: • TP1: 1.1030 (Imbalance fill + H1 resistance) • TP2: 1.1075 (D1 wick fill) • TP3: 1.1130 (Break of H4 structure high) • TP4: 1.1175 (W1 FVG reaction point) 📏 Risk:Reward: ~1:3.2 to TP3, ~1:4.5 to TP4 🧠 Management Strategy: – Entry only on bullish engulfing or reversal wick on LTF (M15–H1) – SL to breakeven after TP1 – Trail above each higher low for continuation – Exit fully if bearish engulfing on D1 near TP3/TP4 ⚠️ Confirmation Criteria: – H1 bullish engulfing or strong LTF wick – Price close above 1.0980 after tapping entry zone – MACD crossover on M30 or H1 ⏳ Validity: Next 24–48 hours 🌐 Fundamentals: – USD showing softness post-volatility spike – EUR resilient with no D1 CHoCH – US macro data pending, but technicals favored above structure 📋 Final Summary: Price has retraced sharply after last impulse leg and now probing into D1/H4 demand zones. We're watching for confirmation near the zone at 1.0910–1.0930 which could offer high-RR entry. The trade is only valid with confirmation. No blind buys.
Long
by jibkhan111
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels. If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀
by Setupsfx_
24
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.07740. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
With the weaker dollar expecting one more pushWith the trade war beginning in March, we have seen a strong push to the higher and consolidate of two weeks, and a push up with the support of Buy-Side imbalance and sell-side inefficiency (BISI). Last week, we saw a push down with the support of weekly sell-side imbalance and buy-side inefficiency(SIBI). This week, also, I'm expecting a weaker dollar. It might push higher after filling out the weekly gap. My first target is 1.1144 Good luck & Trade safe
Long
by SNFOREXSOLUTIONS
Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergences - The Ultimate GuideIntroduction SMT Divergences are a powerful concept used by professional traders to spot inefficiencies in the market. By comparing correlated assets, traders can identify hidden opportunities where one market shows strength while the other shows weakness. This guide will break down the major SMT divergences: EURUSD/GBPUSD, US100/US500, and XAUUSD/XAGUSD . --- What is SMT Divergence? SMT Divergence occurs when two correlated assets do not move in sync, signaling potential liquidity grabs or market inefficiencies. These divergences can be used to confirm trend reversals, identify smart money movements, and improve trade precision. Key Concepts: - If one asset makes a higher high while the correlated asset fails to do so, this suggests potential weakness in the pair making the higher high. - If one asset makes a lower low while the correlated asset does not, this suggests potential strength in the pair that did not make a lower low. - Smart Money often exploits these inefficiencies to engineer liquidity hunts before moving price in the intended direction. --- EURUSD vs. GBPUSD SMT Divergence These two forex pairs are highly correlated because both share the USD as the quote currency. However, when divergence occurs, it often signals liquidity manipulations. How to Use: - If GBPUSD makes a higher high but EURUSD does not, GBPUSD may be trapping breakout traders before reversing. - If EURUSD makes a lower low but GBPUSD does not, EURUSD might be in a liquidity grab, signaling a potential reversal. --- US100 vs. US500 SMT Divergence The NASDAQ (US100) and S&P 500 (US500) are both major indices with a strong correlation, but tech-heavy NASDAQ can sometimes lead or lag the S&P. How to Use: - If US100 makes a higher high but US500 does not, it suggests US100 is extended and may reverse soon. - If US500 makes a lower low but US100 does not, US500 might be experiencing a liquidity grab before a reversal. --- XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD SMT Divergence Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) have a historic correlation. However, due to differences in volatility and liquidity, they can diverge, presenting trading opportunities. How to Use: - If Gold makes a higher high but Silver does not, Gold might be overextended and ready to reverse. - If Silver makes a lower low but Gold does not, Silver might be in a liquidity grab, signaling strength. --- Indicator Used for SMT Divergences To simplify the process of identifying SMT divergences, this guide utilizes the TradingView indicator TehThomas ICT SMT Divergences . This tool automatically detects divergences between correlated assets, highlighting potential trade opportunities. You can access the indicator here: Why Use This Indicator? - Automatically plots divergences, saving time on manual comparisons. - Works across multiple asset classes (Forex, Indices, Metals, etc.). - Helps traders spot Smart Money inefficiencies with ease. --- Final Tips for Trading SMT Divergences 1. Use Higher Timeframes for Confirmation: SMT Divergences on 1H or 4H hold more weight than those on lower timeframes. 2. Combine with Other Confluences: ICT concepts like Order Blocks, FVGs, or liquidity sweeps can strengthen the SMT setup. 3. Wait for Market Structure Confirmation: After spotting SMT divergence, look for a market structure shift before entering trades. 4. Be Mindful of Economic Events: Divergences can appear due to news releases, so always check the economic calendar. --- Conclusion SMT Divergences are a valuable tool for traders looking to gain an edge in the markets. By analyzing inefficiencies between correlated assets, traders can anticipate smart money movements and improve trade precision. Practice spotting these divergences on real charts, and soon, you'll develop a keen eye for hidden liquidity traps. Happy trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
98
EURUSD OUTLOOK APRIL 7 - 11This is my outlook for the week. Current price action is extremely bullish and judging from the fundamentals and tariff news it might stay this way for some time. On the technical side we are reacting from a monthly and weekly bearish order block but without a bearish BOS on the 4h, which also aligns with a bearish change of character on the weekly, I will still be long biased. I am going to be looking for lower time confirmation to continue bullish. If there is a 4H internal shift I will wait for bullish internal shift but if we do not get that I will still trade accordingly.
Long
by Keyserfx
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - Order Block , Model 1Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
Short
by David_Perk
EUR/USD Ready to Soar? Bullish Setup Unfolding!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 1.0831 USD 🔹 TP: 1.0983 USD 🔹 SL: 1.0672 USD EUR/USD is respecting a key trendline support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. RSI is holding above 60, and MACD shows signs of bullish momentum. If the price remains above the support line, we could see a push toward 1.0983 USD. Keep an eye on price action! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop
2
EUR/USD DTF Fundamental and Technical AnalysisEUR/USD DTF Fundamental and Technical Analysis Fundamental Outlook: EUR/USD has experienced an upward move due to short-term positive sentiment. Optimism surrounding the European Union's fiscal policies and the European Central Bank's more dovish stance on interest rates have provided some support to the euro. Additionally, a recent weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by concerns over the U.S. economic slowdown and disappointing job data, has contributed to the euro's recent strength. However, the ongoing risk from new U.S. tariffs on European imports, escalating trade tensions, and concerns over global economic instability could weigh on the euro. The U.S. dollar remains a safe-haven asset, limiting further downside for EUR/USD in the long term. Technical Outlook: On the daily timeframe, EUR/USD is approaching a major key resistance level at 1.12500, where a double top has previously formed. This technical pattern strengthens our bearish bias for the pair. However, if price breaks above this key resistance at 1.12500, we would expect a continuation of the uptrend, suggesting that the euro remains in dominance. A breakout above this level would indicate further bullish momentum for EUR/USD. In conclusion, the resistance at 1.12500 is crucial. If it holds, we could see a reversal; if broken, the euro could continue to dominate, pushing EUR/USD higher. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
1
What Is Momentum – And Why It’s Not Just a Trend IndicatorMost traders follow price — candles, trendlines, support/resistance. But there’s another layer that often tells the story before the price moves: momentum. ⸻ 🔍 In this post, you’ll learn: • What momentum really measures • Why it’s not the same as price direction • How momentum can signal a shift before the chart confirms it • Why combining momentum with structure improves timing ⸻ 📈 Momentum ≠ Direction Price can be rising while momentum is fading. That’s often a clue of an upcoming slowdown or reversal — long before the price turns. Similarly, price can be flat, while momentum builds in one direction. That’s tension… and tension leads to moves. ⸻ 🔥 Why Momentum Matters: • It reveals intensity, not just direction • It can act as a leading indicator — not lagging • Momentum divergences often hint at hidden accumulation or distribution • Tracking it helps you avoid late entries or false breakouts ⸻ 🔧 Takeaway for traders: If you’re only watching price, you’re only seeing half the picture. Momentum shows what’s driving the move, and when that drive starts weakening. ⸻ 💬 What’s your favorite momentum indicator? RSI, %R, CCI, or something else?
Education
by TrendGo_Official
1