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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Euro can bounce from support line of channel and continue growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price entered a downward channel, breaking through the 1.0520 level, which aligned with the seller’s zone, and continued its decline. Shortly after, it dropped even lower but quickly rebounded, almost reaching the resistance line of the channel before falling back to the support line, breaking the 1.0285 level. Following this move, the price once again climbed to the resistance line but then swiftly dropped back before making a strong upward push, breaking the 1.0285 level and exiting the channel. After that, the Euro rallied toward the resistance level but soon pulled back into the buyer’s zone, forming a strong gap. From there, the price began moving inside an upward channel, rising to the resistance level, making a brief correction, and then climbing back to resistance. However, after this move, the Euro reversed and started to decline. Given this setup, I expect the price to reach the support line of the channel before continuing its upward movement within the channel, potentially breaking the resistance level. If this scenario plays out, I have set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
6
Bullish & Bearish Reversal Divergence Trading in Forex🔍 Bullish & Bearish Reversal Divergence Trading in Forex: A Detailed Overview Divergence is a powerful concept in technical analysis — it helps spot potential trend reversals and momentum shifts. Let’s dive into the details with clear strategies and some visual flair! 🚀 🧠 What is Divergence? Divergence happens when price action and a technical indicator (like RSI, MACD, or Stochastic) move in opposite directions. This hints that the current trend is losing strength and a possible reversal is coming. 📈 Types of Divergence 🐂 Bullish Reversal Divergence (Buy Signal) Price: Makes lower lows ⬇️ Indicator: Makes higher lows ⬆️ Meaning: Sellers are losing momentum; buyers might take over soon. Signal: Potential uptrend reversal ahead. 🔑 Key Confirmation Tools: Support zone bounce 🛑 Bullish candlestick patterns (Hammer, Engulfing) 🕯️ Increased buying volume 📊 💡 Example Setup: RSI makes a higher low while price drops lower — prepare for a long (buy) position. 🐻 Bearish Reversal Divergence (Sell Signal) Price: Makes higher highs ⬆️ Indicator: Makes lower highs ⬇️ Meaning: Buyers are losing strength; sellers could take control. Signal: Potential downtrend reversal ahead. 🔑 Key Confirmation Tools: Resistance zone rejection 🚧 Bearish candlestick patterns (Shooting Star, Engulfing) 🌑 Increased selling volume 📉 💡 Example Setup: MACD makes a lower high while price pushes higher — prepare for a short (sell) position. 🛠️ Best Indicators for Divergence Trading RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Tracks overbought/oversold conditions. 📊 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – Measures momentum shifts. 💥 Stochastic Oscillator – Identifies trend strength and reversals. 🎢 🎯 Divergence Trading Strategies 1️⃣ Classic Divergence Strategy Spot bullish or bearish divergence. 🔍 Confirm with support/resistance levels. 🧱 Wait for a reversal candlestick pattern (like a Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bar). 🕯️ Enter trade with a tight stop loss below support (for buys) or above resistance (for sells). 🎯 2️⃣ Divergence + Trendline Break Strategy Draw a trendline following the current trend. 📐 Spot divergence as the trend loses strength. 🚨 Wait for a trendline breakout for extra confirmation. 💥 Enter trade on the break and retest of the trendline. 💯 3️⃣ Divergence + Moving Average Strategy Spot divergence between price and indicator. 📉 Use a moving average (MA) like the 50 EMA or 200 EMA to confirm the trend shift. 📈 Buy when price crosses above the MA after bullish divergence. 💚 Sell when price crosses below the MA after bearish divergence. ❤️ ⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid 🚫 Ignoring confirmation: Always wait for candle closes or breakouts. 🚫 Forcing divergence: Only trade when divergence is clear. 🚫 Skipping risk management: Use a stop loss and position sizing. 🚫 Overtrading small timeframes: Higher timeframes (4H, Daily) offer more reliable signals.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
28
EUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe AnalysisEUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis The EUR/USD pair has recently shown signs of potential bullish momentum following a prolonged period of consolidation. After a sustained downtrend, the price entered a phase of uncertainty, creating a range-bound structure. During this consolidation, we identified critical minor and major key levels that could play a pivotal role in future price movements. A key area of interest lies at the 1.04300 level, which initially acted as resistance. Although the price briefly broke above this level, it turned out to be a false breakout, triggering premature buy orders. Following this, the price dipped below, only to rebound and break through 1.04300 once again, signaling buy-side accumulation. The current market behavior suggests that the price is actively hunting liquidity in the stop-loss zones. Our strategy is to wait for a short retest above the liquidity zone before entering a buy position. We are setting a buy limit at 1.03850, with a stop-loss (SL) at 1.03140 (50 pips below the minor key level) and a take-profit (TP) at 1.06030, which aligns with the next significant major key level. Fundamental Insight: Recent macroeconomic data provides additional context to our technical outlook: USD Unemployment Claims: Yesterday's release showed 222K actual versus 219K previous, indicating a slight increase in jobless claims. A higher-than-expected figure may reflect some softening in the U.S. labor market, which could weaken the USD and provide further support for EUR/USD upside. EUR German Prelim CPI m/m: The upcoming German Consumer Price Index (CPI) forecast is 0.4%, higher than the 0.2% previous reading. An increase in inflation expectations could reinforce hawkish sentiment from the European Central Bank (ECB), potentially strengthening the Euro in the short term. Market Outlook: Given the technical setup and supporting fundamentals, we are monitoring a potential bullish move. However, confirmation through a successful retest and alignment with key economic releases remains crucial for trade execution. Trade Parameters: Entry: Buy limit at 1.03850 Stop Loss: 1.03140 (50 pips below the minor key level) Take Profit: 1.06030 (next major key level) 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
2
EURUSD - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel, however it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the red zone is the upper bound of its weekly range. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
Unlocking Market Secrets with Sacred GeometryIn this post we’ll dive into sacred geometry and how it is used in trading. Geometry isn’t just shapes—it’s the foundation of nature, architecture, and even trading. From Pythagoras to Gann, great minds have studied these patterns to unlock hidden market signals. Let’s break down these powerful concepts and see how we can apply them to our own strategies! First, take a look at this picture… What you’re looking at here is a life-size oil portrait painting that’s displayed in the Manly P. Hall Institute of Metaphysics in Los Angeles, up on Mulholland Drive. This painting was done in 1929 by an artist named Augustus Knapp, and it’s a fascinating representation of one of the greatest minds in history named Pythagoras. Now, here’s something interesting. There are no actual portraits of Pythagoras from his time. No real images of him exist just written descriptions passed down through the ages. So, this painting is a compilation of those descriptions, a vision of what they believed Pythagoras might have looked like based on historical accounts. But beyond the visual, what really matters is what this man achieved. Pythagoras lived in 653 BC over 2,500 years ago and his contributions to mathematics, science, and even philosophy were so far ahead of his time that people today still struggle to comprehend how he knew what he did. If you look closely at the painting, you’ll see a globe to the left-hand side. This is where things get really fascinating. Pythagoras not only knew that the Earth was round long before it became commonly accepted he also knew that the distance between the Earth and the Moon was approximately 250,000 miles. Let that sink in. Over 2,500 years ago, without modern telescopes, satellites, or space exploration, he was able to determine this astonishingly accurate measurement. How did he do it? That remains a mystery. But his genius didn’t stop there. Pythagoras was the first person in recorded history to use the square root of numbers, laying the foundation for many of the mathematical principles we still use today. His contributions to geometry are legendary, with the Pythagorean Theorem being one of the most fundamental concepts in mathematics. He was able to see numbers not just as mere figures but as an intrinsic part of the universe, something deeply connected to music, nature, and even human existence. Albert Einstein himself once said that there was God, there was man, and in between, there was Pythagoras. That’s how brilliant he was. Einstein, one of the greatest minds of the modern era, placed him in a category beyond ordinary human intellect. Many scholars and historians consider Pythagoras one of the four or five most intelligent people to have ever walked the Earth. Now, I want you to pay close attention to something else in this painting. If you look at Pythagoras’ right hand, you’ll notice he’s holding a pyramid above his head. This is extremely significant. The pyramid was not just a symbol of ancient Egyptian architecture; it represented knowledge, sacred geometry, and the hidden mysteries of the universe. Pythagoras believed that the structure of the universe was based on mathematical harmony, and the pyramid was a reflection of this divine order. The way he holds it above his head symbolizes his deep understanding of higher knowledge, knowledge that very few people of his time and even in our time could comprehend. TradingView Pythagoras didn’t just study numbers, he studied their meaning, their vibrations, their connection to music, and how they formed the very fabric of reality. His school, which was more of a secret society, was devoted to exploring these truths, and his students followed strict codes of discipline, silence, and dedication to learning. Some say his teachings went beyond what we call science today, delving into the realms of metaphysics and spirituality. So, when we talk about Pythagoras, we’re not just talking about a mathematician, we’re talking about a man who saw the universe in a way that very few have. He understood numbers not just as tools for calculation but as the building blocks of existence itself. This painting is not just a historical representation; it is a doorway into understanding one of the most profound thinkers in human history. Alright, let's dive into something incredibly interesting, especially if you have an appreciation for Italian geniuses. We're talking about Leonardo da Vinci's division ratio and proportions of the human body this is pretty fascinating stuff. If you look closely at da Vinci's sketches, you’ll notice that the ratios and proportions of the human body, like the measurements of bones, joints, and limbs, are not random. There’s an underlying order that we can see across the body. He was the first to really study and break down how the human body relates in terms of proportions, especially with the numbers that make up these proportions. For example, he measured everything from your radius to your phalanges, to the femur and the tibia. These are all linked in a very specific way. From the head to the pubic crest, these measurements fall into the 0.618 ratio, which is one of the most famous numbers in nature. Now, let's take a look at why this is so significant. This isn’t just a random number—it’s actually tied to something we call the Golden Ratio or Phi, which is 0.618. It’s a ratio that appears in all kinds of natural patterns, from the spirals of seashells to the growth patterns of plants. Da Vinci was keen on observing these relationships, and he recorded them in his Codex, a collection of his writings and drawings. Let me tell you a Fun fact, Bill Gates bought this Codex in 1982 for $20 million, and today, it’s housed in the Smithsonian Institute, traveling the world half the year and staying in Washington for the rest. Da Vinci was ahead of his time, so much so that when he wrote about this ratio, he didn’t just write it down plainly. In fact, he wrote everything in a mirror image, so you had to read it by holding the paper up to a mirror. Why? Well, a lot of his work was coded, not necessarily because he didn’t want people to understand it, but because he didn’t want to give away his discoveries easily. He was mysterious like that! Now, let’s zoom out and look at something even more mind-blowing. If you go back to ancient times—way before da Vinci’s time—you’ll see that the Egyptians were using this same ratio. Take the pyramids for instance. The dimensions of the human body, from the head to the feet, also follow this pattern of 3, 5, 8, 13, 21... all culminating in the golden ratio of 0.618. The Egyptians were just as obsessed with these measurements and proportions, and you’ll find this same 0.618 showing up in their designs and architecture, too. It’s something that connects us to the very ancient foundations of human culture and knowledge. What’s even crazier is that this ratio holds up in medical science. If your body proportions are off by more than 5% from the standard, it actually gets classified under conditions like dwarfism or other abnormalities. So, this ratio is so accurate that it defines what the "ideal" proportions of the human body should be. When you study these numbers and ratios, you realize just how mathematically perfect the human body is designed—at least in theory! Now let’s take this to a different dimension, The DNA. The very structure of DNA follows this same fibonacci spiral, the same pattern of proportions that we see in the human body. The DNA helix is a perfect example of the golden ratio at play in biology. So when you look at the genetic code, you’re actually looking at the same patterns that show up in the pyramids, the human body, and even the very spiral shape that defines life at its most fundamental level. And speaking of DNA, there’s an interesting tidbit related to Italy. This is a bit of trivia: There has never been a murder conviction in Italy because of the uniformity of DNA in Italians. Everyone shares such a similar genetic code that it’s almost impossible to distinguish one person from another in certain cases. Fascinating, right? Alright, now that we’ve explored these mind-blowing connections between da Vinci’s proportions, the golden ratio, and DNA, let’s bring it back to the market and how we can use these ratios to help us with trading. Here’s what you need to know, The same ratios that define proportions in nature can be applied to price movements in the market. For example, in the AUDUSD pair, you can use these numbers to identify key levels where price may reverse. Let’s break this down a bit further. If you look at the market's movements on a Weekly chart, you might not notice anything special at first. But when you start applying the 618 retracement, 786 retracement, or 161.8% extension, suddenly these numbers start lining up with the price action. As we’ve seen, the same sacred geometry and mathematical principles that govern nature, architecture, and even DNA also play a crucial role in the financial markets. From Pythagoras to da Vinci, these hidden patterns have guided some of the greatest minds in history—and now, they can guide us in trading. The market, like the universe, moves in harmony with these timeless patterns. Keep studying, keep observing, and most importantly—keep refining your strategy. The more you align with these natural cycles, the better your trading decisions will become. See you in the next post, where we’ll continue uncovering the secrets of market geometry!
Education
by GannAstroTrader
EURUSD Correcting – Another Fall Ahead?Today I want to analyze EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) for a 15-minute time frame and whether EURUSD is ready to fall or not. EURUSD is moving in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) . It also moves in the descending channel in the 15-minute time frame. According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed its 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . I expect corrective waves to end either in a descending channel or eventually at a Resistance zone($1.0493-$1.0480) . I expect EURUSD to attack the Support lines in the coming hours, and if the Support lines break , we should expect a decline to at least 100_SMA(4-hour) . Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance line, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
2
DeGRAM | EURUSD lower volatilityEURUSD is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel, resistance level and upper trend line, which has repeatedly acted as a pullback point. After the chart failed to form an ascending structure, the volatility decreased and after the chart returned under the dynamic resistance level and is currently holding under the important psychological level of $1.05. We expect the pair to pullback to $1.03430 after consolidating under the supply zone. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
4
EURUSD: Sell trigger on the 4H MA50EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.966, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.727) as the price turned sideways in the past 2 weeks. The 4H MA50 is acting as the support of this Channel Up pattern. Even though the price hasn't yet made a technical HH, the 4H RSI is on a LH bearish divergence like the Jan 27th high. The signal to sell then came when the price closed a candle under the 4H MA50. If it happens again, the top will most likely be in, so go short and target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 1.02800). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
EURUSD road map (4h)The expected targets are marked on the chart and I think in the coming days, the trend will be bullish. After reaching the desired targets, it can drop to 1.04. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0497 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0474 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside. Technical Analysis: Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA). Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low). Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend. Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support. Fundamental Analysis: Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD: Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious. Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone. Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany. European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_