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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD analysis week 51🌐Fundamental Analysis The outlook for the US dollar remains firm after the Fed's rate cut. ECB's Patsalides postponed the prospect of a larger rate cut and advocated gradual policy easing. The US dollar (USD) maintained its strength on Thursday after outperforming its hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) dot-matrix rivals on Wednesday. Upbeat macroeconomic data from the US continued to support the currency. However, EUR/USD maintained its position. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD is recovering to the resistance level of 1.045. This is the confluence of EMA and strong selling pressure to break the old resistance. And now this is the immediate resistance level that the pair needs to overcome if it wants to resume the uptrend. The main resistance for next week is seen around 1.053 as a break of this zone confirms the uptrend. On the other side, after breaking last week's bottom at 1.034, the area that will help EURUSD price to survive a long slide is the support zone at 1.029. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY EURUSD 1.029-1.027 Stoploss 1.025 SELL EURUSD 1.052-1.054 Stoploss 1.056
by TVS-Trader
Will we soon see a bullish EURUSD?You could say that my argument is far fetched (and I would not argue that), but hear me out please!! Weekly chart Note that the green zone has held as support for the most part. The 20sma is quite far above price, will price revert to the mean? This pair has tried to break below the zone for several weeks recently, but failed. Daily chart (above) We can see a double top around 1.1189 where the bears gained control. There also could be a double bottom at 1.0343, maybe.. Look at the relatively large bearish candle 3 days ago, it does show a lot of power and momentum behind the bears. But where did all that power go? I don't see any momentum in the next 2 days with the bears, actually maybe the bulls are trying to take over. The quick recovery of price from the big bearish move looks like what many traders call a false break. Is it that? time will tell. H4 chart You can now see that price has been consolidating for the past few days (yellow box) and this does look like accumulation of orders. The bears did try to push through strongly but failed. In fact a lower high was formed when the bulls succeeded to break above that structure with some strength (BOS at 1.04122). I realize that this happened on a Friday and during the holiday period when volume is low and reading price action at these times is less reliable. But I do believe that if you are still trading, then paying very close attention to EURUSD could be beneficial. Watch other pairs too to see if the USD is getting weaker. Merry Christmas, happy holidays and have a great 2025 This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar exhibited a bearish trend during the initial part of the week; however, it subsequently demonstrated a significant recovery by retesting the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.035. This renewed interim rebound is poised to drive the Eurodollar toward the Mean Resistance level of 1.051. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.035 remains plausible.
by TradeSelecter
EUR /USD 4hr bearish wave FX:EURUSD 4-hour chart suggests that we are currently in a bearish wave pattern, which is expected to persist into early next week. The progression is as follows: • The first wave has already started and is targeting the 1.04678 range (2nd wave). • A deeper decline is anticipated for the 3rd wave, reaching around 1.03123. • A corrective bounce may occur in the 4th wave, retracing to approximately 1.04168. • The final bearish push, the 5th wave, is projected to reach around 1.02164. This wave structure aligns with continued downside momentum, with corrective pullbacks likely along the way.
Short
by kenbol
EUR/USD Tests Key Pivot Points Amid Bearish TrendHello, FX:EURUSD has broken above the 1D resistance level and is now advancing towards the 1W pivot point (PP) for another test. If it successfully crosses and holds above this PP, further upward movement is likely, applying to both the 1W and 1M pivot points. However, it’s important to note that the pair remains in a strong bearish trend overall. Despite this, buyers have taken long positions, viewing the recent low as a potential turning point for an upward move. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
EURUSD Waiting for confirmation1. Time Frame: - Daily: FVG Identification - H4: FVG Identification - H1: Entry Signal 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0380 - 1.0466 On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.0422- 1.0480 3. Trend Confirmation: Price has break support at 1.0453 with massive net sell volume. Price has rise back to Daily & H4 FVG area. 4. Position: Entry: Waiting for confirmation Stop Loss : 1.0485 Take Profit: 1.0345 & 1.0240 (fibo 161.8 & previous low) RRR : 1:xx ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade