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EURUSD: Sell ​​stop trade on confirmationGood morning to all traders and investors, after several weeks spent reviewing and updating my LuBot indicator for intuitive graphic analysis, here I am reporting a new analysis on a possible short trade on EurUsd. As you can see from the graph above I have highlighted some main parts of this trade idea, starting however from a broader vision i.e. that of the Weekly graph that I share below From the weekly chart we see that after the last short signal, a first bearish swing is created, thus causing the negative structure to return. After a slight retracement in recent weeks, a doji bar is created which acts as a swing maximum and the following week the second bearish swing is created in which we still find ourselves today. All LuBot indications are negative so we are eligible to look for a short. At this point I go down to the lower timeframes (Daily,12H,6H or 4H) which are the operational timeframes I use as I never go below 4H. Generally speaking, all timeframes lead to the same reasoning, but the one where the vision is clearest in this case is the 6H which I bring you as the main image. Intuitively LuBot already gives me a clear vision of the trend and what to do as we clearly see that the price has remained below the trendCloud which acted as dynamic resistance, we have a Short signal which has not made a big movement and we could expect a subsequent extension, the candles are still bearish but are currently in a retracement phase. Confirmation of an effective return to the negative short structure would come from the break of the 1.0479 level that LuBot shows with the red dots, in which I insert a sell stop order on strength. 👍 Did you like this post? If you want to see more, let me know with a like 😊 🙋‍♂️ Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses. 🔑 Try LuBot for free, find the link below, you can also get lifetime access without paying anything ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. TAGS: BLACKBULL:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD KRAKEN:EURUSD SAXO:EURUSD BITSTAMP:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD FPMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD
Short
by LuTrader_LB
EURUSD Smart Money Concepts (SMC) In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
Short
by Tonksovave
EUR/USD (1-Hour Chart) – Three Possible Scenarios I'm here to illustrate three possible scenarios for the future EUR/USD movement on the 1-hour chart. 1. Bearish Continuation Below the Demand Zone (≈1.0460) The price has formed a double bottom near 1.0460, indicating a strong demand level. If the market breaks below this zone, it would suggest that sellers remain in control and the downtrend could continue. 2. Retracement From the Supply Zone (≈1.0630) The supply zone around 1.0630 is acting as a strong resistance level. If the price moves up into this zone and finds significant selling pressure, it may retrace lower. Additionally, the RSI is showing overbought conditions, which supports the idea of a potential pullback from this area. 3. Bullish Breakout Above the Supply Zone (≈1.0630) If the price breaks above the 1.0630 supply zone and shows a clear Change of Character (CHOCH), it could signal a new bullish trend. This would imply that buyers have regained control, pushing the market toward higher levels.
by ClearTradingMind
EURUSD UNTIL FOMC:4H Analysis OANDA:EURUSD EURUSD is in consolidation phase & has been moving in the range highlighted in the chart. Now, until FOMC we can only trade on highs and lows of the ongoing chart pattern BUY LEVEL RECOMMENDATION: 1.04330 & 1.04272 SELL LEVEL RECOMMENDATION: 1.06101 For SL, we should use very small and according to our risk: reward plan. If you guys find my idea helpful or insightful in possible way, then don't forget boost to and comment on the idea. I'll be very interested to see your take on the market.
by Forex_Analysis_Wing
The rally has begun. Euro longToday, the Fed will cut the rate by 25%, it has already been practically decided and everything will depend on what Mr. Powell says at the press conference. With a 90% probability, it will give the markets the opportunity to grow, i.e. I think everything will start today. However, for growth, we need to collect liquidity at the bottom, so we will probably make a downward movement of 200-300 pips, and then fly into the sky;) Upon reaching the level of 1.07-1.07250, I advise you to close positions, because in the near future I expect parity.
Long
by mikolastd1980
EUR/USD: Trend Analysis.EUR/USD: Trend Analysis. The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a sell trend, as confirmed by the Trend Finder adapter. However, the Multi-Kernel Regression analysis indicates a strong buy signal, suggesting a potential upward move. Key Points: - Trend Finder adapter indicates a strong sell trend - Trend lines: Resistance (1.05516), Support (1.04734) - Multi-Kernel Regression indicates a strong buy signal - EUR/USD pair may be preparing for an upward move - Potential targets at higher resistance levels Best Wishes Tom 😎
Long
by Tom_Trades_670
EURUSD Trading Journal -Dec 18 Pre London NY sentiments EURUSD Trading Journal Dec 18 Pre London NY sentiments Price went from expansion to the down side in Asia that continued in London. To consolidate and reverse. Huge consolidation in NY. With buy stops taken yesterday that created equal highs. Price opened in Asia in a discount. Its likely to see price come up to FVG at .79 level, however It might only reach the .70 level/recent buy stop and react to give us a short to the noted FVG 1.04800 level. The event horizon is nested with previous session equal highs, something I am also watching.
Short
by LParnell
#EURUSD - 18122024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday but it made a new high then came down to level below, before recovering but closing with a bearish candle. Is the highs in? Or is this just a pullback for another leg higher. This IMO, is a tricky question. With yesterday's bearish candle, I do see a move lower. Thus a possible scenario, if I am overall bullish, would be, for price to come down to clear the lows, before buyers come in and bring this higher. 1.0468 is thus a good level to go long off. However, if price continues up from here, I would be wary of a pullback from a resistance above and 1.0516 is such a level. Of course, it can trade to 1.0516, sell down to 1.0468 then rally up to close green.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EURUSD Summary of Dec 17EURUSD Summary of Dec 17 Price opened in Asia in a premium. Had no strength to rally. Expanded to the down side to rebalanced a FVG from Monday, fell past the .79 retracement level testing the other highlighted FVG before reversing. NY news driver at 8:30 saw price react to the up side to the 50% where it consolidated until after lunch coming back down into a discount. Price has been narrowing its range the last couple days, just seeking FVG from the previous day and previous days equal highs and lows.
by LParnell
EURUSD Summary of Dec 17EURUSD Summary of Dec 17 Price opened in Asia in a premium. Had no strength to rally. Expanded to the down side to rebalanced a FVG from Monday, fell past the .79 retracement level testing the other highlighted FVG before reversing. NY news driver at 8:30 saw price react to the up side to the 50% where it consolidated until after lunch coming back down into a discount. Price has been narrowing its range the last couple days, just seeking FVG from the previous day and previous days equal highs and lows.
by LParnell
EUR/USD Intra Day/Week PlayGood morning Traders, My analysis for this week on EUR/USD is that we are currently forming a descending triangle pattern on all the higher timeframes from the monthly down to the 4 hourly with the key supply zone of 1.08921 to be reached as part of a break and retest move to the downside and heading to the key deman level of 1.06689 and if we break this support level then we shall make a continuation to the downside and retest the makor level of 1.04669 which has not been tested since October 2023 and last time it was mitigated was July 2022. Very interesting narrative playing out, whaat's your thoughts? Happy Trading. :)
Short
by FXCapitalClub
EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - SELL below 1.0505 1.0480EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - Bearish pressure by macroeconomic fundamentals and a dovish ECB outlook Technical Analysis Summary D1 (Daily Chart) Trend: Bearish with price trading well below the 200-SMA and stuck below the 20-EMA at 1.0540. Indicators: RSI: At 40.64, indicating bearish momentum and approaching oversold conditions. Stochastic: Bearish crossover below 40, showing potential for further downside. MACD: Negative histogram and signal line, confirming a bearish outlook. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0530 (20-EMA), 1.0560 (near-term swing high). Support: 1.0480, 1.0460, and a broader target of 1.0435. H4 (4-Hour Chart) Trend: Consolidation in a bearish channel, with price unable to break above the 50-SMA. Indicators: RSI: At 42.81, reflecting bearish momentum. Stochastic: Bearish crossover heading down towards oversold levels. MACD: Bearish histogram, confirming bearish continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0515, 1.0535 (50-SMA). Support: 1.0485, 1.0460. H1 (Hourly Chart) Trend: Bearish, with price below the Ichimoku cloud, 50-SMA, and 200-SMA. Bearish momentum is strong after a recent failed attempt to recover. Indicators: RSI: At 38.13, signaling bearish momentum below 40. Stochastic: Near 10, indicating oversold conditions and suggesting a potential short-term pullback. MACD: Bearish histogram with a downward signal line. ATR: At 10 pips, reflecting moderate volatility. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0505 (minor), 1.0530 (20-EMA). Support: 1.0485, 1.0460, 1.0435. M30 (30-Minute Chart) Trend: Downtrend with price consolidating near support at 1.0485. Indicators: RSI: At 34.85, approaching oversold conditions. Stochastic: At 12, suggesting a minor pullback may occur before further declines. MACD: Negative momentum remains intact. Correlated Financial Instruments US Dollar Index (DXY): DXY remains firm above 106, supporting a bearish EUR/USD outlook. USD strength continues as inflation data backs expectations of steady Fed policy. Gold (XAU/USD): Gold remains under pressure, further confirming USD strength. Trade Plan for EUR/USD H1 Trade Setup 1: Bearish Continuation on Retracement Rationale: Given the clear bearish momentum and inability to break key resistance levels, a retracement toward resistance offers a short-selling opportunity. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0505–1.0510 (near minor resistance). Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above the 20-EMA on H1). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0460. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Trade Setup 2: Breakout Short Below 1.0485 Rationale: A clean break below 1.0485 support will confirm a bearish continuation towards the next key levels. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0480 (on breakout). Stop-Loss: 1.0505 (above breakout resistance). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0460. TP2: 1.0435. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Trade Setup 3: Intraday Scalping Short (M30–H1 Levels) Rationale: If a short-term pullback occurs, use M30 chart resistance as an entry. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0500 (psychological level). Stop-Loss: 1.0515. Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0485. TP2: 1.0475. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5.
Short
by napoleon182
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