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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Weekly Analysis 6-April-2025The Euro started moving in the ascending channel It is currently in a corrective wave, But considering the wedge formed and the pin bar candle in the 4-hour chart It seems that the correction has ended and the price is starting to move upwards And on the other hand: In addition to the channel ceiling, the price is facing the intersection of three resistance lines above So I expect the price to decline upon hitting this strong resistance zone (As shown in the chart) *Be profitable Thank you for expressing your opinion by liking and commenting
by Avril_Forex
9
EUR/USD Nears Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025 EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0964, following a strong upward move from 1.0800 to 1.1000. This rally has been driven by strong momentum and a clear break of structural resistance levels. However, the pair is now approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.1150 and 1.1200, which could lead to a potential pullback or reversal. 📈 Current Market Structure: The pair has seen a solid rise from 1.0800, breaking through multiple resistance levels along the way. However, as it approaches the strong resistance area between 1.1150 and 1.1200, there may be some profit-taking or correction. The key question is whether the bulls can push through this resistance to continue the uptrend. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 1.1150 – 1.1200: This is the critical resistance zone. If price fails to break above this, we could see a pullback or consolidation. 1.1215: A further key resistance. If price reaches this level and struggles to move higher, it may signal a potential reversal. 🔸 Key Support Levels: 1.0960: Immediate support level. A pullback toward this area could offer another opportunity for buying if the bulls continue to dominate. 1.0800: Major support. A failure to hold this level could lead to further downside and shift the market sentiment to bearish. 📐 Price Action Patterns: As the price approaches the strong resistance zone, we might see profit-taking or corrective moves. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts at these levels to determine the next potential move. A break above 1.1200 could signal continued bullish momentum, while failure could lead to a retracement. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If EUR/USD manages to break through the 1.1150 – 1.1200 resistance zone, it could continue its uptrend toward higher levels. A close above 1.1200 would strengthen the bullish outlook. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break through resistance and pulls back below 1.0960, a deeper correction toward 1.0800 could be on the cards. A break below 1.0800 would suggest a more bearish outlook. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a critical resistance point. Watching how the pair reacts near 1.1150 – 1.1200 will be key in determining if the bullish trend can continue or if a correction is likely. These levels will act as the defining points for the next move. 💬 What’s your outlook for EUR/USD? Will the pair break above 1.1200, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
Short
by Saeed966
6
Euro may continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. We can see how the pair spent a long time inside a wide range, repeatedly testing the buyer zone between 1.0365 - 1.0400 points. After multiple rebounds and false breakouts, Euro finally broke through the resistance and started forming a strong upward channel. The bullish structure was further confirmed when the price respected the support line of the channel and created a new higher low near 1.0885, which now acts as the current support level. This level also coincides with the bottom of the seller zone, which was recently flipped into support. Price reacted with a sharp impulse up, breaking the consolidation range and confirming continued bullish pressure. Now Euro is approaching the middle of the channel and gaining strength again. I expect the pair to make a slight pull-back to the support area, followed by a continuation of the upward trend toward TP1 - 1.1250 points, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as EUR remains above 1.0885 points and respects the bullish structure, I’m looking for another leg higher. The chart structure supports the bullish case, and the upward momentum is clearly in play. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
3
EUR/USD - Bull Flag Pattern Breakout in ProgressThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart showcases a classic Bull Flag Pattern , a strong continuation formation indicating the potential for further upside momentum. - The pair experienced a sharp bullish impulse move, forming the flagpole. - The price then entered a consolidation phase within a downward-sloping channel, forming the flag. - A breakout above the upper trendline of the flag could confirm a continuation of the uptrend. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and volume confirmation upon breakout. A successful retest of the flag's resistance as new support could provide a strong buying opportunity, with the next target potentially aligning with the flagpole’s measured move projection. As always, apply risk management and consider additional confluences such as Fibonacci levels, moving averages, or fundamental factors.
Long
by wdstrades
7
Euro will rise a little more and then make correction to 1.0950Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price started to grow from the lower region near 1.0730, where it bounced off the buyer zone between 1.0690–1.0730 points and entered a strong upward movement. This impulse helped Euro break through previous resistances and approach the upper boundary of the support area, which lies between 1.0950–1.0990 points. After reaching a local high, the price formed a pennant pattern, consolidating within narrowing trend lines while respecting both the support and resistance structure. During this phase, the pair remained stable, building pressure before making the next move. Recently, EUR made a strong breakout to the upside, exiting the pennant and continuing its bullish rally. The price surged rapidly and now trades above the current support level at 1.0950, reaching fresh highs in this local trend. I expect the price to reverse soon from the current overbought region and begin a decline toward the support area, which now acts as a potential pullback zone. My target for this corrective movement is the 1.0950 level, which aligns perfectly with the current support level and the upper boundary of the support zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
EUR USD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the previous analysis we expected a slight correction and then a price increase, which happened (please refer to the previous analysis). Now the same wave 5 of 3 or C is completing. This micro-wave should have 5 waves. Now its 4 waves are visible, so we expect a price increase and the price target is 1.13750. This micro-wave 5 will grow slightly and we expect a divergence between the main waves 3 and 5 and then a price correction should happen. Good luck and be profitable.
Long
by M_Gheysvandi
5
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0959 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 1.1012 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0874 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
Don't Let It Slip Away: Dragon Signal Active on EUR/USDHi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential Dragon pattern with long opportunity: 🔹 Entry: 1.0956 🔹 TP: 1.11367 🔹 SL: 1.07787 Price action has formed a classic Dragon pattern — two symmetrical legs and a clear head, with the neckline (the hump) being retested as support. Currently, the pair is testing the neckline zone just above the 200 EMA. RSI is mid-range and curving up, showing early signs of bullish momentum. If the neckline holds, we may see a strong bullish wave toward 1.1136. This pattern often leads to explosive upside moves once confirmed. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
Long
by FXOnTop
4
How Can You Use the STRAT Method in Trading?How Can You Use the STRAT Method in Trading? The STRAT method is a unique trading approach that is supposed to simplify market analysis by breaking price action into clear, actionable scenarios. Developed by Rob Smith, it focuses on candlestick patterns, scenarios, and timeframe alignment to help traders better understand market structure. This article explores the key components of the STRAT method, its practical application, and how it can potentially refine trading strategies. What Is the STRAT Trading Method? The STRAT method is a trading strategy created by Rob Smith. It’s designed to simplify technical analysis by focusing on price action and breaking down market movements into clear, actionable steps. At its core, the STRAT strategy categorises price behaviour into three scenarios—inside bars (1), directional bars (2), and outside bars (3)—helping traders identify potential opportunities and understand the market structure. One of the STRAT’s standout features is its emphasis on timeframe continuity, where traders examine how price movements align across different timeframes, such as daily, weekly, and monthly charts. This alignment helps traders gauge the broader market direction, potentially improving their analysis. The STRAT trading method also uses specific candlestick patterns to signal potential reversals or continuations. For example, an inside bar (Scenario 1) indicates price consolidation, often preceding a breakout. A directional bar (Scenario 2) suggests trending movement, while an outside bar (Scenario 3) reflects heightened volatility by capturing both higher and lower price ranges. Unlike some trading approaches that rely heavily on indicators, the STRAT focuses on raw price action, giving traders a clearer, no-nonsense view of market dynamics. It’s an accessible and structured way to analyse charts and make decisions based on what the market is doing right now. Key Components of the STRAT Trading Strategy The STRAT trading strategy stands out because of its straightforward approach to breaking down price action. As mentioned above, inside bars, directional bars, and outside bars are central scenarios. These scenarios categorise how the price behaves within a given timeframe, providing a framework for traders to interpret the market. Let’s delve into each component in detail. Scenario 1: Inside Bar An inside bar forms when the current candlestick's high and low remain within the range of the previous candlestick. In other words, the market is consolidating, showing no breakout beyond the prior candle’s extremes. Traders often interpret this as a pause or a moment of indecision in the market. What makes inside bars significant is their potential to precede larger price movements. For example, after a series of inside bars, a breakout often occurs when the price breaks above or below the consolidation range. While this pattern alone doesn’t confirm direction, it signals the market is storing energy for a potential move. Scenario 2: Directional Bar A directional bar, also called a “2” in STRAT terminology, occurs when the price breaks either the high or low of the previous candle but not both. This creates a clear directional move—either upward (2 up) or downward (2 down). These bars are essential because they indicate that the market has picked a direction. A “2 up” shows bullish momentum, while a “2 down” signals bearish activity. These movements are especially useful when aligned with other factors, such as larger trends or support and resistance levels. Scenario 3: Outside Bar The outside bar is the most volatile of the three. It forms when the current candlestick's high exceeds the previous candle’s high, and its low breaks below the previous low. Essentially, the price covers both sides of the prior range, capturing significant market activity. Outside bars often suggest a battle between buyers and sellers, leading to volatility. These bars can provide insights into reversals or continuing trends, depending on their context within the broader market structure. Expanding and Contracting Markets The STRAT method also places significant emphasis on understanding the expanding and contracting market phases, which offer critical insights into market dynamics. These phases reflect shifts in volatility and price behaviour, helping traders interpret broader market conditions. Expanding markets occur when price action creates both higher highs and lower lows compared to previous bars or ranges. This phase often signals heightened volatility as buyers and sellers battle for control, creating larger swings. Scenario 3 (outside bars) typically appears during this phase, capturing the market’s attempt to push in both directions. Expanding markets can provide potential opportunities for traders who are prepared to navigate rapid price movements. Contracting markets, on the other hand, are characterised by shrinking ranges, with lower highs and higher lows. This consolidation phase often results in inside bars (Scenario 1) and suggests indecision or reduced momentum. Traders frequently watch for potential breakouts as the market transitions out of contraction. Combining Scenarios and Context Ultimately, there are many combinations of these bars under the STRAT method, each with names like the 3-2-2 Bearish Reversal, 2-2 Bearish Continuation, 1-2-2 Bullish Reversal, and so on. For traders new to this system, it might be easier to start with a handful of patterns and practice them before adding others to their arsenal. Some of the basic starting patterns include: 2-1-2 Reversal 3-1-2 Reversal 2-1-2 Continuation 2-2 Continuation However, each of these scenarios becomes even more meaningful when paired with other market data, such as higher timeframes or candlestick structures. For instance, patterns like hammers or shooting starts often emerge within these scenarios, offering specific signals to traders. Timeframe Continuity: A Core Pillar Timeframe continuity is a fundamental aspect when interpreting the STRAT candle patterns, offering traders a way to align their analysis across multiple timeframes. It’s about ensuring that the price action on smaller timeframes complements what’s happening on larger ones. When all timeframes “agree,” it can provide a clearer picture of market direction and potentially improve the decision-making process. In practice, traders using the STRAT in stocks, forex, commodities, and other assets often look at three primary timeframes: the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Each represents a piece of the puzzle. For example, if a trader sees a bullish “Scenario 2” (directional bar) on the daily chart, but the weekly chart shows a bearish pattern, this misalignment might signal caution. However, when the daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes all show bullish directional movement, it creates a stronger case for a trend continuation. Timeframe continuity also helps traders filter out noise. Shorter timeframes, like the 15-minute or hourly charts, can produce conflicting signals, leading to overtrading or confusion. By focusing on the larger timeframes first, traders can ground their analysis in broader market trends and avoid reacting impulsively to minor fluctuations. Practical Application of the STRAT Method Applying the STRAT method involves a systematic approach to analysing charts and identifying potential opportunities. While every trader may adapt the method to their own style, the process generally follows a logical flow. Here’s how it can be broken down: Step 1: Understanding the Current Scenario Traders typically start by identifying the active scenario (1, 2, or 3) on their chosen timeframe. This initial classification helps to set the context. For instance, in the EUR/USD daily chart above, we initially see an outside bar (Scenario 3), followed by two inside bars (Scenario 1)—a 3-1-1 Bullish Reversal pattern; this transitions into a 1-2 Bullish Reversal before a 2-2 Bullish Continuation. In other words, the market is seen as entering a bullish phase. Step 2: Aligning Multiple Timeframes The next step involves assessing how the current scenario fits within the larger market structure by checking higher timeframes. In the EUR/USD example, the monthly chart shows three consecutive bullish directional bars (Scenario 2), also known as a 2-2 Bullish Continuation. This is supported by the weekly chart. Initially, there are two bearish directional bars before a bullish outside bar (Scenario 3) and a bullish directional bar. This indicates an alignment of bullish momentum, indicating a higher probability for the daily chart setup. Step 3: Identifying Supporting Patterns and Signals Within the scenario, specific candlestick patterns, like hammers or shooting stars, alongside key support and resistance levels, often provide additional context. These signals are believed to be more effective when they align with the broader market direction and timeframe continuity. In the EUR/USD example, the weekly chart shows a candle resembling a hammer (the outside bar), while the daily chart shows a pattern resembling a Three Stars in the South formation (the 3, 1, 1 candles). While rare, the three stars in the south pattern can signal sellers are losing momentum, when: The first candle features a long body and long lower wick. The second candle has a shorter body and closes above the first candle’s low. The third candle has another short body with minimal wicks and a range inside the second candle. While both formations don’t meet the technical criteria for their respective patterns, a trader might consider them to add weight to the bullish idea. The weekly chart also shows the price breaking past a previous resistance level, which adds confluence. Step 4: Entering and Exiting A trader would typically enter as the candle on their chosen timeframe closes. A stop loss could be set beyond the entry candle or a nearby swing high/low. Some traders prefer to close the position depending on the next candle close and corresponding scenario, while others might target a particular support/resistance level or use multi-timeframe analysis to find a suitable exit point. Advantages and Challenges of the STRAT Method The STRAT method offers a unique, structured approach to trading, but like any strategy, it comes with both advantages and challenges. Understanding these can help traders decide how to integrate it into their approach. Advantages - Clarity in Analysis: By categorising price action into simple scenarios, the STRAT’s patterns simplify market behaviour, reducing ambiguity. - Focus on Price Action: The method relies on raw price data rather than indicators, offering a direct view of market dynamics. - Adaptability Across Markets: Whether trading equities, forex, or commodities, the STRAT applies universally to any market with candlestick data. - Improved Consistency: Its rules-based framework helps traders avoid impulsive decisions and stay aligned with their analysis. Challenges - Learning Curve: Understanding the nuances of scenarios and timeframe continuity requires time and practice. - Patience Required: Waiting for alignment across multiple timeframes may lead to fewer trade opportunities, which may frustrate active traders. - Context Dependency: While structured, the STRAT still requires interpretation, and outcomes depend on how well traders incorporate broader market factors. The Bottom Line The STRAT method offers traders a structured way to analyse price action, combining scenarios, candlestick patterns, and timeframe continuity to navigate markets with confidence. While it requires discipline to master, its clear framework can potentially improve decision-making. FAQ What Is the STRAT Strategy by Rob Smith? Rob Smith developed the STRAT strategy, a trading method that simplifies technical analysis by categorising price action into three STRAT candle scenarios: inside bars, directional bars, and outside bars. It focuses on understanding market structure, using timeframe continuity and actionable signals to interpret trends and reversals. What Is the STRAT Method of Trading? The STRAT method is a rules-based approach to trading that prioritises price action over indicators. It uses specific candlestick patterns and scenarios to identify potential trading opportunities and aligns multiple timeframes to provide a cohesive market view. What Is a Rev Strat? According to Rob Smith, a “rev strat” refers to particular setups. First is a 1-2-2, initially with an inside bar, then a directional bar in one direction, and finally a directional bar in the opposite direction, marking a possible reversal. The second is a 1-3 setup, with an inside bar followed by an outside bar. This signals an expanding market in the STRAT, meaning a period of heightened volatility, and is considered bullish or bearish based on the outside bar’s direction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
DeGRAM | EURUSD came out of the triangleEURUSD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines. Price is moving from the lower trend line, lower channel boundary and support level. The chart, maintaining the ascending structure, has exited the triangle and is holding above the support level coinciding with the 38.2% retracement level. The relative strength index is above 50 pips on the major timeframes. We expect a retest of the current support level with further movement towards $1.1145. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.1024 1st Support: 1.0939 1st Resistance: 1.1089 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
EurUsdTrade Idea: EUR/USD Short – “Magnet Trap Rejection” Setup (MTR) Timeframe: M15 Risk/Reward: High probability reversal zone 📉 Narrative: We are looking at a classic Magnet Trap Rejection (MTR) setup. Price has been climbing into a key supply zone (gray box) with clear exhaustion signs along the way. Let's break down the story told by price action and emojis: 🔍 Price Action Breakdown: 🕸 “Web of Liquidity”: Price created a base of liquidity at the low, where the spiderweb indicates retail stop-hunts and weak hands being trapped. 👀 “Observation Peak”: Smart money was clearly watching from above, letting retail traders build up positions with false confidence. 🧑‍🦽 “Wheelchair Rally”: The move up is weak and artificial – it's not running, it's being dragged up. No strength, just fumes. 🧲 “First Magnet”: Price gets pulled into the first magnet zone – engineered liquidity meant to bait in breakout buyers. 🪝 “Hook Trap”: Right after the magnet, we see a clear liquidity hook – fake breakout wick grabs stop losses and retail FOMO buyers. 💧 “Sweat Drop”: Price hesitates. The market is sweating. Reversal is brewing. 🔨 “Hammer of Rejection”: Clean rejection off the supply zone. Institutional sell orders are being executed here. 🧲 “Final Magnet Down”: The second magnet suggests price is now being pulled to the downside, toward previous liquidity pools. 🧠 Why I Like This Trade: Psychological traps are everywhere – retail longs are in pain. Clean structure with engineered liquidity zones. Rejection candle confirms institutional presence. Great RR due to well-defined entry and target zones. 🎯 Entry: After the rejection wick in the supply zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the hammer zone ✅ Take Profit: Near previous magnet/liquidity pool below This is a textbook example of emotional manipulation turned into opportunity. The “Magnet Trap Rejection” (MTR) setup is rare but deadly when it hits.
Short
by STZG
1
This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context: EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout. ⚙️ Price Structure Overview: The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion. 1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor. Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: 🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario: If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward: Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level. Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March. A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number. 🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario: If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction: Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone. Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket. A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control. ⏳ Conclusion: The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming. This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
Short
by Saeed966
1