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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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SMC Mechanical Entry Models Cheatsheet✅ Smart Money Concepts & Liquidity Checklist: DOWNLOAD ENTRY MODELS GUIDE 1. Market Structure 🔹 Identify HTF Trend (H4 or H1): bullish, bearish, or range 🔹 Confirm Break of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (CHoCH) on M15–M5 🔹 Look for lower highs/lows (downtrend) or higher highs/lows (uptrend) 2. Liquidity Zones 🔹 Look for equal highs/lows (liquidity pools) 🔹 Asian highs/lows — common targets during London/NY session 🔹 Recent internal range liquidity 🔹 Trendline liquidity — fakeouts often occur here 3. Premium & Discount Zones (PD Arrays) 🔹 Use Fibonacci from recent swing high to low 🔹 Look for entries at Discount (Longs) or Premium (Shorts) pricing 🔹 Ideal entries happen between 0.62–0.79 retracement 4. Supply & Demand Zones 🔹 Find fresh OBs (Order Blocks) that caused a break of structure 🔹 Use last bullish candle before strong drop (for short) or last bearish candle before strong rally (for long) 🔹 Confirm zone isn’t mitigated yet 5. Imbalance / Fair Value Gaps (FVG) 🔹 Identify large imbalanced candles (no wick overlap) 🔹 Ideal entries are inside the FVG aligned with direction 🔹 High probability if FVG is within OB or confluence with structure/liquidity 6. Confluences for Entry 🔹 Entry aligns with liquidity sweep or FVG/OB tap 🔹 Volume spike or rejection wick confirms interest 🔹 RSI divergence or exhaustion = bonus confirmation 🔹 Use M1/M5 for entry trigger after setup is formed on M15–H1 7. Entry Trigger 🔹 CHoCH or BOS on lower timeframe (M1-M5) 🔹 Confirmation with engulfing candle, FVG fill, or break/retest 🔹 SL below/above recent swing or OB boundary 8. TP/Exit Zones 🔹 TP1: After BOS/structure shift + partial 🔹 TP2: Next liquidity level (equal high/low or OB) 🔹 TP3: Opposite OB or major FVG 🔹 Adjust SL to breakeven after reaching TP1 9. Session Timing (Important) 🔹 Asian range → look for liquidity setup 🔹 London Open (3PM–6PM PH))→ manipulative move (liquidity grab) 🔹 NY Open (8PM–11PM PH) → continuation or reversal opportunity 🔹 Avoid high-impact news releases unless breakout 🔹 Use Forex Factory / MyFXBook for news calendar 10. Post-Trade Journaling: 🔹Screenshot HTF → LTF Setup (H4 > M15 > M1) 🔹Don’t skip journaling — it’s your #1 improvement tool.
by jeniceinocentes
Market next target 🔍 Disruption Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart 1. "Support" Label Positioned at the Current Price Level Disruption: The chart marks 1.1705 as “Support,” but price is sitting directly on or slightly above it. Challenge: If price is already breaking through or hovering at support without bouncing, it’s a sign of weakness — this zone may no longer be valid as support. ✅ Correction: Re-label this area as “Potential Resistance” if a breakdown confirms. --- 2. Directional Bias Assumes Continuation Without Confirmation Disruption: Three yellow arrows indicate a bearish continuation, yet no bearish candlestick pattern, volume spike, or break-close-below-support has been confirmed. Challenge: This is a premature projection that lacks price action validation. ✅ Correction: Wait for a confirmed candle close below 1.1700 with increased volume to validate the move. --- 3. Volume Ignored Despite Clear Clues Disruption: There is rising volume during the move down near support — this could indicate either strong selling or smart money accumulation. Challenge: Volume analysis is completely overlooked, missing a critical layer of confirmation. ✅ Correction: Analyze the volume spike on the red candles; if followed by weak follow-through, a bullish reversal may be setting up instead
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour performance of the Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair, sourced from OANDA. The current exchange rate is 1.17152, reflecting a 0.12% increase (+0.00136). The graph shows a recent upward trend, with a highlighted resistance zone around 1.17187, where the price has approached but not consistently broken through. The timeframe spans from late June to early July 2025, with key price levels marked on the right side ranging from 1.14500 to 1.18000 USD.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
EUR/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading, How I see it, Key Confluence SUPPORT & DEMAND @ 1.16000 area Potential correction before bullish continuation "LONG" Targets: 1] 1.17445 2] 1.18700 - MAJOR LIQ. LEVEL Keynote: I will not sell the correction; I will wait for bullish confirmation within key support area on at least 1HR + 4HR timeframes. Only after a strong breach of support & demand area (1D candle body), will I consider looking for any short setups. I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Long
by ANROC
EUR/USD RALLY CREATES NEW BUY ZONE!Hey traders so continuing to watch the Euro. Don't you just love it when a trade plan comes together and everything goes as you expect? Don't get too excited normally we only get our forecasts right around 50% of the time! However this one is working out well so far so now where to from here? The Trend is your Friend until it bends or breaks. Same plan wait for the pullback or profit taking from this rally when it drops buy again at the trendline. Im not going to say it's always this easy but you don't need indicators to draw a straight line and connect 3 bars. Trading can be simple or complicated the easier we keep it the better imo.😁 Place stop below trendline or support as US Dollar Continues to weaken this trend should continue to move in our favor. If Bearish I normally don't recommend counter trend trading because it can be difficult. So unless I see the US Dollar Index Bottom I don't think the trend will have any major changes. Another thing if you are still long you can enter more positions on this next pullback. That way you can build a larger position in a trending market. It's like playing the waiting game be patient and eventually she will come to you! Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
Long
by TradeTheIndex
Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!Here's what I notice: - Price has **bounced very strongly** from the cycle low. - You timed it very nicely — the upswing started just as the cycle predicted a bottom. - If the cycle timing continues, this move could extend for several candles into the next cycle top. **Summary of the New Setup:** ✔ Cycle low confirmed with bullish breakout ✔ Strong impulsive move off the bottom ✔ Favourable timing for long setups ✔ Potential for multiple days of upside if cycle rhythm holds This new chart you uploaded looks like it's using cycle analysis — those green semi-circles suggest you're mapping time-based cycles! Awesome! 😎 Here's the TradingView post draft for your **Cycle Timing** idea: --- # ⏳ Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting! **Summary:** Perfect timing off the projected cycle low! Price action has confirmed the cycle theory with a strong bullish breakout. Based on the rhythm of previous cycles, we could see sustained upside momentum into the next cycle peak. **Setup Details:** - **Entry:** Current levels (~1.13647) after confirmation of cycle low. - **Stop-loss:** Below the recent low (~1.09000) to give the trade room to breathe. - **Target:** Look for strength toward 1.20+ depending on price behavior near mid-cycle. - **Risk/Reward:** Excellent — trend in favor, supported by cycle timing. **Technical Factors:** ✅ Cycle Low perfectly aligned with time-based projection ✅ Strong bullish candle closing above recent consolidation ✅ Momentum shift supports continuation higher ✅ Cycle suggests multiple sessions of upside potential --- **Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.** --- **⚠️ Disclaimer:** This is *NOT financial advice*. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
Long
by TONYMONTANA87
EURUSD Soars Beyond 1.17, Eyeing 2021 Highs on DXY DrawdownAs EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential. The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021 peaks. On the downside, a close back below the 1.1570 support may trigger a pullback toward 1.14 and 1.13 before a potential bullish continuation. If that fails, the upper boundary of the former channel could be retested at 1.11 and 1.10. - Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025 - EURUSD broke resistance level 1.1575 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1800 EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance level 1.1575 , which is the former monthly high from the middle of April. The breakout of the resistance level 1.1575 continues the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of May. Given the strong daily uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1800, which intersects with the daily up channel from May.
Long
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.16100 👀 Possible scenario: The euro rose 0.1% on June 24, nearing 1.16250 and hitting a 2.5-year high of 1.16410, as the U.S. dollar softened following soft remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and weak U.S. data. Powell warned that tariffs may boost inflation this summer but signaled openness to rate cuts if economic risks grow. U.S. consumer confidence fell unexpectedly in June, fueling concerns about a slowing job market and economy. This boosted expectations for a July Fed rate cut, now seen at 18%, and supported the euro as traders weighed diverging Fed-ECB policy paths. Traders now see an 18% chance of a July cut, boosting the euro amid diverging Fed-ECB outlooks. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.14535 Resistance level is located at 1.16330
by MaxOnMarkets
Short trade 4Hr TF overview 🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade 📍 Pair: EURUSD 📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 (You wrote June 15th — adjusted to match your current date sequence) 🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour 📉 Direction: Sell-side 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 1.16072 Profit Level 1.14888 (−1.02%) Stop Loss 1.16244 (+0.15%) Risk-Reward Ratio 6.88 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: 4HR Premium Entry from Bearish OB: Trade executed at the upper end of the internal range, where price tapped into a high-probability bearish order block. London AM Stop-Hunt: Price swept a prior London session high before rejecting, indicative of engineered liquidity and smart money distribution. Break of Structure & Momentum Confirmation: Following the sweep, price broke internal structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent.
Short
by davidjulien369
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher. Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
by ChartMage