EURUSD 4HLast week’s invalidation level was clearly broken , confirming the bullish direction.
The bearish sentiment will only return if 1.1249 breaks, and especially if 1.1160 is lost.
For now, as the upward move continues, we expect a 1&2 structure(BASE) to form near 1.1440, leading to higher targets:
1.1620
1.1700
Higher levels are possible, but they’ll be confirmed and shared in future updates.
USDEUX trade ideas
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
🏴☠️Bullish Entry - "The heist is on! Wait for the MA Pullback at Institutional Hidden Buy Zone (1.11000) & Big Players Verified Trade Zone (1.09000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
🏴☠️Bearish Entry - "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at for Bullish Trade (Big Players Verified Trade Zone SL at 1.07000) & (Institutional Hidden Buy Zone SL at 1.09500)
🚩Thief SL placed at 1.13800 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 1.17000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 1.10500 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a Bearish trend 🐻,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
Detailed Point-by-Point Recap 📋✨
Fundamentals 📊: USD leads due to Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs; EUR limited by Eurozone risks 💵📉.
Macroeconomics 🌐: US resilience contrasts with Eurozone weakness, favoring USD 🚀📉.
Global Markets 🌍: US equities and yields drive USD strength; Eurozone trade woes hurt EUR 📈📉.
COT Data 📉: Bearish speculative positioning supports USD 🐻.
Seasonality 📅: May historically favors USD, aligning with current trends 📉.
Intermarket 🔗: USD benefits from equity/yield correlations; EUR hit by energy costs 📈📉.
Quantitative 📉: Technicals (RSI, Fibonacci, channels) confirm bearish momentum 🐻.
Sentiment 😣: Bearish institutional bias, with retail shorts suggesting short-term EUR bounce 📉📈.
Trend Prediction 🚀📉: Bearish across timeframes, with downside targets at 1.1080, 1.0445, and 1.00 🐻.
Outlook ⭐: Bearish (7/10), with USD dominance likely to persist 💪📉.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EUR/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Opportunity in Sight🔍 Technical Breakdown
🟦 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish)
The price has been moving within a tightening upward channel — forming higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum. This is a typical Rising Wedge, a pattern that signals exhaustion in an uptrend and typically resolves to the downside.
The pattern formed over several days.
Volume has been declining as the price pushed higher — a classic sign of weakening trend strength.
🚨 2. Major Resistance Zone
The wedge culminated near a major historical resistance zone (around 1.1400), which price failed to break multiple times — showing strong seller presence. This adds confluence to the bearish breakdown.
📉 3. Breakdown & Retest
Price broke below the lower wedge trendline, confirming the bearish reversal. After the breakdown, the pair appears to be retesting the previous support line — now acting as new resistance.
This retest is crucial — a successful rejection here typically confirms the breakdown and provides an ideal entry point for short positions.
⚡ Volume Clues
Note the "Volume Burst" earlier in the chart, followed by a sharp move up. But that rally was unsustainable — buyers couldn’t hold above resistance, and volume has since faded. This volume exhaustion is further evidence that bullish momentum is weakening.
🔄 Key Support Zones Below
Around 1.1200: A strong SR flip zone (support-turned-resistance), which could act as temporary support.
Final Bearish Target: Around 1.1070, a strong demand zone where price previously consolidated before the last bullish run.
This is the measured move target from the wedge height applied to the breakdown point.
🧠 Why This Matters (Trader Insight)
This setup combines:
A reliable bearish pattern (rising wedge)
Key horizontal resistance
A volume drop
A clean retest structure
That makes it a high-confluence short trade idea. These patterns don't always play out immediately, but when they do, they often drop hard.
📌 Trade Setup Summary
Bias: Bearish
Pattern : Rising Wedge (broken)
Current Action: Retesting the broken wedge
Entry Zone: 1.135–1.138 (retest confirmation)
First Target: 1.1200 (SR Flip)
Final Target: 1.1070 (Demand Zone)
Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.1410
A little bit higher for EUHi traders,
Last week EU made an impulse wave up just like I've said. Check my previous outlook.
But the impulse wave was not very strong and price made an overlapping pullback which indicates a Diagonal pattern. I think price is making a leading diagonal wave 1 (red) of wave 5 (black).
So next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (orange) up to finish wave 1 (red) and the start of a bigger pullback for wave 2 (red).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a bigger correction down to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 23, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has demonstrated significant strength during this week's trading session, attaining a notable Inner Currency Rally at 1.129 and encountering Mean Resistance at 1.137. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro will likely progress towards the forthcoming target levels, specifically the Mean Resistance at 1.142 and the Key Resistance at 1.151. A retest of the completed Outer Currency Rally at 1.157 may facilitate this advancement. However, a potential downward pullback could emerge from the current price range, particularly in proximity to the Mean Resistance level of 1.137, with a possibility of declining to the Mean Support at 1.127.
Euro-dollar looks vulnerable but lacks a catalystWith relatively low momentum and buying saturation clear recently, it’s questionable whether euro-dollar might achieve a new high soon. 6 June's NFP was only slightly strong than expected, though, so it's unlikely to trigger a continuing move down. Volume and volatility have declined strongly since April and the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement seems to be more established as an area of resistance.
If the price does retreat in the near future, it’s unlikely to be a large drop to $1.11 or lower immediately, more of a retracement. Behaviour after a possible break below the main dynamic support of the 50 SMA from Bands would be one of the most important factors determining the next move. Monetary policy, especially the Fed’s meeting on 18 June, and American politics and tariffs remain in focus.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.14550👀 Possible scenario:
The euro rose 0.23% against the dollar on June 5 after the ECB signaled an end to its easing cycle, despite cutting rates for the eighth time. The bank lowered its growth and inflation forecasts amid rising trade risks and slowing momentum but expects inflation to return to target in the longer term.
Meanwhile, U.S. nonfarm payrolls are expected to show a gain of 130,000 in May, down from April’s 177,000, with unemployment steady at 4.2%. Signs of a cooling labor market are weighing on yields ahead of the report.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.13640
Resistance level is located at 1.14550
BUY EUR/USD Intraday/SwingEUR/USD – Demand Zone Reversal Setup (15-Min)
Timeframe: 15-Minute (Short-Term Intraday)
Trade Type: Demand Zone Reversal / Trend Alignment
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.13
📍 Trade Setup Overview
Entry: 1.14255 (Current Market Price)
Stop Loss: 1.14099
Take Profit: 1.14547
Risk: ~14.3 pips (~0.13%)
Reward: ~30.5 pips (~0.27%)
This setup targets a rebound from a validated demand zone with clean structural confluence and early momentum signals.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
🧱 Structure & Trend Context:
Microtrend (M15): Recent corrective pullback following a strong bullish impulse.
Trendline: A descending short-term trendline is nearing a break, suggesting momentum shift in favor of bulls.
Demand Zone: Validated by the Order Block Detector, the 1.1409–1.1420 area has already proven to absorb sell-side pressure during past tests.
📈 Momentum Indicators:
RSI (14): Currently ~46 and curling up — potential bullish divergence building.
MACD (12,26): Histogram showing exhaustion of bearish momentum. Signal lines are converging — early signs of crossover.
Not Every Candle Needs a Reaction — I Know I’ve GrownThere was a time I thought I needed to react to every move.
A clean candle? I’d enter.
A minor imbalance? I’d take the risk.
A zone that “looked okay”? I’d justify it.
Why? Because I was chasing something.
Chasing certainty .
Chasing profit .
Chasing control .
But here’s the thing I didn’t understand back then:
Not every candle needs a reaction. And not every move is my move.
🧠 Overtrading Wasn’t a Strategy. It Was a Symptom.
It was a symptom of fear — fear of missing out (FOMO).
It was a symptom of insecurity — not trusting my own process.
It was a symptom of impatience — not letting the market come to me.
I confused activity with progress. I thought being busy on the charts meant I was becoming better. But most of the time, I was just bleeding my edge.
💡 The Turning Point
Growth didn’t happen because I learned a new indicator. It happened the moment I started asking myself:
Is this my setup? Or am I just bored, hopeful, or triggered?
When you define a clear trading plan, with criteria you believe in, the real test isn’t finding setups...it’s waiting for the right ones. Today, I can watch the market move beautifully without me and feel absolutely nothing.
That’s freedom.
That’s growth.
That’s power.
🧘🏽♂️ From Reactive to Intentional
Now, I focus on:
Waiting for my specific SMC criteria to line up
Sticking to my CRT model (PDL/PWH sweep → BOS → FVG)
Trusting that missing one trade means nothing if I stay consistent
Letting the market come to me
I’m no longer in the game to prove something. I’m here to play my edge , manage my risk , and protect my mind.
📌 Final Words
Growth in trading isn't loud. It doesn’t scream from a winning streak. It shows up quietly:
in the trades you didn’t take.
in the silence between setups.
in the patience to do nothing until it’s time.
So if you’re not constantly in a trade, that’s not weakness that’s wisdom.
EURO-USD BUY STRONG 1. "EUR/USD Strong Buy Alert 🚀 | Key support zone holding firm – bulls eyeing the next leg up!"
2. "Strong Buy Zone ✅ | EUR/USD showing bullish momentum from this support level – eyes on 1.09+"
3. "EUR/USD Reversal Zone 💥 | Buyers stepping in strong – potential rally ahead!"
4. "Watch this zone! EUR/USD strong buy setup forming – bullish confirmation underway 📈"
5. "EUR/USD bouncing from key demand zone 🔥 | Technicals align for a strong buy signal!"
EURUSD - hourly chartTrading idea:
Short to 1.1406 but risk is to high because it could reverse to the 1.1457 very sharp!
Support and resistance:
🔴 Resistance Levels:
1.14574 — the nearest key resistance level; a previous top and potential barrier for further upward movement.
1.14900 — the upper boundary of the current range; serves as a target if the price breaks above resistance.
🟡 Support Levels:
1.14046 — local support level, coinciding with a previously broken resistance zone; may act as a bounce point.
1.13572 — important support level that previously held back further downside movement.
1.13126 — major support level from which a strong bullish impulse previously started.
🔍 Additional Notes:
Price is currently testing a descending trendline and may form a local consolidation in the 1.142–1.145 area, with a possible breakout attempt.
RSI is pointing downward but still above the oversold zone — no strong reversal signal yet.
Volume has decreased, which may indicate accumulation before the next impulse move.
EUR/USD Outlook – NFP Friday Flow & Liquidity Watch (ARX BreakdoEven though I don't trade NFP days, I always watch how the market behaves especially around key liquidity zones.
In this video, I break down what I expect from EUR/USD today using the ARX method:
• External & internal range liquidity
• Price flow around key zones
• Trap potential before major sessions
• Patience > prediction, even on high-impact days
🎯 This is for observation and structure-building execution always follows discipline.
EURUSD Aims for 1.1530 as Uptrend Holds StrongOANDA:EURUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential for a continued move toward higher levels.
The price has broken through a key resistance area and successfully retested this zone as support, confirming the bullish structure. This retest reinforces the bullish case, with the next target aligning with the midline of the channel near 1.1530.
As long as the price remains above this newly established support, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, if the price fails to hold this area, a deeper pullback toward the midline or the lower boundary of the channel may occur.
Remember to always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Good luck!
Market next target 🧨 Disruption Points:
1. Overbought Condition / RSI Divergence
Even though the price is surging (+3.30%), there could be an overbought condition forming.
If RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) diverge, it might signal weakness in bullish momentum.
> Disruptive idea: Price may fake the breakout (blue arrow) and then sharply reverse, trapping late buyers.
---
2. False Breakout Trap
The red-box area could be a liquidity zone where smart money might induce a fake breakout before dumping.
> Alternative path: Price breaks above temporarily (as in blue path), but then reverses violently back into the range, forming a “bull trap.”
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3. Volume Anomaly
The volume appears to be decreasing on recent bullish candles after the initial spike.
This suggests that the uptrend may be losing strength, making the yellow arrow scenario less likely.
> Contrary outlook: Lack of volume confirmation could mean a sideways consolidation or reversal is more probable.
---
4. News/Event Risk (Fundamental Disruption)
The chart shows an upcoming economic event (U.S. flag icon), possibly Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), interest rate news, or CPI.
These events could cause extreme volatility and invalidate all technical patterns.
EURUSD BUY IN NOTICE. I just went live with you all, entering a buy position in EURUSD during an important news release. Actually, it was two buy entries, and I managed them really well.
In the first entry, we reached a 1.3% gain, although I couldn’t close it completely. In the second entry, the price hit exactly the point I mentioned it would likely reach during the news event. I’m managing both entries carefully, and at this moment, I already have a significant percentage in profit.
This is how live trading works — with discipline, management, and solid analysis!