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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Currencies give back gains after solid start | FX ResearchCurrencies had been bid to start the day but have given back most of their gains to the dollar into the North American open. Interestingly, U.S. equity futures are still holding up well as they attempt to extend the recovery from Friday's decline, which followed a weak set of U.S. economic data. The big question now is whether the softer data will prompt the Fed to shift toward a more dovish stance on monetary policy. If this happens, it could support risk assets, but for now, the currency market remains skeptical. In Europe, markets are still digesting the German election results, though the initial response was positive. The euro also got a slight boost on news that President Zelensky would be willing to resign if a peace deal were reached. On the data front, German Ifo data came in weaker than expected, which may have contributed to the latest euro selling after an earlier rally. Looking ahead, key events include the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Dallas Fed Manufacturing data, and speeches from Bank of Canada and Bank of England officials. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
Weekly Forex Market Analysis:EURUSD– Issue 200The analyst predicts that the EUR/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend ___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Long
by MoonriseTA
EURUSD’s zone of interest after German election Polls have now closed in Germany’s parliamentary elections. Exit polls indicate Friedrich Merz’s center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has secured a clear victory, positioning him as Germany’s next chancellor. The far-right AfD is projected to achieve its best result yet, currently in second place with 20.2%, nearly doubling its 2021 support. However, the Bundestag’s composition remains uncertain, and Merz has ruled out cooperation with the AfD. Prolonged coalition talks could lead to a government divided on economic recovery and international policy, which could be bearish for the euro. With this in mind, the 61.8% to 50.0% Fibonacci zone could be an area of interest (to begin with at least), which coincides with flattening longer moving averages.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURO LIFTS POST-GERMAN VOTE—BUT USD BITES BACKEURO LIFTS POST-GERMAN VOTE—BUT USD BITES BACK FX:EURUSD (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Germany’s election—Merz and CDU on top—gave the euro a quick jolt, up 0.44% to $1.0507 📈🔥. Markets dig the stability vibe, but it’s fading fast—let’s unpack this tussle! 🚀 (2/9) – ELECTION SPARK • Euro Bump: Hit $1.0530 overnight—election cheer 💥 • Markets: DAX futures up 1.2%, EUROSTOXX 50 +0.66% 📊 • Fade: Now at $1.0480—USD’s flexing back Brief lift—stability’s sweet, but not sticky! (3/9) – TECH TELLTALE • Resistance: $1.0500-1.0510 wall holds firm 🌍 • Support: $1.0470 pivot, then $1.0440 if it slips 🚗 • Charts: Double top whispers at $1.0530 🌟 Traders on X see a retreat—bearish juice brewing? (4/9) – USD PUSHBACK • Jobless Claims: Weak last week, USD softened a tad 📉 • Fed: No rush to cut—rates steady, Nvidia looms • Muscle: Dollar’s clawing back—ballast holds AMEX:USD ’s got grit—euro’s nudge ain’t enough! 🌍 (5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY • Volatility: PMI data, Nvidia earnings stir the pot ⚠️ • Sentiment: X split—liquidity grab or bear turn? 🏛️ • Levels: Below $1.0470 opens $1.0390 risk 📉 Quick sprint—can euro keep the pace? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Election Lift: CDU win sparks euro hope 🌟 • Markets: European futures pop—optimism flows 🔍 • Cash: $1.0530 peak shows buyer guts 🚦 Euro’s got some spark—briefly lit! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: $1.0510 cap, USD fights back 💸 • Opportunities: PMI beats could push $1.0600 🌍 Will euro dodge the dollar’s jab? (8/9) – Euro’s election bump—what’s your call? 1️⃣ Bullish—Stability wins out. 2️⃣ Neutral—Blip, not a trend. 3️⃣ Bearish—USD takes the ring. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Euro spiked to $1.0507 on Germany’s vote—CDU’s steady hand 🌍🪙. Now $1.0480—USD’s got claws. Resistance bites, downside looms—blip or bust?
by DCAChampion
EURUSD DUMP Easily anticipating a lock for high of week. If not, I will cove to .055 Rapid 1.2.3 (i) (ii) (iii) on Monday's open running straight to previous week highs before bearish ChoCh, BOS and change in market structure. LO premarket move anticipating to control risk with SL to BE targeting equilibrium or 50% retracement to open the week ***Unfortunately price is currently trading above VWAP. A strong high volume move across is required to validate the move*** -YungEmsi
Short
by YungEmsi_254
1
EURUSD: holds steady above 1.0400 amid US tariff threatsEUR/USD holds steady above 1.0450 in the European trading hours on Thursday. Broad US Dollar underperformance supports the pair. However, tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and geopolitical tension might cap its upside. US data and Fedspeak remains in focus. EUR/USD Technical Overview Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located below the midline, near 42.85, suggesting that further downside cannot be ruled out. The first upside barrier for EUR/USD emerges near 1.0461, the high of February 19. The key resistance level to watch is the 1.0500-1.0505 zone, representing the psychological level and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.0533, the high of January 27.
Long
by xauusd_rr
EUR/USD Trend and Trading Strategy for the Beginning of the WeekEUR/USD news: 🔆The EUR/USD pair gains positive momentum at the start of the new week, reaching a near one-month high around the 1.0525-1.0530 range during the Asian session, driven by renewed selling pressure on the US dollar (USD). 🔆Heading into the weekend, the USD struggled following weaker-than-expected economic data, including the final Michigan Confidence Index, Home Sales, and the US S&P Services PMI, which recorded its first contraction in 25 months. 🔆Additionally, the conservative party’s victory in the German election strengthens the euro, providing further support to the pair. Personal opinion: 🔆EUR/USD will continue to increase due to positive news from the EU. And the weakness of the USD is inevitable when the uncertainties about tariffs and the instability of the US federal bureaucracy are still complicated Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a reasonable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.050x– 1.048x ❌SL: 1.0430 | ✅TP: 1.0550– 1.0600 – 1.0650 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EUR/USD - H1 Analysis & Prediction📈 EUR/USD - H1 Analysis & Prediction 🔹 Key Levels & Market Structure: ✅ 1.05342 - Potential retest level before continuation. ✅ 1.06003 - Major supply zone, watch for price reaction. ✅ BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed, signaling bullish momentum. 🚀 Bullish Scenario: 🔹 If price successfully retests 1.05342, expect a move towards 1.06003. 🔹 A strong break above 1.06003 could indicate further upside potential. 📉 Bearish Scenario: 🔹 If price fails to hold 1.05342, it may retrace lower towards demand zones. 🔹 Watch for liquidity grabs and potential reversals before entering trades. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Look for bullish confirmations at 1.05342 for potential long entries. ✅ Monitor price action in the 1.06003 supply zone for reactions. ✅ Break above 1.06003 confirms strong upside momentum. #FXFOREVER #EURUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexTrading #LiquidityHunt
Long
by FXFOREVER_87