EUR/USD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Bulls Break Through?EUR/USD continues to trade within a strong uptrend, respecting the 50-day SMA while pressing against a key horizontal resistance level around 1.1576. The pair has recently pulled back modestly after testing this level but remains above the short-term moving average, suggesting buyers are still in control.
Technicals provide a mixed, but slightly bullish picture:
Trend Structure: Price action shows a series of higher highs and higher lows since mid-February, confirming a bullish trend.
Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA (golden cross), and price continues to close above both, reinforcing the bullish bias.
MACD: While flattening, it remains in positive territory – momentum is cooling but not reversing.
RSI: Currently near 59, suggesting bullish momentum without overbought conditions – a healthy zone for a potential continuation higher.
A breakout above the 1.1576 resistance could open the path toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1745. However, failure to clear this barrier may invite consolidation or a minor pullback toward the 50-day SMA.
Traders should watch for a daily close above 1.1576 or a bounce from the 50-day SMA to confirm the next directional move.
-MW
