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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

Market next move 🔍 Original Analysis Summary: Bearish Setup: Price is expected to break down from the small consolidation area (highlighted in red box). Projection: A drop toward the lower target zone (~1.13200–1.13300). Trigger: Likely based on rejection from minor resistance and upcoming U.S. economic data (flag icons). --- ⚠️ Disruption (Bullish/Neutral Counter-View): 1. Support Holding Firm The price has tested the red box area multiple times without a clear breakdown. This could signal strong demand/support around 1.13600, invalidating the bearish momentum. --- 2. Volume Spike on Bullish Candles Notable bullish volume spikes suggest buyers are stepping in at current levels, defending support. --- 3. Potential Bullish Reversal Pattern The red box resembles a bullish flag or rectangle, often a continuation pattern — not necessarily a bearish signal. If price breaks above 1.13700, it may trigger buy stop orders, fueling a rally. --- 4. Favorable Euro Fundamentals The eurozone flag icon suggests EU news is also pending. If this is hawkish or better than expected, EUR/USD could rally sharply, invalidating the bearish outlook.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 2, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is recovering its recent losses recorded during the previous session, trading around 1.13700 on Monday during Asian hours. The pair is strengthening amid a weakening US dollar (USD) after the US Court of Appeals ruled on Thursday to allow US President Donald Trump's tariffs to take effect. On Wednesday, a panel of three judges at the International Trade Court in Manhattan said Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing broad import tariffs and ruled the orders issued on April 2 illegal. On Friday, President Trump said at a rally in Pennsylvania that he plans to double import tariffs on steel and aluminum to increase pressure on global steel producers and escalate the trade war. “We are going to impose a 25 percent increase. We are going to raise tariffs on steel imported into the United States from 25 percent to 50 percent, which will further strengthen the steel industry in the United States,” he said, according to Reuters. On Saturday, the European Commission (EC) warned that Europe is ready to respond to President Trump's plan to double tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, which would escalate the trade war between the world's two largest economic powers. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13600, SL 1.13200, TP 1.14200
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURSUD InsightGreetings to all subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - U.S. President Trump stated via Truth Social that China had completely violated the agreement with the U.S. Some media outlets reported that additional sanctions targeting China were being prepared. However, concerns over the U.S.-China trade conflict were eased after Trump said, “I am confident that I will speak with President Xi Jinping of China, and I hope we can resolve this issue.” - President Trump announced an increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4. The EU immediately expressed strong regret over this decision. - The U.S. Core PCE Price Index for April rose 2.5% YoY, and the headline PCE rose 2.1% YoY, both coming in below market expectations, thereby easing inflation concerns. Key Economic Events This Week + June 2: Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech + June 3: Eurozone May Consumer Price Index (CPI) + June 4: Bank of Canada interest rate decision + June 5: ECB interest rate decision + June 6: U.S. May Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate EURUSD Chart Analysis Although it was expected to break through the resistance line smoothly, the pair encountered resistance around the 1.14000 level and pulled back to the central trendline. Since then, it has shown a renewed upward trend, supported by the trendline. If it successfully breaks through the 1.14000 level, a rise toward 1.16000 can be anticipated. However, if it fails to break the resistance, there is a possibility of a downward shift below the central trendline. In that case, a new strategy will be formulated.
Long
by shawntime_academy
USDEUR Long Trade Analysis – 30m Chart!📈 ✅ Trade Setup Summary Pair: USDEUR (USD vs. Euro) Timeframe: 30-minute Trade Type: Long (Buy) Entry Zone: ~0.8795 Stop Loss: ~0.8766 (below yellow support zone) Target Zone: ~0.8836 (mid-resistance) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Good (~1:2+) 🔍 Technical Insights Falling Wedge Breakout Attempt: Price is breaking out from a downward wedge (pink trendlines). Support holding strong around the 0.8766 zone (yellow). Double Retest Circle: Prior breakout level (left) and current (right) show confluence — strengthening the long bias. Immediate Resistance: 0.8812 (yellow line) 0.8836 (blue horizontal resistance – TP zone) 📌 Trade Confidence Signals ✅ Previous breakout zone retested successfully 🔼 Reversal pattern with higher low 📏 Risk well-defined; tight SL and decent upside
Long
by ProfittoPath
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
Story behind EURUSD chart and US10Y and DE10Y risk premiumLet’s have a look at the Currency and Bond markets today after an eventful last few weeks in both markets. After Moody’s downgrade of the US Gov bonds the markets look seemingly quiet. There has been no sudden spike in the US10Y. But it makes lot of sense to look beneath the hood and compare the Bond and the currency markets. Today we are looking into the 2 largest currency pairs, i.e. FX:EURUSD and the largest bond markets i.e. US10Y and German 10Y. It is astounding to observe how the Fib retracement levels from the peak and troughs in the FX:EURUSD and TVC:US10 - TVC:DE10Y charts coincide. Both indicators at @ 0.618 Fib levels. As anyone would expect when the FX:EURUSD makes new highs the diff between TVC:US10Y and TVC:DE10Y hits new highs as investors long the FX:EURUSD chart and in that way hedge the risk in the TVC:US10Y without going short TVC:US10Y which will then adversely affect the investors portfolio. Institutional investors have been unwinding the long position in the TVC:US10Y by going long EUR, YEN and CHF in the currency markets without explicitly selling the US10Y. Going back to the charts, what can we expect in the medium to long term? In my expectation both the charts can reach 0.786 Fib level and subsequently the 1.0 Levels. This will take the FX:EURUSD from 1.13 to 1.18 by the end of 2025 and then to our long-term target of 1.25. If those levels hold onto in the currency markets, then the risk premium of TVC:US10Y over TVC:DE10Y which is denoted in the chart by TVC:US10Y - TVC:DE10Y will go from 1.9% to 2.1% and then top out at 2.3%. May be this is the way USD will lose some of its market share as world reserve currency status. Verdict: USD Reserve currency status weakening. Buoyant FX:EURUSD marching towards 1.25. TVC:US10Y - TVC:DE10Y can reach 2.3%.
Long
by RabishankarBiswal
What's your view ( scenerio 1 or 2 ) --- 📈 EUR/USD Weekly Chart – Wave 4 in Progress? Wave 3 looks complete and price is now hovering in a key correction zone, hinting at the start of Wave 4. Two possible paths are unfolding: 🔴 Scenario 1: Shallow Wave 4 correction → breakout to Wave 5, targeting 1.16667 and beyond. 🔵 Scenario 2: Deeper Wave 4 correction → retest of demand zone near 1.08, followed by a strong Wave 5 rally. 🧠 Elliott Wave traders, it’s time to stay sharp! The reaction near the mid-box and support zone could define the next major move for the Euro. 💬 What’s your bias here — is this the start of Wave 5 or a fakeout before a deeper drop? Comment your view 👇 #EURUSD #ElliottWave #ForexWeekly #GreenFireForex #WaveAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand ---
by Greenfireforex
Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary Resistance Zone: Around 1.1360 Support Zone: Same level after breakout (suggesting a breakout and retest pattern) Target: Around 1.1450 after breakout --- 🚫 Disruption Points 1. False Breakout Risk What could happen: Price might break the resistance briefly and then fall back below it. Why: Lack of volume or confirmation, or a market maker trap to gather liquidity above the resistance zone. Disruption: Instead of forming new support, it could become a bull trap leading to a sharp reversal. 2. Fundamental Risk What could happen: Unexpected U.S. or Eurozone economic data (like NFP, CPI, or ECB/Fed announcements) may shift sentiment suddenly. Why: The image shows upcoming news events (flag icons), which could induce volatility. Disruption: The news might push EUR/USD sharply down even if a breakout occurs. 3. Bearish Divergence (if applicable) What could happen: If RSI or MACD were included, they might show divergence while price is rising. Why: Divergence typically precedes reversals. Disruption: This would undermine the bullish breakout thesis.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis: The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum. What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer) The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price. Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve. The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure. 🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established. After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation. The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish. 🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip. This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals. Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers. 🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support. This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence. 🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders. This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins. 📊 Trade Management Plan: Parameter Details Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term) Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs TP1 1.14500 (interim supply) TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone) SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea) RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🧠 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH) Curve Manipulation / Compression SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange) QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) Trendline + FVG Confluence Liquidity Pool Targeting Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation 🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations: Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests. Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload. If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions. ✅ Conclusion: This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management. Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD May 30 Failed tradesEURUSD May 30 Failed trades Logic coming into today was Price would reach for equal highs liquidity, which I tried to trade wasting valuable mental capital on a swing with a small pip reward. I went long for equal highs not once but twice, anticipating to then short for the London sentiment *21:00 entry anticipating a long to equal highs risk to reward was 15 pips I suspected a swing to the higher high at price 1.13923 target *Came back on me stopped me out Embarrassed to write this out and yet lets go! *20:21 super revenge trade on my idea so low brow move same thing longed at a stupid time and got stopped out after it took session liquidity, and rolled over Broke rules *never buy in a premium *only trade macro times *suppress the urge to revenge trade *always trade after liquidity is taken Notes for failed sells I took that were poorly executed London Macro 2:00 entry with a 5 pip stop loss-stopped out 2:15 entry with a larger stop loss and came back again *Lack of trust in my bias after a dismal morning adding to over analyzing *Broke my rule of1 to 2 trades a day *If I would have taken the time to just review the morning cross reference DXY/GBP and had faith that my logic was correct both 1:45 and 2:45 provided entries *I witness the value of getting in early and yet when its right there I freeze *Focus on sound logic to reframe your confidence *stick to bias and follow through *Your idea played out and you were too eager and excited to trade-learn to calm and stay focused *small stop loss were employed, if I would have stuck to my bias in Asia and London today would have been a large success *greed in the morning captured me with wanting both swings-1 swing at a time *fear of more loss prevented a larger stop loss which at 2 macro would have held me in the trade
by LeanLena
EURUSD: weekly overviewTake FOMC meeting under observation, the US GDP is also a really important news. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Long
by AliSignals
EUR/USD Drifts Lower as Dollar ReboundsEUR/USD is struggling to hold onto Thursday’s rebound from the 1.1200 region—its lowest in nearly 10 days—and trades with a slight bearish bias in Friday’s Asian session. The pair is hovering near the mid-1.1300s, down around 0.15% on the day. The US Dollar regained some ground due to renewed safe-haven demand after a federal appeals court reinstated former President Trump’s broad trade tariffs, injecting fresh uncertainty into the markets. However, the dollar’s momentum remains limited by concerns over the US fiscal outlook and expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025. The euro finds partial support as Trump postponed tariffs on EU imports. Market focus now shifts to the upcoming US PCE inflation data, which may influence Fed policy expectations, followed by next Thursday’s ECB meeting for further direction. Resistance is seen at 1.1400, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1500. Support is located at 1.1300, followed by 1.1260 and 1.1210.
by ChartMage
EURUSD Buy- look for buy when price pull back to discount level - refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Long
by Vincent-DA