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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD POTENTIAL TRADE SETUPEUR/USD 30M - As you can see price has recently come to clear an area of Demand, we have since seen price trade us to the upside suggesting enough Demand has been introduced to potential flip the balance. We will get confirmation of this once we see price break the last protected high within the bearish move that traded price down and into the Demand Zone in the first place, once we have been delivered with that we have means to look to buy. When delivered with this break in structure I will be looking at the impulsive wave that has broken structure for areas to enter in long on this market. I will be looking for key areas of Demand that have been left as a footprint. Once we see price trade down and into the area of Demand after breaking the structure this is when I will be looking to get involved in this market with those buys, simply waiting for a penetration and rejection before entering.
Long
by Lukegforex
Higher levels for EUR/USD?There is no denying that Europe’s shared currency (EUR) is having a strong year against the US dollar (USD) so far, with the EUR/USD pair rising by almost 10%. Monthly support in play In one fell swoop, April’s price action made short work of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at US$1.0904 and the monthly resistance at US$1.1134. This prompted the unit to challenge monthly resistance at US$1.1457 and subsequently retest US$1.1134 as support. Arguably, if bulls maintain their position north of the mentioned support and eventually absorb the offers at the current resistance, this could reveal a strong bullish scenario for the pair, targeting resistance between US$1.2028 and US$1.1930. Daily AB=CD resistance unlikely to draw much selling Meanwhile, on the daily timeframe, buyers and sellers are squaring off around an ‘alternate’ AB=CD resistance level from US$1.1386 (a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio) – a level complemented by a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1383. Based on monthly flow rebounding from support at US$1.1134, I do not expect the EUR/USD to venture much beyond US$1.1283 on the daily chart: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio derived from legs A-D (US$1.1065-US$1.1419). Short-term dip below US$1.13? Short-term price action on the H1 chart shows the pair rebounded from the US$1.13 handle in recent trading, though overhead resistance between US$1.1358 and US$1.1340 is calling for attention. Additional support to be aware of below US$1.13 resides in the form of a trendline support, extended from the low of US$1.1091, together with support from US$1.1266. Ultimately, I expect H1 price to respect current resistance and drive through US$1.13 bids towards H1 trendline support mentioned above. Knowing said H1 support aligns with the daily timeframe’s 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio, tapping into liquidity south of US$1.13 will likely help drive bigger players to buy.
Long
by FPMarkets
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 28, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair retreated below 1.1400 for the second consecutive day, helped by a recovery in the US Dollar (USD) following the release of a positive consumer confidence report. Risk appetite increased as market participants digested the news that US President Donald Trump said that trade talks between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) have gained momentum following his threats to impose 50 percent tariffs last Friday. Although he backtracked on his words, allowing some room for negotiations, it remains to be seen if the two sides will reach an agreement before July 9. The convincing US consumer confidence data for May released by the Conference Board (CB) put pressure on EUR/USD. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the US currency against the other six currencies, rose more than 0.62% to 99.54. The ECB's Gediminas Simkus said he sees scope for an “interest rate cut in June”. Robert Holzmann, a member of Austria's central bank and a member of the ECB, told the Financial Times (FT) that he sees no reason to cut rates at the June and July policy meetings. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1265, SL 1.1365, TP 1.1065
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Points: 1. Dubious Support Zone The boxed zone (highlighted as support) shows multiple rejections but no clear bullish rejection candles (e.g., no hammer, bullish engulfing). This may be a false base forming before another breakdown, especially with declining volume. 2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern The chart lacks a proper reversal structure like a double bottom, inverse head-and-shoulders, or bullish divergence. A few sideways candles ≠ trend reversal—this might just be consolidation before further drop. 3. Weak Buyer Commitment Volume has steadily decreased as the price attempted to base out. If buyers were serious, we’d expect to see surging green volume bars, not this tapering activity. 4. Downtrend Still Dominant The overall market structure is still lower highs and lower lows. Jumping into a long trade against the trend without a confirmed break above the last swing high (≈1.13250) is premature. 5. Risk-Reward Imbalance The arrowed path assumes an ideal rise without considering realistic pullbacks or market resistance. If a stop is set below 1.12800 (support low) and the target is 1.13400, reward is tight compared to the risk, especially if price continues chopping sideways.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
H1 EURUSD Chart analysis . 5-27-25Current Market Overview: As of May 27, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bullish momentum on the H1 timeframe. The price is trading above key moving averages, indicating a prevailing uptrend. Recent economic developments, including concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and trade tensions, have contributed to a weakening U.S. dollar, further supporting the euro's strength. FXEmpire Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is above the 200-period EMA, confirming a bullish crossover and upward momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 58, the RSI suggests that the market has room to move higher before reaching overbought conditions. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating continued bullish momentum. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The nearest support level is at 1.1300, aligning with the 50-period EMA and recent price action. Resistance: Immediate resistance is observed at 1.1350, a psychological level and recent swing high. Trade Setup: Entry Point: 1.133452, just below the 1.1350 resistance, allowing for a potential breakout. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 1.1300, below the 50-period EMA and recent support level, to manage risk. Take Profit Targets: First Target: 1.1370, aligning with the next resistance level. Fxglory Ltd Second Target: 1.1400, a significant psychological level. Risk Management: Ensure that the risk per trade does not exceed 1-2% of your account balance. Monitor economic events, such as U.S. GDP data and ECB announcements, as they can introduce volatility.
by IbrahimPrince
Update EUR USD may 27,2025 sell1.13793 take profit 1.13115 stop Update EUR USD may 27,2025 sell1.13793 take profit 1.13115 stop lose 1.14119 Good sniper entry follow my page guys so that can profit others📊📉📈 Risk Warnings and Disclaimers You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
Short
by elmercamus14344
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.14220 range 👉🏼 Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) rose 0.20% as investors grew cautious over a sweeping U.S. tax and spending bill that could sharply widen the federal deficit. The proposal has intensified doubts about the sustainability of U.S. debt, reducing demand for dollar assets. Ongoing fiscal uncertainty continues to erode confidence in U.S. financial instruments, limiting the dollar’s recovery as markets remain alert to potential shifts in monetary policy and interest rates. On May 27, two key U.S. economic indicators—Durable Goods Orders (12:30 p.m. UTC) and CB Consumer Confidence (2:00 p.m. UTC)—are set to be released and could influence market movements. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12265. Resistance level is located at 1.14220.
by MaxOnMarkets
Market next move . Support Fatigue / Breakdown Risk Observation: Price has tested the red support zone multiple times. Disruption: Repeated tests of support often weaken it. If it breaks, a sharp drop may follow. Implication: Instead of bouncing, EUR/USD could slide below 1.13200, triggering stop-losses. --- 2. Lack of Bullish Volume Confirmation Observation: The recent candles show low volume on bullish attempts. Disruption: Weak demand at support indicates hesitation among buyers. Implication: Without a volume spike, any bounce may be short-lived or fail entirely. --- 3. Bearish Momentum Still Intact Observation: Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows. Disruption: The short-term trend is still bearish, so this could be a pause before continuation down. Implication: A false bullish break could trap long traders before a drop resumes. --- 4. Fundamental Risks (USD Strength) Disruption: Any U.S. data surprises or hawkish Fed comments (noted by U.S. event icons on the chart) could push USD higher, dragging EUR/USD down. Implication: Technical bounce setups could be invalidated by macro events.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Trade Executed London May 25EURUSD Trade Executed London May 25 PreMarket Analysis Parent bias Bull Previous session Monthly Expansion cycle opening above the .618 in a Premium, with a sell off wick, expecting the expansion to continue. Weekly Candle fractal is a expansion with equal highs and FVG as magnet to reach for. Fridays delivery expanded in Asia consolidated in London then expanded to take buy side, retraced lower in London close, news manipulation to expand to the equal highs, did not take but went in to consolidation May 26 Ideas Premarket analysis logic suggested that Asia will expand to equal highs. It did. When price did not take the equal highs, I suspected a consolidation until London macro and anticipated a expansion move, to the down side. London Framework Trade framework * Price in a premium market -DXY in a discount market *1:39 fake swing,I did consider that price may want to take the equal highs it created and to be cautious *1:55 price rolls over, elements of 2022 model were in play *2:24 price swings up again with 2022 candle formation, swing low, displacement, FVG 3:00 swing low broken 3:02 entry with a fumble on my entry price 5:01 exit at second target Very happy with the analysis and logic to frame this trade. My entry could have been tighter I lost 8 pips trying to enter, all good.
Short
by LeanLena
EUR/USD Holds Above 16-Year ChannelThe U.S. dollar, pressured by debt concerns, has declined toward critical 2025 lows near the 98 level. Meanwhile, the euro has stabilized near 1.1380, now trading above the upper boundary of a 16-year descending channel originating from the 2008 peak and extending through 2024. This breakout positions EUR/USD for a potential long-term bullish move—provided the DXY confirms further downside. A firm monthly close above 1.16 would confirm the breakout, setting sights on highs from 2018 and 2021, between 1.20 and 1.24. On the downside, key pullback levels are 1.1270, 1.1140, and 1.1070. A break below those could extend pressure toward 1.0990 and 1.0890. - Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
Euro Nears $1.14 as Dollar is PressuredEUR/USD climbed to $1.1395, approaching a one-month high as the dollar softened amid mounting U.S. fiscal concerns and uncertainty over Trump’s tax-and-spending bill. Risk sentiment improved after Trump delayed a planned 50% tariff on EU goods, easing fears of a transatlantic trade clash. The euro also gained from ECB President Lagarde’s remarks that it could strengthen as a global currency if EU institutions were reinforced. Resistance is at 1.1425, with additional levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
EURUSD INTRADAY uptrend supported at 1.1300Trend Overview: EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend. Key Technical Levels: Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180 Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500 Technical Outlook: A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets. However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180. Conclusion: The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Economic Data (Key Market Movers) United States: April Durable Goods Orders – Key manufacturing signal. May Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Insight into consumer outlook. May Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity – Regional factory health. March FHFA House Price Index / Q1 House Price Purchase Index – Housing trends. Asia: China April Industrial Profits – Industrial sector health check. Japan April Services PPI – Service-sector inflation data. Europe: Germany June GfK Consumer Confidence – Eurozone demand signal. France May CPI – Eurozone inflation input. Eurozone May Economic Confidence – Overall sentiment indicator. EU27 April New Car Registrations – Auto industry and consumer demand barometer. Central Bank Activity Fed’s Kashkari speaks – May affect USD, short-end yields. ECB’s Villeroy and Nagel speak – Watch for policy clues ahead of June decision. Earnings Releases Xiaomi – China tech sentiment. PDD Holdings – Consumer demand in China. AutoZone – U.S. retail/auto sector strength. Okta – Enterprise tech/security outlook. Bond Auction U.S. 2-Year Treasury Note – Key for gauging short-term rate sentiment and demand for front-end duration. Trading Focus U.S. data (durables, confidence) may drive early equity, USD, and bond market moves. Central bank commentary can create intraday volatility, especially in rates and FX. China and EU data influence risk tone and commodities. Earnings from Xiaomi, PDD, Okta may move tech indexes and related sectors. 2Y auction is a barometer for Fed path expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Trade Idea: EUR/USD Bearish BiasPrice has finally broken below the key support zone with strong bearish momentum, confirming potential trend shift. The plan now is to wait for a break-and-retest of the broken support area (now resistance) around 1.1365–1.1385. Look for bearish rejection signals to enter short, targeting the next demand zone near 1.1315–1.1300. 📉 Bias: Bearish 🔍 Confirmation: Retest & rejection at previous support 🎯 Target: 1.1315 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break back above 1.1395 "Let the market come to you—don’t chase, wait for the retest."
Short
by dannyrahadian
🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD has reached a 4-week high at 1.14200, following President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods until July 9 — easing trade tensions and reinforcing investor confidence in the euro. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum supported by clean price structure and liquidity patterns. 📈 Technical Structure Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking below minor key support at 1.13800, triggering sell-side liquidity. This liquidity grab was followed by a strong bullish push, forming new Higher Highs. The pair then broke above minor key resistance at 1.13960, where accumulation of retail buy orders occurred. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, signaling a potential next move is near. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.13990 🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.13890 (just below liquidity zone) 🎯 Target Profit: Dynamic based on continuation above 1.14200 highs This setup is ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on liquidity grabs and trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Weakness Continues Fiscal Concerns: Rising U.S. debt and widening deficits are weighing on dollar sentiment. Investor Sentiment: A shift away from U.S. assets reflects uncertainty and risk-off positioning. Market Performance: The dollar has fallen nearly 4% since early April, its worst stretch since 2023. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
by RebornFXTrader