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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD BUY - Rebound Blueprint Price is respecting the FVG zone (1.0528), signaling a bullish reversal. Watching closely for a surge toward 1.0620 and potentially 1.0645. The EUR/USD chart shows a potential reversal setup forming around a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the 1.0528 level. Price has retraced into this FVG, aligning with a high-probability demand zone. The 1.0530 area, acting as a significant structural support, has shown strong rejections, indicating buying interest. The FVG aligns with previous inefficiencies in the price, providing a magnet for liquidity before the market resumes its upward trend. The initial target at 1.0620, where minor resistance could emerge. A decisive break below 1.0520 would invalidate this setup, suggesting further downside potential.
Long
by TopGBanks
EURUSD Bulls Will Take Charge?EUR/USD bounces off a strong demand zone around 1.0530. With bullish structure building, we could see a rally towards 1.0650. A key support zone at 1.0499–1.0530 has provided a strong foundation for a bullish reversal. The rejection candle and subsequent bullish candles suggest that buyers are stepping in aggressively at this level. Price is likely to target 1.0649 in the coming sessions, aligning with previous highs and liquidity areas. Stay patient and follow the structure.
Long
by TopGBanks
EURUSD 15/30m bullish short termEURUSD is oversold on 4 strength index's (RSI, CCI, MFI, RVI). All 3 components of MACD are sub-.02 on 30m & 60m. Indication of the end of the bearish run. Price may have found support at the 1.053-1.052 level. Entry conditions require an engulfing candle on the 15m, stop loss will be below the triangle structure. Fundamentals & economic calendar is clear, daily price action suggests a bullish move on the near term. If structure is broken to the upside, a further run past recent highs could be observed.
Long
by billy_r3ynolds
EURUSD prime setupWeekly timeframe () - First time trying to switch from a bullish to a bearish market structure - Bullish candle (retracement) - Bullish supply and demand zone: bears could have kicked in yet the bulls managed to close back above this zone (false break trading back above) Daily timeframe () - Bullish M - Inverse head and shoulders - At least weekly relief so daily market structure irrelevant 4H timeframe () - Inverse head and shoulders without break of structure (SL below head) - When dissecting the pattern on the 1H/2H timeframe there is no immediate reaction on the high making it valid to execute
Long
by VictorDierickx23
+140 pips The Best Level to BUY/HOLD EURUSD swing trade🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today. Overall, strong price chart with sequence of higher lows in progress. 🔸Clearly defined set of overhead resistances and supports below market price with liquidity distributed equally among buy side and sell side order blocks. 🔸Primary pattern / structure is 3 drives in progress, expecting a final pullback to trigger OB liquidity at/near 0510/0520 before bullish reaction and final push (3rd drive). 🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0510/0520 SL 30 pips TP1 +70 TP2 +140 final exit at 0640. Bears should wait for further updates and get ready to short from sell side order blocks near 0640/0660 S/R zone. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
9
What Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use ThemWhat Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use Them in Trading? Leading indicators are essential tools for traders aiming to analyse market movements. This article explains what leading indicators are, how they work, and their practical application across different asset classes. Read on to discover how tools like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, On-balance Volume, and Fibonacci retracements can enhance your trading strategy. What Are Leading Technical Indicators? Technical indicators are divided into leading and lagging. Leading indicators in trading are tools used to identify potential price movements before they occur. Lagging indicators confirm trends after they begin, helping traders validate price movements. The difference between leading and lagging indicators is that leading indicators aim to give traders an edge by signalling when a new trend or reversal might be on the horizon while lagging indicators confirm trends after they've developed. Leading trading indicators work by analysing price data to identify patterns or extremes in buying and selling behaviour. For instance, popular leading indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator measure momentum in a market. These indicators help traders spot overbought or oversold conditions, where RSI tracks recent price movements relative to historical performance, while the Stochastic Oscillator compares a security's closing price to its price range over a set period. However, it’s important to note that leading indicators can produce false signals, meaning they may suggest a price move that doesn’t materialise. Because of this, traders often combine them with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, or use them alongside lagging indicators to validate the signals they receive. Types of Leading Indicators in Trading Leading indicators are divided into various types, each serving a unique role in analysing potential market movements. Three common types include momentum indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators: - Momentum Indicators: These track the speed or rate of price changes. They are used to assess the strength of a trend and determine potential reversals when the momentum slows. Momentum indicators help traders when an asset is overbought or oversold. - Oscillators: These indicators fluctuate between fixed values (usually 0 and 100) to reflect the market’s current momentum. They help traders pinpoint potential reversals by highlighting when an asset is overbought or oversold. Oscillators are particularly useful in range-bound markets where price movement is confined within support and resistance levels. - Volume Indicators: These focus on the amount of trading activity, rather than price movement. By analysing the flow of volume in or out of an asset, traders can gauge the strength behind price movements. Increasing volume in the direction of a trend often confirms its continuation, while the divergence between volume and price can indicate potential reversals. Below, we’ll take a look at a list of leading indicators. If you’d like to explore these indicators alongside dozens more, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular leading indicators examples. RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps traders evaluate the strength of an asset’s price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, it measures the speed and change of price actions over a set period—typically 14 candles—on a scale from 0 to 100. The primary signals RSI produces revolve around overbought and oversold conditions. When the indicator breaks above 70, it suggests that an asset may be overbought, reflecting the potential for a reversal or correction. Conversely, when RSI falls below 30, it signals that an asset may be oversold, which can indicate a potential recovery. These thresholds provide traders with insight into whether the price has moved too far in one direction and is poised for a change. RSI can also highlight trend reversals through divergence. If the price of an asset continues to rise while the RSI drops, it indicates bearish divergence, signalling potential weakening momentum. On the other hand, bullish divergence occurs when the price falls, but the RSI rises, suggesting that the downward trend may be losing strength. Another useful RSI signal is when it crosses the 50-level. In an uptrend, RSI remaining above 50 can confirm momentum, while in a downtrend, staying below 50 reinforces bearish sentiment. However, RSI is not foolproof. During a strong trend, the indicator can signal overbought or oversold for a long while and lead to false signals. This is why it’s often paired with other indicators to confirm signals. Stochastic Oscillator The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum-based indicator that assesses the relationship between an asset's closing price and its price range over a specific number of periods, typically 14. It consists of two lines: the %K line, the primary line, and the %D line, which is a moving average of %K, providing smoother signals. This oscillator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and those below 20 signalling oversold conditions. Traders utilise these signals to determine potential reversals in price. For example, when the oscillator rises above 80 and then drops below it, a potential sell signal is generated. Conversely, when it falls below 20 and climbs back above, it might indicate a buy opportunity. The Stochastic Oscillator also provides crossover signals, where the %K line crosses above or below the %D line. A bullish crossover occurs when %K rises above %D, indicating that upward momentum may be increasing. A bearish crossover happens when %K falls below %D, suggesting that momentum is shifting downward. In addition to overbought/oversold and crossovers, the Stochastic Oscillator can identify divergence, which signals potential trend reversals. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the oscillator shows a higher low, indicating a weakening downward momentum. On the other hand, a bearish divergence happens when the price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high, suggesting the uptrend might be losing steam. While the Stochastic Oscillator can be powerful in range-bound markets, it can be prone to false signals in trending markets. On-Balance Volume (OBV) On-Balance Volume (OBV) is an indicator that tracks the flow of trading volume to assess whether buying or selling pressure is dominating the market. It was introduced by Joseph Granville in 1963, and its primary concept is that volume precedes price movements. This makes OBV a useful tool for analysing potential trend reversals. While the absolute value of OBV is not crucial, its direction over time provides insight into the market’s underlying sentiment. OBV offers several key signals: - Trend Direction: A rising OBV supports an upward price trend, indicating strong buying pressure, while a falling OBV reflects a downtrend with selling pressure. - Divergence: Traders use OBV to identify a divergence between price and volume. If the price is making new highs while OBV is falling, it suggests a weakening trend, potentially signalling a reversal. Conversely, rising OBV with falling prices can hint at a potential bullish reversal. - Breakouts: OBV can also be used to spot potential breakouts. For instance, if OBV rises while prices are range-bound, it may indicate an upcoming upward breakout. However, like any indicator, OBV has limitations. It can produce false signals in choppy markets and is used alongside other technical tools, such as Moving Averages or support and resistance levels, to improve reliability. Fibonacci Retracement Fibonacci retracements are a technical analysis tool that helps traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels during price fluctuations. The tool is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers that produce key ratios like 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent levels where the price of an asset might retrace before continuing its trend. Traders apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting two extreme points on a price chart, such as a recent high and low. The tool then plots horizontal lines at the Fibonacci levels, indicating possible areas where the price might pause or reverse. For example, in an uptrend, a price pullback to the 38.2% level could signal a buying opportunity if the trend is likely to resume. Fibonacci retracements are often used in conjunction with other indicators, such as the MACD or RSI, to confirm signals and enhance reliability. While they provide valuable insight into potential turning points, it's crucial to remember that these levels aren't guarantees—prices may not always behave as expected at these points, especially in volatile markets. How Traders Use Leading Indicators in Practice Traders use leading indicators to gain insights into potential price movements before they occur, helping them position themselves early in a trend. Here’s how leading indicators are typically applied: - Identifying Overbought or Oversold Conditions: Indicators like RSI or Stochastic Oscillator are used to spot extreme price levels. When these indicators signal that a market is overbought or oversold, traders analyse the situation for potential trend reversals. - Combining Indicators for Confirmation: It’s common to pair multiple leading indicators to strengthen signals. For example, a trader might use both the RSI and OBV to confirm momentum shifts and avoid acting on false signals. - Spotting Divergences: Traders look for divergence between an indicator and price action. For instance, if prices are rising, but the indicator is falling, it can suggest weakening momentum, signalling a potential downward reversal. - Clear Entry and Exit Points: Leading indicators often provide clear entry and exit points. For instance, the Stochastic Oscillator signals a bearish reversal and entry point when it crosses back below 80, with traders typically exiting the trade when the indicator crosses above 20. Likewise, Fibonacci retracements can provide precise levels where a trend might stall or reverse. Potential Risks and Limitations of Leading Indicators for Trading While leading indicators offer valuable insights into potential price movements, they come with risks and limitations. - False Signals: One of the biggest challenges is that leading indicators can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets. For instance, an indicator might signal a reversal, but the price continues in its original direction, leading traders to take positions prematurely​. - Limited Accuracy in Trending Markets: It’s common that in strong trends, such indicators remain overbought or oversold for extended periods, causing traders to misinterpret momentum. - Overreliance on One Indicator: No single indicator is foolproof. Relying heavily on one without considering other factors can lead to poor decisions. Traders need to combine leading indicators with other tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines to validate signals​. - Lagging in Fast-Moving Markets: Even though they are called "leading" indicators, they can sometimes lag in rapidly changing markets. By the time a signal is generated, the opportunity may have already passed​. The Bottom Line Whether trading forex, commodities, or the stock market, leading indicators offer valuable insights to help traders anticipate potential price movements. By combining these tools with a solid strategy, traders can better navigate market conditions. To start implementing these insights across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of our high-speed, low-cost trading conditions. FAQ What Are the Leading Indicators in Trading? Leading indicators are technical analysis tools used to determine potential price movements before they happen. Traders use them to anticipate market shifts, such as reversals or breakouts, by analysing price momentum or trends. Common examples include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Fibonacci retracement levels. What Are the Three Types of Leading Indicators? The three main types of leading indicators for trading are momentum indicators (e.g., Momentum (MOM) indicator), oscillators (e.g., Stochastic), and volume indicators (e.g., On-Balance Volume). These tools help determine market direction by assessing price action or trading volume. Is RSI a Leading Indicator? Yes, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a leading indicator. Considered one of the potentially best leading indicators for day trading, it measures momentum by comparing recent gains and losses, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions before potential reversals. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
4
EURUSD Price Action-Daily Analysis EURUSD Price Action-Daily Analysis Dec 9 In Asia starts in a discount from the previous range, consolidates to drop to take the clean equal lows bouncing off the CE of the dealing range. Consolidates coming in to London. Energetic displacment creating a FVG at the 1 macro. Breaks structure to the high side. At 2 again energetic displacement with FVG comes down creating a IFVG. ICT 2022 model. Known liquidity and equal highs. Finishes its climb just shy of the 50% of previous days range before a consolidation. Retracement short to .618 of the London session before 8:30 to 10:30 consolidation before expanding to the high side to FVG and resting buy stops. 11 New York Marco on the London session price is in a Premium having taken the buy side liquidity price breaks down taking out 2 equal low targets.
by LParnell
EURUSD Next possible moveSAXO:EURUSD Here’s a detailed description for today’s continued bullish outlook in EUR/USD: Title "EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Buy Entry Sustains | Euro Strength Continues" Market Context "EUR/USD maintains its upward momentum, building on gains from the previous session. A softer U.S. dollar and improved sentiment around the Eurozone economy are contributing to the pair’s bullish tone." Technical Analysis *"Today’s buy entry is supported by the following indicators: Trend Structure: Higher lows and higher highs persist, reflecting sustained bullish momentum. EMA Dynamics: The price remains above the 20 and 50 EMAs, signaling continued buying interest. RSI: Holding above 55, reinforcing upward pressure. MACD: Positive histogram bars are expanding, confirming the bullish bias. Key Levels: Support: 1.0530 (intraday), 1.0510 (key support level). Resistance: 1.0570 (initial target), 1.0600 (next psychological barrier). A breakout above 1.0600 could accelerate gains."* News Context "Upcoming: Focus is on Eurozone Retail Sales and U.S. ISM Services PMI later today, which could inject volatility. Previous: The pair gained strength from recent Eurozone PMI data beating expectations and a consolidating U.S. dollar." Call to Action "Can EUR/USD sustain its bullish momentum and test higher resistance levels? Share your insights and trade setups below!"
Short
by RBSBALA
#EURUSD - 10122024I called for a move lower for EURUSD yesterday off the PZ. EURUSD came down, rallied higher, nicely to PZ and sold back down to close near the lows for a good 45pips or so. I will not say that yesterday's price action is bearish. IMO, the thesis which I gave yesterday is still valid, that is, EURUSD is coming down into support. But I am expecting buyers to come in and that could move EURUSD higher. That is a possibility thus while near term price action is bearish, it could find support at one of the levels and move higher. But for now, I am looking at the PZ to hold for a move lower, with 1.05/512 as the price target, but look out for a possible strong pullback/reversal from this zone.
by FadeMeIfYouCan