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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD Bounce Incoming? Smart Money Reversal BrewingThis EURUSD setup is a case study in smart money accumulation after a liquidity sweep + channel break. Price action is aligning like clockwork for a long setup, and the confluences are hard to ignore. 🧠 Breakdown: 🔻 Bearish Channel Structure: Market has respected this descending channel since early May — multiple taps, respected diagonals 🟡 Reversal Clues: Clean sweep of liquidity at the channel bottom with bullish engulfing candle 💰 Order Block + Discount Zone: OB marked inside the 50%–79% retracement range 🔹 OB top: ~1.12567 🔹 Key entry: Between 1.12567 – 1.12199 🔹 SL: Below 1.1180 (clean under discount zone) 📈 TP zone: 1.15728 — previous market structure high and fib -100% level ✅ Risk-Reward: 1:5+ if played with precision 🔍 Why this setup is 🔥: ✅ Channel break = structure shift ✅ OB + Fib 61.8%–79% = strong demand confluence ✅ Liquidity below equal lows already taken ✅ Sharp bullish move after sweep = signs of big players entering ✅ Price likely to pull back to mitigate before exploding 🧠 Institutional Logic: “Liquidity fuels price. Structure guides it. Confluence confirms it.” The market swept lows, flipped structure, and now is likely returning to fill orders before the next leg up. This is a classic bullish mitigation play. 📊 If price taps into the OB and shows bullish confirmation — this is a sniper zone. Set alerts. Wait for the wick. Enter on the flip. Let the market work for you, not the other way around.
Long
by ChartNinjas88
4
EURUSD1. 10-Year Bond Yields Eurozone 10-year government bond yield: 3.17% on May 22, 2025, slightly up from 3.15% the previous day and 3.10% a year ago. This yield is above the long-term average of 2.48%, reflecting rising inflation and monetary tightening in the Eurozone. US 10-year Treasury yield: Approximately 4.54% on May 21, 2025. The yield has been rising due to concerns about US fiscal policy, inflation, and Federal Reserve tightening, despite market expectations of rate cuts later in the year. 2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The interest rate differential between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is roughly: 4.54% (US)−3.17% (Eurozone)=1.37% This differential favors the US dollar, as higher US yields attract capital inflows, strengthening the USD relative to the EUR. The differential reflects more aggressive Fed tightening compared to the European Central Bank’s (ECB) more cautious approach amid slower Eurozone growth. 3. Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields. With US yields higher and rising, US bond prices have declined relative to Eurozone bonds. Eurozone bond prices have also fallen but less sharplyength against EUR. 4. Impact on EUR/USD Exchange Rate On May 23, 2025, EUR/USD rose slightly to about 1.1368, up from 1.1281 the previous session, influenced by short-term USD weakness amid geopolitical concerns but still pressured by the yield differential favoring USD. The yield differential remains a key fundamental driver of EUR/USD trends over medium to long term. Conclusion The EUR/USD 10-year bond yield differential of about 1.37% in favor of the US reflects divergent monetary policies and inflation expectations. This differential supports USD strength relative to EUR by attracting capital flows into higher-yielding US assets. Bond price movements correspondingly favor US bonds due to rising yields. While short-term geopolitical and market factors can cause fluctuations, the interest rate differential remains a fundamental driver of EUR/USD exchange rate trends in 2025.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Breakout PlayBias: ✅ Strong Buy Timeframe: 4H Pair: EURUSD Week: 26–30 May 2025 🔍 Technical Analysis: EURUSD has broken through a prior resistance and is currently testing a second resistance zone at 1.13983. I’m looking for a confirmed breakout above this level to enter long. Entry: Break and 4H close above 1.13983 Stop Loss: Below support zone at 1.13545 Take Profit: Targeting resistance zone near 1.15454 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.36R Structure: Higher highs forming, potential breakout continuation 🧠 Macro Confluence: 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed + poor fundamentals (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓, Conditional Score 3 ↓) 📈 EUR Strength: Improving Eurozone outlook, strong COT positioning, ECB easing bias 📊 Seasonal Bias: EURUSD bullish for this period ⚠️ Risk Management: Watch for FOMC and GDP releases (USD) mid-week Avoid premature entries without clear break and 4H confirmation Optional: Wait for break & retest for higher probability Drop your thoughts or setups below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Bank Money Heist Plan (Bearish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk GREEN Zone. It's a Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Neutral Level breakout then make your move at (1.12600) - Bearish profits await!" however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 (or) 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 3H timeframe (1.14200) Day/Scalping trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1.10800 💰💵💸EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan (Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict. Before start the heist plan read it. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
Crucial Turning Point for EUR/USD – Price Action Outlook from MaThe EUR/USD hourly chart shows the pair currently trading near a key resistance zone around 1.1365, following a gradual upward movement that started from the strong support level at 1.1333. The first red arrow on the chart suggests the possibility of a minor pullback toward the 1.1333 support area before a potential bullish continuation. This scenario indicates a potential buying opportunity if bullish price action confirms support at that level. The second arrow points to a projected upside target near 1.15741, marking the next resistance zone. This level could serve as a take-profit area for buyers or a potential reversal point for the pair. This technical setup highlights a “pullback before breakout” scenario, where watching the price behavior around the 1.1333 level is crucial. A break below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, while holding above it increases the probability of an upward move toward 1.1574.
Long
by thebear1995
EURUSD: Weekly overviewThe indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone. The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. * Zones are not disturbed in this analysis. This analysis is valid until the end of the week. ************************************** Important news that could change the direction of the trade: Monday: EURO CPI of April Friday: German GDP ************************************** We all now Trump tries to weaken USD to improve US trade efficiency, but all of these efforts might have reversal effects in short-term movements. Best Regards
Long
by AliSignals
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a 1-hour time frame for the EUR/USD pair and outlines a potential short trade setup. Here's a breakdown of the components: SL (Stop Loss): Positioned at 1.14397, indicating the maximum acceptable loss level for this trade. Entry Zone: The current price is around 1.13624, with an expectation of entering a short (sell) trade near this level. TP1 (Take Profit 1): Set at 1.13004, suggesting the target price where the trader expects to close the trade for a profit. Chart Pattern: The outlined pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal, with a previous upward movement followed by signs of weakening momentum. Arrows and Price Projection: Green arrows show the anticipated price movement down to the TP1 level. This setup implies the trader expects a price drop after a minor upward move, using a risk-reward ratio that appears favorable if the price respects the resistance near the entry point. Would you like help analyzing the pattern or backtesting this setup?
Short
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
EURUSD EURUSD – New Short Trade Opportunity There’s currently a selling opportunity on EURUSD. I’ve already activated the trade, and anyone interested can consider entering now as well. If the price starts ranging too much, I’ll manually close the trade. Please note: this trade will not remain active until tomorrow. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 1.13438 ✔️ Take Profit: 1.13128 ✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13592 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Looking for a systematic, data-driven approach to trading? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
EURUSD – Bearish Outlook After Inducement and RejectionEURUSD recently delivered a sharp rejection from the 1.13700 resistance zone, a level that previously acted as a strong barrier for price. This area had already shown signs of supply in the past, and the latest reaction only strengthens the case for continued bearish interest at that level. The rejection candle was large, clean, and decisive, showing that sellers aggressively stepped in after price entered the premium zone. This shift now places focus on how price navigates lower timeframes in the short term, especially as we approach key liquidity levels and structural points of interest. Sweep Setup and Liquidity Outlook Despite the rejection, one notable feature left behind is a 1H swing high just under 1.13400. This high remains untapped and likely holds buy-side liquidity from breakout traders. It’s common to see price sweep such local highs before turning lower, especially after a clear rejection from a major zone like the one above. This potential inducement move, where price runs the high to gather liquidity and trap late buyers, is what I’ll be watching closely next. The scenario I’m anticipating is a relatively short-lived push higher, just enough to clear the swing high liquidity before price shifts bearish again. This behavior fits within the broader bearish structure and could serve as the final fuel needed before a deeper move to the downside unfolds. Key Levels and Technical Context The first point of interest comes in at the 1.12182 level, which is marked on the chart. This level is not rando, it aligns with previous structure, sits near a micro-breaker, and is positioned just above a fair value gap. If we do get the anticipated sweep of the 1H high, this 1.12182 area becomes a highly sensitive zone where the next key reaction could occur. What makes this POI important is that it serves as a decision point for the market. If the sweep occurs and price aggressively sells off into this level, we can start watching for continuation setups. But if price stalls or consolidates here, we’ll need to evaluate whether the bearish momentum is still intact or if a shift is occurring. If bearish pressure continues, the next downside target is the POI around 1.11300. This level is nested cleanly inside a higher-timeframe fair value gap, and it also overlaps with a prior demand zone. From a liquidity standpoint, it’s the logical draw, resting sell-side liquidity is likely building beneath those May lows, and the market could easily target that zone once 1.12182 is breached. Momentum, Structure, and Execution Plan The current structure is bearish, but short-term strength is still on the table until the sweep of the 1H high plays out. I’m not interested in selling into strength just yet, I’d prefer to see the inducement leg complete, followed by signs of weakness such as bearish engulfing structures, lower timeframe market structure breaks, or clean fair value gap entries forming after the sweep. Once price breaks below 1.12182 decisively, it opens the path toward the next liquidity pocket at 1.11300. Any signs of continuation post-rejection from that first POI would be used to look for scalable short entries with tight risk and larger reward-to-risk ratios. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up for a clean liquidity run above the 1H high, following a strong rejection from higher timeframe resistance. The plan is to let price run that liquidity, then look for bearish signs to engage short down toward 1.12182. If that level fails to hold and bearish pressure continues, the 1.11300 POI becomes the next logical target. The structure is lining up well for this sequence, but execution will depend on how price behaves around the key inducement and reaction zones. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
29
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.13700 👀 Possible scenario: The euro fell 0.46% against the U.S. dollar on May 22, as fiscal concerns grew over President Trump’s proposed budget, which could add $4 trillion to the U.S. debt, according to the CBO. Moody’s also downgraded the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, citing rising deficits. Despite ongoing U.S.-China diplomatic talks, the dollar remained under pressure amid weak trade progress. On May 23, markets await U.S. New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. Strong results may push EUR/USD lower, while weak numbers could lift the pair above 1.13660. ✅ Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.12265. Resistance level is located at 1.13700.
by MaxOnMarkets
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This is a 1-hour chart of the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair, showing a potential bullish trade setup. Here's the breakdown: Current Price: 1.12823 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Around the current market price (1.12823) Target (Take Profit): Near 1.13150 (marked with the bullseye and green zone above) Stop Loss: Around 1.12232 (red zone below) Pattern Insight: The chart shows a bullish flag or correction channel after an uptrend. The price broke out of the descending correction, suggesting a potential continuation of the prior uptrend. Summary of Setup: Direction: Long (Buy) Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, with stop loss tightly placed under recent lows Bias: Bullish, expecting upward momentum continuation Would you like a combined analysis of all three trade setups (BTC/USD, USD/JPY, and EUR/USD)?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
1
EURUSD Bearish Divergence – Short Trade Active (1H)Description: EURUSD formed a bearish divergence on the 1-hour timeframe — with RSI showing lower highs while price created higher highs. This signaled weakening bullish momentum and a potential reversal. ✅ Breakout Confirmed: The recent low has been broken, confirming bearish structure. I've entered the short position accordingly. 🔽 Live Trade Details: Entry: After breakout of divergence low (marked on chart) Stop Loss (SL): Above recent swing high Take-Profit (TP): TP1: Near next support zone TP2: Trail depending on price action / momentum 📌 Key Factors: Bearish divergence confirmed by RSI Break of structure = entry trigger Defined risk with favorable R:R Trade is being managed actively 📅 Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Trade in progress – managing position based on developing price action.
Short
by razashabbir218