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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURO - Price can exit from pennant and drop to $1.0650 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price made strong upward impulse and broke several resistance levels on its way to the top. Then it started to consolidate and formed a pennant pattern with a series of lower highs and higher lows. Price touched upper boundary of the pattern and bounced down, showing weakness near resistance zone. Recently Euro broke through the pennant support and tested $1.0790 level from above with no strength. Now it trades slightly above the breakout point and stays below key trendline and local resistance area. In my opinion, Euro can continue to decline and reach $1.0650 support level, exiting from pennant in the coming days. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
7
EURUSD Gains Momentum After Tariff CommentsEURUSD Gains Momentum After Tariff Comments On March 26th, EUR/USD started a strong upward trend following comments by Trump about auto and other tariffs. The price has already climbed by about 110 pips in just four days. There’s a good chance EURUSD could rise further, potentially reaching 1.0845 and 1.0875, as indicated in the chart. The market is not clear overall about Trump's tariffs and what he is doing. This could continue to create uncertainty across USD pairs. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
2
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 For the last 2 weeks, EURUSD shows a strong bearish momentum. The price managed to break and close below a key daily support cluster. A strong bearish reaction that followed after its retest confirms a strong selling pressure. I think that the pair has a potential to drop lower this week. 2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸 In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD looks very stable. The pair is consolidating within quite a wide range on a daily. For now, probabilities are high that sideways movement will continue. Consider trading the upper and lower boundary of the underlined channel. Alternatively, a breakout of one of the underlined structures will give you a strong bullish/breaish signal. 3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 Looks like the market is returning to a mid-term bearish trend. The price is currently breaking a support line of a bearish flag pattern. A daily candle close below its support will provide a strong bearish confirmation. 4️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 I see a completed head & shoulders pattern on a daily. The price is currently breaking its neckline. A daily candle close below that will provide a strong bearish confirmation and suggest a highly probable bearish continuation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Go Long on Euro/USD: Potential Bullish Trend Ahead - Key Insights: The Euro is showing signs of a bullish reversal against the US Dollar. With the Euro/USD pair forming a bullish candle pattern and facing a weakening US Dollar, the currency presents an attractive long opportunity. Focusing on the Euro's interaction with support and resistance levels could reveal further buying potential. - Price Targets: Next week, traders should consider the following targets and stops: - Target 1 (T1): 1.09 - Target 2 (T2): 1.10 - Stop Level 1 (S1): 1.07 - Stop Level 2 (S2): 1.06 - Recent Performance: The Euro/USD pair has recently demonstrated resilience, respecting key support levels and forming bullish reversal indicators. Despite previous bearish trends, there is an observable shift in sentiment as the Euro positions itself for potential gains. - Expert Analysis: Experts predict a strengthening of the Euro, supported by the ongoing bearish trend in the US Dollar Index. Analysts suggest long setups are promising, provided that bullish confirmations—such as price movements above resistance levels—are observed. - News Impact: Economic data releases and central bank policies are critical, as they can significantly influence the Euro/USD pair. The anticipated US Dollar weakness, driven by economic indicators and policy changes, could enhance the Euro's strength and create favorable trading conditions for the Euro/USD.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
EURUSD MIGHT PUSH DOWNEURUSD has a high chance of continuing the bearish movement and the reasons are as follows: 1. We can see EURUSD formed a Double top, this is a sign that bulls could not push the price higher to create a Higher high meaning bears are fighting back to push the price down lol 2. The zone we see a double top at is also a strong zone on the Daily timeframe that means the price couldn't push above it, shows the supply zone is strong 3. Price broke out the neckline meaning that selling pressure is now pushing the price down 4. We see a correction move after price broke down(retest on the neckline), this means that after this correction move/retracement price might actually start to push down continuing the bearish move(start of the Impulsive move) Note: this is not a signal but my point of view and something that might possibly happen, but at the moment I haven't got a Bearish candlestick sign that will confirm it will push down, so there's also a chance price might not respect the Neckline and continue up. REMEMBER: we as traders don't place trades without a confirmation, we are not gambling here😂anyways, this is just a heads up
Short
by StarleXtheTrader
EURUSD 31/3/25EUR/USD is once again signaling a bullish move, despite last week’s consistent pullback and the lack of clear long-term entry opportunities. Our buy bias remains intact, and we continue to target our pre-established liquidity points. At the end of last week, we saw a strong rally to the upside, confirming our bias and suggesting a potential push into this week. With this in mind, we have three high-volume lows positioned below the current price action, along with one standard low. Naturally, we favor the high-volume lows, but all of them remain valid reference points. Looking toward our targets, we have two tightly clustered highs. Historically, when highs form in clusters like this, they tend to be taken out, making them a strong signal for our target. Keep in mind that U.S. fundamentals, including tariffs and ongoing policy actions by Trump, could introduce short-term market fluctuations. Stay aware of these potential shifts. Regardless, if our entry model presents itself, we trade the price action. Always follow your rules. Always manage your risk. Let Orion guide the way.
by PipSurfingSociety
1
EURUSD 4H Bearish Cross starting the peak formation.The EURUSD pair posted a strong rebound last week, which is along the lines of our long-term bearish structure estimate, similar to the September 2024 Top. The 4H MA50/100 Bearish Cross that was formed on Thursday, simply confirms that the pattern goes according to plan as on September 06 2024, the price got rejected after its completion and then rebounded to test Resistance 1 before the ultimate market peak. We still expect a similar development, with our ultimate long-term Target being 1.03650, just above Support 1. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
3
4-hr EUR/USD: Possible Trend Reversal And a Likely 200 pip DropEUR/USD recently formed a double top at 1.0930, signaling a potential trend reversal, and has since begun a correction. After a 600-pip rally since early March, a pullback at this stage is both expected and healthy. Given these conditions, we are placing a direct sell order at 1.0830, targeting a 200-pip profit. Our bearish outlook is further supported by the formation of a Death Cross, a classic signal of shifting momentum. Although the pair experienced a brief pullback, the resistance held firm at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing the bearish scenario. Since then, the price has resumed its decline, strengthening our conviction in this trade setup. To effectively manage risk, we are setting a stop-loss at a 1.2% distance, allowing for natural market fluctuations while protecting against excessive losses. Our take-profit target is positioned at 1.0600, aligning with a key technical support level. This setup offers a strong risk-reward balance, and we anticipate further downside in the coming sessions.
Short
by Trendsharks
EUR/USD: Range-Bound with Bearish Potential Below ResistanceThe EUR/USD market recently completed an ABC pullback, briefly testing above Friday’s high, but price action remains contained within last week’s range, signaling a lack of clear trend direction. If the price rejects the current resistance zone, a move lower is likely, possibly forming another ABC structure toward the 1.06000 support level. With the zone below 1.07700 already cleared—despite a prior false breakout—a retest of that area is possible. Unless the price manages a close above 1.08500, the pair is expected to drift toward last week’s low, with the next target at the support zone around 1.07610
Short
by RTED_Investing
5
Lingrid | EURUSD ABC pullback Completed. Possible SHORTOANDA:EURUSD market formed an ABC pullback and tested the area above Friday's high. The price action remains within the previous week's range, indicating a lack of overall trend in the market. However, if the price rejects the resistance zone, I believe it may drop further, potentially forming another ABC move toward the 1.06000 support level. Since the price has cleared zone below the 1.07700 level, it may retest this area, despite the previous false breakout. I anticipate that if the price does not close above the 1.08500 resistance zone, it will likely move toward the previous week's low. My goal is support zone around 1.07610 Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Short
by Lingrid
8
EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair. Scenario 1: SELLS from current price With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells. Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085) With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444. KEY NOTES - DXY possible reversal to the upside. - Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs. - EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside. - DXY is the global reserve currency. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergences - The Ultimate GuideIntroduction SMT Divergences are a powerful concept used by professional traders to spot inefficiencies in the market. By comparing correlated assets, traders can identify hidden opportunities where one market shows strength while the other shows weakness. This guide will break down the major SMT divergences: EURUSD/GBPUSD, US100/US500, and XAUUSD/XAGUSD . --- What is SMT Divergence? SMT Divergence occurs when two correlated assets do not move in sync, signaling potential liquidity grabs or market inefficiencies. These divergences can be used to confirm trend reversals, identify smart money movements, and improve trade precision. Key Concepts: - If one asset makes a higher high while the correlated asset fails to do so, this suggests potential weakness in the pair making the higher high. - If one asset makes a lower low while the correlated asset does not, this suggests potential strength in the pair that did not make a lower low. - Smart Money often exploits these inefficiencies to engineer liquidity hunts before moving price in the intended direction. --- EURUSD vs. GBPUSD SMT Divergence These two forex pairs are highly correlated because both share the USD as the quote currency. However, when divergence occurs, it often signals liquidity manipulations. How to Use: - If GBPUSD makes a higher high but EURUSD does not, GBPUSD may be trapping breakout traders before reversing. - If EURUSD makes a lower low but GBPUSD does not, EURUSD might be in a liquidity grab, signaling a potential reversal. --- US100 vs. US500 SMT Divergence The NASDAQ (US100) and S&P 500 (US500) are both major indices with a strong correlation, but tech-heavy NASDAQ can sometimes lead or lag the S&P. How to Use: - If US100 makes a higher high but US500 does not, it suggests US100 is extended and may reverse soon. - If US500 makes a lower low but US100 does not, US500 might be experiencing a liquidity grab before a reversal. --- XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD SMT Divergence Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) have a historic correlation. However, due to differences in volatility and liquidity, they can diverge, presenting trading opportunities. How to Use: - If Gold makes a higher high but Silver does not, Gold might be overextended and ready to reverse. - If Silver makes a lower low but Gold does not, Silver might be in a liquidity grab, signaling strength. --- Indicator Used for SMT Divergences To simplify the process of identifying SMT divergences, this guide utilizes the TradingView indicator TehThomas ICT SMT Divergences . This tool automatically detects divergences between correlated assets, highlighting potential trade opportunities. You can access the indicator here: Why Use This Indicator? - Automatically plots divergences, saving time on manual comparisons. - Works across multiple asset classes (Forex, Indices, Metals, etc.). - Helps traders spot Smart Money inefficiencies with ease. --- Final Tips for Trading SMT Divergences 1. Use Higher Timeframes for Confirmation: SMT Divergences on 1H or 4H hold more weight than those on lower timeframes. 2. Combine with Other Confluences: ICT concepts like Order Blocks, FVGs, or liquidity sweeps can strengthen the SMT setup. 3. Wait for Market Structure Confirmation: After spotting SMT divergence, look for a market structure shift before entering trades. 4. Be Mindful of Economic Events: Divergences can appear due to news releases, so always check the economic calendar. --- Conclusion SMT Divergences are a valuable tool for traders looking to gain an edge in the markets. By analyzing inefficiencies between correlated assets, traders can anticipate smart money movements and improve trade precision. Practice spotting these divergences on real charts, and soon, you'll develop a keen eye for hidden liquidity traps. Happy trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
98
EURUSD ANALYSIS OVER H1 CHARTDate : 31 March 2025 Momentum : Up First Scenario : long positions above 1.08295 with targets at 1.08557, 1.08746 and 1.08970 Second Scenario : short positions below 1.08295 with targets at 1.08054, 1.07842 and 1.07644 Comment : There is no clear trend in the price movement. Supports and resistances : 1.08970 ** 1.08746 * 1.08557 1.08290 - Last price 1.08054 1.07842 * 1.07644 ** Looking for a long term buying trend in EU according to my analysis.
Long
by charliedavies770