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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Ahead – Inverse Head and Shoulders + ChThe EUR/USD pair is showing a strong bullish setup supported by multiple confluences: 🔹 Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern A clean inverse head and shoulders formation has completed near the 1.1225–1.1207 support zone. This structure typically signals a reversal to the upside and has been confirmed with neckline breakout. 🔹 Breakout from Falling Channel The breakout above the descending channel further supports bullish momentum, suggesting that the prior downtrend has likely ended. 🔹 Ascending Channel Structure Price is currently respecting a rising channel, with higher highs and higher lows clearly forming. The lower boundary has been tested successfully, adding confidence to long positions. 🔹 Bullish Targets I’m targeting the Fibonacci extension levels at: 127.2% at 1.13030 141.4% at 1.13223 These levels align with upper channel resistance and offer solid risk-reward potential. 🔻 Key Support / Invalidation The key support zone is 1.1225–1.1207. A break below this area invalidates the bullish setup. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: After neckline breakout or on a minor pullback into the red support zone TP1: 1.13030 TP2: 1.13223 SL: Below 1.1207 (conservative stop)
Long
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a trading setup for the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what's illustrated: Current Price: Around 1.12729 at the time of the chart. Support Zone: Highlighted by the rectangular black box between roughly 1.12436 and 1.12700. Stop Loss (SL): Marked at 1.12400, just below the support zone. Target: Around 1.13104, shown in the green shaded area, suggesting a bullish outlook. Trade Idea: A potential buy (long) setup is suggested if price holds above the support zone. Price may retrace slightly within the zone before moving upward toward the target. If price breaks below 1.12400, the setup is invalid (hence the SL). This is a classic long trade setup based on price action support and resistance analysis. Let me know if you’d like help analyzing the setup further or converting it into a trade plan.
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
EURUSD Trade Setup.The chart is a technical analysis setup for EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential short (sell) trade. Here's a breakdown of the chart and what it's indicating: Chart Overview Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) Price at time of capture: ~1.13464 Market Direction Forecast: Bearish (expecting a drop) Trade Plan Breakdown Entry Zone: Between ~1.13708 and 1.13800 The price is expected to enter this zone before reversing. This is marked in the chart "Entry Zone". Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.14006 If the price goes above this level, the trade idea is invalidated. Target 1: 1.13219 This is a potential take-profit zone for partial profit or trailing the stop. Final Target: 1.12595 This is the ultimate profit target if the bearish move fully plays out. Price Action & Projection The current bullish movement is anticipated to hit the "Entry Zone". After hitting this resistance area, a reversal is expected. Two legs of a bearish move are projected down to the final target. Trade Type Sell Setup / Short Position Based on the anticipation of a price rejection from resistance and a reversal downward.
Short
by m_zeeshan3644
EURUSD - Potential BuyHi Traders, I feel good in BUYING CMCMARKETS:EURUSD Price Action analysis: Weekly Timeframe: CMCMARKETS:EURUSD has been in a strong uptrend since March 2025, creating higher highs and higher lows. After a brief pullback, last week's candle printed a long lower wick, signaling buying interest at the discounted price. This week, the market is showing signs of resuming the bullish trend, with price attempting to break back above the previous candle’s body. As long as price remains above the recent low, the weekly bias remains bullish, suggesting continuation toward the 1.15000–1.16000 region. Daily Timeframe: Price recently pulled back into a known demand zone and has now formed a higher low. This area showed buyer activity, with bullish candles emerging and indicating the end of the retracement. The recent break above the prior minor high suggests that sellers have been overrun, and buyers are positioning for a continuation move in line with the weekly uptrend. 4-Hour Timeframe: This chart confirms the transition in market control. Buyers stepped in around the 1.11200 level after a strong selloff, forming a clear higher low and breaking the last significant lower high. This break of structure marks the end of the previous bearish leg and confirms the buyer strength. Currently, price is trading above the retest zone (previous seller base), and the trade setup is active. If price continues to hold above this breakout level, a move toward 1.15700 is likely, aligning with the higher timeframe bullish direction. Good Luck! STUDEY, STUDY, STUDY. Lorenzo Tarati:)
Long
by tarati.lorenzo
EURUSD 5-Wave Rally Confirms Bullish TrendThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD indicates that the correction from the April 21, 2025, high has concluded with wave (4) at 1.1059. From the wave (3) peak, the decline unfolded as follows: wave W ended at 1.1265, wave X at 1.1381, and wave Y, structured as a zigzag, completed at 1.1059. Within wave Y, wave ((a)) reached 1.1196 and wave ((b)) hit 1.1292. Wave ((c)) lower concluded at 1.106, finalizing wave Y of (4). The pair has since turned upward in wave (5). From the wave (4) low, the rally in wave ((i)) is developing as a five-wave diagonal pattern. Wave (i) peaked at 1.1265, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to 1.1128. Then wave (iii) advanced to 1.1288, and wave (iv) retraced to 1.1215. Wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) in a higher degree. Subsequently, a pullback in wave ((ii)) should correct the cycle from the May 13, 2025, low before the pair resumes its upward trend. As long as the 1.106 pivot low holds, any near-term pullback is likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
EUR/USD: Weekly PAT + VPA 5/11/2025Trading Analysis EUR/USD - Price Action and Volume Price Analysis Weekly Structure Analysis: At present, we find ourselves within a bullish weekly range. The lower boundary of this range is 1.07330, established during the week of March 24, 2025, while the upper boundary is at 1.15734, reached the week of April 21, 2025. The price movement from 1.073 to 1.157 has surpassed a swing high, which we will identify as our initial resistance point as we aim to return to 1.15734. Weekly Price Action Analysis: Analyzing structure and price action reveals similarities. Our confidence in a bullish trend is the anchored weekly bar. The weekly candle from the week of April 7, 2025 serves as this anchor. Following the inside bar, we observed a bearish pin bar, which acts as a Bullish Reacher since its wick exceeded the high of the anchor bar's wick (Wick on Wick). The market shows signs of wanting to rise, but it must first hit a demand zone that weekly traders are keen to engage with. Volume Price Analysis: The last four weekly candles have demonstrated limited strength in driving the market lower, with support holding at 1.11927 (1.12). As the price declines, trading volume is decreasing, following a sharp upward movement, likely due to profit-taking or repositioning. Volume analysis indicated we should retest 1.15734. Good luck and happy trading! OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY
Long
by ThePipAssassin
1
EURUSD at Resistance – Will It Drop to 1.11720?OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading near a strong resistance level, which is an area where price has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. This is also where sellers have previously stepped in, so it’s worth watching—especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here—such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum—I think we could see a move down to the 1.11720 level. But if price breaks clearly above this area, it could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest that the uptrend may even continue. This area is quite important and could help give us a clearer idea of the next direction of price. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance—this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by LucasMgoldview
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1236 1st Support: 1.1147 1st Resistance: 1.1422 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURUSD - Could the Low Be in Place?EURUSD has recently been struggling for upside momentum as a reduction in trade tensions have boosted the dollar, and hopes for another ECB rate cut in June have weighed on the Euro. This has seen a selloff in the world’s biggest FX pair from its 2025 highs at 1.1573 posted on April 21st, to a low of 1.1065 on May 12th, as US and China trade representatives outlined details of a significant reduction in tariffs on imports from each country, before eventually closing on Friday slightly higher at 1.1150. Roll forward to the start of this new trading week and a downgrade to US government debt by rating agency Moody’s (last Friday) has seen a brief resurgence of the sell US assets trade, and while US stock indices recovered their initial losses into the close yesterday evening, the dollar has remained under pressure with EURUSD trading against a potential important technical level (more on this in the technical update below). This leads us to ask the question, was the low seen on May 12th at 1.1065 a final capitulation of weak longs, and could a new up trend be developing again? While further news flow on the topic of US government debt, including updates on progress through Congress of a Republican tax cut and spending bill, may continue to dominate the direction of EURUSD across the rest of the week, sentiment could also be impacted by Thursday's release of the May forward looking PMI surveys from the Eurozone (0900 BST) and US (1445 BST), which will provide traders with an insight into the current health of these two major economies. The current technical outlook may also be important. Technical Update: Focus on Fibonacci Retracements Interestingly, the sell-off into the May 12th low at 1.1065 did approach what might have been classed as a support level at 1.1056, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March 27th to April 21st price strength. As you can see from the chart below, it is the test of this price level that looks to have prompted the latest EURUSD recovery. Resistance Focus: Traders may well now be focusing on 1.1263, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April 21st to May 12th 2025 price weakness, a level that was successful in holding, on a closing basis, yesterday’s attempt to push to higher price levels. That said, successful closing breaks above 1.1263 while no guarantee of further price strength, might leave some traders looking for an extension of the current upside move, with the next resistance potentially standing at 1.1381, which is the higher 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Support Focus: What if 1.1263 Caps Further Gains? It is equally possible the 1.1263 Fibonacci retracement resistance can continue to hold, even turn price activity lower once more. With this in mind, we should perhaps monitor support at 1.1171, which is equal to half the latest recovery move. Closing breaks below this level might then lead to a more extended phase of price weakness towards the 1.1056 retracement support, possibly further if this in turn were to give way. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 20 May 2025- EURUSD broke daily down channel - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1370 EURUSD currency pair continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave (3), which started earlier from the strong support level 1.1130 intersecting with the support trendline of the daily down channel from April. The support level 1.1130 was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse 5 from March. Given the clear daily uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1370 (which stopped the previous correction B).
Long
by FxProGlobal