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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD - BULLISH MOVE "Demand Zone Reaction"DXY IS BEARISH, as EUR is currently at a critical decision point—either confirming a bullish reversal from the demand zone or continuing the downtrend. Entry: Looking for bullish confirmation within the Demand Zone (1.03602 region). 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below the Demand Zone at 1.02006. 🔹 Take Profit (TP): TP1: FVG Midpoint (1.04500) TP2: Daily Resistance Level (1.05000) TP3: Full Liquidity Grab (1.06500+) 🔹 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio: 4R+ potential. 🔎 Trade Confirmation Criteria ✅ Bullish rejection wicks or engulfing candles in the demand zone. ✅ Liquidity sweep followed by a strong move up. ✅ Market structure shift to bullish on lower timeframes. ❌ Invalidation If price fails to hold the demand zone and breaks below 1.02006, it signals further downside, invalidating the trade idea. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before entering trades. 🔔 What’s your bias? Are you looking to enter long or waiting for further confirmations? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
Long
by vannix_sb
EUR/USD - Critical Decision Zone! Will Price Hold or Break?The EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.045, sitting within a fair value gap (FVG). This level is a major point of interest, and the market's reaction here could dictate the next significant move. Key Scenarios to Watch: 📉 Bearish Breakdown: If price fails to hold this FVG and we get a strong candle close below it, this could confirm bearish momentum. A breakdown from this level would create a high-probability short opportunity, with the next logical downside target being the golden pocket (marked as "Target"). This area aligns with a deeper discount zone where buyers might look to step in. 📈 Bullish Rejection & Upside Move: If price finds support within this FVG and shows strong bullish intent, we could see a push to the 4H order block (OB) sitting at 1.048. A move toward this OB would be a potential liquidity grab before any larger directional move. 📊 Market Context & Why This Level Matters: We are currently in a premium zone, meaning price is at a level where smart money is more likely to look for selling opportunities rather than aggressively buying. This increases the probability of a retracement lower, especially if the fair value gap fails to hold. The golden pocket aligns with a strong Fibonacci retracement zone, making it a high-probability target for a deeper correction. 🔥 Final Thoughts: This is a pivotal moment for EUR/USD. A confirmed break or a strong rejection from this level will provide clear trade opportunities. Keep an eye on price action, watch for confirmations, and plan accordingly! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
Short
by TehThomas
4
EUR/USD Rejects 1.0469 – Drop to 1.0399 or Reversal Ahead?EUR/USD Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025 The price is rejecting from the pivot line at 1.0469, confirming bearish momentum after failing to sustain above the key level. Technical Outlook Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 1.0469, the downtrend remains valid, targeting 1.0399. A break below this level could extend losses toward 1.0367 and 1.0288. Bullish Scenario: To reverse the bearish momentum, EUR/USD must break back above 1.0469, which could trigger an upward move toward 1.0520 and 1.0605. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 1.0436 🔹 Resistance Levels: 1.0520, 1.0605 🔹 Support Levels: 1.0390, 1.0367, 1.0288 📉 Directional Bias: The price is expected to drop toward 1.0399 while trading below 1.0469. A break below 1.0399 confirms further downside movement. 💬 Will EUR/USD hold below 1.0469 for further downside, or reclaim the level for a reversal? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
Short
by SroshMayi
EUR/USD Heads into Swing Resistance EUR/USD has edged higher in recent sessions, but the pair is now pressing into a key resistance zone. Let’s break down why this level matters and how traders can navigate the next move. Testing the Waters: Is This a Breakout or a Range Play? After a sharp decline in late 2024, EUR/USD started the year with a strong rebound from trend lows in January. Those lows were retested in early February and held firm, setting the stage for last week’s steady gains. Now, the pair is challenging the late-January swing highs—an area that could determine the next phase of price action. This resistance zone is significant for three reasons. First, it aligns with the broader downtrend—despite the recovery, EUR/USD remains in a long-term bearish structure until it can break above a key swing high. A decisive move beyond this level could signal the start of a trend shift. Second, it coincides with the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the highs before the downtrend began. VWAP often acts as a battleground between short-term momentum and long-term weakness—whether buyers can push through or sellers reassert control will be telling. The third, and perhaps most likely, scenario is that EUR/USD remains range-bound, with the early February bounce marking the lower boundary of consolidation. If resistance holds, traders may find opportunities to "play the range" by watching for lower timeframe rejection patterns within this key zone. For now, RSI is climbing but remains below overbought territory, leaving room for further upside if momentum persists. However, should resistance hold firm, the broader range-bound structure could remain in play, keeping EUR/USD trapped between these key technical levels. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD Trade Analysis 2 Macro LondonEURUSD Trade Analysis 2 Macro London Asia creates equal lows in a discount. Price comes up to the 50% and creates session equal highs. For 2 hours spools in a tight range. By 12:30 it aggressively rallies past the 50 to equal highs and into a noted FVG. By 1:30 it peaks and breaks down in a premium. Creates a FVG and 2 candle spikes into it and on previous days MOG. (All seen on a LTF) Model review Liquidity from previous session is taken Price is in a session premium Price rebalanced a FVG Created a FVG to go it to at 2 Price is breaking down in a macro with a identified session bias DXY was in a discount providing confidence it would seek out the 50 level-which it did. 3 sell side targets for scaling Current range bias in Asia was on the 50, and price went above tricking traders we are going long so they can deal their shorts. This is classic ICT 2022 and other blended ideas. It does not get more perfect than this. The hesitation is not sticking to my parent bias which is bull. And yet I suspected this week we could see lower prices as price could gravitate to the current range 50 seeking liquidity. A nice 20 pips consistently is what Im working towards.
by LeanLena
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 19, 2025 EURUSDU.S. President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he would likely impose tariffs on imports of cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals of about 25%, with an announcement to follow as early as 2 April. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a peace deal could not yet be concluded. He postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia, scheduled for Wednesday, until 10 March to avoid giving ‘legitimacy’ to the US-Russia talks. This uncertainty could lift the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for the pair. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, which are due to be released later on Wednesday. This report could provide some clues as to how policymakers assess the risk of a global trade war. On the other side of the pond, the ZEW Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index came in at 24.2 in February versus 18.0 previously, missing expectations. Rising bets that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates three more times this year could put pressure on the Euro (EUR). Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0450, SL 1.0500, TP 1.0350
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Gains PaceMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Gains Pace EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.0460 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.0400 resistance zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0290 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0400 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The pair even settled above the 1.0450 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0515 resistance. A high is formed near 1.0514 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high. Immediate support is near the 1.0445 level. The next major support is at 1.0400 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high. If there is a downside break below 1.0400, the pair could drop toward the 1.0375 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0290, below which the pair could start a major decline. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.0460. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460. The next major resistance is near the 1.0515 level. An upside break above 1.0515 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0550. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2