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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURO - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, price entered to falling channel, where it at once fell to $1.1330 level and then not long time traded near this level. Next, price rose to resistance line of channel, and some time traded near, after which dropped. Price broke $1.1330 level and started to traded below this level, and later it continued to decline in channel. Later, Euro made a gap and then exited from channel, after which turned around and started to grow in a rising channel. In this channel, price broke $1.1140 level and continued to move up until it reached resistance line. Then price corrected, and now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1280 inside channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by WalterMoon
9
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation. 🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by: Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control. Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout. This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses. In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern. 🧱 2. Key Structural Zones: Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285): Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone. Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area. The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance. Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow): Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase. Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge. 🔁 3. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge. This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move. The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation. Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities. 🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup: Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals. Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance. TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10). 🧠 5. Confluence Factors: Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish. Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory. Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels. Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation. ⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips: Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule). Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering. Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD May 20 Failed Trade cont analysis hour to minute EURUSD May 20 Failed Trade Hour to minute chart analysis Narrative Breakdown Asia to London hour TF analysis *Price expands to a discount taking minor buy side *dips below the 50 fib, and CE of the FVG it was attempting to rebalance *on the 15 TF the above move retraces to the .618 Monday’s previous range, classic pullback in a bull market, setting up for a long for London, my oversight *20:30 Price launches with a visible reaction, to reverse course *22:45 price retests the IFVG created at 20:30 bounces off *price consolidates back to a premium *this threw me off-I don't buy in a premium on the previous range *clues price is going higher was price making higher lows 1:50 I entered to sell, equal highs taken and EXPECTING a sell off framing my logic from the morning not reading the HTF logic *2:05 stopped out Admittedly I did switch and buy after seeing my oversight and analyzing GBP/DXY logic and got stopped out Day over. Price did swing to equal highs that I did frame when I bought. Nice delivery with out me! Take aways *Scaling through all time frames for reactions at specific levels, and noting them, along with what liquidity was taken *HTF bias is KING *I was flexible by buying after my sell idea folded, I was not confident and hence got stopped out with a sloppy entry *rule broken 1 trade a day-2 trades today that cost me *after a successful trading day yesterday today I could have went to the beach *rule broken buying in a premium!!!! Grateful to be practicing and loosing trades are winning for the wealth of information that is provided
by LeanLena
EUR/USD.. 4H CHART PATTERN..*EURUSD BUY* entry: ### *Trade Plan: EURUSD BUY @ 1.12500* *Potential Risk-Reward Ratio:* Up to ~1:3 (with trailing stop) #### *Key Levels:* - *Entry:* *1.12500* - *Stop Loss (SL):* *1.11800* (~70 pips risk, below recent support) - *Take Profit Targets:* - *TP1:* *1.14100* (+160 pips, ~2:1 R/R) - *TP2:* *1.15500* (+300 pips, ~4:1 R/R) #### *Risk Management:* - *Position Size:* Risk 1-2% of capital per trade (e.g., 0.5-1% if wider SL). - *Leverage:* Use ≤ 10x leverage to avoid volatility spikes. #### *Execution Strategy:* 1. *Confirmation:* Ensure bullish momentum (e.g., breakout above 1.12800, RSI >50, MACD crossover). 2. *Partial Close:* Secure 50% profits at *TP1 (1.14100)*, then trail SL to breakeven or higher (e.g., 1.13000). 3. *Final Target:* Let remaining position ride to *TP2 (1.15500)* if trend stays strong (watch for ECB/Fed policy shifts). #### *Supporting Factors:* - *Fundamental Catalyst:* Dovish Fed expectations or Eurozone inflation surprises could fuel upside. - *Technical Confluence:* 200-day SMA or channel breakouts add validity. #### *Exit if:* - Price breaks below *1.11800* (invalidates bullish structure). - Bearish reversal patterns form (e.g., double top at 1.14000). Would you like a deeper analysis of current EURUSD drivers (e.g., interest rate differentials, COT data)?
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
28
EURUSD May 20 Failed TradeEURUSD May 20 Failed Trade Daily Chart Analysis Parent range equilibrium Previous range Premium My idea of price selling off to inefficient delivered price action yesterday, was NOT the Marco London move. What I over looked today on HTF analysis I see in hindsight now or what I am studying as result of being wrong. *HFT May 12 Monday made a low to the 70 HTF fib *Price retraces and returned to open and close in the same tight range, consolidating-building in orders *yesterday I executed a buy day with this HTF logic of price seeking the 50 HTF fib level-last week price was in a discount and this week heading to a premium *Yesterday Price expands to the 50 fib HTF to it and through it-celebrate my idea and trade being correct *Price closes in a premium just above the 50 HTF fib *Logic said intraday retracement of inefficient price to have a sell off day in London Going to continue the breakdown of this trade on the hour to the minute.
by LeanLena
US Credit Downgrade and Brexit Progress Lift EuroThe euro approached the $1.13 mark on Tuesday, extending its rebound from the one-month low recorded on May 12. The rally followed a broad-based weakening in the US dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade sparked investor concerns about long-term US economic stability and pressured dollar-denominated assets. The EU and UK finalized a provisional agreement addressing key post-Brexit issues such as defense, fisheries, youth mobility, and security cooperation. The deal may pave the way for UK companies to participate in major EU defense projects, marking a potential turning point in EU-UK relations. The European Central Bank is expected to initiate a rate cut in June, with additional easing possible later in the year. Despite these expectations, the euro has held firm, buoyed by both geopolitical developments and dollar weakness. EUR/USD now faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside barriers at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support lies at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
by ChartMage
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: EUR/USD Eyes Higher Levels..!📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Breakout Watch..! 💥 🕰 Timeframe: 4H | 📅 Date: May 20, 2025 By: @Kartik\_Elkunchwar The EUR/USD pair is showing an **interesting structure** with strong breakout potential. Here's the breakdown: 🔍 Chart Pattern Observed: Symmetrical Triangle After a strong uptrend since late March, price consolidated into a symmetrical triangle, marked by lower highs and higher lows. This formation typically indicates indecision in the market, but it often precedes a strong breakout. 📈 Uptrend Intact The dotted line labeled UP-TREND shows that the bullish momentum is still present, with price respecting the rising support line over time. This trendline has acted as a reliable dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias. 🔔 Recent Price Action Price recently broke out above the upper trendline of the triangle, closing around **1.1275**. This breakout is accompanied by a surge in momentum and could signal the resumption of the bullish trend. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance Zone: 1.1300 – If price breaks and sustains above this level, we could see a rally toward **1.1400–1.1450**. Support Zone: 1.1200 and 1.1100 – In case of a false breakout or retest, these levels may act as buying opportunities. 🧠 Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is giving a **potential long setup** after consolidating for weeks. A confirmed breakout above the triangle indicates **buyers may be gaining control**. Watch for a **retest and bounce** for higher conviction entries. 📉 What’s your take on EUR/USD? Bullish or Bearish..? Drop your analysis in the comments! 💬
Long
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
EURUSD INTRADAY bulish breakout supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025. The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term. However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990. In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadTuesday May 20 Data: US May Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity, China 1-yr and 5-yr loan prime rates, Germany April PPI, Italy March current account balance, ECB March current account, Eurozone March construction output, May consumer confidence, Canada April CPI, Denmark Q1 GDP Central banks: Fed's Bostic, Barkin, Collins and Musalem speak, ECB's Wunsch, Cipollone and Knot speak, BoE's Pill speaks, RBA decision Earnings: Home Depot, Palo Alto Networks, Vodafone Other: G7 finance ministers and central bankers meeting in Canada (through May 22), EU's foreign and defence ministers meeting in Brussels This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025 🔹 Current Price: 1.12570 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 📌 Key Demand Zone: 🟢 1.11200–1.11650 – Major bullish rejection zone; structure formed after strong accumulation and upside expansion. 📈 Bullish Outlook – Eyes on 1.14259: 🔸 If price cleanly breaks and retests 1.12926, we could see a sharp continuation toward 1.14259 🔸 Market showing higher highs and strong impulse legs from demand 📉 Invalidation Risk: 🔸 A break back below 1.12200 may invalidate bullish bias and revisit deeper demand 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ 1H bullish structure remains intact ✅ Watch for 15M BOS above 1.12900 for low-risk entry ✅ Ideal for swing or intraday buys with proper RR #EURUSD #ForexUpdate #FXFOREVER #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #DemandZone #BreakoutSetup #PriceActionForex #EuroDollar
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
2
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅4H 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD – Daily Time Frame AnalysisEUR/USD – Daily Time Frame Analysis The Euro is gaining strength against the US Dollar, driven by recent positive economic data from the Eurozone and increasing speculation that the European Central Bank may delay further rate cuts. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under slight pressure due to softer U.S. inflation expectations and a more cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, contributing to short-term bullish momentum in EUR/USD. On the technical side, EUR/USD on the daily time frame has broken a major resistance level at 1.2200. We observed a previously formed double top and a descending trendline with three touches, confirming the significance of this key level. Following the breakout, accumulation has begun and buyers have stepped in with long positions. Price briefly retraced, triggering stop-losses below the liquidity zone — a typical liquidity grab. Currently, we are waiting for price to break above a minor key resistance. Our area of interest is at 1.13300. Risk is managed below the liquidity zone at 1.10070, and our target profit is set at the next minor key resistance around 1.23530. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader