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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURO/USD low-risk, high-reward bearish entry at a key premium Key Markings and Zones 1. CHoCH (Change of Character) – Highlighted in the red-circled area on the left side of the chart, this indicates a potential shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. It marks the beginning of a bullish move. 2. BOS (Break of Structure) – A clear breakout above the previous high, signaling strong bullish momentum and confirming the shift in structure. 3. Resistance and Support Zones – Resistance: Marked in a rectangle near the top after BOS, showing where price faced selling pressure. Support: Plotted beneath current price action, acting as a base for recent bullish attempts. 4. FVG (Fair Value Gap) – A liquidity imbalance is visible in the middle-right section of the chart. Price is expected to return here before continuing the projected move. --- Trade Setup Entry Zone: Highlighted in a pink rectangle just below the resistance and within the FVG, indicating a potential short entry point after a minor bullish retracement. Target: Marked in a green rectangle, aiming toward the support zone around 1.09241, showing a bearish continuation expectation. Risk-Reward: Defined visually with the red (risk) and green (reward) areas—demonstrates a favorable setup with a clear target and stop-loss level. --- Professional Interpretation This chart exemplifies a smart money concept (SMC) approach: Market structure shift identified (CHoCH & BOS) Liquidity engineering (FVG) Supply and demand zones A low-risk, high-reward bearish entry at a key premium zone The trader anticipates price to retrace to the entry zone (possibly to fill the FVG), then continue downward toward the marked target after reacting to the resistance. ---
Short
by Johnson67
2
EURUSD, Position TradeStill holding a bullish bias on EURUSD. Price has respected the Monthly Orderblock from Jan 1st, 2001 and has continued to show strength, rejecting the lows and pushing higher. The market has cleared the Sellside liquidity and is now drawing toward Buyside Liquidity and the Fair Value Gap (FVG) above. We are still within the accumulation and expansion phase based on the ICT AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) framework. As long as price holds above the Major Institutional Level (1.1000), I remain long-biased targeting the FVG and higher Buystops. DXY remains bearish, further supporting this bias.
Long
by Mike_Fxar
EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EURUSD is in a Downside Direction After a Triangle Pattern BreakHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
Reading Active Zones on EURUSD – Bullish Bias💶 EUR/USD – Bullish Bias Active 🟢 Current Zone: 1.1130 – 1.1150 📍 Price is reacting to a technical support zone, with visible buying pressure on lower wicks. 🔍 Technical Analysis ✅ Technical Support Zone: 1.1130 – 1.1150 → Repeatedly tested, with buyers actively defending the level. 🟩 Fundamental Support Zone: 1.0900 – 1.1000 → Major psychological and structural area. 🔴 Resistance Zone to Break: 1.1245 – 1.1265 → A breakout here could open the path toward 1.1400+ 📊 Intraday Trading Scenario 🔼 As long as price stays above 1.1130, the bullish bias remains valid. 📈 Short-term target: 1.1245 – 1.1300 ❌ Invalidation: Clear close below 1.1130 with volume → potential drop toward 1.1000 ⚠️ Watch for central bank speeches and USD volatility this week. The euro remains sensitive to global macroeconomic developments. 💬 Do you agree with this setup? Hit the boost and share your plan or levels below 👇
Long
by Karim_Massoun
EURUSD: a calm week ahead?From economic data the US inflation was in the spotlight of the financial markets during the previous week. The US inflation in April reached 0,2% for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis, which was fully in line with market expectations. The Core inflation was standing at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,8% for the year. The Producers Price Index in April was -0,5%, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,2%. Retail Sales in April were higher by 0,1% for the month modestly above the forecasted 0%. Building Permits preliminary for April were 1.412M, below market estimate of 1.450M, while Housing Starts in April were also below market estimate, with 1.362, while market was expecting to see the figure of 1.37M. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May, which was standing at the level of 50,8, modestly below forecasted 53,4. There has been a modest increase in 5 years inflation expectations to the level of 4,6%, from 4,4% previously posted. There has also been increased expectations for the inflation for this year, which reached the level of 7,3%, from 6,5% posted previously. This week there has not been too much significant macro data posted for the Euro Zone. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in May in Germany was standing at 25,2 which was surprisingly much higher from anticipated 12,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 11,6 again above market expectations of -6. The previous week started in favor of the US Dollar against euro, due to decreased tariffs tensions between the US and China. Still, volatility continued for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,1263, while the pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1164. The RSI was relatively calmly moving around the level of 50, still closing the week at the level of 46. This is an indication that the investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side in the coming period. The MA50 is still modestly diverging from MA200, without a clear indication that the change of course might happen in the coming period. Charts are indicating that the market was testing the 1,12 level during the previous week. This could be also treated as a level with historical significance, considering that the currency pair historically spent a lot of time around this level. Considering that the week ahead is not bringing much of the currently significant data, which markets closely watch, it could be expected that it is going to be one calm week. However, it should be taken into account news published on Saturday, that the rating agency Moody’s downgraded US credit rating by one notch. This news is still not reflected in the eurusd currency pair, which might indicate some higher volatility at the start of trading hours on Monday. This would be a one-off effect. As per current charts, if the level 1,12 withholds pressure to the downside, then the market could revert toward the 1,13 level. In the opposite case, charts are indicating the level of 1,1050. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate final for April in the EuroZone, Producers Price Index in Germany in April, HCOB manufacturing PMI Flash for May for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in May, GDP Growth rate for Germany final for Q1 USD: Existing Home Sales in April
by XBTFX
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bouce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1083 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.1098 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.1265 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD 1H analysis🧱 Supply and Demand Zones Supply Zones (Red/Orange boxes): 1.13996 - 1.13812: Major untested supply; strong selling pressure expected. 1.12930 - 1.12658: Cluster of supply zones; significant resistance area. 1.12281 - 1.12198: Recently formed supply, tested once. 1.11704 - 1.11645: Currently active supply zone; price just rejected this level. Demand Zone (Blue box): 1.10653: Strong demand zone from previous swing low; price bounced significantly here on May 13. 🔍 Trend and Price Action Trend: Short-term bearish. Price has made lower highs and lower lows. A large bearish impulse drop occurred between May 13 and 14. Minor consolidation is forming after the recent drop. Current Price: Around 1.11614 — just below a supply zone (1.11704 - 1.11645) and under the influence of selling pressure. Recent Reaction: The price attempted to move up but was rejected at the supply zone. Now pulling back and potentially targeting lower demand levels. 🔄 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.11704 - 1.11645 (Immediate) 1.12281 1.12800 Support: 1.10653 (Major Demand) Intermediate minor supports may form during the descent. 📈 Potential Scenarios Bearish Continuation: Price may continue lower towards the demand zone at 1.10653. If this level breaks, it could lead to further downside, possibly forming new demand. Bullish Reversal: If price breaks and holds above 1.11704, the next test could be the 1.12198 - 1.12281 supply zone. Bullish confirmation would require breaking 1.12930 with strength. 🧠 Summary Market structure favors short-term bears. Strong supply zones are capping upside. The key demand at 1.10653 is the next potential support. Traders may look for short entries near supply and long opportunities near demand, depending on confirmation and context.
by SandhyaNagpur
EUR/USD Analysis – Bearish Continuation Setup (Wave (5) in ProgrTimeframe: 15m Date: May 18, 2025 Tools Used: Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, SNR Zones, Awesome Oscillator (AO) Bias: Bearish Confluence Zone for Entry: 1.618 – 2.618 Fib Extension 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 🌀 Elliott Wave Count: We are currently tracking a 5-wave impulsive bearish structure on EUR/USD. Wave (1), (2), and (3) have been completed. Price is now forming a corrective Wave (4) which appears to be completing near a key SNR zone and Fibonacci confluence area. Based on the wave structure and market behavior, Wave (5) is expected to follow after this correction completes, targeting a new lower low. 📏 Fibonacci Confluence: Wave (4) retracement aligns with several Fibonacci extension levels: 1.618 (1.11663) – This is the first key resistance zone, coinciding with prior support turned resistance (SNR) and the AO convergence point. 2.618 (1.11892) – Acts as the extended potential reversal point if price overshoots the 1.618 zone. These fib zones create a tight area of interest for potential entries with stop-loss placement above 2.618, targeting Wave (5) completion near 1.1120 or below. 🧱 SNR (Support & Resistance) Zone: The area between 1.11600 – 1.11900 has historically acted as a supply zone. Price reacted sharply from here during prior bearish moves. Break of microstructure around 1.11464 – 1.11428 would further confirm bearish intent and potential early Wave (5) entry. 📉 AO (Awesome Oscillator) – Bearish Convergence (H1 + M15): There is a clear bearish convergence on both H1 and M15: Price formed lower lows, while AO histogram also made higher lows, indicating momentum is still bearish despite the corrective bounce. This convergence supports the idea that Wave (4) is just a temporary correction, not a trend reversal. 🎯 Trade Plan (Hypothetical Example): Sell Zone (Entry): Between 1.11663 – 1.11892 (Fib 1.618 to 2.618 + SNR zone) Confirmation: Bearish structure break (1.11464 – 1.11428) Stop Loss: Above 1.11920 (just above 2.618 level) Target: 1.11200 area (Wave (5) projection) 📌 Summary: This setup offers a clean multi-confluence short opportunity, aligning with: Elliott Wave structure (Wave (5) pending) Fibonacci extensions (1.618 – 2.618) SNR resistance zone AO bearish convergence on both H1 and M15 ⚠️ Wait for structural confirmation and always manage risk carefully. Traders should wait for confirmation from price action (e.g. a break below 1.11428) before entering. Risk management is essential as fib extensions can occasionally overshoot before price turns. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #Wave5Setup #AOConvergence #AwesomeOscillator #FibConfluence #SNRZone #PriceAction #BearishSetup #WaveTheory #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #StructureBreak #ForexSetup #MomentumTrading #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #FXTrading #MarketStructure #ShortOpportunity
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
Pair: USD/EUR (U.S. Dollar vs Euro)🔻 Trade Type: Short (Sell Setup) Current Price: 0.8956 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart 🔍 Technical Setup Pattern: Rising wedge / triangle near resistance → bearish breakout potential Entry Point: Just below 0.8965–0.8956, after rejection from triangle resistance (yellow circle) Structure: Lower high near resistance zone (0.8984) Price forming a tightening range with potential to break down 🎯 Targets & Stop-Loss Take-Profit (TP): TP1: 0.8927 (support zone) TP2: 0.8888 (major support level) Stop-Loss (SL): Above resistance: 0.8984 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Estimated R:R: ~2:1 or better Good risk control by placing SL just above the recent spike 🧠 Trade Logic Strong resistance at 0.8984 held firm Price rejected from top of the wedge Clear path to retest lower support zones Consolidation breakout setup favors bears if breakdown confirms
Short
by ProfittoPath