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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

Original idea still valid Everyone who caught the short today congrats i went long and got stuck in my pos, however its not over yet today we saw the DXY was super bullish but i don’t think that’s the bigger picture. I think my original trade idea will play out. I believe we are literally repeating what happened during the month of February the price hit a peak (DXY) and then price was rejected and I believe what happened today is the sameish pattern that was printed during the first week of feb. The price rallied followed by a gap down and then the price tried to come back but it was rejected. A lot of people think the price is going back to 1.05 but this literally makes the perfect storm for retail and I’ve noticed this a lot so what i think will happen is institutions will come in Sunday and drop the price back down but before that happens we need liquidity to do that so what will happen Monday is a small rally (trap) followed by a dump off this has happened a million times already. So people will go crazy long and since the DXY is already in a downtrend it makes more sense for the euro to hit above 1.15 or higher, I’ve seen a few people post this sediment. So that’s may over view and ill just stay in long for a month CO’s this thing is going up for sure and the people shorting i see some opportunity when this thing pumps but the overall broad over view is bullish
Long
by christiansmithtrades
1
Could the Euro Be on the Verge of a Lasting Upward Climb? Europe is embarking on an ambitious chapter of economic revitalization, marked by expansive fiscal measures and a renewed sense of unity in policymaking. Against this backdrop, the Euro seems well positioned to embark on a sustained upward journey, potentially reversing years of lackluster performance and ushering in a prolonged bullish phase. One of the strongest pillars supporting this outlook is the growing anticipation that the ECB may soon hit the brakes on its monetary loosening. With the current policy described as having shed much of its restrictive bite, ECB leadership might opt for a strategic pause perhaps as early as spring 2025. This shift would allow time to gauge the effects of shifting trade landscapes, bold budgetary commitments and the unpredictable currents of global politics. A steadier monetary stance could serve as a springboard for the Euro’s ascent, offering stability amid a flurry of change. However, this optimistic scenario is not without its shadows. Rising friction in trade relations, particularly with the United States, looms as a significant wildcard. Equally critical is Europe’s capacity to translate its grand fiscal vision into tangible results. The coming months will act as a proving ground, revealing whether this pivotal moment can ignite a durable economic spark or if internal missteps and external storms dim the Euro’s shine. On the technical front, the pair’s recent vigor paints an encouraging picture. The drop from its 2023 high of 1.1274 now looks like a completed correction, having bottomed out at 1.0176 after a three phase decline. Should the pair decisively reclaim that 1.1274 level, it could reignite the upward momentum that kicked off from the 2022 trough of 0.9534. Analysts might then eye a target near 1.1916 a level derived by projecting the full rally from 0.9534 to 1.1274 upward from 1.0176 marking a notable milestone in the Euro’s recovery. Even more compelling is the possibility that such a surge could shatter a descending trend line that has capped the Euro’s ambitions for over twenty years( Pink Line). Breaking free of this long standing barrier would signal more than just a fleeting rally...it could herald a fundamental shift, positioning the Euro for a multi year bullish era. In essence, the Euro stands at a crossroads, buoyed by promising monetary recalibration, aggressive fiscal plans, and technical tailwinds. Yet.....its journey to a lasting bull run hinges on navigating a gauntlet of risks—from trade disputes to execution challenges. As Europe strides toward this defining moment, the Euro’s trajectory remains a tantalizing blend of potential and peril, with the next chapter still unwritten. Let's find out which one it is. Cheers
by RobertTMFX
2
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity. A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first. Confluences for EU Buys: EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside. The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias. A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside. Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken. Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD - Bullish Reversal Setup After Fair Value Gap MitigationMarket Overview: EURUSD has experienced a strong bullish impulse, breaking through a key resistance level and forming a temporary top. Following this surge, price has started a corrective pullback within a descending channel, a structure often seen before a continuation in the dominant trend. The market appears to be in the process of mitigating a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could provide an optimal area for bullish continuation. Technical Insights: - A significant support level was broken earlier, which later turned into a demand zone after the price surged. This confirms a shift in market structure towards bullish conditions. - The ongoing correction is forming a descending channel, a classical bullish flag or wedge pattern, suggesting that once the corrective phase is over, buyers might step in to push the price higher. - The FVG region below the current price aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels, reinforcing the likelihood of a reaction from this zone. If price reaches this area and forms bullish confirmation patterns such as a bullish engulfing candle or a shift in order flow, it could signal the end of the correction and the beginning of another upward move. Potential Scenario: If price continues to decline and fills the FVG, traders should monitor for a reaction in this zone. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bullish reversal, targeting previous highs and resuming the overall uptrend. The presence of a well-defined descending channel adds confluence to the bullish setup, as a breakout from this structure would further validate the expected upside movement. Risk Considerations: Traders should be cautious of any unexpected macroeconomic developments, such as central bank policy changes or geopolitical events, that could impact market sentiment. Additionally, waiting for confirmation in the FVG area is crucial to avoid premature entries and unnecessary exposure to risk. Conclusion: EURUSD is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish move, with price approaching a high-probability reversal zone. If the market responds positively to the FVG mitigation, there is a strong potential for a bullish continuation. Traders should remain patient and wait for confluence before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Louigi_24
68
Euro will rise a little more and then make correction to 1.0950Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price started to grow from the lower region near 1.0730, where it bounced off the buyer zone between 1.0690–1.0730 points and entered a strong upward movement. This impulse helped Euro break through previous resistances and approach the upper boundary of the support area, which lies between 1.0950–1.0990 points. After reaching a local high, the price formed a pennant pattern, consolidating within narrowing trend lines while respecting both the support and resistance structure. During this phase, the pair remained stable, building pressure before making the next move. Recently, EUR made a strong breakout to the upside, exiting the pennant and continuing its bullish rally. The price surged rapidly and now trades above the current support level at 1.0950, reaching fresh highs in this local trend. I expect the price to reverse soon from the current overbought region and begin a decline toward the support area, which now acts as a potential pullback zone. My target for this corrective movement is the 1.0950 level, which aligns perfectly with the current support level and the upper boundary of the support zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
6
EURUSD April 3 Hindsight Study EURUSD Hindsight Study April 3 Analysis Asia Price expands to consolidation to take the minor buy side swinging down 1 macro Price takes minor sell side unwilling to retrace to the equilibrium level as I suspected. (LTF demonstrates the 2022 model in candle formation which could been a buy signal because the unwillingness of Price to rebalance the FVG 21:15 candle tipping its hand that a bull rally is in play) Note I did not take this trade due to buying in a premium, and price did not retrace to discount PD ray. London 2 macro price takes very minor sell side again unwilling to rebalance the FVG 1 macro created. Buy signal again for a trend day with a parent bias known? 3 macro we see a retracement and full rally reversal to known buy stops, rebalance Sept FVG as targets. 6 macro provided my model rules. Deep premium retracement cycle expected to rebalance recent inefficiently delivered price action. Candle formation noted on LFT-hindsight sell set up. Wasn't interested in anything after London-NY too dicey for me to navigate. However in hindsight with key level of buy side liquidity taken a short set up to rebalance at the 11 macro for the courageous. What tripped me up yesterday was "expecting" for price to retrace lower in Asia and London to set up for a bull rally coming into NY, and the reverse happened. Price expanded in Asia into London with low resistance candle patterns and then reversed. What did I learn yesterday: *I suspected for price to lower it did not-when it only took minor sell side coupled with time, and the 2022 candle formation formed, with identified parent bias all factors for a buy signal in this market *several macro times price would retrace to a FVG half way point and then rally. Easiest to see this on the min charts-great example of low resistance liquidity run *low resistance days focus on liquidity taken on a PD ray for trade set ups
by LeanLena
EURUSD forming a top?EURUSD - Intraday Continued upward momentum from 1.0778 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday. Trades at the highest level in 6 months. A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 1.1105. Our medium term bias is bearish below 1.1014 towards 1.0700. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. We look to Sell at 1.1160 (stop at 1.1245) Our profit targets will be 1.0837 and 1.0700 Resistance: 1.1146 / 1.1160 / 1.1214 Support: 1.0837 / 1.0700 / 1.0675 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
EUR/USD - Bull Flag Pattern Breakout in ProgressThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart showcases a classic Bull Flag Pattern , a strong continuation formation indicating the potential for further upside momentum. - The pair experienced a sharp bullish impulse move, forming the flagpole. - The price then entered a consolidation phase within a downward-sloping channel, forming the flag. - A breakout above the upper trendline of the flag could confirm a continuation of the uptrend. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and volume confirmation upon breakout. A successful retest of the flag's resistance as new support could provide a strong buying opportunity, with the next target potentially aligning with the flagpole’s measured move projection. As always, apply risk management and consider additional confluences such as Fibonacci levels, moving averages, or fundamental factors.
Long
by wdstrades
7
EURUSD road map !!!The Euro will increase two cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
EURUSD - Possible Channel BreakEURUSD has been on a Bull run since the tariff news came and Dollar went in pressure. It is respecting the channel very well lately however the Correction wave have concluded and we should see a Buliish break above. This can happen very quickly due to current market situations and the move can be very volatile so please set wider stop losses when entering and add in small lots. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
EUR/USD 4h pair ......My eyeing a EUR/USD short from 1.09730, with a clear multi-target strategy: Trade Setup: Sell Entry: 1.09730 Target 1: 1.06000 (~373 pips) Target 2: 1.03750 (~598 pips) Target 3: 1.02086 (~764 pips) Considerations: Trend Check: Is the D1 or H4 chart showing bearish structure? Fundamentals: Watch for ECB/Fed policy divergence, inflation data, or NFP reports. Risk Management: Consider SL above recent swing high (maybe 1.1050+ depending on your timeframe). Scaling Out: You could take partial profits at each target to lock in gains while letting the rest ride. Want help analyzing the current chart to confirm your bias or refine entry/exit?
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
Euro Strengthens as Dollar Weakens !The Euro rose significantly against the US dollar during yesterday's session, Thursday, April 3, 2025, successfully breaching the resistance level at 1.09547 and establishing a new high above it. This upward movement followed the decision by the US president to impose tariffs on approximately 180 countries, significantly impacting the performance of the US dollar negatively. Currently, EUR/USD is experiencing a corrective downward movement that could extend towards the support level at 1.08211, considered an ideal point for resuming the bullish trend targeting the next level at 1.10490. The positive outlook remains valid unless the pair breaks below the critical support at 1.07331 with a daily candle closure beneath it. Such a scenario would invalidate the bullish scenario and strengthen bearish possibilities. Today, markets await the release of the US employment data, where the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are expected to decline from 151K to 137K. A reading higher than expected could positively impact the dollar and negatively affect the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.1%, and any decrease below this level would support the dollar, adding further downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
by CFI