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EUR/USD ... Buyers are losing strength?My EUR/USD trade idea is well-structured based on the recent breakout and descending channel formation. Here’s a refined breakdown of the setup: Trade Plan: Entry: Sell only after price consolidates below 1.0834 (to avoid false breakouts). Target (TP): 1.06143 (next major support level). Stop-Loss: Consider placing it around 1.0865 - 1.0880 (above recent highs or resistance). Confirmation Signals: Break & retest of 1.0834 as resistance. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., strong bearish engulfing, rejection wick). Volume increase on the breakdown. Would you like me to check current RSI, MACD, or other indicators for added confirmation?
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
Three Possible Scenarios for EURUSDEURUSD has flattened out after its strong upward move from around 1.0350 to 1.0950. The bullish momentum has eased, with Europe’s new spending plans priced in, most of the tariff impact accounted for, and markets digesting the FOMC forecasts. Now, the focus shifts to the next major decision point. There are three possible scenarios: 1-This is a double top formation around 1.0950. If 1.08 breaks, the formation target is at 1.0650, which is also the midpoint of the rally from 1.0350 to 1.0950. It’s a classic technical setup, and fundamentals such as a potential escalation in trade tensions when the April 2 tariffs come into effect could support this move. 2- The second scenario is that this is a consolidation phase before the next leg higher. In this case, the current movement forms a flag pattern, and a breakout would aim for 17 years long downtrend line just above 1.11. For this to materialize, a clear breakout above 1.0950 with strong fundamental support is required. 3- The market may stay indecisive due to the high level of risks and unknowns. In this case, EURUSD would likely continue moving sideways, possibly with minor corrections or false breakouts on both ends, before a clearer direction emerges. Our view favors the first scenario as the most probable outcome, though all three have valid technical and fundamental reasoning behind them. We lean toward the first scenario because sharp upward moves like this typically require a healthy correction, the risk of trade war escalation increases with each new statement from Trump, and the technical setup aligns well with this narrative.
by ftdsystem
EURUSD: Technical and Fundamental AnalysisEURUSD Technical and Fundamental Analysis Today Germany's Bundesrat upper house of parliament is set to vote on Friday on a spending splurge aiming to revive growth in Europe's largest economy and scale up the military for a new era of European collective defence. This was also voted on Tuesday: The vote was 513 in favor and 207 against. The vote needed 489 votes to pass constitutional reform. Overall, the market has to deal with old news. However, if the market speculates again that Eurozne will become stronger, then EURUSD may rise, as shown on the chart. If the market doesn't react by this news as it is already an old news a movement below the structure zone should push EURUSD down even more. I think the bearish wave has more chances however we have to wait for confirmation first as it is still bullish in the current zone. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KlejdiCuni
2
EUR/USD Trend Today - Testing 1.1000?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: 👉The EUR/USD pair rebounds from the 1.0900 level during the European session on Tuesday. Market optimism surrounding the German vote on the fiscal plan and discussions between Trump and Putin counterbalance rising tensions in the Middle East and global trade, leading to a weaker US Dollar and supporting the currency pair. 👉While the Euro (EUR) faces pressure from additional tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump on European Union goods, the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure due to growing concerns over an economic slowdown in the United States. Additionally, hopes for a German fiscal agreement may help limit the pair’s downside. Personal opinion: 👉The daily momentum is bullish but shows signs of slowing while the RSI shows signs of falling from overbought conditions. 👉In addition, the DXY entered oversold territory and slowed at support, so a rebound for the DXY is likely. 👉However, EUR/USD main trend today will be uptrend, watch for price to decrease to buy at a good price for you Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0925 - 1.0910 ❌SL: 1.0890 | ✅TP: 1.0960 - 1.1010 - 1.1050 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Lagarde Flags Slower Growth from U.S. TariffsThe euro fell below $1.085, retreating from its March 18 high of $1.0954, after ECB President Christine Lagarde warned of slower growth risks. Speaking to European lawmakers, she said a proposed 25% U.S. tariff on EU goods could cut eurozone growth by 0.3 percentage points in the first year, or 0.5 points if the EU retaliates. Lagarde added that the main impact would be front-loaded, with limited inflation pressures, suggesting the ECB is unlikely to raise rates in response. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670. 
by ChartMage
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area at 1.07279.Dear colleagues, price is still in an uptrend, but wave “5” is often unpredictable, so I do not recommend buying. I will look out for short positions. I believe that the price can renew the high and reach the area of 1.10000 or even a little higher, but I will place pending limit orders to sell. Or the price will immediately start a downward movement. The target is the support area at 1.07279. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
24
Machine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market AnalysisMachine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market Analysis Machine learning is transforming the currency trading landscape, offering innovative ways to analyse market trends. This article delves into how machine learning algorithms are reshaping forex trading. Understanding these technologies' benefits and challenges provides traders with insights to navigate the currency markets potentially more effectively, harnessing the power of data-driven decision-making. The Basics of Machine Learning in Forex Trading Machine learning for forex trading marks a significant shift from traditional analysis methods. At its core, machine learning involves algorithms that learn from and provide signals based on data. Unlike standard trading algorithms, which operate on predefined rules, these algorithms adapt and improve over time with exposure to more data. Machine learning forex prediction algorithms analyse historical and real-time market data, identifying patterns that are often imperceptible to the human eye. They can process a multitude of technical and fundamental factors simultaneously, offering a more dynamic approach to analysing market trends. This capability can allow traders to make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell currency pairs. The increasing availability of market data and advanced computing power has made machine learning an invaluable tool in a trader's arsenal. Types of Machine Learning Algorithms in Forex Trading In the realm of forex trading, various machine-learning algorithms are utilised to decipher complex market patterns and determine future currency movements. These algorithms leverage forex datasets for machine learning, which encompass historical price data, economic indicators, and global financial news, to train models for accurate analysis. - Support Vector Machines (SVMs): SVMs are particularly adept at classification tasks. In forex, they analyse datasets to categorise market trends as bullish or bearish, helping traders in decision-making. - Neural Networks: These mimic human brain functioning and are powerful in recognising subtle patterns in market datasets. They are often embedded in forex forecasting software to determine future price movements based on historical trends and fundamental data. - Linear Regression: This straightforward approach models the relationship between dependent and independent variables in forex data. It's commonly used for its simplicity and effectiveness in identifying trends. - Random Forest: This ensemble learning method combines multiple decision trees to potentially improve analysis accuracy and reduce overfitting, making it a reliable choice in the forex market analysis. - Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs): Suited for sequential data, RNNs can be effective in analysing time-series market data, capturing dynamic changes over time. - Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks: A specialised form of RNNs, LSTMs are designed to remember long-term dependencies, making them effective tools for analysing extensive historical forex datasets. Benefits of Machine Learning in Forex Trading Machine learning offers significant advantages for forex analysis. Its integration into forex prediction software may enhance trading strategies in several key ways: - Real-Time Data Analysis: Algorithms excel in analysing vast amounts of real-time data, which is crucial for accurate forex daily analysis and prediction. - Automated Trading: These algorithms automate the buying and selling process, which may increase efficiency and reaction speed to market changes. - Enhanced Market Understanding: It helps in dissecting historical market data, providing a deeper understanding for informed decision-making. - Accuracy in Analysis: Software powered by machine learning offers superior analysis abilities, leading to potentially more precise and timely trades. - Risk Reduction: By minimising human error and maintaining consistency, machine learning may reduce trading risks, contributing to a safer trading environment. Challenges and Limitations Machine learning in currency trading, while transformative, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations: - Data Quality and Availability: Accurate machine learning analysis depends on large volumes of high-quality data. Forex markets can produce noisy or incomplete data, which can compromise the reliability of the analysis and signals. - Complexity and Overfitting: Developing effective algorithms for forex trading is complex. There's a risk of overfitting, where models perform well on training data but poorly in real-world scenarios. - Interpretability Issues: Machine learning models, especially deep learning algorithms, can be "black boxes," making it difficult to understand how decisions are made. This lack of transparency can be a hurdle in regulatory compliance and trust-building. - Regulatory Challenges: Currency markets are heavily regulated, and incorporating machine learning must align with these regulatory requirements, which can vary significantly across regions. - Cost and Resource Intensive: Implementing machine learning requires significant computational resources and expertise, which can be costly and resource-intensive, especially for smaller trading firms or individual traders. The Bottom Line Machine learning represents a paradigm shift in forex trading – it may offer enhanced analysis accuracy and decision-making capabilities. While challenges like data quality, complexity, and regulatory compliance persist, the benefits of advanced algorithms in understanding and navigating market dynamics are undeniable. For those looking to trade forex, opening an FXOpen account could be a step towards a wide range of markets, lightning execution and tight spreads. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 21, 2025 EURUSDFederal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the danger to the economy from US President Donald Trump's tariff threats, which seem to exist in a quantum state where they both exist and don't exist at the same time. According to Fed Chairman Powell, downside risks have certainly increased thanks to repeated tariff threats, but Fed policymakers continue to insist that US economic data remains strong, albeit off recent highs. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's (Fed) manufacturing activity survey for March fell to 12.5 m/m, down from the previous reading of 18.1 and down for the second month in a row, but held the brakes and fell less than the median market forecast of 8.5. US weekly initial jobless claims also rose less than expected at 223,000 new jobless claimants, up from 220,000 the previous week. Investors had expected the figure to be 224k. Sales of existing homes in the US also rose by almost a third of a million transactions more than expected, rising to 4.26 million units in February from a revised January figure of 4.09 million. Market watchers had expected a slight slowdown to 3.95 million. With little in the way of economic data on Friday, investors will have a week's worth of events to digest. Traders will also keep an eye on any social media developments from President Trump. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0850, SL 1.0930, TP 1.0760
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD 4H Trading Plan: Buy Setup & Target Projection📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis 🔵 Support Zone (1.07584 - 1.0800) 🔵 📌 Expected Reversal Area – Buyers might step in here. ⚠️ Stop-Loss Below ❌ (If price breaks lower, trade is invalid). 🟦 Resistance Zone (~1.0875 - 1.0900) 🟦 📌 First Hurdle – Price may face resistance here before moving higher. 🎯 Target Point: 1.10229 🎯 ✅ Final Take-Profit Level – If price reaches here, trade is successful! 📉 Plan: 🔻 Expect a drop into support first… 🔄 Bullish reversal from support… 🚀 Uptrend toward 1.10229! 🔴 Stop-Loss Below 1.07584 (🚫 Safety Net). 🟢 Entry Around Support Zone (✅ Buy Opportunity). 🔵 Exit at Target Point (1.10229) (💰 Profit Zone). 📝 Final Thought: If the price respects the support zone 🟢, a BUY trade is valid. If it breaks lower 🔴, it's best to step out! 🚀
by Jameshead007