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EURUSD: watch for NFPThe release of PCE data was the one closely watched by markets during the previous week. Released data show that the PCE Price Index reached 0,3% in January for the month and 2,5% on a yearly basis, which was in line with market expectations. The core PCE also reached o,3% in January. The personal income was higher by 0,9% for the month and personal expenditures decreased by -0,2% in January, compared to the previous month. As for other macro data posted for the US, the new home sales dropped by -10,5% in January compared to the previous month. This drop was much higher from expected -2,6%. The Durable goods orders were higher by 3,1% in January, higher from market estimate of 2%. The second estimate of the GDP Growth rate for Q4 was standing at 2,3% for the quarter, and was in line with market expectations. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in February reached 85,2 which was in line with market expectations. The inflation rate in the Euro Zone in January reached 2,5%, while core inflation was standing at 2,7%. These were final inflation figures for January and there was no difference from market expectations. The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany in March reached -24,7 which was a bit higher from forecasted -21,4. The Retail Sales in Germany increased by 0,2% in January, leading to an increase of 2,9% on a yearly basis. The unemployment rate in Germany in January was standing without change from the previous month at 6,2%. The preliminary inflation rate for February in Germany was 0,4%, leading to a yearly rate of 2,3%. Both figures were in line with market forecasts. Previous week was challenging for financial markets, with a major correction dragging the value of assets toward the downside. US Treasury yields also reacted to the news on potential tariffs. The price of the US Dollar was also under general market sentiment influence, so it was a bit of a mixed trading week. The eurusd currency pair started the week by testing the 1,5 resistance line, reaching the highest weekly level at 1,052. However, the week-end brought some correction toward the downside, so the currency pair ended the trading week at the level of 1,037. The RSI reached its highest level at 59, but ended the week around the level of 45. Moving average of 50 days stopped with divergence from MA200, but the convergence did not start yet, hence, the potential cross is still far away. Markets will use the week ahead to digest all the data from the previous week, especially about trade tariffs, and find a new equilibrium. It should be considered that the Non-farm Payrolls will be released during the week ahead, which might bring back some volatility. As per current charts, some potential levels for the week ahead for eurusd currency pair would be between levels 1,04 and 1,05. Currently charts are more bullish than bearish for eurusd. Still, just in case that the currency pair clearly breaks the current 1,036 level, then the next stop might be at 1,028. However this scenario has a lower probability of occurrence. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate flash for February in the Euro Zone, Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in February, HCOB Composite PMI final for February for both Germany and the Euro Zone, ECB Interest Rate Decision on March 6th, ECB Press conference after the ECM meeting, USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI for February, ISM Services PMI for February, Non-farm Payrolls for February, Unemployment rate for February, Fed Chair Powell speech on March 7th.
by XBTFX
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
EUR/USD - 15M Analysis & Prediction📉 EUR/USD - 15M Analysis & Prediction 🔹 Current Price: 1.06207 🔹 Key Resistance Zone: 1.06300 - 1.06600 (Red Zone) 🔹 Key Support Levels: 1.06035 (First Target) 1.05545 (Second Target) 1.05161 (Final Bearish Target) 📊 Bearish Scenario: 🔻 Price is reacting from a strong supply zone (red area). 🔻 A break below 1.06035 could push price towards 1.05545. 🔻 If momentum continues, 1.05161 could be the next target. 🚀 Bullish Scenario: ✅ If price holds above 1.06035, it may retest the red resistance zone. ✅ A strong breakout above 1.06600 would invalidate the bearish setup. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Watch for confirmation of bearish momentum below 1.06035. ✅ Sell opportunities may arise at resistance rejections. ✅ If price finds support, consider potential short-term buys. #FXFOREVER #EURUSD #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #LiquidityHunt #TradingSetup
Short
by FXFOREVER_87
EURUSD SELL ZONE AND FUNDAMENTAL SFundamental analysis for selling EUR/USD at 1.0600: *Reasons to Sell:* 1. *Overbought Conditions:* The EUR/USD pair has rallied significantly in recent days, reaching new yearly highs. This has led to overbought conditions, making it a good opportunity to sell. 2. *Resistance Level:* The 1.0600 level is a strong resistance level, and a failure to break above it could lead to a reversal. 3. *Fundamental Weakness:* The eurozone economy is still facing challenges, including low inflation and weak growth. This could lead to a decline in the euro's value. *Fundamental Analysis:* 1. *ECB Rate Decision:* The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. This could lead to a decline in the euro's value. 2. *US Economic Data:* The US economy is showing signs of strength, with low unemployment and rising wages. This could lead to a stronger US dollar and a decline in the EUR/USD pair. 3. *Trade Tensions:* The ongoing trade tensions between the US and Europe could lead to a decline in the euro's value. *Technical Analysis:* 1. *Resistance Level:* The 1.0600 level is a strong resistance level, and a failure to break above it could lead to a reversal. 2. *Trend Line:* The EUR/USD pair is trading below the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs), which is a bearish sign. 3. *Momentum Indicators:* The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish divergence. Best wishes to Travis
Short
by Expert_Travis
EURUSDmpact of Tomorrow's Data on EUR/USD and USD Trade Directional Bias. The upcoming data releases, including Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, and speeches by FOMC members, can significantly influence EUR/USD and USD trade directional bias. Here's how these data points might impact the markets: Data Releases: Average Hourly Earnings (m/m): Forecast: 0.3% Previous: 0.5% Impact: Lower-than-expected earnings growth could suggest a slowing economy, potentially weakening the USD. Conversely, higher earnings could support the USD by indicating wage inflation and potentially leading to higher interest rates. Non-Farm Employment Change: Forecast: 159,000 Previous: 143,000 Impact: A stronger-than-expected jobs report could boost the USD by indicating economic resilience. A weaker report might lead to a decline in the USD as it could signal economic slowdown. Unemployment Rate: Forecast: 4.0% Previous: 4.0% Impact: No change in the unemployment rate is expected, but any deviation could influence market expectations of future monetary policy. FOMC Member Speeches: Impact: Comments from FOMC members can provide insights into future monetary policy decisions, influencing market expectations and potentially impacting the USD. Consumer Credit m/m: Forecast: $15.6 billion Previous: $40.8 billion Impact: A significant change in consumer credit could reflect consumer spending trends and economic health, potentially influencing the USD. Departments Responsible for Data Releases: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Responsible for releasing employment data, including Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. Federal Reserve: FOMC members' speeches are part of the Federal Reserve's communication strategy. Federal Reserve: Also responsible for Consumer Credit data. BLS: Average Hourly Earnings data is also released by the BLS. Impact on EUR/USD: Strong US Data: If the employment data and earnings growth are stronger than expected, it could lead to a stronger USD, potentially weakening EUR/USD. Weak US Data: Conversely, weaker-than-expected data might lead to a decline in the USD, supporting EUR/USD. Trading Strategy: Short EUR/USD: If US data is strong and FOMC members signal a hawkish stance, traders might favor short positions on EUR/USD. Long EUR/USD: If US data is weak or if ECB actions support the Euro, traders might consider long positions on EUR/USD.
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our sell entry at 1.0808 that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.0651, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 1.0933, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD – 30-Min Short Trade Setup !📌 📉🚀 🔹 Asset: EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bearish Reversal Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below 1.07436 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above 1.07740 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: 1.06823 (First Support Level) 📌 TP2: 1.06364 (Extended Bearish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): 1.07740 - 1.07436 = 0.00304 risk per unit 📈 Reward to TP1: 1.07436 - 1.06823 = 0.00613 (1:2.02 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: 1.07436 - 1.06364 = 0.01072 (1:3.52 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Bearish Trend Reversal: Price shows rejection at 1.07740 resistance, signaling a potential reversal. 📌 Rising Wedge Breakdown: A rising wedge pattern is forming, a bearish signal indicating further downside. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high selling volume when price moves below 1.07436 for strong bearish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains below 1.07436, it could fall toward 1.06823, and further to 1.06364. 📊 Key Resistance & Support Levels 🔴 1.07740 – Stop-Loss / Resistance Level 🟡 1.07436 – Breakdown Level / Short Entry 🟢 1.06823 – First Support / TP1 🟢 1.06364 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high selling volume below 1.07436 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (1.07436) after TP1 (1.06823) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at 1.06823, let the rest run toward 1.06364. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (1.07436) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakdown Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold below 1.07436 and moves back up, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bearish candle close below 1.07436 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bearish Setup – Rejection at 1.07740 resistance suggests potential downside. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:2.02 to TP1, 1:3.52 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 📉🔥 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #ForexTrading 📉 #EURUSD 📊 #TradingNews 📰 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #ShortTrade 📉 #Finance 💵 #ProfittoPath 🚀 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #ForexTrader 💸 #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #ForexSignals 📊 #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #ForexAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bearish 📉 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝
Short
by ProfittoPath
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0788 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.0954 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0616 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.0473 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0429 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Surges, but Is a Reversal Coming?After retesting the 1.0360 support during Monday’s Asian session open, EUR/USD reversed to the upside, reaching the 1.05 resistance zone. The pair then broke above this level, surging higher and reaching the 1.08 zone, surpassing the 1.0780 resistance. Currently, the pair is consolidating above this level. However, since the DXY is sitting on strong support with a high chance of reversal, this breakout could turn out to be a false one. If the price drops back below the 1.0780 zone, it would confirm a false breakout, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.06 support level. In conclusion, I’m waiting for confirmation to enter short positions. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
by Mihai_Iacob
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.0707 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0572 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0774 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD next move (expecting bullish move)(04-02-2025)(mid term)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (04-02-2025 (mid term) Current price- 1.03200 "if Price stays above 1.01200, then next target is 1.05200 and 1.07200 and below that 100.000 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Long
by AnupZiddi
7
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.05354, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.0624, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 1.0456, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM